Brayan Vergara
P
Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
Age 20
RHP
6'0" / 145 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.21
FIP5.21
K%12.6%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%3.5%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 16 | 0 | 33 | 126 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 17.3% | 3.0% | 14.3% | 2.0% | 1.91 | 3.09 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 16 | 0 | 33 | 126 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 25.4% | 2.4% | 23.0% | 1.6% | 1.91 | 2.22 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 5 | 55 | 222 | 38 | 12 | 3 | 38% | 4.2 | 12.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.63 | 4.35 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 5 | 55 | 222 | 38 | 12 | 3 | 38% | 4.2 | 17.1% | 5.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | 2.63 | 3.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 24 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 56 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 2.2 | 18.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 4.96 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 0 | 32 | 133 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.21 | 5.21 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.21 | 5.21 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 84 | 358 | 73 | 26 | 11 | — | — | 20.3% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 5.05 | 4.89 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAA | 32 | 0 | 33 | 140 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.02 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | LAA | 33 | 0 | 35 | 147 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.82 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAA | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.02 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.82 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 69 | 0 | 72 | 304 | 52 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 4.32 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 144 | 72 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 53 | 5 | 140 | 573 | 91 | 34 | 18 | 9% | 2.6 | 15.8% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 3.33 | 4.21 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 7 | 200 | 817 | 129 | 48 | 25 | 9% | 2.6 | 15.8% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 3.33 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brayan Vergara (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.21 | 12.6% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.74 | 16.7% | 8.0% | 104 | -0.47 | — | — | — |
| Josnier Parra R 2027 · 4.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.51 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | .319 | 5.13 | 11.0% | 3.0% | 97 | +0.62 | 3.79 | 129 | 87 |
| Wilmer Contreras R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.36 | 11.1% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 102 | 86 |
| Brayan Palencia R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.98 | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.3% | .326 | 4.93 | 14.2% | 5.1% | 150 | -0.05 | 2.12 | 256 | 86 |
| Bryan Bonnell R 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.55 | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% | .298 | 4.83 | 17.2% | 9.1% | 170 | +0.28 | 3.59 | 333 | 86 |
| Xavier Altamirano R 2027 · 5.11 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.11 | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .252 | 4.08 | 14.8% | 7.6% | 284 | -1.03 | 3.84 | 451 | 86 |
| Marco Antonio Rivas R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.57 | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.8% | .339 | 4.10 | 12.4% | 7.6% | 100 | -0.47 | 3.90 | 197 | 86 |
| Sucre Valdez R 2027 · 5.83 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.83 | 13.6% | 10.4% | 4.7% | .280 | 3.48 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 77 | -2.35 | 2.82 | 102 | 84 |
| Johan Montero R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.89 | 13.5% | 12.8% | 2.4% | .292 | 3.42 | 16.5% | 5.3% | 64 | -1.47 | 2.82 | 106 | 84 |
| Logan Lombana R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 84 |
| Nolan Kingham R 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.70 | 12.1% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .338 | 4.35 | 13.1% | 7.0% | 260 | -0.35 | 4.06 | 502 | 84 |
| Bryce Tassin R 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.63 | 12.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .231 | 3.62 | 16.0% | 8.5% | 100 | -1.01 | 3.14 | 206 | 84 |
| Tyler Zombro R 2028 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.37 | 14.6% | 8.9% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.67 | 15.7% | 12.7% | 134 | -1.70 | 2.25 | 172 | 84 |
| Jordano Perez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.72 | 10.1% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .358 | 3.54 | 15.4% | 8.6% | 46 | -1.18 | 3.27 | 110 | 83 |
| Jose Miguel Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.84 | 10.3% | 11.1% | 2.2% | .315 | 5.19 | 13.7% | 0.7% | 36 | +0.35 | 4.84 | 223 | 82 |
| Brandon Komar R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 82 |
| Robbie Welhaf R 2029 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.06 | 14.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .309 | 3.26 | 18.1% | 15.0% | 90 | -0.80 | 3.26 | 121 | 82 |
| Jake McCasland R 2029 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.86 | 14.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .348 | 3.94 | 15.8% | 8.2% | 317 | -0.92 | 3.27 | 367 | 82 |
| Joangel Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.42 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .312 | 4.91 | 19.4% | 3.4% | 93 | +0.49 | 3.96 | 127 | 82 |
| Joseilyn Gonzalez R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.03 | 14.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% | .321 | 5.14 | 14.5% | -3.2% | 107 | +0.11 | 5.00 | 148 | 82 |
| Robbie Hitt R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.66 | 14.6% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .368 | 3.32 | 15.9% | 5.5% | 121 | -1.34 | 2.92 | 238 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 34 | 15.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 4.92 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |