Calvin Bickerstaff
P
Greenville Drive
Age 24
RHP
6'5" / 205 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125115vR 106
ERA4.66
FIP4.66
K%19.4%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%9.3%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 110 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Salem Red Sox | 4 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 4.8% | 2.84 | 2.90 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Salem Red Sox | 4 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 4.8% | 2.84 | 2.94 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 1 | 50 | 219 | 52 | 19 | 1 | 4% | 2.0 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 0.9% | 4.32 | 3.15 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 1 | 50 | 219 | 52 | 19 | 1 | 4% | 2.0 | 23.7% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 0.5% | 4.32 | 2.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 21 | 0 | 53 | 222 | 45 | 15 | 9 | 0% | 2.5 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 3.88 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BOS | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 47 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.66 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 110 | 463 | 92 | 39 | 16 | — | — | 19.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.28 | 4.76 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 49 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 50 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 50 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 53 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 48 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 40 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 147 | 0 | 154 | 650 | 134 | 63 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.18 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 82 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 1 | 110 | 462 | 84 | 38 | 11 | 2% | 2.2 | 18.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 4.02 | 3.96 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 2 | 200 | 843 | 153 | 68 | 21 | 2% | 2.2 | 18.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 4.02 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Calvin Bickerstaff (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 19.4% | 10.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.53 | 20.5% | 10.8% | 172 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 93 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 89 |
| Bryan Pope R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .332 | 5.00 | 12.7% | -0.3% | 22 | +1.13 | 3.87 | 148 | 88 |
| Tyler Joyner R 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.67 | 20.7% | 9.9% | 1.9% | .250 | 5.82 | 16.1% | 5.2% | 37 | +2.15 | 3.67 | 114 | 88 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.92 | 17.6% | 8.9% | 2.2% | .263 | 5.66 | 16.1% | -1.3% | 133 | +1.74 | 3.39 | 281 | 87 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 87 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 87 |
| Hunter Mann R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.5% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 135 | 86 |
| Tai Tiedemann R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .305 | 5.99 | 9.8% | -0.2% | 118 | +2.25 | 3.74 | 190 | 86 |
| Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.59 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 75 | +0.01 | 3.58 | 118 | 86 |
| Isaac Sanchez R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.65 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 1.9% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 130 | 86 |
| Mick VanVossen R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.41 | 18.6% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 141 | 86 |
| Kaleb Fontenot R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.44 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% | .264 | 3.56 | 14.7% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.88 | 3.56 | 155 | 86 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 86 |
| Kyle Whitten R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.26 | 18.0% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .296 | 5.21 | 18.2% | 7.4% | 37 | +0.95 | 4.26 | 152 | 85 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 85 |
| Miguel Guerrero R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 18.1% | 10.3% | 2.9% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 171 | 85 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 85 |
| Marcel Rentería R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .301 | 4.05 | 25.9% | 10.4% | 19 | +0.03 | 3.97 | 194 | 85 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 57 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 1.10 | 4.58 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |