Tommy Hopfe — OGILVIE

Tommy Hopfe1B Spokane Indians

Age 23 S/R 6'0" / 210 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION459 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP291

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	42	36	9	1	0	1	4	7	2	2	1	250	357	361	718	111	286	17	10	332	111	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	121	106	25	3	0	2	11	18	3	4	3	236	325	321	646	85	264	15	9	297	87	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2025	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	292	236	62	14	1	5	30	46	17	15	4	263	384	394	778	131	300	16	10	347	121	+7	+1	—	—	+6	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	42	37	8	1	0	1	3	9	2	2	1	216	310	324	634	108	250	21	7	265	65	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	121	111	21	2	0	2	6	25	3	4	3	189	250	261	511	72	223	21	5	227	40	-9	-0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	292	247	55	11	1	5	20	65	17	15	4	223	324	336	660	113	258	22	7	288	81	-7	+1	—	—	+6	0.1
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	42	37	8	1	0	1	3	9	2	2	1	216	310	324	634	108	259	21	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	42	36	9	1	0	1	4	7	2	2	1	250	357	361	718	111	286	17	10	332	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	413	358	76	13	1	7	26	90	20	19	7	212	302	313	615	101	258	22	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	413	342	87	17	1	7	41	64	20	19	7	254	366	371	738	117	289	15	10	333	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	42	37	8	1	0	1	3	9	2	2	1	216	310	324	634	108	250	21	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	413	364	76	13	1	7	26	90	20	19	7	209	302	308	610	99	248	22	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	42	37	8	1	0	1	3	9	2	2	1	216	310	324	634	108	250	21	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	413	364	76	13	1	7	26	90	20	19	7	209	302	308	610	99	248	22	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	COL	—	459	414	93	19	1	10	27	108	14	15	2	225	295	348	642	123	278	24	6	280	76	-13	+2	+0	-8	+10	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	COL	—	459	398	109	24	1	13	43	77	14	15	2	274	365	437	802	163	309	17	9	357	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	COL	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		277	20	10	290	82	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	COL	—	469	423	94	19	1	10	28	110	14	15	2	222	292	343	635	121	275	23	6	280	76	-14	+2	+0	-8	+10	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	30%	445	403	92	18	1	10	28	99	11	10	2	228	296	352	649	124	277	22	6	295	86	-7	+1	+0	-8	+10	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	44%	474	429	99	19	1	12	31	105	11	10	2	231	299	364	663	133	278	22	7	300	89	-6	+1	+0	-8	+10	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	51%	544	489	115	22	2	14	37	120	13	12	2	235	306	374	680	139	279	22	7	302	90	-6	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	52%	544	489	114	22	1	14	38	121	12	12	2	233	304	368	672	135	279	22	7	302	91	-6	+2	+0	-10	+12	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	COL	53%	539	484	113	22	1	14	38	120	12	11	2	233	305	370	675	136	278	22	7	301	90	-6	+1	-1	-10	+12	-0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	484	436	100	19	1	12	34	109	11	10	2	229	301	360	662	131	277	23	7	299	88	-7	+1	-1	-9	+10	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	COL	30%	135	122	30	6	0	4	9	30	3	3	1	246	313	393	707	148	292	22	7	293	86	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	44%	210	189	47	9	1	6	14	46	5	5	1	249	317	402	719	153	293	22	7	299	89	-3	+1	+0	-4	+5	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	51%	276	249	61	12	1	8	19	61	6	6	1	245	314	398	711	153	294	22	7	302	90	-3	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	52%	285	256	63	13	1	8	20	63	7	6	1	246	318	398	716	152	294	22	7	302	91	-3	+1	+0	-5	+6	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	COL	53%	287	258	64	13	1	8	20	64	7	6	1	248	319	399	719	151	293	22	7	301	90	-3	+1	-0	-5	+6	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	254	228	56	11	1	7	18	57	6	5	1	246	317	395	712	149	292	22	7	299	88	-3	+1	-1	-5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1447	1302	321	64	5	41	100	321	34	31	6	247	317	398	715	151	296	22	7	300	87	-18	+4	-1	-26	+31	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	144	29	2	18	45	144	15	14	3	246	316	395	711	149	296	22	7	300	87	-8	+2	-0	-12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3495	3134	718	136	8	84	236	775	92	86	20	229	302	358	660	129	276	22	7	296	87	-39	+8	-2	-54	+66	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	133	25	1	16	44	144	17	16	4	228	301	357	658	129	274	22	7	296	87	-8	+2	-0	-12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#2Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
/162	664	21	2	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
#3Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	5.1	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
/162	664	14	3	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5
#4Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	3.4	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
/162	664	17	4	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.2	1,449	36	31	233	301	367	-26	-4	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	17	14	-11.9	-2.1	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tommy Hopfe (OGILVIE)	23	45	35	55	40	224/294/342	118	277	7	9	23%	6%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lucas Montero 2008 · A	23	44→50	42→40	56→55	43	217/267/331	114	273	9	18	24%	6%	68	-1.0	227/290/318	91	297	7	28	24%	8%	74	-0.6	227/294/310	83	303	6	30	25%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Luis Lara 2018 · A	23	46	44→45	51→45	48	225/284/349	124	272	11	6	21%	7%	78	-0.3	200/266/274	74	283	5	5	28%	8%	55	-2.0	157/235/176	18	232	0	2	29%	9%	19	-1.4
✕Nick Loftin 2022 · A	23	47→52	45	53→50	48	229/294/357	128	272	11	11	20%	7%	84	+0.2	233/296/353	120	273	13	14	19%	7%	84	+0.2	228/318/350	122	261	10	9	16%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Juan Kelly 2017 · A	23	44→48	44→45	55→45	43	216/276/342	125	296	10	7	29%	7%	74	-0.5	219/278/343	124	304	11	4	30%	7%	75	-0.5	214/275/336	122	294	12	1	30%	7%	70	-0.6
✕Marty Costes 2019 · A	23	46→56	42→45	53→50	46	223/303/335	113	272	8	11	20%	6%	84	+0.1	234/311/344	110	286	9	10	21%	8%	88	+0.4	247/334/354	107	319	8	16	23%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Jorge Barrosa 2023 · AA	22	47→49	43→45	50→55	46	231/291/346	115	281	10	20	21%	7%	80	-0.1	221/290/338	117	278	10	16	23%	8%	78	-0.3	214/286/327	112	274	10	14	24%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA	23	47→48	47→55	57→55	46	233/287/377	144	284	12	16	22%	7%	86	+0.3	233/295/372	139	286	13	17	22%	8%	88	+0.4	232/298/376	144	282	14	17	22%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Troy Montgomery 2018 · AA	23	47→55	43→40	52→50	47	228/291/339	111	290	10	13	24%	8%	78	-0.3	228/296/315	87	318	6	12	27%	9%	75	-0.5	247/322/317	70	355	2	15	28%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Jordan Abruzzo 2008 · A	23	42	47→45	49→40	43	215/268/347	133	266	14	6	25%	6%	72	-0.7	227/264/340	113	283	11	4	23%	4%	69	-0.9	239/273/347	109	292	11	2	22%	3%	70	-0.3
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	44	221/288/339	118	278	11	16	24%	6%	78	-0.3	214/270/297	83	283	6	12	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/264	59	274	3	10	25%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Brock Stassi 2013 · A	23	45→55	42→45	51→45	47	220/278/328	108	273	9	9	23%	7%	72	-0.7	235/284/330	95	276	7	7	17%	6%	74	-0.6	234/304/355	121	273	12	1	18%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Jared James 2017 · A	23	49	41→45	50→45	46	238/297/338	100	284	8	12	19%	6%	81	-0.1	231/286/336	105	293	8	6	23%	6%	76	-0.4	229/285/339	109	293	7	4	23%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Gage Green 2016 · A	23	50	40→45	51→50	43	240/293/337	97	308	7	10	24%	6%	79	-0.2	200/261/283	83	279	7	8	29%	6%	55	-2.0	171/236/241	70	241	7	8	30%	5%	35	-1.4
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	40→45	51→55	44	215/280/315	101	289	7	13	27%	7%	69	-0.9	208/260/300	92	298	6	11	30%	6%	58	-1.7	173/207/222	50	261	0	15	32%	4%	18	-0.8
✕Victor Cruzado 2015 · A	23	47	41→40	47→45	48	226/291/331	105	292	8	8	24%	8%	77	-0.3	220/285/315	95	293	7	6	25%	8%	71	-0.8	214/281/301	87	286	6	4	26%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Matt Szczur 2012 · A	23	49→57	42→45	53→55	45	239/275/344	105	266	10	15	15%	4%	74	-0.6	241/292/327	86	294	5	23	19%	6%	76	-0.4	239/313/365	126	285	12	15	20%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Efrain Contreras 2010 · A	23	46	40→45	52→55	43	221/283/315	94	287	8	11	25%	6%	71	-0.8	196/247/273	77	292	6	7	33%	5%	47	-2.5	162/207/222	59	242	6	5	34%	4%	18	-2.2
✕Richie Palacios 2021 · A	24	47→53	45	52→55	43	234/285/355	121	299	12	11	26%	6%	80	-0.1	242/318/366	124	297	9	18	20%	9%	95	+1.0	240/320/367	128	284	10	17	18%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Marco Jaime 2019 · AAA	23	46→51	43→30	53→50	46	222/288/337	115	290	10	12	26%	8%	78	-0.3	229/284/305	76	285	3	12	20%	6%	68	-1.0	232/286/290	58	290	0	11	18%	6%	63	-1.1
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2023 · A	23	48→53	46→45	52→50	43	241/289/368	128	286	13	9	21%	5%	85	+0.2	224/274/326	102	276	10	11	22%	5%	70	-0.9	214/262/306	93	264	9	11	22%	4%	58	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps