Jack Winnay

3B Greenville Drive

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 220 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ASalem Red Sox	61	.321/.400/.434	1	0	91	—	.255/.317/.345
2026	23	AABOS	181	.268/.365/.439	6	0	88	—	.241/.320/.383
2026	23	A+BOS	251	.255/.438/.457	11	0	95	—	.201/.329/.364
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBBOS	2	.240/.329/.402	0	0	104	0.0
2028PROJ42% MLB	25	MLBBOS	155	.241/.329/.404	5	2	104	0.5
2029PROJ62% MLB	26	MLBBOS	251	.242/.329/.404	8	3	104	0.8

Next 3 projected WAR 1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.8M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

K%75

Whiff%74

wRC+72

wOBA71

Chase%68

ISO64

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 10, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 81%

CompsJames Darnell (age 24) · Michael McKenry (age 25) · Justin Foscue (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†104

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .329 / .402

PA2

HR0

K%24

BB%10

BABIP293

ISO154

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$4M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	61	53	17	3	0	1	6	6	1	0	0	321	400	434	834	113	340	10	10	371	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	181	157	42	9	0	6	19	36	5	0	0	268	365	439	804	172	313	20	10	361	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	251	188	48	5	0	11	53	51	8	0	1	255	438	457	895	202	289	20	21	403	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	61	55	14	2	0	1	4	8	1	0	0	255	317	345	662	91	286	13	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	181	162	39	8	0	5	14	44	5	0	0	241	320	383	703	142	290	24	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	251	209	42	4	0	10	32	67	8	0	1	201	329	364	693	163	234	27	13	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	61	55	14	2	0	1	4	8	1	0	0	255	317	345	662	91	277	13	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	61	53	17	3	0	1	6	6	1	0	0	321	400	434	834	113	340	10	10	371	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	432	372	81	12	0	15	45	111	13	0	1	218	323	371	694	153	266	26	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	432	345	90	14	0	17	72	87	13	0	1	261	407	449	856	188	300	20	17	385	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	61	56	14	2	0	1	4	8	1	0	0	250	317	339	656	89	286	13	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	432	371	81	12	0	15	45	111	13	0	1	218	323	372	695	154	257	26	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	61	56	14	2	0	1	4	8	1	0	0	250	317	339	656	89	286	13	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	432	371	81	12	0	15	45	111	13	0	1	218	323	372	695	154	257	26	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	380	333	78	14	1	12	37	92	7	5	1	234	323	394	717	160	283	24	10	321	104	+2	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	240	329	402	730	161	293	0	0	327	104	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	42%	366	321	75	13	1	12	35	88	7	5	1	235	324	396	720	161	284	24	10	322	104	+2	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	62%	404	355	83	15	1	13	39	97	7	5	2	235	324	397	720	161	284	24	10	322	104	+2	+0	+0	+1	+9	1.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	69%	418	368	85	15	1	13	40	101	7	5	2	235	322	394	717	160	284	24	10	321	103	+2	+0	+0	+1	+9	1.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	424	374	86	15	1	13	40	103	7	5	2	233	320	390	710	157	283	24	9	318	101	+1	+0	-1	+2	+9	1.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	419	369	85	15	1	13	40	102	7	4	2	231	317	384	702	153	282	24	10	315	99	-0	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.9
2033	30	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	414	365	83	15	1	12	39	102	7	4	3	228	313	376	689	148	279	25	9	310	96	-2	-0	-2	+1	+9	0.6
2034	31	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	401	355	79	14	1	11	37	101	6	3	5	223	308	365	674	142	276	25	9	303	91	-4	-1	-3	+1	+9	0.2
2035	32	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	384	340	74	13	1	10	35	98	6	2	22	218	302	352	654	134	272	26	9	295	86	-6	-8	-4	+1	+8	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	42%	155	136	32	6	0	5	15	37	3	2	1	241	329	404	733	163	294	24	10	328	104	+1	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	62%	251	220	53	10	1	8	24	60	5	3	1	242	329	404	733	163	294	24	10	328	104	+1	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.8
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	69%	287	252	61	12	1	9	28	69	5	4	1	241	328	402	730	161	294	24	10	326	103	+1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.9
2031	28	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	306	269	65	13	1	9	29	74	5	4	1	240	326	398	724	159	293	24	9	324	101	+1	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.8
2032	29	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	302	265	63	12	1	9	29	74	5	3	2	238	323	392	715	155	292	25	10	320	99	-0	-0	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2033	30	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	298	263	62	12	1	9	28	74	5	3	2	234	319	384	703	150	289	25	9	315	96	-2	-0	-2	+1	+6	0.4
2034	31	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	288	255	59	11	1	8	27	72	4	2	3	230	314	373	687	144	286	25	9	309	91	-3	-1	-2	+1	+6	0.2
2035	32	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	276	245	55	10	1	7	25	71	4	2	16	224	307	360	667	136	281	26	9	301	86	-5	-6	-3	+1	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2163	1905	450	86	7	64	205	531	36	23	27	236	322	390	711	153	292	25	9	318	98	-6	-6	-8	+8	+47	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	135	26	2	19	62	160	11	7	8	236	322	388	711	152	293	25	10	318	98	-2	-2	-2	+2	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4043	3554	810	140	9	123	385	989	74	37	41	228	316	376	692	148	279	24	10	313	98	-5	-9	-10	+13	+77	6.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	130	23	1	20	62	159	12	6	7	228	316	377	692	149	278	24	10	313	98	-1	-2	-2	+2	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeimer Candelariolast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,576 PA	5.4	3,576	110	19	237	316	412	+8	-5	12.7	13.0
/162	664	20	4	+1.6	-0.9	2.4	pk7: 13
#2Daryl Spencer'52-'63 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,206 PA	6.3	4,206	105	13	236*	321*	384*	+30	-4	11.2	11.7
/162	664	17	2	+4.8	-0.6	1.8	pk7: 12
#3Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#4Otto Krueger'01-'05 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,843 PA	2.8	1,843	4	47	238*	321*	384*	+8	+3	6.4	6.4
/162	664	1	17	+3.0	+1.1	2.3	pk7: 6
#5Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	2.5	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
/162	664	24	7	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.3	2,165	66	22	231	313	383	+8	+2	5.4	5.6
/162	664	20	7	+2.4	+0.8	1.7	pk7: 6
#6Bill Brubaker'32-'43 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,755 PA	2.6	1,755	22	13	243*	318*	394*	+5	-2	4.4	5.0
/162	664	8	5	+2.0	-0.6	1.7	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Winnay (OGILVIE)	24	46	50	42	56	232/321/390	158	283	10	4	24%	10%	104	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●James Darnell 2011 · AA	24	50→52	49→55	45→40	52	251/323/402	152	294	16	5	20%	9%	105	+1.7	242/309/408	166	282	19	5	21%	8%	102	+1.5	243/314/429	186	272	24	3	20%	8%	108	+1.1
