Hunter Hodges — OGILVIE

Hunter Hodges P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 118

ERA5.34

FIP5.34

K%23.2%

BB%18.5%

K-BB%4.6%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	7	1	4	0	0%	0.7	14.3%	57.1%	-42.9%	0.0%	54.00	9.13	—
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	7	1	4	0	0%	0.7	14.3%	57.1%	-42.9%	0.0%	54.00	9.13	—
2024	21	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	7	1	4	0	0%	0.7	14.3%	57.1%	-42.9%	0.0%	54.00	18.10	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	52	235	73	41	1	0%	1.4	23.2%	20.4%	2.8%	0.6%	2.77	4.08	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	52	235	73	41	1	0%	1.4	23.2%	20.4%	2.8%	0.6%	2.77	4.08	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	52	235	73	41	1	0%	1.4	31.1%	17.4%	13.6%	0.4%	2.77	2.91	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	40	0	48	224	71	35	4	0%	1.2	24.4%	18.0%	6.4%	2.2%	4.28	4.54	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	40	0	48	224	71	35	4	0%	1.2	24.4%	18.0%	6.4%	2.2%	4.28	4.54	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	NYM	40	0	48	224	71	35	4	0%	1.2	31.7%	15.6%	16.1%	1.8%	4.28	3.38	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYM	46	0	48	205	49	32	5	0%	1.1	23.7%	15.7%	8.0%	2.7%	5.06	4.94	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	47	0	49	207	50	29	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	13.9%	10.2%	2.7%	4.82	4.68	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYM	20	0	21	89	21	14	2	0%	1.1	23.7%	15.7%	8.0%	2.7%	5.06	4.94	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	31	0	33	139	34	19	4	0%	1.1	24.1%	13.9%	10.2%	2.7%	4.82	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	53	226	54	33	6	0%	1.0	23.9%	14.6%	9.3%	2.7%	4.91	4.40	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	202	123	22	0%	1.1	23.9%	14.6%	9.3%	2.7%	4.91	4.40	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		78	0	101	466	110	92	7	0%	1.3	23.7%	19.8%	3.9%	1.4%	3.83	4.38	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	0	200	923	218	183	13	0%	1.3	23.7%	19.8%	3.9%	1.4%	3.83	4.38	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter Hodges (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.34	23.2%	18.5%	2.7%	—	4.81	23.9%	9.1%	98	-0.53	—	—	—
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	92
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	91
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	90
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	89
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	89
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	89
Carson Coleman R 2021 · 4.41 FIP	23	SU	4.41	21.1%	17.8%	1.5%	.347	2.40	30.2%	21.7%	63	-2.01	2.40	143	87
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.65	25.3%	12.2%	161	-2.34	3.44	256	86
Mason McCullough R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	23	SU	4.60	20.8%	19.2%	1.5%	.340	3.93	26.7%	6.9%	77	-0.67	3.33	154	86
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	86
Jacob Wallace R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	24.6%	21.6%	3.4%	.237	4.27	22.9%	10.2%	153	-1.32	3.50	279	86
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	86
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	85
Michael Cederoth R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	23	SU	4.47	21.6%	18.6%	1.5%	.286	5.60	21.6%	1.7%	35	+1.13	4.10	118	85
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	85
Bryce McGowan R 2023 · 4.41 FIP	23	SU	4.41	23.4%	16.0%	2.3%	.327	4.33	19.2%	6.2%	99	-0.08	3.71	178	85
Thomas St. Clair R 2017 · 4.49 FIP	23	SU	4.49	23.1%	19.9%	1.5%	.217	5.02	17.7%	-3.3%	94	+0.53	4.33	116	85
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	85
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	85
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	23.7%	15.8%	1.04	5.05
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99