Simon Leandro — OGILVIE

Simon Leandro P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 171 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 19 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%20.3%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%7.2%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	14	0	28	119	25	7	0	0%	2.0	14.3%	7.4%	6.9%	0.0%	4.18	2.83	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	14	0	28	119	25	7	0	0%	2.0	21.0%	5.9%	15.1%	0.0%	4.18	2.06	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	5	42	194	38	27	0	31%	2.6	12.4%	16.7%	-4.3%	0.0%	5.36	4.17	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	5	42	194	38	27	0	31%	2.6	12.4%	16.7%	-4.3%	0.0%	5.36	4.17	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	5	42	194	38	27	0	31%	2.6	19.6%	13.9%	5.7%	0.0%	5.36	3.22	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	37	155	31	18	2	0%	1.5	15.6%	14.4%	1.3%	2.4%	5.30	4.89	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	37	155	31	18	2	0%	1.5	15.6%	14.4%	1.3%	2.4%	5.30	4.89	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	37	155	31	18	2	0%	1.5	20.0%	11.6%	8.4%	1.3%	5.30	3.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	BAL	18	0	19	80	16	10	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	13.0%	7.2%	3.0%	5.04	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	BAL	32	0	34	142	30	18	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.6%	8.2%	3.0%	4.95	4.94	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	BAL	13	0	14	59	12	7	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.6%	8.2%	3.0%	4.95	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	13	8	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.6%	8.2%	3.0%	4.95	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	111	28	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.6%	8.2%	3.0%	4.95	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		55	5	107	468	65	63	4	9%	2.0	13.9%	13.5%	0.4%	0.8%	5.03	4.07	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		102	9	200	872	122	118	7	9%	2.0	13.9%	13.5%	0.4%	0.8%	5.03	4.07	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Simon Leandro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	20.3%	13.0%	3.0%	—	4.94	20.8%	8.2%	34	-0.10	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	90
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	86
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	86
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	84
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	84
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	84
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	83
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	83
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	83
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	82
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	82
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	82
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	81
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	81
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	81
Sean Wymer R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	25	SU	4.71	18.2%	14.1%	2.5%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	4.18	188	81
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	81
Will Latcham R 2021 · 4.30 FIP	25	SU	4.30	18.8%	11.5%	2.4%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	134	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.6%	12.8%	1.14	4.98
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27