✕Michael McKenry 2010 · AA	25	44→47	50→55	39→40	49	227/299/384	156	275	17	4	24%	8%	93	+0.8	222/283/356	134	282	14	3	25%	7%	80	-0.1	248/321/426	177	294	23	2	23%	9%	111	+0.8
✕Justin Foscue 2023 · AA	24	46→48	53→55	40→50	46	239/305/417	178	277	21	4	22%	7%	103	+1.6	232/316/389	157	262	16	9	18%	9%	101	+1.4	235/311/400	165	268	19	6	20%	9%	98	+0.8
✕Zach Lutz 2011 · AAA	25	48	51→55	39→30	47	240/313/402	162	305	19	3	27%	8%	102	+1.5	244/315/399	155	334	18	2	30%	8%	102	+1.5	240/314/384	145	333	16	0	31%	9%	96	+0.6
●Devin Mesoraco 2012 · MLB	24	46→50	53→60	42→40	45	239/295/416	177	281	20	3	23%	6%	99	+1.2	237/293/397	160	272	19	3	20%	7%	94	+0.9	235/319/433	198	264	26	1	22%	9%	112	+1.1
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	46→48	53→55	45	50	238/315/406	168	271	22	7	21%	8%	104	+1.6	238/301/417	179	290	25	5	26%	7%	101	+1.4	230/285/405	175	287	26	2	29%	6%	94	+0.6
✕Connor Norby 2024 · AAA	24	48→51	50→55	48→50	44	242/302/398	155	309	17	10	27%	7%	97	+1.1	248/313/406	158	334	18	13	29%	8%	103	+1.5	247/320/404	157	334	17	14	30%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Kyle Parker 2014 · AA	24	48→51	52→55	42→45	44	245/303/407	163	304	20	4	26%	7%	99	+1.3	228/272/352	124	306	13	6	29%	5%	74	-0.5	217/260/330	112	297	12	5	30%	5%	63	-1.0
✕Haydn McGeary 2024 · AA	24	48	47→50	46→45	48	234/313/369	135	313	15	7	28%	9%	95	+0.9	204/272/316	112	311	13	8	36%	8%	67	-1.1	171/234/291	120	258	16	8	39%	7%	47	-1.7
●Khalil Greene 2004 · MLB	24	47→53	51→60	45	45	237/300/403	166	294	18	8	26%	7%	97	+1.1	254/315/425	171	290	18	6	18%	7%	108	+1.9	252/315/425	173	286	18	6	18%	7%	109	+1.7
●Ryan Lavarnway 2011 · AA	23	46	51→55	44→30	44	232/301/393	161	302	19	2	29%	8%	96	+1.0	237/301/389	152	290	18	2	24%	7%	95	+0.9	237/299/380	143	282	17	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Henry Davis 2024 · MLB	24	47	51→50	46→50	49	236/325/396	160	295	19	13	26%	9%	106	+1.8	209/290/352	143	263	18	10	27%	8%	83	+0.1	186/269/319	134	227	18	8	26%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Luis Urías 2022 · MLB	25	48→58	52→55	47→45	53	247/331/420	173	289	20	7	22%	10%	113	+2.3	227/323/375	148	273	17	5	22%	10%	101	+1.4	212/315/343	131	259	15	4	23%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Chris Gimenez 2008 · AA	25	40→50	52→50	41→45	45	215/292/384	169	257	21	5	25%	7%	91	+0.7	232/307/373	141	297	16	4	26%	9%	93	+0.8	230/308/359	129	296	14	2	25%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Nick Hundley 2008 · AA	24	41→45	50→55	39→40	45	214/272/365	151	255	17	3	24%	7%	78	-0.3	223/279/378	155	271	18	4	24%	7%	84	+0.1	252/317/421	169	318	16	4	25%	8%	108	+1.0
✕Brett Harris 2023 · AA	25	47→52	50→45	47→50	47	242/307/397	155	287	19	11	22%	7%	99	+1.2	240/317/364	124	289	13	10	21%	8%	95	+1.0	237/320/349	113	286	11	10	20%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44→45	49→50	44→45	46	224/292/371	148	289	17	7	28%	8%	87	+0.4	217/297/370	153	284	16	5	28%	8%	89	+0.5	213/299/370	157	281	17	4	29%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	44→45	52→55	44→40	40	232/283/398	167	288	20	4	27%	5%	91	+0.6	212/258/336	124	293	14	3	32%	5%	66	-1.1	216/302/377	161	281	21	0	29%	10%	94	+0.4
●Alec Bohm 2021 · MLB	24	54→56	48→50	44→45	50	266/326/414	148	308	15	6	19%	8%	109	+2.0	262/313/382	120	319	12	6	21%	7%	97	+1.1	273/325/420	147	304	15	4	15%	6%	111	+2.0
●Adley Rutschman 2022 · AAA	24	47→54	49→50	41→40	52	239/316/389	149	280	17	5	21%	9%	100	+1.3	252/340/410	158	285	17	4	17%	11%	114	+2.4	253/342/408	155	280	18	2	16%	11%	115	+2.5

Jack Winnay

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps