John Stankiewicz

John Stankiewicz P Erie SeaWolves

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 230 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.21

FIP5.21

K%15.7%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%4.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	5	25	106	30	9	0	62%	3.2	18.5%	9.8%	8.7%	0.0%	2.84	2.78	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	5	25	106	30	9	0	62%	3.2	28.3%	8.5%	19.8%	0.0%	2.84	1.80	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	14	65	272	68	21	5	93%	4.3	18.9%	8.9%	10.0%	2.4%	4.18	3.97	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	14	65	272	68	21	5	93%	4.3	25.0%	7.7%	17.3%	1.8%	4.18	2.98	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	37	0	67	263	66	15	7	0%	1.8	19.3%	6.6%	12.8%	2.9%	3.10	3.91	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	37	0	67	263	66	15	7	0%	1.8	19.3%	6.6%	12.8%	2.9%	3.10	3.91	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	37	0	67	263	66	15	7	0%	1.8	25.1%	5.7%	19.4%	2.7%	3.10	3.16	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	62	260	53	14	6	0%	1.4	15.8%	6.1%	9.7%	3.4%	4.23	4.40	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	62	260	53	14	6	0%	1.4	15.8%	6.1%	9.7%	3.4%	4.23	4.40	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	43	0	62	260	53	14	6	0%	1.4	20.4%	5.4%	15.0%	2.3%	4.23	3.33	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	1	56	240	55	29	4	2%	1.3	16.6%	12.6%	4.0%	2.3%	4.50	4.56	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	1	56	240	55	29	4	2%	1.3	16.6%	12.6%	4.0%	2.3%	4.50	4.56	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	1	56	240	55	29	4	2%	1.3	22.9%	12.1%	10.8%	1.7%	4.50	3.62	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	7	0	10	50	12	5	2	0%	1.4	19.4%	11.0%	8.4%	4.8%	7.45	5.49	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	7	0	10	50	12	5	2	0%	1.4	19.4%	11.0%	8.4%	4.8%	7.45	5.49	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	DET	7	0	10	50	12	5	2	0%	1.4	24.0%	10.0%	14.0%	4.0%	7.45	4.54	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	DET	5	0	5	23	4	3	1	0%	1.1	15.7%	11.5%	4.2%	2.9%	5.21	5.21	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	DET	—	—	15	73	16	8	3	—	—	21.4%	10.5%	10.9%	3.7%	6.65	5.39	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	DET	55	0	58	244	40	28	7	0%	1.0	16.4%	11.4%	4.9%	3.0%	5.17	5.21	-0.4
2028	29	MLB MLE	DET	52	0	55	233	39	27	7	0%	1.1	16.6%	11.5%	5.1%	3.2%	5.20	5.27	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	DET	21	0	22	93	15	11	3	0%	1.0	16.4%	11.4%	4.9%	3.0%	5.17	5.21	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	DET	30	0	31	131	22	15	4	0%	1.0	16.6%	11.5%	5.1%	3.2%	5.20	5.27	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	221	37	25	7	0%	1.0	16.5%	11.5%	5.1%	3.1%	5.19	4.87	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	141	95	27	0%	1.1	16.5%	11.5%	5.1%	3.1%	5.19	4.87	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		154	20	284	1191	212	104	31	13%	1.8	17.8%	8.7%	9.1%	2.6%	3.99	4.13	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	14	200	839	150	73	22	13%	1.8	17.8%	8.7%	9.1%	2.6%	3.99	4.13	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
John Stankiewicz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	15.7%	11.5%	2.9%	—	5.24	16.5%	5.0%	113	+0.03	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	90
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	88
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	88
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	86
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	86
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	85
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	84
David Goforth R 2016 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	14.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.333	4.52	13.9%	4.6%	122	-0.16	3.98	256	83
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	83
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	83
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	83
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	83
Tucker Healy R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	15.6%	11.5%	2.0%	.321	5.20	19.2%	8.7%	24	+0.87	2.82	174	83
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	83
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	83
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	83
Kyle McMyne R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	12.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	181	82
Chris Beck R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	27	SU	4.82	17.4%	12.2%	3.0%	.305	5.28	18.1%	9.3%	41	+0.46	3.22	313	82
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	82
Chris Jefferson R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	16.6%	11.8%	2.3%	.333	5.65	16.4%	2.8%	46	+1.20	3.53	140	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	16.2%	11.5%	1.17	5.19
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74