Railin Familia — OGILVIE

Railin FamiliaC DSL LAD Mega

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 186 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 101 proj PA

wRC+51

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .266 / .278

PA101

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	96	12	2	0	0	10	51	2	2	2	125	222	146	368	21	255	46	9	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	89	18	3	0	1	17	34	2	2	2	202	343	270	612	67	304	31	15	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	88	19	3	0	1	10	28	4	4	1	216	324	284	608	68	286	26	9	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	81	23	4	0	2	17	19	4	4	1	284	431	407	839	123	328	18	16	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	105	14	3	0	1	8	43	5	5	1	133	229	190	419	57	206	36	7	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	99	20	6	0	1	14	27	5	5	1	202	331	293	623	91	260	22	12	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	—	—	101	91	18	3	1	1	8	30	1	2	0	198	270	286	556	88	275	30	8	252	51	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	—	34%	183	164	34	6	1	3	14	53	3	4	1	207	282	311	593	104	278	29	8	263	59	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2028	23	MLB	—	48%	301	271	56	10	2	5	23	85	4	6	2	207	279	314	592	107	280	28	8	270	65	-12	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.2
2029	24	MLB	—	53%	384	346	73	13	2	7	30	107	5	8	2	211	283	321	604	110	281	28	8	275	68	-14	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.5
2030	25	MLB	—	55%	432	389	82	15	2	8	34	120	6	9	3	211	284	321	606	111	282	28	8	277	70	-15	+1	+0	+8	+12	0.6
2031	26	MLB	—	56%	463	417	88	16	2	9	37	129	6	10	3	211	285	324	609	113	281	28	8	277	70	-15	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.7
2032	27	MLB	—	55%	476	429	90	16	2	9	38	133	6	10	3	210	283	319	603	110	281	28	8	277	70	-16	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.7
2033	28	MLB	—	55%	480	431	90	16	2	9	39	134	7	10	3	209	285	318	603	109	281	28	8	276	70	-16	+1	-1	+9	+14	0.6
2034	29	MLB	—	53%	476	428	89	16	2	9	39	134	6	10	3	208	283	318	601	110	280	28	8	274	68	-17	+1	-1	+8	+13	0.4
2035	30	MLB	—	53%	468	421	87	16	2	8	38	133	6	9	3	207	282	311	593	105	278	28	8	272	66	-18	+1	-2	+8	+13	0.2
2036	31	MLB	—	52%	443	398	82	15	2	8	36	127	6	9	2	206	282	314	596	108	276	29	8	268	63	-19	+1	-3	+8	+13	0.0
2027	22	MLB	—	34%	63	57	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	193	270	281	551	88	278	29	8	263	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	23	MLB	—	48%	146	132	27	5	1	2	11	41	2	3	1	205	276	303	579	98	280	28	8	270	65	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	24	MLB	—	53%	202	181	39	7	1	4	16	56	3	4	1	215	290	331	621	116	281	28	8	275	68	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	25	MLB	—	55%	236	212	44	8	1	4	19	66	3	5	1	208	282	311	593	104	282	28	8	277	70	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2031	26	MLB	—	56%	258	232	49	9	1	5	20	72	4	6	2	211	285	323	608	112	281	28	8	277	70	-9	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2032	27	MLB	—	55%	262	235	49	9	1	5	21	73	4	6	2	209	285	319	604	111	281	28	8	277	70	-9	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2033	28	MLB	—	55%	262	235	49	9	1	5	21	73	4	6	2	209	285	319	604	111	281	28	8	276	70	-9	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.3
2034	29	MLB	—	53%	254	228	48	9	1	5	21	72	3	5	1	211	286	325	610	114	280	28	8	274	68	-9	+1	-1	+5	+7	0.3
2035	30	MLB	—	53%	246	221	45	8	1	4	20	70	3	5	1	204	279	303	582	100	278	28	8	272	66	-9	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.1
2036	31	MLB	—	52%	231	207	43	8	1	4	19	66	3	4	1	208	284	314	598	106	276	29	8	268	63	-10	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2160	1940	404	74	9	39	173	607	30	45	12	208	283	316	599	108	280	28	8	274	68	-78	+4	-4	+39	+61	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	122	22	3	12	52	183	9	14	4	209	284	318	602	110	281	28	8	274	68	-24	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	4544	4074	834	150	20	78	364	1307	67	98	29	205	281	309	590	104	278	29	8	269	64	-184	+8	-7	+81	+129	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	119	21	3	11	52	187	10	14	4	204	281	307	588	103	278	29	8	269	64	-26	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	110	89	18	3	1	17	34	2	2	2	202	343	270	612	67	304	31	15	290	80	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	107	81	23	4	2	17	19	4	4	1	284	431	407	839	123	328	18	16	369	141	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	120	99	20	6	1	14	27	5	5	1	202	331	293	623	91	260	22	12	292	81	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,261	40	47	210	281	319	+40	+24	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	12	14	210	281	319	+11.9	+7.0	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Railin Familia (OGILVIE)	21	32→37	34→39	50→55	54	194/266/278	84	275	1	2	30%	8%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→50	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	40	-2.4	208/276/322	114	297	8	11	31%	7%	66	-0.6	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	46	190/271/255	65	295	3	5	34%	10%	46	-2.0	197/283/279	82	287	5	4	30%	10%	58	-1.2	185/278/265	80	263	6	2	29%	11%	51	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Arturo De Freitas 2022 · A	21	43	38→45	50→40	39	204/264/287	82	286	5	8	29%	5%	51	-1.7	173/225/248	75	289	7	4	40%	6%	24	-3.5	136/184/191	55	233	5	0	42%	5%	-10	-2.1
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	42→50	52→55	42	203/265/309	106	263	10	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/357	150	272	17	18	30%	7%	74	-0.1	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	202/247/299	97	291	7	12	32%	5%	46	-2.0	194/247/296	102	282	9	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	138/192/212	74	190	5	0	29%	5%	1	-1.2
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	45	-2.1	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	56	-1.3	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	58	-0.2
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2