Daniel Lopez

OF Columbia Fireflies

Age 21 L/L 6'2" / 165 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKKC	212	.238/.293/.394	4	13	30	—	.176/.212/.286
2026	20	AKC	186	.225/.326/.331	1	26	51	—	.200/.283/.297
2026	20	ROKKC	70	.339/.471/.429	0	10	88	—	.250/.357/.317
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBKC	366	.200/.258/.288	4	10	54	-0.7
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBKC	106	.204/.263/.302	1	3	61	-0.3
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBKC	191	.209/.269/.314	3	5	66	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed99

Whiff%51

K%44

Z-Con%38

ISO36

wOBA33

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsRicardo Méndez (age 21) · Michael Swinson (age 21) · Kyle Nevin (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 243 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .256 / .286

PA243

HR2

SB6

K%27

BB%6

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	145	45	7	5	3	23	40	4	8	4	310	419	490	908	179	404	23	13	399	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	149	40	10	2	2	20	31	3	11	5	268	366	403	769	134	322	18	11	342	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	212	193	46	10	4	4	15	39	0	13	0	238	293	394	687	155	278	18	7	299	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	186	160	36	8	3	1	17	47	7	26	4	225	326	331	657	106	312	25	9	301	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	70	56	19	3	1	0	11	10	3	10	3	339	471	429	900	89	413	14	16	413	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	152	30	4	3	2	16	50	4	8	4	197	291	303	593	105	259	29	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	155	26	6	1	1	14	38	3	11	5	168	250	239	489	71	205	22	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	212	199	35	7	3	3	9	57	0	13	0	176	212	286	498	111	219	27	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	186	165	33	7	3	1	12	64	7	26	4	200	283	297	580	97	299	34	6	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	70	60	15	2	1	0	7	14	3	10	3	250	357	317	674	67	325	20	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	152	30	4	3	2	16	50	4	8	4	197	291	303	593	105	275	29	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	145	45	7	5	3	23	40	4	8	4	310	419	490	908	179	404	23	13	399	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	155	26	6	1	1	14	38	3	11	5	168	250	239	489	71	212	22	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	149	40	10	2	2	20	31	3	11	5	268	366	403	769	134	322	18	11	342	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	212	199	35	7	3	3	9	57	0	13	0	176	212	286	498	111	229	27	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	212	193	46	10	4	4	15	39	0	13	0	238	293	394	687	155	278	18	7	299	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	256	225	47	9	3	1	19	78	10	36	7	209	299	289	588	80	315	30	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	256	216	55	11	4	1	28	57	10	36	7	255	366	356	723	102	342	22	11	331	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	174	152	30	4	3	2	16	50	4	8	4	197	291	303	593	105	259	29	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	156	26	6	1	1	14	38	3	11	5	167	250	237	487	71	205	22	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	212	201	35	7	3	3	9	57	0	13	0	174	212	284	495	109	219	27	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	256	225	47	9	3	1	19	78	10	36	7	209	299	289	588	80	306	30	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	175	156	26	6	1	1	14	38	3	11	5	167	250	237	487	71	205	22	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	212	201	35	7	3	3	9	57	0	13	0	174	212	284	495	109	219	27	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	256	225	47	9	3	1	19	78	10	36	7	209	299	289	588	80	306	30	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	0%	366	337	69	14	3	4	21	100	5	10	2	200	258	288	546	88	271	27	6	248	54	-20	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	34%	308	282	58	12	2	4	18	82	5	8	2	206	265	306	571	100	273	27	6	258	61	-14	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.9
2029	23	MLB MLE	KC	48%	395	362	76	15	3	6	24	104	6	10	2	211	271	320	590	109	274	26	6	266	66	-16	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	KC	53%	453	415	89	18	3	8	28	118	7	11	2	214	275	329	604	115	276	26	6	272	70	-16	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.8
