Railin Familia — OGILVIE

Railin FamiliaC DSL LAD Mega

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 186 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 101 proj PA

wRC+60

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .270 / .285

PA8

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	89	18	3	0	1	17	34	2	2	2	202	343	270	612	67	304	31	15	290	83	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	81	23	4	0	2	17	19	4	4	1	284	431	407	839	123	328	18	16	369	136	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	99	20	6	0	1	14	27	5	5	1	202	331	293	623	91	260	22	12	292	83	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	96	13	2	0	1	10	50	2	2	2	135	231	188	419	52	243	45	9	189	14	-11	-0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	88	20	3	0	2	10	27	4	4	1	227	333	330	663	102	261	25	9	283	78	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	105	15	4	0	1	8	41	5	5	1	143	237	210	447	67	193	34	7	194	17	-12	+1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	96	13	2	0	1	10	50	2	2	2	135	231	188	419	52	255	45	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	89	18	3	0	1	17	34	2	2	2	202	343	270	612	67	304	31	15	290	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	88	20	3	0	2	10	27	4	4	1	227	333	330	663	102	286	25	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	81	23	4	0	2	17	19	4	4	1	284	431	407	839	123	328	18	16	369	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	105	15	4	0	1	8	41	5	5	1	143	237	210	447	67	215	34	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	99	20	6	0	1	14	27	5	5	1	202	331	293	623	91	260	22	12	292	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	97	13	2	0	1	10	50	2	2	2	134	231	186	417	52	243	45	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	92	20	3	0	2	10	27	4	4	1	217	333	315	649	98	261	25	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	106	15	4	0	1	8	41	5	5	1	142	237	208	445	66	193	34	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	97	13	2	0	1	10	50	2	2	2	134	231	186	417	52	243	45	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	92	20	3	0	2	10	27	4	4	1	217	333	315	649	98	261	25	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	106	15	4	0	1	8	41	5	5	1	142	237	208	445	66	193	34	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	—	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		276	25	12	257	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	—	34%	183	164	34	6	1	3	14	52	3	4	1	207	282	311	593	104	279	28	8	267	67	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2028	23	MLB MLE	—	48%	301	270	57	10	2	5	24	83	4	6	2	211	285	319	604	107	281	28	8	274	72	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	—	53%	384	345	73	13	2	7	31	105	5	8	2	212	286	322	608	110	282	27	8	278	75	-12	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	—	55%	432	388	83	15	2	8	35	117	6	9	3	214	289	325	614	111	283	27	8	281	76	-12	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	463	417	89	16	2	9	37	125	6	10	3	213	287	326	613	113	282	27	8	281	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	476	427	91	17	2	9	39	129	7	10	3	213	290	326	615	112	282	27	8	281	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	480	430	92	17	2	9	40	131	7	10	3	214	291	326	617	112	282	27	8	280	76	-14	+1	-1	+9	+10	0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	476	427	90	16	2	9	40	131	6	10	3	211	288	321	608	110	281	28	8	278	74	-15	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	—	60%	468	420	87	16	2	8	39	130	6	9	3	207	284	312	596	105	279	28	8	275	72	-15	+1	-2	+8	+10	0.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	—	62%	443	397	83	15	2	8	37	124	6	9	2	209	286	317	604	108	277	28	8	271	70	-16	+1	-3	+8	+10	-0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	—	34%	63	57	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	193	270	281	551	88	279	29	8	267	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	—	48%	146	131	28	5	1	3	12	40	2	3	1	214	290	336	626	122	281	27	8	274	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	—	53%	202	181	39	7	1	4	16	55	3	4	1	215	290	331	621	116	282	27	8	278	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	—	55%	236	212	46	8	1	5	19	64	3	5	1	217	291	335	626	118	283	27	8	281	76	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	258	231	49	9	1	5	21	70	4	6	2	212	289	325	614	113	282	27	8	281	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	262	235	50	9	1	5	21	71	4	6	2	213	288	323	612	111	282	27	8	281	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	262	234	50	9	1	5	22	71	4	6	2	214	292	325	617	111	282	27	8	280	76	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	276	247	51	9	1	5	23	76	4	6	2	206	285	312	596	105	281	28	8	278	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	—	60%	281	252	53	10	1	5	23	78	4	6	2	210	287	317	604	107	279	28	8	275	72	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	—	62%	273	244	51	9	1	5	23	77	4	5	1	209	288	316	603	107	277	28	8	271	70	-10	+1	-2	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2259	2024	428	77	9	43	185	620	33	48	14	211	288	322	610	111	281	27	8	277	71	-70	+4	-4	+40	+49	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	123	22	3	12	53	178	9	14	4	211	287	321	608	110	281	27	8	277	71	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4451	3981	828	150	19	79	365	1247	67	96	29	208	286	315	600	107	279	28	8	273	71	-128	+7	-7	+73	+89	3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	122	22	3	12	53	182	10	14	4	210	287	320	607	110	281	28	8	273	71	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,361	43	49	213	285	323	+42	+24	3.7	3.5
/162	664	12	14	+11.9	+6.8	1.1	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Railin Familia (OGILVIE)	21	34→39	35→40	50→55	55	198/270/285	87	276	1	2	29%	8%	60	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	42→52	39→45	50	41	204/263/293	89	285	6	11	29%	6%	58	-1.7	228/278/329	101	310	10	10	28%	6%	72	-0.7	235/295/316	82	324	8	12	28%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→48	39→45	48→50	45	182/274/268	86	264	6	10	31%	8%	58	-1.7	206/278/301	95	283	7	11	28%	7%	66	-1.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	222/279/297	75	309	6	16	28%	6%	65	-1.2	239/307/326	86	317	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Oliver Dominguez 2010 · A	21	41	40	53→45	45	201/262/294	93	269	7	12	27%	7%	57	-1.8	201/272/295	94	275	7	13	27%	9%	62	-1.4	190/268/285	94	265	7	12	29%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	57	-1.8	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	11	-1.2
✕Nate Easley 2018 · A	22	42	40→45	52→50	45	204/268/297	93	284	7	13	29%	8%	61	-1.5	198/251/292	94	304	7	11	35%	7%	53	-2.1	202/252/308	106	290	8	10	32%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	42→52	41→45	52→50	40	203/262/305	102	282	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	219/266/310	91	294	7	9	27%	5%	63	-1.4	243/282/332	89	297	7	6	20%	4%	70	-0.5
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	203/248/300	97	293	7	12	32%	5%	53	-2.1	194/247/296	102	286	9	6	34%	6%	53	-2.1	142/197/217	75	196	6	0	30%	5%	15	-1.1
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	41	39→40	50	48	191/281/275	84	291	6	12	33%	10%	61	-1.5	194/264/268	74	320	4	9	37%	8%	53	-2.1	140/204/175	34	267	0	8	44%	7%	9	-1.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Leonel Espinoza 2023 · A	20	39→44	41→40	50→55	41	191/263/288	96	267	9	11	31%	7%	57	-1.8	210/273/299	89	302	7	14	31%	6%	63	-1.3	208/265/289	81	298	7	18	31%	5%	55	-1.1
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	39→38	40→45	47→55	43	187/274/280	93	280	7	10	33%	8%	61	-1.5	185/265/295	110	249	10	19	28%	7%	61	-1.5	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	47	-2.5	205/274/318	113	295	9	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	191/257/296	105	277	7	15	32%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Yoel Romero 2019 · A	21	46	38→40	48→50	48	219/282/294	75	276	5	13	22%	7%	65	-1.2	211/268/290	79	291	6	7	28%	7%	59	-1.7	212/260/299	87	317	7	0	34%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps