Railin Familia

C DSL LAD Mega

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 186 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ROKDSL LAD Mega	107	.284/.431/.407	2	4	59	—	.195/.314/.264
2025	20	ROKDSL LAD Mega	120	.202/.331/.293	1	5	7	—	.106/.212/.135
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLB—	230	.205/.279/.283	2	4	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLB—	38	.210/.284/.297	0	1	66	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLB—	111	.214/.287/.309	1	2	70	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%73

ISO45

Whiff%45

K%44

Speed43

BB%36

CompsLuke Williams (age 22) · Ramon Mendoza (age 22) · Jhostynxon Garcia (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+61

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .277 / .280

PA64

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	89	18	3	0	1	17	34	2	2	2	202	343	270	612	67	304	31	15	290	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	81	23	4	0	2	17	19	4	4	1	284	431	407	839	123	328	18	16	369	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	99	20	6	0	1	14	27	5	5	1	202	331	293	623	91	260	22	12	292	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	95	12	2	0	0	11	42	2	2	2	126	231	147	379	21	201	38	10	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	87	17	3	0	1	11	23	4	4	1	195	314	264	578	69	212	21	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	104	11	3	0	0	9	34	5	5	1	106	212	135	346	29	156	28	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	95	12	2	0	0	11	42	2	2	2	126	231	147	379	21	218	38	10	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	89	18	3	0	1	17	34	2	2	2	202	343	270	612	67	304	31	15	290	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	87	17	3	0	1	11	23	4	4	1	195	314	264	578	69	239	21	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	81	23	4	0	2	17	19	4	4	1	284	431	407	839	123	328	18	16	369	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	104	11	3	0	0	9	34	5	5	1	106	212	135	346	29	153	28	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	99	20	6	0	1	14	27	5	5	1	202	331	293	623	91	260	22	12	292	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	96	12	2	0	0	11	42	2	2	2	125	231	146	377	21	201	38	10	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	91	17	3	0	1	11	23	4	4	1	187	314	253	566	66	212	21	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	105	11	3	0	0	9	34	5	5	1	105	212	133	345	29	156	28	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	91	17	3	0	1	11	23	4	4	1	187	314	253	566	66	212	21	10	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	105	11	3	0	0	9	34	5	5	1	105	212	133	345	29	156	28	8	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	—	0%	230	206	43	8	1	2	18	65	4	4	1	205	279	283	562	77	286	28	8	259	61	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	—	34%	110	98	21	4	1	1	9	31	2	2	1	210	284	297	581	87	287	28	8	266	66	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	—	46%	240	215	45	8	1	3	19	66	4	5	1	214	287	309	596	96	289	28	8	272	70	-9	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	—	52%	326	292	63	11	2	5	26	89	5	7	2	216	290	319	609	103	289	27	8	277	73	-10	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	—	54%	383	344	75	13	2	7	30	103	6	8	2	218	292	327	619	108	289	27	8	281	76	-11	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	—	54%	413	371	81	15	2	7	33	111	6	8	2	219	292	328	621	109	289	27	8	281	77	-12	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	—	54%	429	386	83	15	2	7	34	116	6	8	2	217	290	323	614	107	288	27	8	279	75	-13	+1	-1	+8	+9	0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	431	388	83	15	2	7	34	118	6	8	2	214	287	317	604	103	286	27	8	275	72	-14	+1	-1	+8	+9	0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	—	52%	429	386	81	14	2	6	34	119	6	8	3	211	284	309	593	98	284	28	8	270	69	-16	+0	-2	+8	+9	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	—	34%	38	34	6	1	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	210	284	297	581	87	287	29	8	266	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	—	46%	111	99	21	4	1	1	9	31	2	2	1	214	287	309	596	96	289	28	8	272	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	—	52%	168	150	33	6	1	3	13	46	3	3	1	216	290	319	609	103	289	27	8	277	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	—	54%	208	187	41	7	1	4	16	56	3	4	1	218	292	327	619	108	289	27	8	281	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	—	54%	224	201	44	8	1	4	18	60	3	4	1	219	292	328	621	109	289	27	8	281	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	