Cade Denton
P
Hartford Yard Goats
Age 24
RHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
K%20.8%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 115 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 10 | 49 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.5% | 6.1% | 18.4% | 2.0% | 10.80 | 2.93 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 0 | 10 | 49 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.5% | 6.1% | 18.4% | 2.0% | 10.80 | 2.90 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 1.1% | 3.63 | 3.36 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.3% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 1.2% | 3.63 | 2.92 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 42 | 0 | 51 | 224 | 63 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 3.73 | 4.83 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 42 | 0 | 51 | 224 | 63 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 7.6% | 20.5% | 3.6% | 3.73 | 3.67 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 29 | 2 | 48 | 219 | 43 | 22 | 6 | 7% | 1.7 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.62 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | COL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 59 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.59 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | COL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | COL | — | — | 115 | 503 | 102 | 47 | 15 | — | — | 20.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 4.74 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | COL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | COL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 62 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | COL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 63 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | COL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 62 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.49 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | COL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | COL | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 41 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | COL | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 48 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 0 | 129 | 543 | 118 | 47 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.10 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 73 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 113 | 2 | 148 | 663 | 119 | 58 | 20 | 2% | 1.3 | 17.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.35 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 152 | 3 | 200 | 894 | 160 | 79 | 27 | 2% | 1.3 | 17.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.35 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cade Denton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 20.8% | 8.9% | 3.2% | — | 4.48 | 21.7% | 13.0% | 203 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 93 |
| Mark McLaughlin R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.28 | 20.6% | 8.3% | 3.4% | .280 | 4.38 | 15.5% | 5.5% | 20 | +0.10 | 4.28 | 195 | 91 |
| Roman Mendez R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 90 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 89 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 89 |
| Breckin Williams R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.74 | 22.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .282 | 2.79 | 23.4% | 15.8% | 48 | -0.95 | 2.72 | 107 | 89 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 89 |
| Matt Pierpont R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 17.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | .295 | 3.14 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 190 | -1.53 | 2.66 | 280 | 88 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 88 |
| Micah Dallas R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.96 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .273 | 3.95 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 80 | -0.01 | 3.57 | 178 | 88 |
| J.R. Graham R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .317 | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 61 | -0.83 | 3.30 | 125 | 88 |
| Kaleb Fontenot R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.44 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% | .264 | 3.56 | 14.7% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.88 | 3.56 | 155 | 88 |
| Bryan Pope R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .332 | 5.00 | 12.7% | -0.3% | 22 | +1.13 | 3.87 | 148 | 88 |
| Mick VanVossen R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.41 | 18.6% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 141 | 87 |
| Landon Beck R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .309 | 4.11 | 17.4% | 8.7% | 63 | +0.14 | 3.54 | 186 | 87 |
| Randall Delgado R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .284 | 3.71 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | +0.14 | 3.05 | 290 | 87 |
| Shay Schanaman R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.86 | 21.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | .292 | 6.38 | 16.2% | 2.1% | 69 | +1.52 | 4.86 | 127 | 87 |
| Cole Ayers R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.1% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .298 | 5.00 | 15.2% | -0.4% | 32 | +1.14 | 3.52 | 171 | 87 |
| Trey McLoughlin R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.89 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .295 | 4.73 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 95 | +0.84 | 3.78 | 217 | 87 |
| Silvino Bracho R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.96 | 20.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .316 | 3.65 | 29.0% | 20.6% | 121 | -0.31 | 2.49 | 395 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |