Angelo Smith

P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	A+LAA	5	6	6.00	5.93	24.0%	4.0%	—	K 24.0% · BB 4.0% · FIP 5.97
2026	22	MIX2 levels	30	48	5.66	4.69	27.3%	9.6%	—	K 20.5% · BB 10.3% · FIP 6.33
2027PROJ	23	MLBLAA	26	27	4.78	4.78	21.6%	10.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBLAA	18	19	4.66	4.61	22.4%	9.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsHeath Holder (age 23) · Ricardo Velez (age 24) · Tyler Bray (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%21.6%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%11.6%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	5	0	6	25	6	1	2	0%	1.2	24.0%	4.0%	20.0%	8.0%	6.00	5.97	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	5	0	6	25	6	1	2	0%	1.2	24.0%	4.0%	20.0%	8.0%	6.00	5.97	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	5	0	6	25	6	1	2	0%	1.2	24.0%	4.0%	20.0%	8.0%	6.00	5.93	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	48	209	57	20	10	0%	1.6	20.5%	10.3%	10.2%	6.7%	5.66	6.33	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	48	209	57	20	10	0%	1.6	20.5%	10.3%	10.2%	6.7%	5.66	6.33	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	48	209	57	20	10	0%	1.6	27.3%	9.6%	17.7%	4.8%	5.66	4.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	LAA	26	0	27	114	25	11	4	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.1%	11.6%	3.4%	4.78	4.78	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAA	42	0	44	186	42	18	6	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.5%	12.9%	3.3%	4.66	4.61	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAA	18	0	19	80	18	8	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.5%	12.9%	3.3%	4.66	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	19	79	18	8	3	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.5%	12.9%	3.3%	4.66	4.23	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	85	32	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.5%	12.9%	3.3%	4.66	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		35	0	54	234	49	23	16	0%	1.5	20.9%	9.6%	11.3%	6.8%	5.70	6.29	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		130	0	200	872	182	84	59	0%	1.5	20.9%	9.6%	11.3%	6.8%	5.70	6.29	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angelo Smith (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	21.6%	10.1%	3.4%	—	4.61	22.4%	12.9%	44	-0.17	—	—	—
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	95
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	93
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	89
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	89
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	89
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	88
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	88
Reilly Hovis R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	21.1%	7.7%	3.6%	.250	4.36	19.8%	6.4%	50	+0.08	4.28	130	88
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	88
Andrew Cashner R 2010 · 4.51 FIP	23	SU	4.51	20.2%	10.1%	3.4%	.285	3.30	19.9%	13.0%	221	-1.21	2.94	1,185	88
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	88
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	87
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	87
Cre Finfrock R 2019 · 4.63 FIP	23	SU	4.63	23.0%	11.7%	3.6%	.278	6.31	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.68	4.27	103	87
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	87
Luke Bell R 2024 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	20.4%	9.9%	1.8%	.295	5.69	13.1%	1.3%	66	+2.07	3.62	110	87
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	86
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	86
Adam Boucher R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	22	SU	5.02	22.1%	10.3%	4.5%	.321	6.20	16.8%	-7.8%	74	+1.18	4.87	130	86
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	35	22.1%	9.7%	1.29	4.71
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Tom Dukes ('67-'72, -2 WAR*)	1.1	43	22.7%*	8.7%*	1.16*	5.37*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*