Railin Familia — OGILVIE

Railin FamiliaC DSL LAD Mega

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 186 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.1 · 2032

wRC+71

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .284 / .325

PA101

HR2

K%29

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

33↗38

PWR

34↗39

SPD

50↗55

EYE

49↗54

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.1	$20M	+$19M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.0	$20M	+$19M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.9	$19M	+$18M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.6	$17M	+$14M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.3	$14M	+$10M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.0	$11M	+$7M
Totals		$15M		$101M	+$86M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	110	96	12	2	0	0	10	51	2	2	2	.125	.222	.146	.368	.021	.255	46	9	.185	0	-12	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.8
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	107	88	19	3	0	1	10	28	4	4	1	.216	.324	.284	.608	.068	.286	26	9	.283	75	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	120	105	14	3	0	1	8	42	5	5	1	.133	.229	.190	.419	.057	.203	35	7	.191	4	-13	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	—	101	91	19	3	1	2	8	29	1	2	0	.209	.280	.330	.610	.121	.285	29	8	.278	71	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	—	183	163	36	7	1	4	16	51	2	4	1	.221	.298	.350	.648	.129	.287	28	9	.291	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	23	MLB 28%	—	301	267	61	11	2	8	27	81	4	7	1	.228	.309	.375	.683	.146	.287	27	9	.299	87	-4	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.1
2029	24	MLB 45%	—	384	340	77	14	2	10	36	101	5	8	2	.226	.310	.368	.677	.141	.288	26	9	.304	91	-4	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.5
2030	25	MLB 60%	—	432	383	87	16	2	12	41	113	5	9	2	.227	.310	.373	.683	.146	.289	26	9	.308	94	-3	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.8
2031	26	MLB 77%	—	463	409	94	17	3	13	45	121	6	10	2	.230	.315	.381	.697	.152	.289	26	10	.310	95	-3	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.0
2032	27	MLB 92%	—	476	420	96	17	3	13	47	125	6	10	2	.229	.315	.376	.691	.148	.289	26	10	.310	95	-3	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2033	28	MLB	—	480	424	96	17	3	13	47	126	6	10	2	.226	.312	.373	.685	.146	.289	26	10	.309	94	-3	+1	-1	+9	+14	2.0
2034	29	MLB	—	476	420	94	17	2	13	47	127	6	10	1	.224	.311	.367	.677	.143	.288	27	10	.307	93	-4	+2	-1	+8	+13	1.9
2035	30	MLB	—	468	412	92	17	2	12	47	126	6	9	1	.223	.312	.362	.673	.138	.287	27	10	.303	90	-5	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.6
2036	31	MLB	—	443	391	86	16	2	11	44	121	5	8	0	.220	.307	.355	.662	.136	.285	27	10	.300	88	-6	+2	-3	+8	+13	1.3
2037	32	MLB	—	414	365	79	14	2	10	41	116	5	7	0	.216	.304	.348	.652	.132	.284	28	10	.295	84	-8	+1	-4	+7	+12	1.0
2038	33	MLB	—	374	330	70	12	2	9	37	107	4	6	0	.212	.299	.342	.642	.130	.282	29	10	.290	80	-9	+1	-4	+7	+11	0.6
2039	34	MLB	—	323	284	59	10	2	7	32	95	4	6	0	.208	.297	.331	.628	.123	.280	29	10	.283	75	-9	+1	-5	+6	+9	0.2
2040	35	MLB	—	266	235	47	8	1	5	26	81	3	5	0	.200	.288	.306	.594	.106	.278	30	10	.276	69	-9	+1	-6	+5	+8	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	—	210	186	36	6	1	4	20	66	2	4	0	.194	.279	.301	.580	.108	.275	31	10	.267	62	-9	+1	-6	+4	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6131	5409	1174	210	31	148	589	1707	81	126	18	.217	.303	.349	.653	.132	.286	28	10	.295	84	-114	+18	-31	+109	+174	15.9
/ 162G	—			650	573	124	22	3	16	62	181	9	13	2	.216	.303	.349	.652	.133	.284	28	10	.295	84	-12	+2	-3	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	110	89	18	3	1	17	34	2	2	2	.202	.343	.270	.612	.067	.304	31	15	.290	80	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	107	81	23	4	2	17	19	4	4	1	.284	.431	.407	.839	.123	.328	18	16	.369	141	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	120	99	20	6	1	14	27	5	5	1	.202	.331	.293	.623	.091	.260	22	12	.292	81	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Railin Familia (OGILVIE)	21	33→38	34→39	50→55	54	.209/.284/.325	.116	.285	2	2	29%	8%	71	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	52→40	44	.205/.283/.341	.136	.298	13	8	34%	9%	74	-0.1	.199/.260/.324	.125	.272	14	4	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.302	.111	.255	13	1	29%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	.209/.289/.316	.107	.254	9	14	21%	8%	70	-0.3	.226/.290/.341	.115	.304	10	11	28%	6%	77	+0.1	.220/.277/.325	.105	.292	10	8	27%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	45	44→50	55→50	43	.222/.271/.351	.128	.275	10	10	23%	6%	70	-0.3	.228/.271/.337	.109	.304	7	9	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.233/.276/.342	.109	.324	5	10	28%	4%	67	-0.2
✕José Caballero 2018 · A	21	47→45	39→45	53→70	39	.223/.275/.316	.093	.301	6	8	27%	5%	63	-0.8	.224/.292/.329	.105	.281	8	18	22%	7%	75	-0.0	.229/.321/.344	.115	.305	10	63	26%	9%	87	+0.6
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→43	44→55	50	43	.203/.259/.325	.122	.273	11	7	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.199/.278/.352	.153	.276	18	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	43	39→50	51→45	39	.202/.262/.293	.090	.301	6	7	33%	6%	52	-1.6	.193/.267/.305	.112	.296	13	8	37%	7%	59	-1.1	.178/.253/.291	.113	.253	15	7	34%	7%	47	-0.8
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	47→51	42→45	48→50	42	.220/.290/.336	.116	.325	8	9	33%	7%	76	+0.0	.228/.308/.351	.123	.315	11	9	29%	9%	88	+0.9	.221/.304/.343	.122	.294	13	10	27%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	.215/.280/.308	.092	.280	6	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.217/.270/.311	.094	.277	7	4	23%	6%	60	-1.0	.236/.301/.377	.140	.278	16	2	21%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Jorge Alfaro 2014 · A	21	40→50	46→50	51→50	33	.203/.255/.338	.135	.299	14	11	36%	4%	62	-0.9	.213/.261/.347	.134	.308	14	7	34%	4%	66	-0.6	.259/.315/.406	.147	.380	19	6	35%	5%	97	+0.8
✕Brennen Davis 2021 · A	21	47→41	46→50	51→45	44	.234/.299/.364	.130	.297	14	10	25%	7%	87	+0.8	.205/.283/.348	.143	.298	17	8	35%	7%	77	+0.1	.172/.265/.319	.148	.217	21	9	31%	7%	61	-0.4
●Lou Marson 2007 · A	21	44→54	40	53→50	44	.211/.271/.304	.093	.282	6	6	27%	7%	58	-1.2	.248/.316/.343	.095	.329	7	4	24%	9%	88	+0.9	.265/.339/.354	.089	.347	6	4	23%	9%	97	+1.1
●Jonathan India 2019 · A	22	43→51	45→50	51→50	45	.208/.290/.333	.125	.296	12	10	32%	8%	76	+0.0	.217/.304/.340	.123	.297	12	10	29%	9%	83	+0.6	.243/.342/.393	.150	.294	17	11	22%	10%	107	+1.9
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	40→45	48→45	51	.222/.330/.318	.096	.290	7	9	24%	9%	90	+1.0	.229/.317/.341	.112	.289	10	7	23%	7%	89	+1.0	.230/.322/.343	.112	.289	11	5	22%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	.207/.272/.315	.108	.262	11	18	25%	7%	63	-0.9	.208/.274/.359	.151	.269	18	18	29%	7%	75	-0.0	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	43→40	45	52→55	51	.212/.298/.333	.121	.262	13	19	24%	10%	79	+0.3	.213/.277/.328	.115	.263	11	18	22%	7%	67	-0.5	.203/.251/.303	.099	.247	8	18	21%	6%	48	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)