Yunior Tur
P
Las Vegas Aviators
+0.8
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'6" / 208 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 1.0 · 2026
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.0%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%9.8%
IP106
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 21 | 1 | 37 | 183 | 53 | 24 | 5 | 22.4% | 16.0% | 4.5% | 6.03 | 5.68 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Stockton Ports | 27 | 10 | 90 | 398 | 92 | 35 | 10 | 17.1% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.56 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 30 | 26 | 126 | 531 | 130 | 60 | 7 | 19.7% | 12.6% | 1.6% | 3.29 | 3.89 | +2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 5 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 19 | 106 | 446 | 94 | 50 | 11 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 2.5% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +1.0 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 114 | 478 | 103 | 51 | 11 | 21.5% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 4.18 | 4.18 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 20 | 20 | 109 | 460 | 97 | 50 | 12 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.49 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 20 | 20 | 109 | 461 | 98 | 50 | 12 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 4.48 | 4.50 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 19 | 107 | 451 | 95 | 48 | 12 | 21.1% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.53 | +0.9 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 19 | 104 | 437 | 92 | 47 | 12 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.58 | +0.8 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 18 | 18 | 100 | 422 | 87 | 46 | 12 | 20.7% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.66 | +0.7 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 17 | 96 | 405 | 83 | 44 | 12 | 20.4% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.69 | 4.74 | +0.6 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 17 | 92 | 387 | 78 | 43 | 12 | 20.1% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.84 | +0.4 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 16 | 16 | 87 | 368 | 73 | 42 | 11 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.88 | 4.95 | +0.2 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 82 | 347 | 67 | 40 | 11 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 5.00 | 5.07 | +0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 77 | 324 | 68 | 36 | 11 | 20.9% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 4.96 | 4.94 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 83 | 37 | 261 | 1144 | 223 | 138 | 28 | 19.5% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 4.13 | 4.33 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 28 | 200 | 876 | 171 | 106 | 21 | 19.5% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 4.13 | 4.33 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yunior Tur (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 2.5% | — | 4.51 | 21.2% | 10.4% | 325 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Trent Sellers R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.51 | 21.8% | 13.3% | 2.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 178 | 86 |
| Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.79 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.90 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 92 | +1.11 | 3.79 | 223 | 86 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.98 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .315 | 5.24 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.26 | 3.98 | 115 | 84 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.30 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.8% | .336 | 5.70 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +1.40 | 4.30 | 144 | 84 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.81 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.19 | 308 | 83 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.88 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .280 | 3.12 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.76 | 3.12 | 178 | 83 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.35 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .285 | 4.28 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | -0.07 | 4.28 | 448 | 82 |
| Kevin Abel R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.51 | 17.8% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.78 | 15.1% | -7.3% | 13 | +1.27 | 4.50 | 352 | 82 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.46 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 195 | 82 |
| Yariel Rodríguez R 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .275 | 3.86 | 22.1% | 11.7% | 73 | +0.10 | 3.76 | 180 | 81 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.78 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 3.9% | .262 | 3.93 | 22.1% | 13.0% | 127 | -0.85 | 3.50 | 472 | 81 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.43 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .393 | 4.26 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | -0.17 | 4.26 | 166 | 80 |
| R.J. Gordon R 2023 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 129 | 80 |
| Alex Wimmers R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.68 | 16.6% | 9.7% | 1.4% | .324 | 3.69 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 114 | +0.01 | 3.62 | 230 | 80 |
| Tim Atherton R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.77 | 16.2% | 8.6% | 1.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 101 | 80 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.80 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .325 | 4.62 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.82 | 3.80 | 500 | 80 |
| Adam Quintana R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.72 | 201 | 79 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.9% | .285 | 4.91 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.25 | 3.81 | 420 | 79 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.57 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.4% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.30 | 3.27 | 339 | 79 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .331 | 5.58 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.73 | 3.85 | 141 | 79 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.0 | $8M | +$8M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $1M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.5M |
| Totals | $7M | $24M | +$17M | ||