Konner Eaton

P Hartford Yard Goats

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 216 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.5 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #555MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	MIX2 levels	9	0	11	0.82	1.01	36.4%	6.8%	—	K 36.4% · BB 6.8% · FIP 0.89
2025	22	MIX2 levels	27	27	140	3.79	3.36	25.2%	8.6%	—	K 19.5% · BB 9.8% · FIP 4.29
2026	23	AACOL	23	23	107	4.46	5.19	21.8%	12.9%	—	K 17.7% · BB 14.2% · FIP 6.06
2027PROJ	24	MLBCOL	29	29	160	5.48	5.48	18.4%	12.6%	-1.0
2028PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCOL	12	12	71	5.54	5.48	19.5%	11.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ67% MLB	26	MLBCOL	18	18	108	5.40	5.36	20.1%	11.0%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$0.7M2033Arb-3$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control45Command50FB velo47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 84%

CompsShane Drohan (age 24) · Dylan Carmouche (age 22) · Darin Gorski (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121129vR 137

ERA5.48

FIP5.48

K%18.4%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%5.8%

Proj IP160

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 160 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$12M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5050

CTRL—45

CMD4050

K†4550

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	0	11	44	16	3	0	0%	1.2	36.4%	6.8%	29.5%	0.0%	0.82	0.89	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	0	11	44	16	3	0	0%	1.2	36.4%	6.8%	29.5%	0.0%	0.82	0.89	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	0	11	44	16	3	0	0%	1.2	36.4%	6.8%	29.5%	0.0%	0.82	1.01	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	140	592	149	51	14	100%	5.2	19.5%	9.8%	9.7%	2.9%	3.79	4.29	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	140	592	149	51	14	100%	5.2	19.5%	9.8%	9.7%	2.9%	3.79	4.29	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	140	592	149	51	14	100%	5.2	25.2%	8.6%	16.6%	2.4%	3.79	3.36	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	23	23	107	472	103	61	19	100%	4.7	17.7%	14.2%	3.5%	4.8%	4.46	6.06	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	23	23	107	472	103	61	19	100%	4.7	17.7%	14.2%	3.5%	4.8%	4.46	6.06	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	23	23	107	472	103	61	19	100%	4.7	21.8%	12.9%	8.9%	4.0%	4.46	5.19	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	COL	29	29	160	676	124	85	24	100%	5.5	18.4%	12.6%	5.8%	3.6%	5.48	5.48	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	28	28	162	684	133	78	24	100%	5.8	19.5%	11.3%	8.2%	3.5%	5.25	5.19	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	27	27	162	684	138	75	24	100%	6.0	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	3.5%	5.11	5.07	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	27	27	160	674	136	74	23	100%	5.9	20.2%	10.9%	9.3%	3.5%	5.07	5.07	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	COL	26	26	155	654	132	72	23	100%	6.0	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	3.6%	5.10	5.13	-0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	COL	25	25	148	624	124	70	23	100%	5.9	19.9%	11.2%	8.6%	3.7%	5.20	5.26	-0.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	COL	23	23	139	586	115	68	23	100%	6.0	19.5%	11.5%	8.0%	3.9%	5.35	5.44	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	12	12	71	300	58	34	12	100%	5.9	19.5%	11.3%	8.2%	4.0%	5.54	5.48	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	18	18	108	456	92	50	18	100%	6.0	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	4.0%	5.40	5.36	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	21	21	124	524	106	57	21	100%	5.9	20.2%	10.9%	9.3%	4.0%	5.36	5.36	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	COL	22	22	130	549	110	60	23	100%	5.9	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	4.1%	5.40	5.43	-0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	COL	22	22	130	549	109	62	24	100%	5.9	19.9%	11.2%	8.6%	4.3%	5.51	5.57	-0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	COL	21	21	125	528	103	61	24	100%	6.0	19.5%	11.5%	8.0%	4.5%	5.68	5.77	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		115	115	688	2906	579	325	121	100%	6.0	19.9%	11.2%	8.8%	4.2%	5.48	5.12	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	168	94	35	100%	6.0	19.9%	11.2%	8.8%	4.2%	5.48	5.12	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		59	50	258	1108	215	128	40	85%	4.4	19.4%	11.6%	7.8%	3.6%	3.94	4.91	-3.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	39	200	859	167	99	31	85%	4.4	19.4%	11.6%	7.8%	3.6%	3.94	4.91	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Konner Eaton (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	18.4%	12.6%	3.6%	—	5.11	19.9%	8.8%	484	-0.37	—	—	—
Shane Drohan L 2023 · 5.13 FIP	24	SP	5.13	19.8%	12.1%	4.0%	.308	3.44	25.0%	16.1%	197	-1.69	2.79	538	83
Dylan Carmouche L 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	19.0%	11.6%	2.5%	.332	5.21	16.7%	6.8%	116	+0.86	4.35	239	82
Darin Gorski L 2015 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP	4.93	15.2%	11.4%	3.0%	.323	4.50	15.0%	5.2%	69	-0.43	4.50	206	79
Damian Moss L 2002 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP	4.75	14.9%	11.3%	2.7%	.227	5.40	10.4%	-1.0%	166	+0.65	4.75	345	79
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	78
Jared Shuster L 2023 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP	5.01	14.5%	11.3%	3.1%	.306	4.63	17.0%	8.9%	200	-0.38	3.90	544	77
Drew Dowd L 2024 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	16.1%	11.7%	2.1%	.280	3.13	24.9%	16.0%	55	-1.23	3.13	166	77
Yohander Méndez L 2018 · 5.20 FIP	23	SP	5.20	17.0%	9.1%	4.3%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	2.65	477	77
Jeriome Robertson L 2003 · 4.70 FIP	26	SP	4.70	13.9%	7.9%	3.2%	.295	7.27	8.0%	-1.3%	14	+2.57	4.70	175	76
Cameron Bishop L 2019 · 4.65 FIP	23	SP	4.65	16.6%	13.9%	2.2%	.316	3.42	23.8%	11.5%	66	-1.23	2.86	305	76
Chuck James L 2006 · 4.88 FIP	24	SP-	4.88	18.1%	8.9%	4.0%	.233	5.50	16.5%	8.1%	191	+0.62	4.88	310	76
Scott DeCecco L 2015 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP-	4.55	14.5%	11.5%	2.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	125	76
Will Dion L 2024 · 4.97 FIP	24	SP	4.97	19.3%	9.4%	4.2%	.309	3.39	23.5%	16.3%	186	-1.58	3.14	535	75
Matthew Crownover L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	24	SP-	4.67	12.6%	8.5%	2.8%	.283	4.48	12.1%	4.6%	118	-0.19	4.35	377	75
Matt Chico L 2007 · 5.15 FIP	24	SP	5.15	12.6%	9.5%	3.5%	.282	5.34	14.2%	6.9%	48	+0.19	5.15	215	75
Brian Holmes L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	21.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.333	4.78	17.3%	8.0%	104	+0.46	3.60	205	75
Connor O'Halloran L 2024 · 5.09 FIP	21	SP	5.09	17.2%	12.3%	3.4%	.287	6.36	14.3%	-6.0%	32	+1.27	5.09	136	74
Reid Love L 2016 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	13.8%	6.8%	2.7%	.293	3.74	15.2%	9.0%	140	-0.55	3.66	280	74
Chris Murphy L 2022 · 4.39 FIP	24	SP	4.39	19.3%	11.9%	2.6%	.265	4.07	21.4%	10.6%	156	-0.32	3.63	464	74
Nick Raquet L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP	4.29	16.8%	8.9%	2.7%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	434	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.4	155	19.7%	11.4%	1.39	5.22
Jeff Robinson ('87-'92, 0 WAR*)	3.5	118	18.3%*	10.9%*	1.38*	5.14*
Don Black ('43-'48, 0 WAR*)	4.0	133	17.4%*	10.4%*	1.28*	5.32*
Big Jeff Pfeffer ('05-'11, 0 WAR*)	3.5	139	21.4%*	10.7%*	1.41*	4.91*
Kevin Foster ('01)	2.5	127	18.9%	10.0%	1.55	4.86
Ian Snell ('10)	4.0	134	17.8%	10.4%	1.12	4.80
Jason Bere ('03)	5.6	123	18.4%	12.6%	1.17	5.14