2031	25	MLB MLE	KC	55%	485	444	96	19	3	9	31	125	7	11	2	216	278	335	613	119	277	26	6	275	73	-16	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	503	458	100	20	3	10	33	129	7	11	2	218	280	339	619	121	278	26	7	278	74	-15	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	34%	106	97	20	4	1	1	6	28	2	3	1	204	263	302	565	98	271	26	6	256	61	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	KC	48%	191	174	36	7	1	3	12	50	3	5	1	209	269	314	583	106	273	26	6	263	66	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	KC	53%	239	219	47	9	2	4	15	62	3	6	1	212	273	323	596	111	275	26	6	269	70	-9	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	KC	55%	265	242	52	10	2	5	17	68	4	6	1	214	276	329	605	115	275	26	6	272	73	-9	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	280	256	55	11	2	5	18	72	4	6	1	215	278	332	610	117	276	26	6	274	74	-9	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1081	988	210	41	8	18	68	280	16	26	5	213	274	325	599	112	276	26	6	269	63	-38	+3	+0	-6	+23	-1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	127	25	5	11	41	168	10	16	3	214	276	328	604	114	278	26	6	269	63	-23	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3204	2915	602	119	26	46	206	847	53	125	27	207	271	313	584	106	273	26	6	261	63	-91	+7	+0	-14	+52	-4.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	121	24	5	9	42	172	11	25	5	205	270	308	578	103	271	26	6	261	63	-25	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,324	22	32	212	270	323	-8	+0	-1.9	-0.9
/162	664	11	16	-4.0	+0.0	-0.9	pk7: 0
#5Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4
#6Fritz Mollwitz'13-'19 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,904 PA	2.9	1,904	1	70	242*	287*	361*	-34	-8	-5.1	-5.1
/162	664	0	24	-11.8	-2.8	-1.8	pk7: -5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Lopez (OGILVIE)	21	35	35	55	25	199/256/286	87	271	2	6	27%	6%	54	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	208/268/296	88	312	7	13	34%	7%	60	-1.6	217/259/315	98	317	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/252/306	95	305	6	14	31%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	201/265/299	98	278	8	12	29%	7%	60	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	196/267/258	62	261	2	10	23%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Junior Franco 2024 · A	21	42→43	43→45	50→55	38	208/258/315	107	302	10	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	220/274/324	104	286	10	19	25%	6%	69	-0.9	227/282/332	105	286	10	21	23%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	40	37→45	55→45	39	195/234/270	75	262	4	7	27%	5%	40	-3.0	244/269/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Esteban González 2024 · A	21	43→45	41→45	56→55	41	205/280/306	101	298	7	18	31%	7%	68	-1.0	211/269/331	120	298	10	24	31%	6%	70	-0.9	203/264/330	127	285	12	27	31%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/266/263	67	278	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	208/305/278	70	291	4	26	27%	9%	72	-0.7	223/339/272	49	296	2	35	22%	11%	80	-0.0
✕Je'Von Ward 2021 · A	21	43→37	37→45	47→50	42	199/261/272	74	301	4	8	33%	8%	52	-2.2	202/251/297	95	324	8	10	37%	6%	54	-2.0	195/284/320	125	290	14	8	35%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	42	39→40	54→55	41	203/261/292	89	279	6	17	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/263/297	91	296	7	20	31%	5%	59	-1.7	189/245/275	85	274	8	24	32%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	43→45	38→45	54→60	41	208/264/286	78	288	6	21	29%	6%	56	-1.9	201/273/302	101	275	9	28	28%	8%	63	-1.3	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2015 · A	22	43	38→40	50→45	42	206/259/288	82	279	5	13	27%	6%	55	-2.0	230/267/313	83	329	4	10	30%	4%	63	-1.4	261/289/353	92	366	4	5	29%	3%	77	-0.1
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→46	41→45	50→55	40	192/251/290	98	279	8	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	211/277/311	100	301	9	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	209/278/308	99	307	7	19	32%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Connor Scott 2021 · A	21	42→46	38→45	49→50	40	200/251/285	85	289	5	13	31%	6%	51	-2.2	213/259/326	113	290	8	12	28%	6%	63	-1.3	204/251/318	113	275	8	13	28%	5%	56	-1.2
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	45→46	36→45	50→55	40	210/259/278	68	290	3	14	28%	5%	52	-2.2	203/258/277	74	294	3	12	30%	6%	52	-2.2	237/293/355	117	331	8	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	46→36	39→45	52→50	40	220/273/303	84	295	6	11	27%	5%	63	-1.3	194/250/257	63	268	2	10	27%	6%	45	-2.7	169/228/214	45	235	0	12	26%	6%	26	-3.1
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	41→45	35→40	53→55	44	191/255/252	61	281	3	10	31%	8%	45	-2.7	220/280/300	80	293	8	18	26%	7%	65	-1.2	220/282/295	75	288	8	21	25%	8%	64	-0.8
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Alexis Rivera 2015 · A	21	42	37→45	49→50	40	202/256/274	73	289	5	11	31%	6%	51	-2.3	219/266/330	111	298	11	9	29%	5%	67	-1.1	229/272/355	125	296	13	7	27%	5%	72	-0.3
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/275/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	196/259/288	92	324	7	29	39%	7%	56	-1.9	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2

Daniel Lopez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps