Casey Anderson

P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	AARI	21	21	89	6.37	4.35	22.6%	11.4%	—	K 16.7% · BB 13.5% · FIP 5.28
2025	24	MIX4 levels	29	13	97	5.85	3.38	21.0%	10.2%	—	K 17.3% · BB 12.4% · FIP 4.06
2026	25	MIX2 levels	49	1	61	6.79	5.51	19.2%	14.7%	—	K 15.8% · BB 14.6% · FIP 5.81
2027PROJ	26	MLBARI	67	0	70	5.84	5.84	14.8%	15.4%	-1.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBARI	30	0	32	5.71	5.72	15.5%	14.7%	-0.4
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBARI	48	0	50	5.66	5.70	15.9%	14.3%	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -2.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control35Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJesús Reyes (age 26) · Cooper Adams (age 24) · Stephen Johnson (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.84

FIP5.84

K%14.8%

BB%15.4%

K-BB%-0.6%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	6	11	57	9	8	1	86%	1.5	11.8%	16.5%	-4.7%	2.6%	8.44	5.62	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	6	11	57	9	8	1	86%	1.5	15.8%	14.0%	1.8%	1.8%	8.44	4.88	—
2024	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	21	21	89	412	93	47	12	100%	4.2	16.7%	13.5%	3.2%	3.4%	6.37	5.28	—
2024	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	21	21	89	412	93	47	12	100%	4.2	16.7%	13.5%	3.2%	3.4%	6.37	5.28	—
2024	23	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	21	21	89	412	93	47	12	100%	4.2	22.6%	11.4%	11.2%	2.9%	6.37	4.35	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	29	13	97	442	93	45	6	45%	3.3	17.3%	12.4%	4.9%	1.6%	5.85	4.06	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	29	13	97	442	93	45	6	45%	3.3	17.3%	12.4%	4.9%	1.6%	5.85	4.06	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	29	13	97	442	93	45	6	45%	3.3	21.0%	10.2%	10.9%	1.4%	5.85	3.38	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	61	292	56	43	10	2%	1.2	15.8%	14.6%	1.2%	4.0%	6.79	5.81	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	61	292	56	43	10	2%	1.2	15.8%	14.6%	1.2%	4.0%	6.79	5.81	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	1	61	292	56	43	10	2%	1.2	19.2%	14.7%	4.5%	3.4%	6.79	5.51	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	ARI	67	0	70	296	44	46	9	0%	1.0	14.8%	15.4%	-0.6%	3.0%	5.84	5.84	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	ARI	82	0	86	363	56	53	11	0%	1.0	15.5%	14.7%	0.8%	3.1%	5.71	5.72	-1.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	ARI	79	0	83	352	56	50	11	0%	1.1	15.9%	14.3%	1.5%	3.2%	5.66	5.70	-1.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	ARI	76	0	80	336	60	45	11	0%	1.0	17.9%	13.4%	4.5%	3.3%	5.52	5.48	-0.8
2031	30	MLB MLE	ARI	71	0	75	316	56	43	11	0%	1.1	17.7%	13.6%	4.1%	3.5%	5.58	5.63	-0.9
2028	27	MLB CTX	ARI	30	0	32	135	21	20	4	0%	1.1	15.5%	14.7%	0.8%	3.1%	5.71	5.72	-0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	ARI	48	0	50	211	34	30	7	0%	1.0	15.9%	14.3%	1.5%	3.2%	5.66	5.70	-0.6
2030	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53	0	56	236	42	32	8	0%	1.1	17.9%	13.4%	4.5%	3.3%	5.52	5.48	-0.6
2031	30	MLB CTX	ARI	56	0	59	249	44	34	9	0%	1.1	17.7%	13.6%	4.1%	3.5%	5.58	5.63	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		187	0	197	831	141	116	27	0%	1.1	17.0%	13.9%	3.0%	3.3%	5.60	5.24	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	143	118	27	0%	1.1	17.0%	13.9%	3.0%	3.3%	5.60	5.24	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		106	41	258	1203	198	162	34	39%	2.4	16.5%	13.5%	3.0%	2.8%	6.36	4.98	-4.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	32	200	934	154	126	27	39%	2.4	16.5%	13.5%	3.0%	2.8%	6.36	4.98	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Casey Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.84	14.8%	15.4%	3.0%	—	5.64	16.4%	2.2%	249	-0.20	—	—	—
Jesús Reyes R 2019 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	15.9%	15.7%	3.6%	.283	5.11	17.5%	5.6%	118	-0.60	3.85	554	80
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	80
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	79
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	79
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	79
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	78
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	78
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	78
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	77
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	77
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	77
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	76
Ricky Salinas R 2022 · 5.79 FIP	26	SU	5.79	14.3%	15.1%	3.6%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	274	76
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	76
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.55	20.8%	9.1%	172	-1.27	2.64	280	76
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	75
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	75
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	75
Endrys Briceno R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	26	SU	4.76	14.0%	13.2%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	303	75
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	79	16.4%	14.3%	1.24	5.66
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Doug Capilla ('76-'81, 1 WAR*)	1.5	73	20.1%*	13.5%*	0.98*	4.78*