Josh Wakefield

OF Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 23 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	AHOU	318	.270/.381/.375	4	37	78	—	.232/.317/.314
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBHOU	428	.210/.288/.311	6	13	71	-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBHOU	104	.216/.294/.323	2	3	74	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBHOU	177	.219/.296/.330	3	6	77	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed78

Chase%77

K%67

wRC+64

wOBA61

BB%60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsCorey Rosier (age 23) · Leon Johnson (age 23) · Donnie Dewees (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 314 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .286 / .308

PA314

HR5

SB9

K%27

BB%9

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED73

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	267	72	12	2	4	42	67	6	37	8	270	381	375	755	105	342	21	13	344	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	280	65	10	2	3	29	91	6	37	8	232	317	314	632	82	321	29	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	280	65	10	2	3	29	91	6	37	8	232	317	314	632	82	328	29	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	267	72	12	2	4	42	67	6	37	8	270	381	375	755	105	342	21	13	344	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	280	65	10	2	3	29	91	6	37	8	232	317	314	632	82	321	29	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	318	280	65	10	2	3	29	91	6	37	8	232	317	314	632	82	321	29	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	428	383	80	14	3	6	37	116	5	13	3	210	288	311	599	100	281	27	9	273	71	-15	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	347	310	67	12	2	6	30	93	4	11	2	214	292	320	611	106	283	27	9	278	74	-11	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	44%	402	359	77	14	2	7	35	106	5	13	3	216	294	327	620	111	283	26	9	282	77	-11	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	437	391	85	15	3	8	38	115	5	14	3	217	295	331	626	114	284	26	9	284	78	-11	+2	+0	-3	+9	-0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	451	404	88	16	3	8	39	118	5	14	3	218	295	332	627	115	283	26	9	284	79	-12	+2	+0	-3	+10	-0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	457	409	90	16	3	9	40	120	5	13	3	217	294	331	626	114	283	26	9	284	78	-12	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	104	93	21	4	1	2	9	28	1	3	1	216	294	323	617	107	287	27	9	281	74	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	44%	177	158	34	6	1	3	15	47	2	6	1	219	296	330	626	111	288	27	8	284	77	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	222	199	43	8	1	4	19	58	2	7	1	220	297	334	632	114	288	26	9	286	78	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	236	210	46	9	1	4	21	62	3	7	2	220	298	336	633	115	288	26	9	287	79	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	244	218	47	9	1	4	21	64	3	7	2	220	297	335	631	115	287	26	9	286	78	-6	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	983	878	191	36	5	17	85	259	11	30	7	218	295	328	623	110	287	26	9	285	77	-26	+3	-0	-6	+21	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	126	24	3	11	56	171	7	20	5	217	293	325	619	108	286	26	9	285	77	-17	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2726	2433	532	94	17	46	238	728	34	111	24	219	297	328	625	109	290	27	9	281	77	-67	+8	-1	-14	+52	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	126	22	4	11	57	174	8	26	6	217	296	326	622	109	288	27	9	281	77	-18	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,297	22	39	216	290	326	-8	+0	-0.5	-0.2
