Tanner Perry — OGILVIE

Tanner Perry P Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%20.6%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%9.7%

ROS IP35

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	29	0	65	293	61	34	11	0%	2.3	15.6%	12.7%	2.9%	4.6%	5.51	5.92	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	29	0	65	293	61	34	11	0%	2.3	15.6%	12.7%	2.9%	4.6%	5.51	5.92	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	MIL	9	0	26	105	31	12	4	0%	2.9	29.5%	11.4%	18.1%	3.8%	2.81	4.15	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	MIL	19	0	37	170	26	18	6	0%	2.0	15.3%	10.6%	4.7%	3.5%	6.03	5.09	—
2026	23	AA RAW	MIL	1	0	2	18	4	4	1	0%	2.3	22.2%	22.2%	0.0%	5.6%	27.00	7.09	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIL	62	0	66	277	59	28	8	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.1%	11.3%	3.0%	4.66	4.61	-0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIL	63	0	66	280	62	27	8	0%	1.1	22.0%	9.6%	12.3%	3.0%	4.55	4.49	+0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIL	63	0	66	280	62	27	8	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.6%	12.7%	3.0%	4.49	4.46	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIL	62	0	65	276	61	27	8	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.6%	12.6%	3.1%	4.49	4.50	+0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIL	60	0	63	268	59	26	8	0%	1.1	22.1%	9.8%	12.3%	3.2%	4.54	4.58	-0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIL	27	0	28	118	25	12	4	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.1%	11.3%	3.0%	4.66	4.61	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIL	42	0	44	186	41	18	6	0%	1.0	22.0%	9.6%	12.3%	3.0%	4.55	4.49	+0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIL	50	0	53	224	50	21	7	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.6%	12.7%	3.0%	4.49	4.46	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIL	53	0	56	236	53	23	7	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.6%	12.6%	3.1%	4.49	4.50	+0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIL	53	0	56	236	52	23	7	0%	1.1	22.1%	9.8%	12.3%	3.2%	4.54	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		226	0	237	1001	221	97	31	0%	1.0	22.1%	9.7%	12.4%	3.1%	4.53	4.14	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	82	26	0%	1.1	22.1%	9.7%	12.4%	3.1%	4.53	4.14	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		29	0	65	293	46	37	14	0%	2.3	15.6%	12.7%	2.9%	4.6%	5.51	5.92	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	0	200	897	140	114	41	0%	2.3	15.6%	12.7%	2.9%	4.6%	5.51	5.92	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tanner Perry (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	20.6%	10.9%	3.1%	—	4.52	21.9%	12.1%	198	-0.28	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	90
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	89
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	89
Luis Eusebio R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.2%	10.6%	3.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.79	131	88
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	88
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	87
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	86
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	86
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	86
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	86
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	85
Miguel Guerrero R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	18.1%	10.3%	3.1%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	171	85
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	85
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	85
Tyler Schoff R 2022 · 4.25 FIP	23	SU	4.25	19.6%	10.8%	2.6%	.350	3.72	23.8%	15.7%	93	-0.53	3.69	190	85
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	85
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	84
Bailey Dees R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.35	21.3%	9.7%	278	+0.09	3.41	330	84
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	84
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	60	21.9%	9.9%	1.18	4.57
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81