AJ Salgado — OGILVIE

AJ Salgado3B St. Lucie Mets

Age 24 L/R 6'3" / 220 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION227 act + 151 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .273 / .315

PA151

HR3

K%32

BB%8

BABIP278

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT29

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	85	74	19	6	0	1	8	24	1	6	1	257	337	378	716	122	353	28	9	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	85	72	19	5	0	1	10	19	1	6	1	264	361	375	736	111	333	22	12	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A	NYM	—	227	202	39	6	2	6	19	78	4	8	2	193	276	332	607	139	275	34	8	274	68	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
YTD	24	A	NYM	—	227	195	47	7	3	8	26	55	4	8	2	241	342	431	773	190	291	24	11	343	120	+5	+1	+0	+1	+6	1.4
ROS	24	A	NYM	0%	151	136	27	5	1	3	12	48	2	4	1	198	273	315	588	117	272	32	8	271	65	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	NYM	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	261	58	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	24	A	NYM	—	227	203	39	6	2	6	19	78	4	8	2	192	276	330	606	138	273	34	8	274	68	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
TOT	24	A	NYM	—	378	338	66	11	3	9	31	126	6	12	3	195	274	325	600	130	276	33	8	273	67	-14	+1	+0	+1	+11	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYM	30%	275	247	51	9	2	7	23	84	3	5	1	206	282	344	626	138	275	31	8	278	71	-9	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2028	26	MLB	NYM	44%	343	308	63	11	2	9	28	103	4	7	2	205	279	341	620	136	277	30	8	282	74	-10	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.1
2029	27	MLB	NYM	49%	371	332	68	12	2	9	31	110	5	7	2	205	283	334	617	130	277	30	8	284	76	-10	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.2
2027	25	MLB	NYM	30%	83	75	16	3	1	2	7	25	1	2	0	213	289	360	649	147	275	30	8	269	64	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	NYM	44%	151	135	28	5	1	4	13	45	2	3	1	207	287	348	635	141	277	30	9	272	67	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	NYM	49%	182	163	34	6	1	5	15	54	2	4	1	209	283	350	633	141	277	30	8	275	68	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	416	374	78	14	3	11	35	124	5	9	2	209	286	350	636	142	278	30	8	273	67	-16	+1	+0	+1	+12	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	122	22	5	17	55	194	8	14	3	209	287	351	638	142	279	30	8	273	67	-24	+2	+0	+2	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	1225	1097	228	43	7	29	102	369	15	29	7	208	284	339	623	131	281	30	8	283	75	-35	+3	+0	+4	+35	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	121	23	4	15	54	196	8	15	4	208	284	338	623	131	283	30	8	283	75	-19	+1	+0	+2	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	85	72	19	5	0	1	10	19	1	6	1	264	361	375	736	111	333	22	12	329	110	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	576	14	11	206	279	339	+2	+1	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	16	13	206	279	339	+2.4	+1.2	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
AJ Salgado (OGILVIE)	24	29	44	52	52	195/274/325	130	276	9	12	33%	8%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→33	48→50	48→45	41	208/270/346	139	295	16	9	34%	8%	70	-0.3	191/264/322	131	292	14	9	37%	9%	61	-1.0	170/251/298	128	263	13	7	38%	9%	50	-1.4
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→37	43→60	54→50	48	193/272/304	111	262	10	14	29%	9%	60	-1.0	191/270/313	122	269	12	13	31%	9%	62	-0.9	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→36	40→45	48→45	45	201/279/294	93	296	8	12	32%	9%	60	-1.0	209/277/348	139	270	16	8	28%	8%	73	-0.1	196/269/342	145	244	18	6	27%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	40→37	42→50	47→55	38	194/256/300	106	290	9	11	35%	6%	52	-1.6	186/249/308	122	277	12	13	36%	6%	52	-1.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→44	44→55	51→45	42	209/269/330	121	281	12	9	29%	7%	65	-0.7	226/282/380	154	300	19	5	30%	6%	84	+0.6	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Jose Brizuela 2017 · A	24	41→40	46→50	43→45	42	208/270/340	132	285	14	5	32%	7%	68	-0.5	211/263/322	111	297	11	5	31%	6%	59	-1.1	162/194/241	79	211	11	0	29%	4%	7	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Tanner Allen 2022 · A	24	40	42→50	44→45	43	202/256/306	104	251	10	7	24%	6%	53	-1.5	204/260/310	106	250	10	7	22%	6%	56	-1.3	201/260/306	105	244	11	7	22%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	44	45	53→50	46	214/287/339	125	300	12	9	31%	9%	76	+0.0	205/272/318	113	301	11	13	33%	8%	63	-0.8	180/251/281	101	265	11	16	34%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	41→37	47→50	48→30	48	203/285/346	142	287	14	4	33%	10%	76	+0.1	221/289/340	119	298	12	5	28%	9%	76	+0.0	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→36	43→50	48→45	44	203/282/318	115	297	11	7	33%	8%	68	-0.5	193/294/347	154	320	18	5	41%	11%	82	+0.5	177/286/336	158	296	20	3	43%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Carter Williams 2022 · A	24	42	45	49→45	35	213/243/339	126	285	12	9	30%	4%	56	-1.3	228/273/355	127	301	14	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	227/276/351	124	295	15	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	37	47→45	47→50	37	190/259/319	130	282	15	12	37%	6%	59	-1.1	199/266/320	121	289	13	12	34%	6%	62	-0.9	177/247/292	116	250	14	12	34%	5%	43	-1.0