Jose Familia — OGILVIE

Jose FamiliaSS FCL Phillies

Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 163 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 118 proj PA

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .241 / .249

PA118

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	16	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	195	155	29	5	1	2	36	62	2	9	1	187	347	271	618	84	290	32	18	296	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	160	146	24	4	0	0	12	61	2	3	1	164	237	192	429	27	282	38	8	207	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	142	116	24	4	1	4	20	43	2	0	0	207	333	362	695	155	286	30	14	310	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	195	166	20	3	1	1	25	76	2	9	1	120	244	169	412	48	200	39	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	160	150	14	2	0	0	8	88	2	3	1	93	150	107	257	13	228	55	5	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	142	124	18	3	1	3	12	62	2	0	0	145	232	258	490	113	215	44	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	195	166	20	3	1	1	25	76	2	9	1	120	244	169	412	48	209	39	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	195	155	29	5	1	2	36	62	2	9	1	187	347	271	618	84	290	32	18	296	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	160	150	14	2	0	0	8	88	2	3	1	93	150	107	257	13	226	55	5	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	160	146	24	4	0	0	12	61	2	3	1	164	237	192	429	27	282	38	8	207	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	142	124	18	3	1	3	12	62	2	0	0	145	232	258	490	113	250	44	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	142	116	24	4	1	4	20	43	2	0	0	207	333	362	695	155	286	30	14	310	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	195	166	20	3	1	1	25	76	2	9	1	120	244	169	412	48	200	39	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	160	149	14	2	0	0	8	88	2	3	1	94	150	107	257	13	228	55	5	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	142	127	18	3	1	3	12	62	2	0	0	142	232	252	484	110	215	44	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	195	166	20	3	1	1	25	76	2	9	1	120	244	169	412	48	200	39	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	160	149	14	2	0	0	8	88	2	3	1	94	150	107	257	13	228	55	5	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	142	127	18	3	1	3	12	62	2	0	0	142	232	252	484	110	215	44	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	252	231	40	7	1	2	17	78	2	3	1	179	243	251	494	72	256	31	7	228	40	-18	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	206	188	34	6	1	2	14	62	2	3	1	186	252	271	523	85	260	30	7	240	48	-13	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	71	65	12	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	187	253	274	527	87	260	30	7	241	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	71	65	12	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	185	254	262	515	77	256	30	7	241	22	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	109	18	0	9	46	192	9	9	0	183	252	259	511	76	254	30	7	241	22	-40	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	821	736	106	18	4	7	67	324	9	17	3	144	224	208	432	64	241	39	8	200	22	-21	+1	+0	+3	+7	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	84	14	3	6	53	257	7	13	2	144	224	209	433	65	241	40	8	200	22	-42	+1	+0	+7	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Familia (OGILVIE)	19	20	20	40	25	177/241/249	72	256	1	2	31%	7%	40	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cesar Baez 2014 · A	19	37	35→30	45→50	38	178/241/235	57	277	3	9	35%	6%	36	-3.3	185/264/235	50	263	1	11	27%	9%	46	-2.6	167/259/200	33	235	0	14	26%	10%	34	-1.1
✕Miguel Arrendell 2007 · A	19	39	36→30	45→50	41	184/254/252	67	277	4	6	32%	7%	46	-2.6	184/282/240	56	229	3	9	19%	11%	55	-2.0	201/272/282	81	263	7	9	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Noe Berroa 2013 · A	19	36	36→30	45	38	176/233/244	68	261	3	7	32%	6%	35	-3.4	195/254/263	68	305	3	8	34%	6%	47	-2.5	171/244/220	49	289	0	10	37%	7%	33	-0.8
✕Luis Montano 2019 · A	19	36	38→40	40	44	170/253/252	82	271	4	3	36%	9%	46	-2.6	171/234/254	83	313	4	4	43%	7%	38	-3.2	133/185/225	91	259	5	3	48%	5%	11	-1.3
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→24	39→45	47→50	39	177/234/257	80	265	6	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	185/244/305	120	287	13	12	38%	7%	54	-2.0	169/229/296	127	253	15	12	38%	7%	45	-1.6
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	36	35→40	41→50	47	172/248/230	58	235	3	7	27%	8%	39	-3.1	188/262/273	85	246	6	10	25%	7%	54	-2.0	179/258/266	87	227	7	12	23%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Isaac Bellony 2021 · A	19	37	39→40	42→40	46	182/251/264	83	247	6	7	28%	8%	47	-2.5	186/252/288	102	340	9	5	44%	8%	53	-2.1	163/230/267	104	334	9	3	50%	7%	38	-1.3
✕Danyer Sanabria 2021 · A	19	36	40→45	44→45	37	181/215/270	88	234	8	7	26%	4%	34	-3.5	190/235/276	86	309	6	6	38%	5%	43	-2.8	202/246/298	97	321	5	3	37%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	37	35→30	44→50	45	174/256/231	57	244	2	10	27%	8%	42	-2.9	192/268/246	54	280	2	10	29%	9%	49	-2.4	187/263/230	43	278	1	11	30%	9%	42	-1.4
✕Deivis Nadal 2022 · A	20	38	35→40	46→55	39	180/246/230	50	260	3	11	30%	6%	38	-3.2	173/247/256	83	304	6	18	41%	8%	45	-2.7	146/228/239	93	271	7	23	45%	8%	31	-1.5
✕Nelson Molina 2014 · A	19	35	35→40	43→40	42	167/217/218	52	209	2	6	21%	5%	24	-4.2	202/249/254	52	249	2	9	19%	5%	42	-2.9	230/278/279	50	280	2	8	18%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Natanael Yuten 2024 · A	19	44→40	37→40	45→50	37	207/255/279	72	302	4	9	32%	5%	51	-2.2	202/249/294	92	317	6	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	191/238/288	97	302	7	8	37%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Jose Toussen 2008 · A	18	35	36→30	42→50	36	171/217/239	68	249	4	4	32%	5%	28	-3.9	185/247/244	59	242	3	10	23%	7%	40	-3.0	210/261/255	45	258	2	14	18%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Jhohan Acevedo 2012 · A	19	38	33→30	43→50	43	178/241/218	40	256	1	8	29%	7%	32	-3.6	211/263/266	55	285	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.3	203/252/237	34	274	2	9	25%	5%	39	-0.9
✕Raudelis Martinez 2022 · A	20	35	37→30	44→45	46	169/234/235	66	215	5	7	23%	7%	34	-3.5	180/260/257	77	220	6	8	20%	8%	49	-2.4	171/242/235	64	204	6	6	19%	8%	37	-1.6
✕Narciso Polanco 2024 · A	19	38→42	36→40	47→55	46	182/256/247	65	259	3	8	29%	8%	45	-2.7	193/266/277	84	267	6	17	27%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/281	89	260	6	21	27%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Justin Reed 2007 · A	19	36→40	37→40	48→50	39	173/230/248	75	265	3	8	34%	6%	35	-3.4	191/250/278	87	311	6	12	38%	6%	49	-2.4	188/250/271	83	304	6	14	37%	7%	44	-1.9
✕Luis Ravelo 2023 · A	19	37→34	36→30	47→45	44	179/244/240	60	251	3	7	28%	7%	38	-3.2	180/244/248	68	284	5	4	36%	7%	40	-3.0	168/233/229	61	266	5	2	36%	7%	31	-2.0
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9