Calvin Bickerstaff

Calvin Bickerstaff P Greenville Drive

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%19.4%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%9.3%

ROS IP57

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	4	0	6	21	7	0	1	0%	1.6	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	4.8%	2.84	2.90	—
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	4	0	6	21	7	0	1	0%	1.6	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	4.8%	2.84	2.90	—
2024	22	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	4	0	6	21	7	0	1	0%	1.6	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	4.8%	2.84	2.94	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	1	50	219	52	19	1	4%	2.0	19.1%	9.3%	9.8%	0.8%	4.32	3.09	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	1	50	219	52	19	1	4%	2.0	19.1%	9.3%	9.8%	0.8%	4.32	3.09	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	1	50	219	52	19	1	4%	2.0	23.7%	8.7%	15.1%	0.5%	4.32	2.42	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	28	0	69	292	53	21	11	0%	2.5	14.0%	8.3%	5.7%	3.8%	4.33	5.05	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	28	0	69	292	53	21	11	0%	2.5	14.0%	8.3%	5.7%	3.8%	4.33	5.05	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A RAW	BOS	1	0	3	13	2	1	1	0%	2.7	15.4%	7.7%	7.7%	7.7%	3.38	7.00	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	BOS	26	0	63	264	48	19	8	0%	2.4	18.2%	7.2%	11.0%	3.0%	4.29	4.14	—
2026	24	AA RAW	BOS	1	0	3	15	3	1	2	0%	3.0	20.0%	6.7%	13.3%	13.3%	6.00	9.57	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BOS	65	0	68	287	58	28	8	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.7%	10.5%	2.8%	4.57	4.54	+0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	BOS	65	0	68	287	59	28	8	0%	1.0	20.6%	9.6%	11.0%	2.8%	4.52	4.50	+0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	BOS	64	0	67	283	59	27	8	0%	1.0	20.7%	9.7%	11.1%	2.9%	4.52	4.53	+0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	BOS	62	0	65	274	57	27	8	0%	1.0	20.6%	9.8%	10.9%	3.0%	4.57	4.60	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	BOS	28	0	29	122	25	12	3	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.7%	10.5%	2.8%	4.57	4.54	+0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	BOS	43	0	45	190	39	18	5	0%	1.0	20.6%	9.6%	11.0%	2.8%	4.52	4.50	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	BOS	50	0	52	220	45	21	6	0%	1.0	20.7%	9.7%	11.1%	2.9%	4.52	4.53	+0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	BOS	52	0	55	232	48	23	7	0%	1.1	20.6%	9.8%	10.9%	3.0%	4.57	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	764	157	74	22	0%	1.1	20.6%	9.7%	10.9%	2.9%	4.54	4.16	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	82	24	0%	1.1	20.6%	9.7%	10.9%	2.9%	4.54	4.16	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		57	1	125	532	90	45	14	2%	2.2	16.9%	8.4%	8.5%	2.6%	4.25	4.16	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	2	200	851	143	71	22	2%	2.2	16.9%	8.4%	8.5%	2.6%	4.25	4.16	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Calvin Bickerstaff (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	19.4%	10.0%	2.8%	—	4.52	20.5%	10.8%	203	-0.12	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	93
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	90
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	88
Tyler Joyner R 2019 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	20.7%	9.9%	2.0%	.250	6.38	16.1%	5.2%	37	+2.69	3.69	114	88
Tai Tiedemann R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	23	SU	3.87	17.5%	9.8%	1.8%	.305	5.78	9.8%	-0.2%	118	+1.91	3.87	190	87
J.C. Flowers R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	17.6%	8.9%	2.3%	.263	5.44	15.6%	-0.3%	133	+1.42	3.59	281	87
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	87
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	87
Mick VanVossen R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	24	SU	4.25	18.6%	8.9%	2.9%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	141	86
Isaac Sanchez R 2016 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	20.5%	9.7%	1.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	130	86
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	86
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.17	17.6%	7.7%	37	+0.82	4.32	152	86
Kaleb Fontenot R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	24	SU	4.48	20.7%	8.6%	3.7%	.264	3.71	14.7%	5.2%	69	-0.77	3.71	155	85
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	85
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	85
Joe Kuzia R 2018 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	16.9%	9.0%	1.6%	.358	2.87	19.5%	13.1%	48	-0.84	2.87	108	85
Miguel Guerrero R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	18.1%	10.3%	3.1%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	171	85
Marcel Rentería R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	24	SU	4.15	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.301	4.09	25.9%	10.4%	19	-0.06	3.91	194	85
Alex Hermeling R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	127	85
Blaze Pontes R 2023 · 3.61 FIP	23	SU	3.61	18.2%	9.4%	1.6%	.330	4.79	11.3%	-0.9%	187	+1.18	3.37	248	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	65	20.3%	9.7%	1.10	4.56
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19