Jakob Christian — OGILVIE

Jakob ChristianOF Eugene Emeralds

Age 23 R/R 6'5" / 232 lbs A+ HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .296 / .375

PA27

HR0

K%37

BB%7

BABIP282

ISO167

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	San Jose Giants	—	37	30	8	4	0	1	5	8	1	0	0	267	389	500	889	233	318	22	14	383	145	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	22	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	92	79	24	9	0	4	8	32	3	3	0	304	389	570	959	266	444	35	9	409	163	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2025	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	318	272	74	19	1	10	32	90	7	12	2	272	363	460	823	188	358	28	10	359	129	+11	+2	—	—	+7	2.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	37	31	7	3	0	1	4	11	1	0	0	226	333	419	753	194	275	30	11	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	22	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	92	82	18	6	0	3	5	42	3	3	0	220	289	402	691	183	349	46	5	292	84	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	22	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	318	282	55	12	1	6	22	125	7	12	2	195	270	309	579	113	297	39	7	257	60	-15	+2	—	—	+7	-0.7
2024	21	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	37	31	7	3	0	1	4	11	1	0	0	226	333	419	753	194	300	30	11	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	San Jose Giants	—	37	30	8	4	0	1	5	8	1	0	0	267	389	500	889	233	318	22	14	383	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	410	364	73	18	1	9	27	167	10	15	2	201	274	330	604	129	325	41	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	410	351	98	28	1	14	40	122	10	15	2	279	369	484	853	205	375	30	10	370	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	37	32	7	3	0	1	4	11	1	0	0	219	333	406	740	188	275	30	11	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	410	370	73	18	1	9	27	167	10	15	2	197	274	324	599	127	309	41	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	37	32	7	3	0	1	4	11	1	0	0	219	333	406	740	188	275	30	11	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	410	370	73	18	1	9	27	167	10	15	2	197	274	324	599	127	309	41	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	SF	—	224	197	33	9	1	6	18	102	7	1	1	168	261	315	576	147	297	46	8	251	56	-12	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	SF	—	224	186	47	14	1	9	29	73	7	1	1	253	374	484	858	231	358	33	13	377	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	SF	0%	27	24	5	1	0	1	2	10	1	0	0	208	296	375	671	167	288	37	7	270	69	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
TOT	23	A+ MLE	SF	—	251	221	38	10	1	7	20	112	8	1	1	172	265	321	586	149	298	45	8	253	57	-13	-0	+0	-2	+5	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SF	30%	422	379	75	17	2	11	32	149	8	6	2	198	274	340	615	142	286	35	8	277	73	-13	+0	+0	-3	+9	-0.6
2028	25	MLB MLE	SF	44%	458	412	84	19	2	13	35	157	8	7	2	204	279	354	633	150	287	34	8	282	77	-12	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	SF	51%	479	431	89	20	2	14	37	161	8	8	2	206	282	360	641	153	287	34	8	285	79	-12	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	SF	52%	487	437	90	20	2	14	39	162	8	9	2	206	283	357	640	151	287	33	8	286	80	-12	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	SF	30%	128	115	21	5	0	3	10	45	2	2	1	183	260	304	564	122	280	35	8	256	73	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	SF	44%	203	181	36	8	1	5	16	69	4	3	1	199	279	337	616	138	281	34	8	262	77	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	SF	51%	243	218	43	10	1	6	19	82	4	4	1	197	274	335	609	138	281	34	8	265	79	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	SF	52%	255	229	46	10	1	7	20	85	4	5	1	201	277	345	622	144	281	33	8	266	80	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	829	743	146	33	3	21	65	281	14	14	4	197	274	334	608	137	281	34	8	263	76	-22	+1	+0	-5	+18	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	114	26	2	16	51	220	11	11	3	196	273	329	602	134	280	34	8	263	76	-17	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2320	2078	423	98	9	63	176	817	44	45	10	204	280	350	630	147	296	35	8	280	76	-51	+3	+0	-11	+41	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	119	27	3	18	49	229	12	13	3	204	280	354	633	149	297	35	8	280	76	-18	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	831	23	14	204	277	353	-5	+0	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	19	11	-4.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jakob Christian (OGILVIE)	23	40	45	50	40	190/267/327	137	288	8	4	37%	7%	69	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A	23	42	44→50	50	37	205/259/332	127	312	11	8	36%	6%	65	-1.2	226/273/354	128	337	14	5	35%	5%	76	-0.4	233/275/366	133	341	18	1	36%	4%	76	-0.3
✕John Schuknecht 2017 · A	23	44	47→55	48→50	39	216/273/356	140	304	13	11	32%	6%	76	-0.4	172/237/269	97	278	10	6	39%	6%	43	-2.8	118/190/194	76	190	10	3	42%	6%	7	-3.5
✕Tyler Marincov 2015 · A	23	42	46→50	50	40	210/271/350	139	301	13	11	33%	7%	74	-0.5	209/262/328	119	293	12	9	31%	6%	65	-1.2	197/253/328	131	278	16	10	34%	6%	61	-1.1
✕D.J. Stewart 2022 · A	23	44	47→45	49→55	41	222/271/350	128	282	15	7	27%	6%	74	-0.5	210/259/329	119	283	12	14	29%	5%	65	-1.2	187/232/303	117	250	12	22	30%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Jacob Heyward 2019 · A	23	41→40	45	44→50	44	202/276/324	121	289	13	10	33%	8%	71	-0.8	193/283/319	126	292	14	9	36%	10%	73	-0.6	164/259/285	121	253	15	5	39%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	210/284/319	109	280	9	10	27%	8%	72	-0.7	203/288/320	117	266	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.5	197/276/341	144	245	18	22	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Sandro Fabian 2021 · A	23	40→46	44→55	46→45	39	204/261/317	114	276	13	6	30%	6%	63	-1.3	224/265/382	158	260	20	4	22%	4%	80	-0.2	223/272/387	164	251	20	4	20%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Brandon Sizemore 2010 · A	23	42	46→50	54→50	39	212/273/349	137	293	13	12	31%	6%	75	-0.5	205/254/321	116	278	12	7	29%	5%	61	-1.5	177/216/288	111	225	14	3	28%	4%	37	-1.2
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	41	193/269/299	106	293	11	13	36%	8%	63	-1.4	203/273/300	97	309	8	12	34%	8%	64	-1.3	170/256/241	71	275	3	11	36%	10%	43	-0.6
✕Sam Mende 2013 · A	23	43→45	47→45	50	36	218/263/357	139	291	13	14	30%	4%	73	-0.6	201/253/297	96	291	7	12	32%	5%	55	-1.9	144/204/195	51	220	0	7	32%	4%	11	-1.3
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→55	48→55	42	197/259/341	144	266	16	12	32%	7%	68	-1.0	215/261/367	152	281	19	15	30%	5%	75	-0.5	224/265/381	157	284	20	15	28%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→36	49→45	51→50	40	206/276/359	153	273	16	9	30%	6%	79	-0.2	209/284/321	112	285	10	10	29%	6%	74	-0.6	205/292/288	83	272	7	10	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Jeremy Baltz 2014 · A	23	46	47→50	49→45	39	233/279/372	139	298	15	6	27%	5%	82	+0.0	213/284/354	141	291	15	5	31%	6%	80	-0.1	198/275/345	147	267	17	4	31%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Jiandido Tromp 2017 · A	23	39→46	49→50	50→45	37	204/246/355	152	267	16	9	30%	5%	66	-1.1	216/260/340	124	291	12	8	29%	5%	68	-1.0	214/259/325	110	290	10	8	29%	5%	60	-1.1
✕Barrett Barnes 2014 · A	23	43→52	43→45	50	38	212/261/318	106	297	11	13	32%	5%	63	-1.4	221/287/342	121	287	11	14	26%	7%	78	-0.3	229/296/349	120	303	9	12	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Stefan Trosclair 2018 · A	24	43→42	47→50	50	44	216/290/351	135	288	15	9	29%	7%	82	+0.0	215/279/343	128	302	13	7	32%	6%	76	-0.4	203/266/330	127	288	14	4	33%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	44	202/275/339	137	273	14	17	30%	8%	74	-0.6	192/271/310	118	266	11	17	30%	8%	66	-1.1	166/252/265	99	226	9	19	29%	8%	47	-1.4
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/284/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	197/291/331	134	305	14	5	37%	10%	79	-0.2	181/287/328	147	281	17	4	38%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	39→42	46→45	49→50	44	198/279/327	130	273	14	12	32%	8%	74	-0.6	194/266/307	113	275	12	14	32%	7%	63	-1.3	180/251/283	102	258	11	14	33%	7%	50	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps