Jackson Castillo

OF Somerset Patriots

Age 24 L/L 5'9" / 195 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AANYY	93	.210/.304/.321	2	1	53	—	.202/.272/.310
2025	22	A+NYY	406	.242/.340/.336	5	21	49	—	.198/.266/.276
2026	23	AANYY	462	.241/.346/.357	9	12	72	—	.219/.301/.311
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBNYY	6	.219/.293/.317	0	0	73	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBNYY	115	.222/.296/.328	2	3	77	-0.1
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBNYY	181	.224/.298/.334	3	4	79	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%90

Chase%79

Whiff%79

K%77

BB%72

wRC+50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 89%

CompsRiver Town (age 24) · Matt Rudick (age 24) · Collin Burns (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .293 / .317

PA6

HR0

K%17

BB%17

BABIP280

ISO98

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	43	38	7	0	0	1	5	16	0	1	0	184	279	263	542	79	286	37	12	256	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	42	29	8	1	1	0	11	10	2	1	0	276	500	379	879	103	421	24	26	416	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	81	70	22	4	2	2	8	15	1	5	1	314	392	514	907	200	364	19	10	389	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	334	270	69	17	1	7	58	65	2	16	5	256	391	404	795	148	307	19	17	359	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	93	81	17	3	0	2	10	21	1	1	0	210	304	321	625	111	254	23	11	286	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	406	351	85	16	1	5	48	81	4	21	1	242	340	336	676	94	299	20	12	310	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	462	395	95	17	1	9	59	90	5	12	2	241	346	357	703	116	288	19	13	322	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	43	40	6	0	0	1	3	22	0	1	0	150	209	225	434	75	271	51	7	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	42	33	7	1	1	0	7	15	2	1	0	212	381	303	684	91	335	36	17	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	81	74	20	3	2	2	4	21	1	5	1	270	316	446	762	176	316	26	5	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	334	290	58	13	1	6	38	92	2	16	5	200	297	314	611	114	261	28	11	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	93	84	17	3	0	2	7	26	1	1	0	202	272	310	581	107	253	28	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	406	369	73	12	1	5	30	108	4	21	1	198	266	276	542	79	259	27	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	462	411	90	15	1	7	43	110	5	12	2	219	301	311	612	92	276	24	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	85	73	12	1	1	1	10	37	2	2	0	164	282	247	529	82	314	44	12	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	85	67	15	1	1	1	16	26	2	2	0	224	388	313	702	90	350	31	19	335	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	415	364	77	16	3	7	42	113	3	21	6	212	298	330	628	118	280	27	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	415	340	91	21	3	9	66	80	3	21	6	268	391	426	818	159	319	19	16	365	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	499	453	89	15	1	6	37	134	5	22	1	196	265	274	538	77	262	27	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	499	432	102	19	1	7	58	102	5	22	1	236	333	333	667	97	291	20	12	306	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	462	411	90	15	1	7	43	110	5	12	2	219	301	311	612	92	279	24	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	462	395	95	17	1	9	59	90	5	12	2	241	346	357	703	116	288	19	13	322	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	85	73	12	1	1	1	10	37	2	2	0	164	282	247	529	82	303	44	12	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	415	367	77	16	3	7	42	113	3	21	6	210	298	327	625	117	272	27	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	499	454	89	15	1	6	37	134	5	22	1	196	265	273	538	77	258	27	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	462	411	90	15	1	7	43	110	5	12	2	219	301	311	612	92	276	24	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	415	367	77	16	3	7	42	113	3	21	6	210	298	327	625	117	272	27	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	499	454	89	15	1	6	37	134	5	22	1	196	265	273	538	77	258	27	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	462	411	90	15	1	7	43	110	5	12	2	219	301	311	612	92	276	24	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	2%	380	342	75	13	1	6	32	93	3	9	1	219	292	313	606	95	280	24	8	276	73	-12	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYY	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	219	293	317	610	98	280	17	17	278	73	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	31%	370	332	73	13	1	6	32	89	3	8	1	221	296	324	619	102	281	24	9	281	77	-10	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	45%	407	365	80	14	1	7	35	98	4	9	1	223	297	330	627	107	282	24	9	284	79	-10	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	49%	420	377	84	15	1	8	36	101	4	9	1	223	297	331	628	108	282	24	9	285	79	-11	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	425	381	84	15	1	8	37	103	4	8	1	222	296	330	627	108	281	24	9	284	78	-11	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	31%	115	103	22	4	0	2	10	28	1	3	0	222	296	328	624	106	281	24	9	283	77	-3	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	45%	181	161	36	6	1	3	16	44	2	4	1	224	298	334	632	110	282	24	9	286	79	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	49%	207	185	42	7	1	4	18	50	2	4	1	224	298	336	634	112	281	24	9	287	79	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	219	196	44	8	1	4	19	53	2	4	1	223	297	335	632	112	281	24	9	286	78	-6	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	722	645	144	25	3	13	63	175	7	15	3	223	299	332	631	109	284	24	9	286	72	-19	+2	-0	-4	+16	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	131	23	3	12	57	158	6	14	3	225	302	337	639	112	287	24	9	286	72	-17	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3403	3043	652	115	11	55	299	863	33	98	14	214	292	314	605	99	278	25	9	274	72	-52	+6	-1	-12	+42	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	125	22	2	11	57	165	6	19	3	215	291	317	608	102	279	25	9	274	72	-18	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	728	13	15	223	294	331	-4	+0	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	12	14	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Castillo (OGILVIE)	24	40	30	55	50	217/290/310	94	280	5	7	24%	8%	73	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	44→40	55→50	47	201/283/322	121	254	11	15	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/303/306	91	265	8	14	20%	9%	77	-0.3	215/311/283	68	261	5	15	18%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→43	39→45	56→50	49	214/280/305	90	268	6	11	22%	8%	67	-1.1	207/291/310	103	258	8	14	22%	8%	74	-0.6	199/293/308	109	249	11	16	23%	10%	71	-0.5
✕Collin Burns 2024 · AA	24	44	39→45	55	42	214/269/299	85	280	6	17	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/262/287	82	281	6	16	28%	6%	56	-1.9	192/249/262	70	263	5	18	27%	5%	42	-1.8
✕Shayne Fontana 2021 · A	24	47	40→45	52→55	45	225/292/328	103	296	6	13	25%	7%	77	-0.3	205/287/313	108	295	10	10	31%	9%	72	-0.7	219/303/314	95	294	10	19	27%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Jeff Duncan 2004 · MLB	25	43→45	41→45	50→60	49	211/285/302	92	270	9	13	24%	8%	69	-0.9	221/288/323	102	285	9	18	24%	8%	74	-0.5	228/294/307	79	296	7	21	24%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2021 · AA	23	43	41→40	51→50	49	207/290/305	98	284	8	18	28%	10%	72	-0.7	201/264/300	99	312	9	11	36%	7%	60	-1.6	148/212/219	71	239	8	8	39%	6%	19	-1.1
✕Jarrod Belbin 2024 · A	24	44	41→40	50	47	213/279/316	103	280	8	12	26%	8%	69	-0.9	215/281/309	94	298	7	10	28%	8%	68	-1.0	209/280/302	93	286	7	10	27%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Travis Swaggerty 2022 · AAA	24	44→46	43→45	52→55	45	216/284/325	108	293	11	16	29%	8%	73	-0.6	215/280/331	116	309	9	19	31%	8%	73	-0.6	210/279/318	108	312	7	20	32%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Jake Thomas 2016 · A	23	43	39→30	49→50	47	207/286/290	82	278	7	8	26%	8%	66	-1.1	204/286/270	66	302	2	8	30%	10%	61	-1.5	198/289/254	57	300	1	8	30%	11%	57	-0.9
✕Gage Green 2017 · A	24	41	40	46→50	40	203/263/289	87	279	8	10	29%	6%	57	-1.8	202/259/289	87	278	7	8	28%	6%	55	-1.9	167/215/228	61	221	0	0	23%	4%	26	-0.7
✕Mitch Longo 2019 · A	24	50→44	41→45	52→50	42	240/288/347	106	310	8	16	25%	6%	79	-0.2	227/276/342	115	296	10	16	25%	6%	74	-0.6	219/267/346	127	281	13	18	26%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Tyler Callihan 2024 · AA	24	43	42→45	55	41	210/263/318	108	284	8	18	28%	6%	63	-1.3	219/281/337	118	311	12	21	31%	7%	75	-0.5	213/281/334	121	303	14	24	32%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Brett Nommensen 2011 · A	24	45	43→40	54→55	49	222/289/335	113	264	10	21	20%	8%	78	-0.3	235/308/332	97	289	7	16	20%	8%	84	+0.1	238/318/327	88	295	5	16	19%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Raynel Delgado 2024 · AAA	24	46→56	40	49→60	46	220/288/314	94	300	8	16	28%	8%	72	-0.7	240/303/337	97	326	8	29	27%	7%	82	+0.0	241/303/332	91	322	6	36	25%	7%	79	-0.2
✕JT Schwartz 2024 · AA	24	48→47	41→45	49→45	45	230/288/332	101	292	7	6	23%	6%	76	-0.4	216/286/330	114	268	10	6	22%	8%	76	-0.4	198/274/314	115	245	11	5	23%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Conner Capel 2021 · AAA	24	44→48	43→45	47→55	41	217/267/327	110	288	11	11	28%	6%	67	-1.1	226/290/353	127	283	13	15	24%	8%	82	+0.0	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Gabe Holt 2022 · AA	24	52→54	35→30	52→50	55	241/322/300	59	291	3	12	17%	10%	82	-0.0	214/268/276	62	249	3	12	14%	6%	55	-1.9	188/225/225	37	210	0	14	10%	4%	24	-2.2
✕Patrick Biondi 2015 · A	24	44	36→30	50→60	45	210/268/277	67	279	3	15	25%	7%	55	-1.9	229/282/293	64	305	3	25	24%	6%	64	-1.3	235/292/289	54	313	2	32	24%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Justin Toerner 2021 · AA	24	45→40	43→40	47→50	47	217/303/322	105	307	11	12	31%	10%	80	-0.1	189/281/292	103	282	11	9	34%	9%	66	-1.1	163/265/260	97	242	11	9	34%	10%	52	-1.1
✕Austin Krum 2010 · AA	24	50→52	38→40	51→50	47	233/301/322	89	309	4	11	25%	8%	78	-0.3	232/296/307	75	298	4	16	22%	8%	73	-0.6	233/296/299	65	295	3	18	21%	7%	68	-0.9

Jackson Castillo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps