Brady Afthim

P Dayton Dragons

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 211 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ACIN	2	3	3.00	1.77	18.2%	0.0%	—	K 18.2% · BB 0.0% · FIP 1.56
2026	23	MIX2 levels	29	53	3.54	4.28	28.0%	10.7%	—	K 21.2% · BB 12.4% · FIP 5.67
2027PROJ	24	MLBCIN	35	37	4.94	4.94	22.1%	11.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCIN	20	21	4.80	4.75	22.6%	10.9%	-0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCIN	30	32	4.72	4.70	22.9%	10.7%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRicardo Velez (age 24) · Harrison Cohen (age 24) · Colby Morris (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%22.1%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%10.3%

Proj IP37

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	2	0	3	11	2	0	0	0%	1.5	18.2%	0.0%	18.2%	0.0%	3.00	1.56	—
2025	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	2	0	3	11	2	0	0	0%	1.5	18.2%	0.0%	18.2%	0.0%	3.00	1.56	—
2025	22	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	2	0	3	11	2	0	0	0%	1.5	18.2%	0.0%	18.2%	0.0%	3.00	1.77	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	53	225	63	24	9	0%	1.8	21.2%	12.4%	8.8%	5.1%	3.54	5.67	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	53	225	63	24	9	0%	1.8	21.2%	12.4%	8.8%	5.1%	3.54	5.67	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	53	225	63	24	9	0%	1.8	28.0%	10.7%	17.3%	4.0%	3.54	4.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CIN	35	0	37	156	35	19	5	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	3.3%	4.94	4.94	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CIN	46	0	49	205	46	22	7	0%	1.1	22.6%	10.9%	11.7%	3.3%	4.80	4.75	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	CIN	46	0	49	205	47	22	7	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.7%	12.2%	3.3%	4.72	4.70	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CIN	20	0	21	89	20	10	3	0%	1.1	22.6%	10.9%	11.7%	3.3%	4.80	4.75	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	CIN	30	0	32	135	31	14	4	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.7%	12.2%	3.3%	4.72	4.70	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	53	224	51	24	7	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.8%	12.0%	3.3%	4.75	4.34	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	91	26	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.8%	12.0%	3.3%	4.75	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		31	0	56	236	50	28	11	0%	1.8	21.0%	11.8%	9.2%	4.8%	3.51	5.47	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	0	200	838	176	99	40	0%	1.8	21.0%	11.8%	9.2%	4.8%	3.51	5.47	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brady Afthim (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	22.1%	11.8%	3.3%	—	4.72	22.8%	12.0%	97	-0.22	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	92
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	92
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	91
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	89
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	89
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	89
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	89
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	89
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	88
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	87
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	87
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	87
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	87
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	87
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	86
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	86
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	86
Todd Van Steensel R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	22.5%	11.6%	2.0%	.294	3.31	19.3%	6.5%	157	-0.48	2.87	223	86
Justin Evans R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	19.2%	11.2%	4.5%	.333	3.89	22.0%	5.5%	65	-1.49	3.63	105	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	22.6%	11.1%	1.27	4.81
José Ruiz ('25)	1.4	57	22.3%	10.4%	1.44	4.62
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*