/162	664	11	20	-4.0	+0.0	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Wakefield (OGILVIE)	23	37→42	34→39	68→73	58	209/286/308	99	281	5	9	27%	9%	71	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Rosier 2023 · A	23	46→54	42→40	62→60	48	222/293/332	110	289	9	28	25%	8%	78	-0.3	219/280/317	98	293	7	33	26%	7%	70	-0.9	214/278/307	93	284	7	36	26%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Leon Johnson 2008 · A	23	48	40	58→60	50	227/300/324	96	299	6	22	24%	9%	78	-0.3	217/281/294	77	280	5	17	23%	7%	65	-1.2	198/260/219	21	246	0	22	18%	6%	36	-0.7
✕Donnie Dewees 2017 · A	23	48→50	40→45	61→50	41	230/272/333	103	290	5	17	22%	5%	70	-0.9	220/268/329	109	269	8	14	21%	5%	68	-1.0	213/264/327	114	253	10	13	20%	6%	63	-1.1
✕Ryan Rogowski 2007 · A	23	48→46	40	59→55	52	227/298/329	101	275	6	19	19%	8%	79	-0.2	218/286/306	88	272	4	26	20%	8%	70	-0.9	213/284/298	85	264	4	31	19%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→35	39→40	64→60	50	175/275/264	90	264	6	32	33%	11%	57	-1.8	180/260/270	90	269	8	28	33%	9%	53	-2.1	177/253/266	89	250	10	28	31%	9%	46	-1.7
✕Anthony Norman 2009 · A	24	46→41	47→50	62→55	51	228/308/371	143	270	13	24	21%	9%	93	+0.8	215/288/341	126	275	11	14	24%	8%	79	-0.2	207/276/315	108	283	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43	42→50	65→70	46	208/270/320	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	66	-1.1	211/279/332	121	278	12	50	27%	8%	73	-0.6	227/287/350	124	282	13	56	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Guy Lipscomb 2024 · A	23	49	37→40	63→60	52	225/307/306	81	303	3	36	25%	10%	78	-0.3	226/292/313	87	288	5	29	22%	8%	73	-0.6	223/287/309	86	277	6	31	21%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Trent Mummey 2012 · A	23	46	43→40	61→55	47	224/281/341	117	271	9	26	21%	7%	76	-0.4	204/269/294	90	250	7	17	20%	8%	60	-1.6	197/261/279	82	229	5	19	16%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→54	43→40	58→65	50	212/292/336	124	282	9	19	27%	10%	79	-0.2	228/288/323	95	287	7	44	22%	6%	74	-0.5	222/287/310	87	280	7	49	22%	7%	70	-0.8
✕James Ramsay 2015 · A	23	43→53	38→40	58→50	46	201/270/296	95	279	4	19	28%	8%	61	-1.5	223/282/322	99	284	7	11	23%	7%	71	-0.8	228/285/324	97	281	8	8	21%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2019 · A	23	43	42→45	59→65	38	200/267/304	104	330	9	30	39%	7%	62	-1.4	190/254/288	98	315	10	26	40%	7%	53	-2.1	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Brock Deatherage 2019 · A	23	51→31	40	59→60	36	234/281/330	96	361	7	20	35%	6%	72	-0.7	193/232/288	95	308	7	26	38%	4%	45	-2.7	162/197/253	91	259	7	36	39%	3%	21	-3.6
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2024 · AA	23	47→48	44→45	57→55	46	230/292/354	124	295	9	20	25%	8%	82	+0.0	211/279/311	100	292	9	17	29%	8%	68	-1.0	200/274/289	89	282	8	17	30%	9%	59	-1.2
✕Joe Lampe 2024 · A	23	43→48	38→45	56→55	48	206/282/288	82	270	5	16	24%	8%	64	-1.3	213/276/313	100	290	6	18	27%	7%	67	-1.1	210/271/314	104	289	7	21	28%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	44→52	39→45	58→55	46	208/280/301	93	279	6	17	26%	8%	66	-1.1	228/306/313	85	303	5	16	24%	9%	78	-0.3	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Thomas Coyle 2014 · A	23	50→51	40	58→55	53	234/310/335	101	292	6	21	21%	10%	84	+0.2	210/277/301	91	291	6	20	28%	8%	65	-1.2	193/260/279	86	274	6	22	30%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Matthew Etzel 2024 · A	22	49→45	43→45	59→60	49	236/319/354	118	312	10	30	26%	9%	93	+0.8	219/285/337	118	304	12	31	30%	8%	76	-0.4	210/280/329	119	288	13	32	30%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Wes Rogers 2017 · A	23	47→51	39→40	61→65	45	221/282/308	87	290	6	31	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/268/302	87	297	6	32	28%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/287	82	290	5	34	30%	6%	52	-1.4

Josh Wakefield

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps