Tommy Hopfe — OGILVIE

Tommy Hopfe1B Spokane Indians

Age 23 S/R 6'0" / 210 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION303 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .290 / .361

PA202

HR5

SB5

K%24

BB%6

BABIP277

ISO137

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	42	37	8	1	0	1	3	9	2	2	1	216	310	324	634	108	259	21	7	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	42	36	9	1	0	1	4	7	2	2	1	250	357	361	718	111	286	17	10	332	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	413	360	75	13	1	8	24	93	20	19	7	208	295	317	611	108	253	23	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	413	342	87	17	1	7	41	64	20	19	7	254	366	371	738	117	289	15	10	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	COL	—	303	275	61	12	1	9	19	77	5	8	1	222	284	371	655	149	271	25	6	282	74	-9	+1	+0	-5	+9	-0.5
YTD	23	A+	COL	—	303	264	72	16	1	11	30	55	5	8	1	273	358	466	824	193	303	18	10	361	135	+12	+1	+0	-5	+9	1.7
ROS	23	A+	COL	0%	202	183	41	8	1	5	12	49	5	5	1	224	290	361	651	137	273	24	6	288	79	-5	+1	+0	-4	+6	-0.2
ROS	23	MLB	COL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						294	0	0	292	82	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	COL	—	304	276	61	12	1	9	19	77	5	8	1	221	283	370	653	149	269	25	6	282	74	-9	+1	+0	-5	+9	-0.5
TOT	23	A+	COL	—	505	458	102	20	2	14	31	126	10	13	2	223	287	367	653	144	273	25	6	285	76	-14	+2	+0	-9	+14	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	COL	30%	531	481	110	21	2	14	34	126	11	11	3	229	295	368	663	139	276	24	6	294	83	-10	+1	+0	-9	+15	-0.4
2028	25	MLB	COL	44%	546	494	114	22	2	15	36	129	11	12	3	231	298	374	672	144	277	24	7	298	86	-8	+1	+0	-10	+15	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	COL	51%	550	497	114	22	2	15	37	129	11	12	3	229	297	372	669	143	278	23	7	300	88	-8	+1	+0	-10	+16	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	COL	52%	550	496	114	22	2	15	38	130	11	12	3	230	299	373	672	143	278	24	7	301	88	-7	+1	+0	-10	+16	-0.0
2031	28	MLB	COL	53%	545	491	113	22	2	15	38	129	11	11	3	230	300	375	675	145	277	24	7	299	87	-8	+1	-1	-10	+15	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	COL	30%	161	147	36	7	1	5	10	38	3	3	1	245	306	408	714	163	297	24	6	300	88	-2	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	COL	44%	242	219	55	11	1	8	16	57	5	5	1	251	317	420	737	169	299	24	7	306	92	-2	+1	+0	-4	+7	0.1
2029	26	MLB	COL	51%	279	253	62	12	1	9	19	66	5	6	2	245	310	407	718	162	299	24	7	308	94	-2	+0	+0	-5	+8	0.1
2030	27	MLB	COL	52%	288	260	65	13	1	9	20	68	6	6	2	250	318	412	730	162	299	24	7	309	94	-2	+0	+0	-5	+8	0.2
2031	28	MLB	COL	53%	291	262	65	13	1	9	21	69	6	6	2	248	318	408	727	160	299	24	7	307	93	-2	+0	-0	-5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1262	1142	283	56	5	40	86	298	25	26	8	248	314	411	725	163	300	24	7	307	93	-10	+2	-0	-23	+36	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	147	29	3	21	44	153	13	13	4	250	316	417	733	167	302	24	7	307	93	-5	+1	-0	-12	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	3379	3039	689	131	12	88	222	794	82	84	24	227	297	365	662	138	276	23	7	293	83	-66	+7	-1	-60	+96	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	132	25	2	17	43	153	16	16	5	226	297	362	659	137	274	24	7	293	83	-13	+1	-0	-12	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	42	36	9	1	0	1	4	7	2	2	1	250	357	361	718	111	286	17	10	332	113	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	121	106	25	3	0	2	11	18	3	4	3	236	325	321	646	85	264	15	9	297	86	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	292	236	62	14	1	5	30	46	17	15	4	263	384	394	778	131	300	16	10	347	124	+8	+1	—	—	+8	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#2Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#5Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,262	34	27	230	295	372	-23	-3	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	18	14	230	295	372	