AJ Salgado

3B St. Lucie Mets
Age 25 L/R 6'3" / 220 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202523ANYM85.264/.361/.3751674—.227/.301/.320
202624ANYM235.236/.335/.4198958—.189/.262/.325
2027PROJMLE25MLBNYM285.193/.263/.3106662-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBNYM44.190/.260/.3061164-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Max EV89
K%54
BB%41
Z-Con%36
Whiff%33
Chase%24
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsJackson Cluff (age 24) · Jacob Wetzel (age 24) · Cole Cummings (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 113 proj PA
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .261 / .307
PA113
HR2
K%30
BB%7
ISO117
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 42
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT31
scouting grade only
POWER42
scouting grade only
EYE47
scouting grade only
SPEED53
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202523 ASt. Lucie Mets — 8572 19501 10191 61 264361375736 111333 2212 329 74 — — — — — —
202624 ASt. Lucie Mets — 235203 48738 26574 93 236335419753 182286 2411 335 58 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202523 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 8575 17401 7241 61 227301320621 93299 288 278 74 — — — — — —
202624 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 235212 40536 17784 93 189262325587 137252 337 254 58 — — — — — —
202523 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 8575 17401 7241 61 227301320621 93308 288 278 74 — — — — — —
202523 A RAWSt. Lucie Mets — 8572 19501 10191 61 264361375736 111333 2212 329 74 — — — — — —
202624 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 235212 40536 17784 93 189262325587 137262 337 254 58 — — — — — —
202624 A RAWSt. Lucie Mets — 235203 48738 26574 93 236335419753 182286 2411 335 58 — — — — — —
202523 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 8577 17401 7241 61 221301312613 91299 288 278 74 — — — — — —
202624 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 235212 40536 17784 93 189262325587 137252 337 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202523 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 8577 17401 7241 61 221301312613 91299 288 278 74 — — — — — —
202624 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 235212 40536 17784 93 189262325587 137252 337 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLENYM 0% 285259 50926 21863 61 193263310573 117260 307 259 62 -13 +1 +0 +1 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLENYM 30% 146132 26513 11432 31 196265314580 119262 298 262 64 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202826 MLB CTXNYM 30% 4441 7101 3130 10 190260306567 116253 307 257 64 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4441 7101 3130 10 171227268496 98222 307 257 63 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650606 10415015 441920 150 172228271498 99223 307 257 63 -28 +3 +0 +2 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 579522 10217512 431798 206 195267316583 121267 317 261 63 -12 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 11419613 482019 227 195266314580 119266 317 261 63 -29 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASt. Lucie Mets · 235 PAwOBA .328 → .254 (−74)K% 24.3% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.26%÷1.000×1.360——32.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.64%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9707.12%
HBP% /PA1.70%—×0.780—×0.9701.29%
Singles /BIP20.55%÷1.000×0.920×1.019×0.97018.68%
Doubles /BIP4.79%÷1.000×0.830×1.019×0.9703.93%
Triples /BIP2.05%÷1.000×0.910×1.019×0.9701.85%
Home runs /BIP5.48%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9704.25%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .328 → .254; ISO .182 → .138; BABIP .286 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASt. Lucie Mets · 85 PAwOBA .329 → .278 (−51)K% 22.4% → 28.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.35%÷1.060×1.360——28.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷0.953×0.690—×0.9808.35%
HBP% /PA1.18%—×0.780—×0.9800.90%
Singles /BIP24.53%÷0.977×0.920×0.980×0.98022.19%
Doubles /BIP9.43%÷0.903×0.830×0.980×0.9808.33%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×0.980×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP1.89%÷0.855×0.800—×0.9801.73%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 112, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .329 → .278; ISO .111 → .099; BABIP .333 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).