Joey Gartrell

P Greenville Drive

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	17	7	41	6.20	4.03	21.8%	16.6%	—	K 14.5% · BB 21.1% · FIP 5.48
2026	23	MIX2 levels	34	0	68	5.32	4.81	22.9%	12.4%	—	K 17.2% · BB 14.4% · FIP 5.89
2027PROJ	24	MLBBOS	38	0	40	5.71	5.71	17.4%	15.1%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBBOS	26	0	27	5.43	5.33	18.9%	13.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBBOS	39	0	41	5.27	5.21	19.8%	13.0%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsBrett Lockwood (age 24) · Hayden Snelsire (age 23) · Jake Johansen (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 125

ERA5.71

FIP5.71

K%17.4%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%2.3%

Proj IP40

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	7	41	193	42	32	2	41%	2.4	14.5%	21.1%	-6.6%	1.7%	6.20	5.48	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	7	41	193	42	32	2	41%	2.4	14.5%	21.1%	-6.6%	1.7%	6.20	5.48	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	7	41	193	42	32	2	41%	2.4	21.8%	16.6%	5.2%	1.0%	6.20	4.03	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	68	315	72	39	11	0%	2.0	17.2%	14.4%	2.8%	4.4%	5.32	5.89	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	68	315	72	39	11	0%	2.0	17.2%	14.4%	2.8%	4.4%	5.32	5.89	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	68	315	72	39	11	0%	2.0	22.9%	12.4%	10.5%	3.5%	5.32	4.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	BOS	38	0	40	169	29	26	5	0%	1.1	17.4%	15.1%	2.3%	3.3%	5.71	5.71	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	59	0	62	261	49	35	8	0%	1.0	18.9%	13.3%	5.6%	3.2%	5.43	5.33	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	59	0	62	261	51	34	8	0%	1.0	19.8%	13.0%	6.8%	3.2%	5.27	5.21	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	26	0	27	114	22	15	4	0%	1.0	18.9%	13.3%	5.6%	3.2%	5.43	5.33	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	39	0	41	173	34	22	6	0%	1.1	19.8%	13.0%	6.8%	3.2%	5.27	5.21	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		64	0	68	285	55	37	9	0%	1.1	19.4%	13.1%	6.3%	3.2%	5.33	4.88	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	110	27	0%	1.1	19.4%	13.1%	6.3%	3.2%	5.33	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		51	7	108	508	82	86	17	14%	2.1	16.2%	16.9%	-0.8%	3.4%	5.65	5.73	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	13	200	938	152	159	32	14%	2.1	16.2%	16.9%	-0.8%	3.4%	5.65	5.73	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joey Gartrell (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.71	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	—	5.27	19.3%	6.2%	123	-0.44	—	—	—
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	91
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	90
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	87
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	86
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	86
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	86
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	86
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	85
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	85
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	84
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	84
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	84
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	84
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	84
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	83
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	83
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	83
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	83
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	82
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.54	19.0%	8.4%	155	-0.01	3.33	268	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	18.9%	13.6%	1.24	5.44
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*