Jakob Christian — OGILVIE

Jakob ChristianOF Eugene Emeralds

Age 23 R/R 6'5" / 232 lbs A+ HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION199 act + 132 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .258 / .301

PA132

HR3

K%38

BB%7

BABIP281

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	37	31	7	3	0	1	4	12	1	0	0	226	333	419	753	194	316	32	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	37	30	8	4	0	1	5	8	1	0	0	267	389	500	889	233	318	22	14	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	410	365	70	17	1	8	26	170	10	15	2	192	264	310	574	118	316	41	6	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	410	351	98	28	1	14	40	122	10	15	2	279	369	484	853	205	375	30	10	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	SF	—	199	176	29	8	0	6	15	95	6	1	1	165	254	312	566	148	299	48	8	240	42	-13	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.9
YTD	23	A+	SF	—	199	168	42	13	0	8	23	68	6	1	1	250	360	470	831	220	362	34	12	366	138	+9	-0	+0	-1	+6	1.3
ROS	23	A+	SF	0%	132	119	22	5	0	3	9	50	3	2	1	184	258	301	559	117	288	38	7	263	60	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
ROS	23	MLB	SF	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						283	0	0	243	45	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	SF	—	200	177	29	8	0	6	15	95	6	1	1	164	253	311	563	147	295	48	8	240	42	-13	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.9
TOT	23	A+	SF	—	331	295	51	13	0	9	24	145	9	3	2	172	256	308	563	135	290	44	7	249	49	-19	-0	+0	-2	+9	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	SF	30%	422	382	74	17	1	11	30	153	7	6	2	194	265	330	595	136	287	36	7	269	64	-17	+0	+0	-3	+12	-0.8
2028	25	MLB	SF	44%	458	414	81	18	1	12	33	161	8	8	2	196	268	331	599	135	288	35	7	275	68	-16	+1	+0	-3	+13	-0.5
2027	24	MLB	SF	30%	128	116	22	5	0	3	9	46	2	2	1	190	260	310	570	121	282	36	7	251	50	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2028	25	MLB	SF	44%	203	183	36	8	1	5	15	71	3	3	1	197	269	333	602	137	282	35	7	257	55	-10	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	332	300	58	13	1	8	24	117	5	5	2	193	264	323	588	130	282	35	7	255	53	-18	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	113	25	2	16	47	229	10	10	4	193	264	324	588	131	280	35	7	255	53	-34	+0	+0	-4	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	1459	1311	254	60	3	35	102	546	29	31	7	194	267	324	591	130	294	37	7	266	62	-63	+3	+0	-9	+41	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	113	27	1	16	45	243	13	14	3	193	266	325	592	132	292	37	7	266	62	-28	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	37	30	8	4	0	1	5	8	1	0	0	267	389	500	889	233	318	22	14	383	151	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	22	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	92	79	24	9	0	4	8	32	3	3	0	304	389	570	959	266	444	35	9	409	171	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2025	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	318	272	74	19	1	10	32	90	7	12	2	272	363	460	823	188	358	28	10	359	133	+12	+2	—	—	+9	2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	332	9	5	199	267	338	-2	+0	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	17	11	199	267	338	-4.0	+0.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jakob Christian (OGILVIE)	23	40	45	50	40	172/256/308	135	290	9	3	44%	7%	49	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jodd Carter 2019 · AA	23	42→41	45	46→45	41	209/266/325	116	286	13	9	31%	6%	63	-0.9	215/286/351	136	293	16	9	30%	8%	78	+0.2	203/288/353	150	269	20	9	31%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	40	43→45	51→55	40	193/267/298	105	296	11	13	36%	7%	56	-1.3	203/272/299	96	311	8	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	170/253/239	69	277	4	11	36%	9%	33	-0.6
✕Eudy Pina 2014 · A	23	39→48	47→45	53→55	41	198/266/340	143	281	13	12	33%	7%	67	-0.5	225/271/336	111	318	9	9	30%	5%	66	-0.6	233/271/326	93	327	6	8	30%	4%	61	-0.7
✕Jacob Heyward 2019 · A	23	41→40	46→50	44→50	44	203/278/332	129	294	14	10	34%	8%	69	-0.4	194/283/334	140	302	16	9	38%	10%	73	-0.1	164/256/304	140	259	19	5	42%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Chuckie Jones 2015 · A	23	40→41	46→50	46→50	37	203/259/327	124	304	15	10	37%	6%	60	-1.0	214/271/337	123	297	13	9	31%	7%	68	-0.5	196/257/318	122	248	12	2	26%	7%	52	-0.5
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A	23	42	45→50	50	38	204/261/333	129	310	11	8	36%	6%	63	-0.9	221/267/351	130	335	15	5	37%	5%	69	-0.4	222/262/357	135	329	19	1	37%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Tyler Marincov 2015 · A	23	42→43	45→50	50	40	205/266/335	129	300	12	11	34%	7%	65	-0.7	206/258/321	115	293	11	9	32%	6%	58	-1.2	186/242/325	140	271	18	10	37%	6%	51	-1.2
✕John Schuknecht 2017 · A	23	44	47→55	48→50	39	216/273/356	140	304	13	11	32%	6%	73	-0.1	172/242/264	92	281	9	6	39%	7%	37	-2.6	116/198/186	69	192	9	3	42%	7%	-3	-3.5
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Devin Shines 2013 · A	24	42	44→50	50	37	211/263/328	117	296	12	11	32%	5%	62	-0.9	198/251/296	98	285	9	9	32%	6%	48	-1.9	155/208/229	74	220	6	7	31%	6%	11	-1.5
✕Brandon Sizemore 2010 · A	23	42	46→50	54→50	39	212/273/349	137	293	13	12	31%	6%	72	-0.2	205/254/321	116	278	12	7	29%	5%	56	-1.3	177/216/288	111	225	14	3	28%	4%	29	-1.1
✕Jose Peroza 2023 · A	23	44	43→45	49→45	41	211/277/323	112	310	11	5	34%	7%	66	-0.6	217/284/347	130	334	14	5	37%	7%	76	+0.1	204/277/347	143	319	16	4	38%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	38→44	43→50	51→50	36	193/240/300	106	271	10	12	32%	4%	44	-2.1	214/254/347	133	278	15	9	28%	4%	63	-0.9	221/261/363	142	287	15	7	28%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	39→38	47→50	54→55	43	198/273/336	137	281	14	17	33%	8%	69	-0.4	191/270/311	120	270	12	17	32%	8%	62	-0.9	168/253/270	102	226	10	19	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	37→41	45	49→50	43	189/270/308	118	271	12	12	33%	8%	61	-1.0	193/264/305	112	280	12	14	33%	7%	57	-1.2	182/251/287	106	263	12	14	34%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	39	46→50	51→50	38	199/250/328	129	280	15	11	34%	6%	56	-1.3	200/251/341	141	277	15	11	32%	5%	61	-1.0	192/239/333	141	232	19	10	27%	5%	51	-1.1
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A	23	43	43→45	54→60	45	205/286/312	107	309	10	15	34%	9%	68	-0.5	194/278/311	117	294	12	22	35%	9%	65	-0.7	176/267/290	113	262	13	29	35%	9%	53	-0.7
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Bubba Starling 2016 · AA	23	43→46	47→45	49→50	37	214/264/350	135	301	14	10	33%	5%	68	-0.5	195/238/314	119	278	12	10	33%	5%	47	-1.9	216/254/336	119	279	14	10	27%	4%	56	-0.6
✕D.J. Stewart 2022 · A	23	44	47→50	49→55	41	222/271/350	128	283	15	7	27%	6%	71	-0.3	211/259/336	125	280	14	14	29%	5%	62	-0.9	188/231/317	129	245	14	22	30%	4%	42	-1.1