Bryce Chance

OF Vancouver Canadians

Age 24 R/R A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	A+TOR	103	.236/.327/.281	0	4	46	—	.204/.267/.237
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBTOR	200	.224/.290/.311	2	4	71	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBTOR	44	.227/.293/.319	1	1	73	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%99

Z-Con%99

K%98

Chase%77

BB%51

Speed49

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsKyler Fedko (age 24) · Michael Guldberg (age 24) · Jeremy Rathjen (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 83 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .287 / .308

PA83

HR1

K%23

BB%8

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	103	89	21	4	0	0	12	11	0	4	1	236	327	281	608	45	266	11	12	281	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	103	93	19	3	0	0	8	15	0	4	1	204	267	237	504	32	239	15	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	103	93	19	3	0	0	8	15	0	4	1	204	267	237	504	32	241	15	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	103	89	21	4	0	0	12	11	0	4	1	236	327	281	608	45	266	11	12	281	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	103	94	19	3	0	0	8	15	0	4	1	202	267	234	501	32	239	15	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	103	94	19	3	0	0	8	15	0	4	1	202	267	234	501	32	239	15	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	200	182	40	7	1	2	15	47	1	4	1	224	290	311	600	86	288	24	8	273	71	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	144	131	30	5	1	2	11	34	1	3	1	226	292	318	610	92	288	24	8	277	73	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	44	41	10	2	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	227	293	319	612	92	289	23	7	278	73	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	44	41	10	2	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	244	295	366	661	122	300	23	7	278	64	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	606	148	30	0	15	44	148	0	15	0	244	295	368	663	124	300	23	7	278	64	-21	+3	+0	-4	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	330	300	66	11	1	3	25	68	2	9	2	220	284	293	578	73	273	21	8	263	64	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	130	22	2	6	49	134	4	18	4	220	284	294	579	74	273	21	8	263	64	-21	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryce Chance (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	222/287/308	85	288	1	2	23%	8%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyler Fedko 2024 · A	24	42	43→50	50→55	52	208/295/320	112	268	10	10	25%	10%	77	-0.3	203/283/334	131	259	15	18	26%	9%	76	-0.4	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Michael Guldberg 2023 · AA	24	47	39→45	50→55	45	222/287/310	88	285	6	13	24%	7%	71	-0.8	214/267/307	93	287	8	11	27%	6%	62	-1.4	181/219/261	80	243	7	10	28%	4%	30	-0.9
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	43→40	42→45	51→50	46	210/284/313	103	270	9	17	25%	8%	71	-0.8	205/265/339	134	271	15	11	29%	6%	70	-0.9	193/250/343	150	249	19	7	30%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Francisco Acuna 2024 · A	24	41→47	40→45	48→50	43	200/270/292	92	268	6	11	27%	6%	61	-1.5	215/289/313	98	283	8	15	25%	8%	73	-0.6	200/287/301	101	265	10	18	26%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	213/301/309	96	285	6	10	25%	9%	77	-0.3	204/305/297	93	275	5	10	24%	10%	74	-0.3
✕Cade Gotta 2016 · A	24	40→50	41→45	53→55	42	196/255/297	101	272	7	15	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/275/329	99	292	6	27	22%	6%	70	-0.8	240/299/336	96	305	5	36	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	44	38→40	49→50	50	207/287/286	78	267	5	9	23%	9%	65	-1.2	209/275/301	92	287	8	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	182/244/266	84	253	9	5	30%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Kevin Heller 2014 · AA	24	42→45	39→40	52→50	40	203/266/289	86	296	7	10	32%	6%	58	-1.7	206/285/307	101	306	9	11	33%	7%	70	-0.8	199/284/298	99	299	9	12	33%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	43	41→45	50	46	197/314/296	98	306	9	10	34%	10%	80	-0.1	209/311/330	121	327	12	13	36%	10%	86	+0.3	168/302/289	121	270	14	18	38%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	44	38→50	53→50	48	207/283/291	84	275	5	14	25%	9%	65	-1.2	204/289/333	129	276	14	8	29%	9%	78	-0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Tanner O'Tremba 2024 · A	24	43	43→45	54→50	40	205/296/322	116	309	10	13	34%	7%	78	-0.3	193/277/297	104	309	9	14	38%	7%	65	-1.2	132/229/210	78	232	8	17	42%	7%	27	-1.5
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/270/293	89	286	6	12	29%	8%	60	-1.6	204/273/315	111	282	11	20	30%	7%	68	-1.0	196/266/309	112	271	12	23	31%	7%	61	-1.0
✕Nate Eaton 2021 · A	24	42→49	39→45	54→60	41	201/252/292	91	271	5	11	27%	6%	53	-2.1	211/273/321	110	284	11	25	28%	7%	68	-1.0	210/267/331	121	274	12	27	27%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Edgar Corcino 2016 · A	24	46→52	38→45	49→45	44	222/271/305	83	286	6	9	24%	6%	63	-1.4	233/278/335	102	295	8	6	22%	6%	72	-0.7	232/277/343	111	292	10	4	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Connor Kokx 2023 · A	23	43	41→40	48→60	49	207/295/306	98	272	9	14	26%	9%	74	-0.6	211/296/289	78	296	5	24	28%	8%	70	-0.8	203/295/264	61	294	3	34	29%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Nelson Maldonado 2021 · A	24	47→48	40→45	51→40	42	226/265/322	96	283	7	7	23%	5%	64	-1.3	236/285/360	124	301	11	5	24%	6%	81	-0.1	227/280/353	127	286	11	4	24%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Mike Ahmed 2016 · A	24	45→44	37→50	50	45	211/276/287	76	293	4	13	28%	8%	61	-1.5	212/277/334	122	306	13	9	33%	8%	73	-0.6	202/269/333	131	293	16	7	35%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Danny Mendick 2018 · AA	24	43→47	40→45	46→50	44	209/263/301	93	258	7	9	22%	6%	59	-1.6	219/281/339	120	265	13	14	22%	7%	76	-0.4	237/296/342	105	299	11	4	23%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Charcer Burks 2019 · AA	24	44→48	41→40	48→50	46	210/284/306	97	291	8	13	29%	8%	70	-0.9	205/272/289	84	290	5	14	29%	7%	60	-1.6	189/256/257	67	271	2	16	28%	7%	47	-1.9