Austin Green

2B Tampa Tarpons

Age 25 S/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	ANYY	185	.184/.295/.291	4	8	25	—	.140/.230/.238
2026	24	ANYY	89	.203/.330/.284	1	1	39	—	.179/.273/.256
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBNYY	200	.178/.250/.267	3	4	47	-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBNYY	49	.183/.255/.280	1	1	51	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%86

Z-Con%83

Speed73

Whiff%72

BB%53

Chase%46

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJerome Pena (age 25) · Bubba Alleyne (age 25) · Sahid Valenzuela (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .248 / .265

PA96

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	3	0	0	0	0	11	1	1	0	115	148	115	264		188	39	0	123	-54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	158	29	3	1	4	20	39	5	8	0	184	295	291	586	108	214	21	11	273	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	89	74	15	1	1	1	13	14	1	1	0	203	330	284	613	81	233	16	15	288	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	2	0	0	0	0	16	1	1	0	77	111	77	188		164	57	0	88	-54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	164	23	2	1	4	14	53	5	8	0	140	230	238	467	98	165	29	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	89	78	14	1	1	1	9	19	1	1	0	179	273	256	529	77	202	21	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	2	0	0	0	0	16	1	1	0	77	111	77	188		182	57	0	88	-54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	26	3	0	0	0	0	11	1	1	0	115	148	115	264		188	39	0	123	-54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	164	23	2	1	4	14	53	5	8	0	140	230	238	467	98	174	29	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	158	29	3	1	4	20	39	5	8	0	184	295	291	586	108	214	21	11	273	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	89	78	14	1	1	1	9	19	1	1	0	179	273	256	529	77	220	21	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	89	74	15	1	1	1	13	14	1	1	0	203	330	284	613	81	233	16	15	288	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	27	2	0	0	0	0	16	1	1	0	74	111	74	185		164	57	0	88	-54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	164	23	2	1	4	14	53	5	8	0	140	230	238	467	98	165	29	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	89	79	14	1	1	1	9	19	1	1	0	177	273	253	526	76	202	21	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	28	27	2	0	0	0	0	16	1	1	0	74	111	74	185		164	57	0	88	-54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	164	23	2	1	4	14	53	5	8	0	140	230	238	467	98	165	29	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	89	79	14	1	1	1	9	19	1	1	0	177	273	253	526	76	202	21	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	200	181	32	5	1	3	15	56	2	4	1	178	250	267	518	89	238	28	8	238	47	-13	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYY	30%	162	147	27	5	1	2	12	45	2	3	1	182	254	276	530	94	240	28	7	243	51	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYY	30%	49	44	8	1	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	183	255	280	535	97	240	29	8	245	51	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	49	44	8	1	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	182	265	273	538	91	241	29	8	245	34	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	106	13	0	13	53	186	13	13	0	182	265	271	535	89	242	29	8	245	34	-38	+3	+0	+2	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	560	503	82	11	4	8	42	160	10	15	1	163	241	249	490	85	218	29	8	219	34	-16	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	95	13	5	9	49	186	12	17	1	163	242	248	491	86	218	29	8	219	34	-39	+2	+0	+2	+14	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Green (OGILVIE)	25	25	30	50	40	177/248/265	88	238	1	2	28%	8%	47	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jerome Pena 2014 · A	25	38→33	39→40	46→45	41	188/247/272	83	275	7	8	33%	7%	47	-2.5	201/257/300	99	319	8	8	37%	7%	57	-1.8	185/247/298	113	311	10	7	41%	7%	51	-0.8
✕Bubba Alleyne 2024 · A	25	35→29	41→40	54→55	38	177/232/272	95	256	8	20	33%	6%	41	-3.0	192/250/282	90	284	8	18	33%	6%	51	-2.3	189/252/277	88	283	8	21	34%	7%	47	-1.4
✕Sahid Valenzuela 2023 · AA	25	39	39→30	43→45	40	193/245/277	84	259	7	5	28%	5%	47	-2.5	201/244/259	58	262	4	6	23%	5%	42	-2.9	196/238/233	38	250	2	6	22%	4%	31	-1.9
✕Tommy Sacco Jr. 2024 · A	25	35→44	43→40	48→50	44	181/255/285	104	257	11	15	33%	9%	54	-2.0	193/260/284	91	265	9	16	28%	8%	55	-1.9	185/252/268	83	252	8	18	28%	8%	46	-1.8
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Luis Mendez 2018 · AA	25	43	37→30	47→50	45	206/268/278	72	276	5	12	26%	7%	56	-1.9	213/271/312	99	288	9	10	28%	7%	65	-1.2	202/258/285	83	268	8	7	27%	6%	51	-1.0
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	42	169/233/265	96	237	10	5	32%	7%	40	-3.0	193/263/284	91	262	8	8	27%	8%	56	-1.9	178/258/254	76	233	6	7	25%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→37	38→40	52→50	46	189/263/263	75	259	5	15	28%	8%	52	-2.2	193/256/274	81	275	8	10	31%	7%	51	-2.2	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Kyle Marinconz 2021 · A	25	41→37	39→40	47→50	44	198/259/282	84	263	6	10	26%	7%	54	-2.0	205/267/295	90	271	8	11	26%	6%	60	-1.6	169/239/225	56	218	6	12	24%	6%	32	-1.0
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Eliezer Zambrano 2012 · AA	25	42	39→30	48→40	40	205/240/286	81	255	6	6	22%	4%	47	-2.5	217/261/291	74	268	6	6	20%	5%	56	-1.9	210/239/254	45	242	4	2	15%	3%	37	-1.1
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	43	184/250/264	80	271	5	13	32%	8%	47	-2.6	201/277/290	89	292	6	20	30%	9%	63	-1.4	207/270/292	85	284	7	22	28%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Oliver Dominguez 2013 · A	24	41	40	50→45	45	198/269/295	97	281	7	10	30%	8%	61	-1.5	202/258/301	99	295	8	7	32%	7%	58	-1.7	163/208/248	85	232	8	0	33%	5%	25	-1.0
✕Francisco Diaz 2015 · A	25	43	37→30	46→40	44	203/256/278	75	260	4	4	23%	6%	51	-2.2	221/270/293	72	262	5	5	17%	6%	59	-1.6	224/282/267	43	277	1	1	18%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Ricardo Valenzuela 2016 · A	25	40	38→30	44→50	44	192/249/266	75	242	5	5	23%	6%	47	-2.6	211/264/269	58	257	4	3	18%	6%	52	-2.2	221/269/269	47	257	5	0	16%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Mason Davis 2018 · A	25	42	37→40	49→50	36	203/248/280	78	286	4	13	30%	4%	49	-2.4	204/247/294	90	279	5	12	27%	5%	51	-2.2	180/203/282	102	232	0	14	22%	3%	30	-0.8
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	45	43	196/253/290	94	252	9	7	26%	6%	54	-2.0	209/269/304	95	283	10	10	28%	7%	63	-1.4	197/262/273	76	269	9	10	29%	7%	51	-1.0
✕Chris O'Brien 2014 · A	25	38→44	42→45	49→30	41	190/236/290	100	242	9	3	26%	6%	47	-2.6	200/254/313	113	246	10	4	22%	7%	59	-1.6	189/252/304	114	226	10	2	21%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Michael De La Cruz 2017 · A	24	42→43	38→40	47→50	45	200/255/285	85	258	5	10	24%	7%	53	-2.1	215/272/312	97	291	6	6	26%	7%	65	-1.2	213/295/355	142	265	15	2	25%	10%	82	+0.0