-11.9	-1.6	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tommy Hopfe (OGILVIE)	23	45	35	55	40	223/287/367	144	273	14	13	25%	6%	76	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lucas Montero 2008 · A	23	44→50	42→40	56→55	43	217/267/331	114	273	9	18	24%	6%	63	-0.8	227/290/319	92	297	7	28	24%	8%	70	-0.3	228/295/311	84	303	6	30	25%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	45→53	44→45	53→50	48	218/288/344	126	281	9	14	25%	8%	76	+0.1	229/295/348	119	286	9	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	238/306/369	131	290	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	45	223/293/342	119	282	12	16	24%	7%	79	+0.3	210/268/294	84	282	6	12	26%	6%	55	-1.4	194/247/254	61	264	3	10	27%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Jordan Abruzzo 2008 · A	23	42	47→45	49→40	43	215/268/347	133	266	14	6	25%	6%	69	-0.4	227/264/340	113	283	11	4	23%	4%	65	-0.7	239/273/348	109	293	11	2	22%	3%	67	-0.2
✕Luis Lara 2018 · A	23	46	44→45	51→45	48	225/284/349	124	272	11	6	21%	7%	76	+0.0	199/265/273	74	285	5	5	29%	8%	48	-1.9	153/232/170	17	231	0	2	31%	9%	5	-1.5
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	41→45	51→55	44	215/279/319	105	286	7	13	26%	7%	66	-0.6	207/259/301	94	296	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/200/219	54	252	0	15	33%	4%	4	-0.8
✕Troy Montgomery 2018 · AA	23	48→55	42→40	51→50	47	230/294/339	109	298	9	13	25%	8%	77	+0.1	227/294/313	86	322	5	12	28%	8%	70	-0.3	245/317/316	71	358	2	15	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Carlos Alvarez 2011 · AAA	23	47	43→45	48→45	44	228/285/337	109	294	11	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	229/288/361	132	290	14	10	25%	7%	81	+0.4	245/326/331	86	298	6	6	18%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Jared James 2017 · A	23	49	41→45	50→45	45	237/295/338	101	283	9	12	19%	6%	78	+0.2	229/285/338	109	295	8	6	24%	6%	73	-0.1	228/283/339	112	295	8	4	25%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	44→50	43→50	57→55	44	214/268/338	124	268	9	16	23%	6%	66	-0.6	212/284/333	121	266	12	24	24%	8%	72	-0.2	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Ty Wright 2008 · A	23	46→55	43→45	51→45	41	228/273/332	103	300	11	14	27%	6%	66	-0.6	250/296/352	102	299	10	7	19%	5%	81	+0.4	254/294/367	113	291	12	5	17%	4%	82	+0.3
✕Gage Green 2016 · A	23	50	40→45	51→50	43	240/293/337	97	308	7	10	23%	6%	76	+0.1	202/262/286	84	282	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	174/238/247	72	247	7	8	31%	5%	29	-1.3
✕Jorge Barrosa 2023 · AA	22	46→48	43→45	50→55	45	224/283/340	115	274	11	20	22%	6%	73	-0.1	214/281/329	115	271	11	16	24%	8%	69	-0.4	206/272/315	109	270	9	12	26%	8%	60	-0.6
●Endy Rodríguez 2022 · A	22	47→52	44→50	52→40	44	230/285/356	126	293	10	4	25%	6%	78	+0.2	237/295/375	138	300	13	4	24%	7%	87	+0.8	234/304/374	139	294	13	4	24%	8%	89	+0.7
✕Kale Kiser 2013 · A	23	42→43	42→45	56→50	44	203/281/318	116	261	8	8	24%	6%	68	-0.5	206/271/299	93	261	5	8	22%	6%	58	-1.2	200/265/289	88	250	4	8	20%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Marco Jaime 2019 · AAA	23	45→50	43→30	53→50	43	218/278/331	113	287	10	12	27%	7%	69	-0.4	225/277/299	74	278	3	12	19%	6%	59	-1.1	227/279/282	56	280	0	11	18%	6%	53	-1.2
✕Efrain Contreras 2010 · A	23	46	40→45	52→55	43	221/283/315	94	287	8	11	25%	6%	67	-0.5	195/245/270	75	294	6	7	34%	5%	39	-2.5	161/204/217	56	244	6	5	35%	4%	5	-2.3
✕Kraig Binick 2008 · A	23	46	42→40	57→55	47	223/293/330	107	269	9	12	20%	7%	76	+0.0	217/274/318	101	253	9	12	18%	5%	64	-0.8	227/285/294	67	243	8	26	10%	4%	59	-0.5
✕Nick Loftin 2022 · A	23	45→53	45→50	53→50	49	224/290/352	128	265	11	11	20%	7%	79	+0.3	236/299/370	134	274	15	14	20%	7%	88	+0.9	240/320/368	128	270	14	11	16%	9%	94	+0.9
●Brock Stassi 2013 · A	23	45→55	43→50	51→45	46	221/276/334	113	275	10	9	23%	7%	69	-0.4	237/285/335	98	281	8	7	18%	6%	72	-0.2	237/306/372	135	273	15	1	19%	9%	90	+0.8