—	54%	233	210	45	8	1	4	18	63	3	4	1	217	290	323	614	107	288	27	8	279	75	-7	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	229	206	44	8	1	4	18	63	3	4	1	214	287	317	604	103	286	28	8	275	72	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	—	52%	225	202	43	8	1	3	18	62	3	4	1	211	284	309	593	98	284	28	8	270	69	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1436	1289	277	50	7	23	113	392	21	26	7	215	289	318	607	103	288	27	8	276	68	-46	+2	-2	+26	+31	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	125	23	3	10	51	177	10	12	3	214	289	316	604	101	288	27	8	276	68	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3162	2824	584	105	14	45	255	870	53	66	19	207	285	302	587	95	279	28	8	268	68	-92	+5	-4	+50	+61	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	120	22	3	9	52	179	11	14	4	207	285	301	586	95	279	28	8	268	68	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Paul Richards'32-'46 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	15	15	218*	296*	337*	+29	+0	2.3	2.5
/162	664	6	6	+11.9	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.3	1,499	24	29	216	286	319	+27	+20	2.2	2.2
/162	664	10	13	+11.9	+8.9	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Railin Familia (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	204/277/280	77	286	1	1	28%	8%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→44	38→45	50→65	42	199/251/269	70	259	6	15	25%	5%	47	-2.5	210/270/306	96	280	7	19	26%	7%	63	-1.3	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→50	37→45	48→45	45	190/266/265	75	277	4	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	214/286/312	98	294	8	5	28%	8%	72	-0.7	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41	36→45	47→50	40	196/255/263	68	278	4	7	30%	6%	48	-2.5	210/268/321	111	288	11	13	30%	6%	66	-1.1	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	40→50	39→45	52→50	41	192/253/281	89	260	5	10	27%	6%	51	-2.2	222/270/312	90	297	7	9	26%	5%	64	-1.3	254/293/350	97	308	8	4	20%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Jhonny Santos 2019 · A	22	41	40→45	50	41	203/254/297	94	272	8	14	28%	6%	55	-1.9	206/263/323	117	278	12	13	29%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/320	130	244	17	9	29%	7%	57	-0.9
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	185/251/253	68	279	3	8	33%	7%	45	-2.7	179/238/249	70	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	211/284/306	95	274	7	10	23%	9%	69	-0.9	206/287/304	98	264	6	10	22%	10%	66	-0.8
✕Larry Cobb 2008 · A	23	40→42	39→45	47→50	49	193/267/275	82	244	7	10	23%	8%	56	-1.9	209/271/322	113	267	12	11	25%	6%	68	-1.0	205/267/322	117	257	13	11	25%	6%	67	-0.5
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	40	39→45	50→40	40	193/257/281	88	286	5	5	33%	7%	53	-2.1	202/288/313	111	362	10	4	42%	10%	73	-0.6	187/282/297	110	342	11	2	44%	11%	65	-0.7
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	45→30	36	195/236/271	76	279	4	8	31%	4%	42	-2.9	220/267/316	96	272	9	6	22%	6%	64	-1.3	226/273/320	94	265	9	4	18%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Jesus Valdez 2021 · A	23	40	39→45	49→50	45	194/264/284	90	257	6	11	26%	7%	57	-1.8	203/242/321	118	297	13	9	35%	4%	57	-1.8	193/252/279	86	271	10	3	31%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Jose Sibrian 2022 · A	23	40	36→50	48→30	37	194/238/256	63	272	3	5	29%	4%	40	-3.1	204/264/294	90	263	7	3	24%	5%	59	-1.7	204/267/304	100	250	9	0	22%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	40	38→45	44→45	40	194/247/270	77	262	5	7	27%	5%	47	-2.6	210/262/301	91	296	8	6	30%	5%	59	-1.6	208/262/300	93	295	9	6	31%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	180/213/275	96	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/263/300	84	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Pedruin Bautista 2006 · A	22	39	38→40	50→60	33	191/224/270	79	281	4	10	33%	4%	36	-3.3	181/266/248	67	242	2	17	24%	9%	50	-2.3	158/266/216	57	204	1	25	20%	11%	42	-1.2
✕Wendell Rijo 2018 · AA	22	42→45	38→50	45→50	40	202/257/283	81	278	6	11	28%	6%	53	-2.1	211/267/318	107	275	10	7	26%	6%	65	-1.2	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A	23	39→42	38→45	54→55	37	188/242/272	84	288	5	10	35%	6%	45	-2.7	210/263/316	106	300	8	14	31%	5%	63	-1.4	210/264/322	112	293	9	15	30%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41→42	37→50	46→45	43	196/264/267	72	292	5	6	33%	8%	53	-2.1	200/274/309	109	277	10	3	29%	9%	66	-1.1	220/276/351	131	285	16	6	28%	6%	74	-0.3

Railin Familia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps