Jake Duer — OGILVIE

Jake DuerOF Visalia Rawhide

Age 24 L/L A HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 88 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .265 / .319

PA88

HR1

K%29

BB%6

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	49	11	4	1	0	5	11	0	0	0	224	296	347	643	122	275	20	9	280	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	51	9	3	1	0	3	15	0	0	0	176	222	275	497	98	241	27	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	51	9	3	1	0	3	15	0	0	0	176	222	275	497	98	237	27	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	49	11	4	1	0	5	11	0	0	0	224	296	347	643	122	275	20	9	280	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	53	9	3	1	0	3	15	0	0	0	170	222	264	486	94	241	27	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	56	53	9	3	1	0	3	15	0	0	0	170	222	264	486	94	241	27	5	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	200	184	38	9	2	2	13	58	1	2	1	211	267	321	588	111	290	29	6	264	65	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	152	140	30	7	2	2	10	43	1	2	1	213	270	327	597	114	290	28	7	268	67	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	46	43	10	2	1	1	3	13	0	0	0	222	278	345	624	124	304	28	7	278	67	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	46	43	10	2	1	1	3	13	0	0	0	233	283	395	678	163	310	28	7	278	62	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	141	28	14	14	42	184	0	0	0	232	282	393	675	161	310	28	6	278	62	-25	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	296	272	56	14	4	3	19	83	2	3	1	206	263	320	583	114	280	28	6	260	62	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	124	31	9	7	42	182	4	7	2	208	264	325	589	117	282	28	6	260	62	-26	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Duer (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	209/265/319	110	290	1	1	29%	6%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	208/268/304	97	296	7	10	31%	8%	62	-1.4	191/262/306	115	264	10	17	30%	8%	61	-1.5	174/250/289	115	235	10	18	29%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Jerry Downs 2018 · A	24	44→32	40→45	49→40	40	208/284/303	95	296	6	6	30%	6%	69	-0.9	182/252/286	104	253	11	4	32%	5%	53	-2.1	157/230/255	98	214	12	2	32%	5%	37	-2.0
✕Jameson Fisher 2018 · A	24	41→36	41→40	44→45	42	201/268/306	104	280	8	7	30%	7%	63	-1.3	188/257/281	93	285	8	6	34%	8%	53	-2.1	188/255/286	98	278	9	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	39	42→50	46→55	38	193/254/300	107	288	9	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	186/250/305	119	275	12	13	35%	6%	57	-1.8	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Gabe Snyder 2019 · A	24	41→35	39→50	43→40	41	200/261/284	84	280	7	6	30%	6%	55	-1.9	199/263/330	131	276	14	5	32%	7%	68	-1.0	183/253/330	146	246	17	4	32%	7%	61	-0.8
✕Branden Boissiere 2024 · A	24	41→44	39→45	50→40	45	197/271/283	86	283	7	4	31%	8%	59	-1.7	204/262/313	109	295	10	3	32%	7%	62	-1.4	206/260/330	124	298	12	2	34%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Michael Harrington 2010 · A	24	37→33	41→45	45→40	38	185/232/284	99	261	8	3	32%	6%	44	-2.8	189/240/272	83	281	6	5	33%	6%	45	-2.7	147/201/192	45	225	3	0	34%	5%	10	-1.6
✕Tanner Allen 2022 · A	24	40	42→45	44→45	43	199/252/299	99	250	9	7	24%	6%	55	-1.9	202/255/299	97	247	9	7	21%	6%	56	-1.9	199/255/294	95	242	9	7	21%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→39	40→45	48→45	44	199/276/293	94	296	8	12	33%	9%	63	-1.3	209/278/327	118	271	12	8	26%	8%	72	-0.7	200/272/318	119	252	12	6	25%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	41→38	42→50	51→45	40	203/257/316	113	290	9	7	32%	6%	61	-1.5	197/264/337	140	297	16	6	37%	8%	69	-0.9	186/256/334	148	275	18	5	38%	8%	62	-1.0
✕Preston Beck 2015 · A	24	43→42	42→45	48→45	49	209/284/315	106	269	9	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	212/270/317	105	265	8	7	22%	7%	66	-1.1	213/262/313	100	267	8	3	23%	5%	59	-1.0
✕Ross Adolph 2021 · A	24	41→33	40→45	46→50	40	185/271/279	95	324	7	9	41%	8%	59	-1.6	206/298/326	120	344	12	10	40%	9%	80	-0.1	195/302/317	122	330	12	11	39%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Matt Winaker 2021 · A	25	38→39	41→45	46→45	43	188/268/289	101	255	8	7	28%	7%	60	-1.6	196/288/279	83	268	6	6	27%	9%	65	-1.2	176/280/248	72	240	5	3	26%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Robert Neustrom 2021 · A	24	44→45	43→45	49→50	41	216/263/326	111	284	10	7	28%	6%	65	-1.2	218/273/349	131	270	13	12	24%	6%	75	-0.5	212/269/346	134	256	14	14	23%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Carter Williams 2022 · A	24	42	45	49→45	36	213/246/342	129	281	12	9	29%	4%	62	-1.4	228/274/351	123	299	13	9	27%	5%	75	-0.5	227/276/345	117	293	14	9	27%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Will Robertson 2022 · A	24	42→41	43→50	46→45	36	201/267/318	116	319	10	7	38%	6%	65	-1.2	195/256/338	143	282	16	6	35%	6%	66	-1.1	194/259/347	153	271	17	5	34%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36→37	42→40	49→50	39	178/256/274	96	282	10	6	38%	7%	53	-2.1	198/274/304	106	324	12	11	40%	8%	65	-1.2	193/273/299	105	322	13	14	41%	8%	61	-1.1
✕Brendon Sanger 2018 · A	24	41→42	42→45	45	44	202/268/309	106	277	10	5	30%	8%	64	-1.3	194/265/302	108	272	12	5	31%	8%	61	-1.5	176/252/275	99	242	12	4	31%	8%	49	-1.7