Oscar Sanchez prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Oscar Sanchez P DSL Red Sox Red

Age 23 LHP 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%22.1%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	12	0	19	89	26	9	0	0%	1.6	19.9%	12.6%	7.2%	0.0%	5.12	3.02	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	12	0	19	89	26	9	0	0%	1.6	19.9%	12.6%	7.2%	0.0%	5.12	3.02	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	12	0	19	89	26	9	0	0%	1.6	29.2%	10.1%	19.1%	0.0%	5.12	1.81	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	10	0	17	67	13	7	0	0%	1.7	13.2%	13.1%	0.1%	0.0%	1.04	3.64	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	10	0	17	67	13	7	0	0%	1.7	13.2%	13.1%	0.1%	0.0%	1.04	3.64	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	10	0	17	67	13	7	0	0%	1.7	19.4%	10.4%	9.0%	0.0%	1.04	2.81	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	—	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.1%	11.1%	11.0%	3.0%	4.64	4.64	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	—	19	0	20	84	19	9	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.2%	12.5%	2.9%	4.52	4.47	+0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	—	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.2%	12.5%	2.9%	4.52	4.47	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.2%	12.5%	2.9%	4.52	4.09	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.2%	12.5%	2.9%	4.52	4.09	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		22	0	37	156	27	20	0	0%	1.7	17.0%	12.8%	4.2%	0.0%	3.19	3.29	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	0	200	851	145	109	0	0%	1.7	17.0%	12.8%	4.2%	0.0%	3.19	3.29	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Oscar Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	22.1%	11.1%	3.0%	—	4.47	22.8%	12.5%	20	-0.17	—	—	—
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	87
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	85
Daniel Zamora L 2016 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.82	2.15	310	84
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	84
Andrew Mitchell L 2018 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.333	2.71	23.8%	15.8%	78	-1.04	2.51	119	83
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	83
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	83
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	82
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	471	82
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	82
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	82
Andrew Tomasovich L 2017 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.04	20.3%	6.9%	52	+0.05	3.87	126	82
Glen Perkins L 2007 · 3.91 FIP	24	SU	3.91	17.4%	10.4%	1.7%	.259	4.76	11.2%	5.7%	269	+0.85	2.16	611	81
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	81
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	81
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	81
Taylor Tankersley L 2006 · 3.65 FIP	23	SU	3.65	25.8%	11.8%	2.2%	.271	4.62	21.6%	9.8%	65	+0.97	3.65	118	81
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	80
Wayne Franklin L 2000 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	20.4%	10.7%	1.9%	.319	5.53	13.7%	2.4%	231	+1.73	3.80	315	80
Garvin Alston L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	22	SU	4.29	19.7%	6.6%	3.7%	.333	4.74	16.4%	2.9%	84	+0.45	3.98	232	80