Tanner Perry

P Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	MIX3 levels	29	65	5.51	4.98	20.8%	11.6%	—	K 15.6% · BB 12.7% · FIP 5.92
2027PROJ	24	MLBMIL	42	44	5.38	5.38	17.0%	12.2%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBMIL	25	26	5.17	5.09	18.6%	11.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBMIL	38	40	5.03	4.98	19.5%	10.9%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJake Johansen (age 24) · Hayden Snelsire (age 23) · Juan Paniagua (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.38

FIP5.38

K%17.0%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%4.8%

Proj IP44

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	0	65	293	61	34	11	0%	2.3	15.6%	12.7%	2.9%	4.6%	5.51	5.92	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	0	65	293	61	34	11	0%	2.3	15.6%	12.7%	2.9%	4.6%	5.51	5.92	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	0	65	293	61	34	11	0%	2.3	20.8%	11.6%	9.2%	3.8%	5.51	4.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIL	42	0	44	186	31	23	6	0%	1.0	17.0%	12.2%	4.8%	3.3%	5.38	5.38	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIL	57	0	60	251	47	28	8	0%	1.0	18.6%	11.1%	7.4%	3.2%	5.17	5.09	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIL	57	0	60	251	49	28	8	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.9%	8.6%	3.2%	5.03	4.98	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIL	25	0	26	110	20	12	4	0%	1.0	18.6%	11.1%	7.4%	3.2%	5.17	5.09	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIL	38	0	40	169	33	18	5	0%	1.1	19.5%	10.9%	8.6%	3.2%	5.03	4.98	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	0	65	275	53	30	9	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.0%	8.1%	3.2%	5.09	4.64	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	92	28	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.0%	8.1%	3.2%	5.09	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		29	0	65	293	46	37	14	0%	2.3	15.6%	12.7%	2.9%	4.6%	5.51	5.92	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	0	200	897	140	114	41	0%	2.3	15.6%	12.7%	2.9%	4.6%	5.51	5.92	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tanner Perry (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.38	17.0%	12.2%	3.3%	—	5.03	19.0%	8.0%	119	-0.35	—	—	—
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	90
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	90
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	88
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	88
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	87
Jack Carey R 2024 · 5.32 FIP	24	SU	5.32	15.6%	11.3%	3.8%	.305	4.27	19.6%	5.3%	88	-1.05	3.79	250	87
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	87
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	86
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	86
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	86
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	86
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	85
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	85
Luis Eusebio R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.2%	10.6%	3.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.79	131	85
John Matthews R 2022 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	16.5%	13.0%	2.1%	.264	5.00	14.5%	-0.5%	70	+0.49	4.51	213	84
J.B. Olson R 2019 · 4.98 FIP	24	SU	4.98	15.0%	11.1%	3.2%	.328	4.29	15.1%	7.5%	109	-0.69	3.90	212	84
Will Geerdes R 2024 · 5.57 FIP	24	SU	5.57	16.3%	12.2%	4.2%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	121	84
Ryan Ledbetter R 2016 · 4.76 FIP	24	SU	4.76	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	124	84
Justin Garcia R 2017 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	17.5%	12.2%	4.0%	.265	4.84	14.7%	0.1%	14	-0.54	4.06	164	84
Armando Ruiz R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	24	SU	4.26	18.4%	11.4%	2.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	113	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	18.5%	11.3%	1.25	5.18
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*