Josh Blum

P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	35	0	58	3.41	3.05	20.6%	8.1%	—	K 15.4% · BB 9.4% · FIP 4.00
2026	23	MIX3 levels	20	1	20	8.10	5.30	17.6%	21.3%	—	K 12.5% · BB 28.7% · FIP 5.69
2027PROJ	24	MLBNYM	15	0	16	5.42	5.42	17.1%	14.9%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBNYM	22	0	23	5.17	5.07	18.7%	13.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBNYM	33	0	35	5.02	4.96	19.6%	12.8%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJulio Mateo (age 24) · Michael Blazek (age 24) · Cayne Ueckert (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.42

FIP5.42

K%17.1%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%2.2%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	58	248	51	20	3	0%	1.7	15.4%	9.4%	6.0%	1.8%	3.41	4.00	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	58	248	51	20	3	0%	1.7	15.4%	9.4%	6.0%	1.8%	3.41	4.00	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	58	248	51	20	3	0%	1.7	20.6%	8.1%	12.5%	1.2%	3.41	3.05	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	1	20	108	19	23	1	5%	1.0	12.5%	28.7%	-16.3%	0.0%	8.10	5.69	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	1	20	108	19	23	1	5%	1.0	12.5%	28.7%	-16.3%	0.0%	8.10	5.69	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	1	20	108	19	23	1	5%	1.0	17.6%	21.3%	-3.7%	0.9%	8.10	5.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	NYM	15	0	16	68	12	10	2	0%	1.1	17.1%	14.9%	2.2%	2.7%	5.42	5.42	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	50	0	53	223	42	29	6	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.1%	5.6%	2.7%	5.17	5.07	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYM	50	0	53	223	44	29	6	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.8%	6.8%	2.8%	5.02	4.96	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	22	0	23	97	18	13	3	0%	1.0	18.7%	13.1%	5.6%	2.7%	5.17	5.07	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYM	33	0	35	148	29	19	4	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.8%	6.8%	2.8%	5.02	4.96	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	0	58	244	47	32	7	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.9%	6.3%	2.8%	5.08	4.63	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	111	24	0%	1.0	19.2%	12.9%	6.3%	2.8%	5.08	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		55	1	78	356	52	54	5	2%	1.4	14.5%	15.3%	-0.7%	1.3%	4.62	4.51	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	3	200	913	133	140	12	2%	1.4	14.5%	15.3%	-0.7%	1.3%	4.62	4.51	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Blum (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.42	17.1%	14.9%	2.7%	—	5.01	19.1%	6.2%	106	-0.41	—	—	—
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	89
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	89
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	88
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	88
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	87
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Lendy Castillo R 2012 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	14.8%	13.6%	2.4%	.361	4.81	13.9%	1.0%	49	-0.07	4.41	116	87
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	87
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	86
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	86
Rafael Dolis R 2012 · 5.19 FIP	24	SU	5.19	13.9%	12.7%	3.0%	.287	4.02	15.8%	1.5%	66	-1.17	2.80	200	86
Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	18.3%	14.2%	2.2%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	102	85
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	85
Morgan McSweeney R 2022 · 5.16 FIP	24	SU	5.16	18.0%	13.9%	3.3%	.278	4.31	16.6%	6.6%	107	-0.85	3.20	213	85
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	85
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	84
Jesus Colome R 2002 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	16.2%	13.7%	2.9%	.365	4.29	19.4%	9.1%	161	-0.80	3.55	426	84
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	84
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	84
Bryce McGowan R 2024 · 5.11 FIP	24	SU	5.11	19.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.304	3.71	18.8%	6.7%	55	-1.40	3.71	178	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	41	18.9%	13.2%	1.06	5.14
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
David Purcey ('13)	1.0	41	18.8%	12.8%	0.96	4.98
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76