Nicolas De La Cruz

Nicolas De La Cruz P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 20 LHP 6'4" / 252 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138147vR 155

ERA6.40

FIP6.40

K%14.2%

BB%20.7%

K-BB%-6.5%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	11	10	33	136	22	20	1	91%	3.0	11.0%	18.4%	-7.4%	1.1%	3.51	5.11	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	11	10	33	136	22	20	1	91%	3.0	11.0%	18.4%	-7.4%	1.1%	3.51	5.11	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	11	10	33	136	22	20	1	91%	3.0	16.2%	14.7%	1.5%	0.7%	3.51	3.97	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	6	3	9	42	11	12	0	50%	1.6	26.2%	28.6%	-2.4%	0.0%	1.93	4.51	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	6	3	9	42	11	12	0	50%	1.6	26.2%	28.6%	-2.4%	0.0%	1.93	4.51	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	6	3	9	42	11	12	0	50%	1.6	26.2%	28.6%	-2.4%	0.0%	1.93	4.60	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	51	240	48	38	1	0%	1.5	14.7%	18.2%	-3.4%	0.7%	4.76	4.52	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	51	240	48	38	1	0%	1.5	14.7%	18.2%	-3.4%	0.7%	4.76	4.52	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	51	240	48	38	1	0%	1.5	20.0%	15.8%	4.2%	0.4%	4.76	3.71	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	33	0	48	246	63	58	3	0%	1.5	19.0%	27.8%	-8.9%	1.6%	4.47	5.89	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	33	0	48	246	63	58	3	0%	1.5	19.0%	27.8%	-8.9%	1.6%	4.47	5.89	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	BOS	33	0	48	246	63	58	3	0%	1.5	25.6%	23.6%	2.0%	1.2%	4.47	4.59	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BOS	47	0	50	210	34	38	6	0%	1.1	16.0%	18.0%	-2.0%	2.7%	6.01	5.89	-0.7
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	50	0	52	220	39	35	6	0%	1.0	17.7%	16.0%	1.7%	2.7%	5.64	5.47	-0.5
2027	21	MLB CTX	BOS	23	0	24	101	16	18	3	0%	1.0	16.0%	18.0%	-2.0%	2.7%	6.01	5.89	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	36	0	38	160	28	26	4	0%	1.1	17.7%	16.0%	1.7%	2.7%	5.64	5.47	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	62	264	45	44	7	0%	1.0	17.1%	16.8%	0.2%	2.7%	5.78	5.26	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	144	141	22	0%	1.1	17.1%	16.8%	0.2%	2.7%	5.78	5.26	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		84	13	142	664	108	149	7	15%	1.7	16.3%	22.4%	-6.2%	1.1%	4.18	5.15	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		118	18	200	935	152	210	10	15%	1.7	16.3%	22.4%	-6.2%	1.1%	4.18	5.15	-2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nicolas De La Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.40	14.2%	20.7%	2.7%	—	5.67	16.9%	-0.1%	102	-0.73	—	—	—
Starlin Savinon L 2023 · 7.01 FIP	18	SU	7.01	14.9%	27.3%	3.1%	.327	3.87	17.2%	2.4%	109	-3.14	3.67	128	87
Gabriel Cotto L 2019 · 5.98 FIP	19	SW	5.98	11.3%	18.4%	2.8%	.309	5.15	18.5%	2.4%	113	-0.83	5.02	236	86
Eduardo Solano L 2017 · 5.64 FIP	20	SU	5.64	12.5%	23.9%	1.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	100	83
Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.48 FIP	20	SU	6.48	17.3%	20.4%	4.1%	.241	4.37	19.6%	2.9%	111	-2.11	3.58	149	83
Jahir Varela L 2018 · 6.03 FIP	20	SU	6.03	11.5%	23.5%	1.7%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	104	82
Gerardo Concepción L 2015 · 5.40 FIP	23	SU	5.40	14.0%	18.5%	2.1%	.352	4.53	16.9%	6.5%	60	-0.87	4.53	104	81
Jose Cabrera L 2018 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	10.0%	13.8%	2.6%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	104	79
Andre Davis L 2015 · 6.34 FIP	21	SU	6.34	13.6%	16.7%	4.2%	.384	4.43	17.5%	9.9%	127	-1.91	4.14	154	78
Jayvien Sandridge L 2019 · 6.78 FIP	20	SU	6.78	19.0%	23.9%	4.1%	.324	3.61	27.9%	5.2%	41	-3.17	3.34	223	78
Daniel Gonzalez L 2022 · 5.66 FIP	20	SU	5.66	16.3%	14.0%	3.9%	.310	4.44	23.2%	1.7%	55	-1.22	4.34	136	77
Adrian Almeida L 2015 · 5.36 FIP	20	SU	5.36	13.9%	27.1%	0.0%	.271	5.06	18.9%	-1.8%	113	-0.30	4.27	188	77
Joe Jacques L 2018 · 5.61 FIP	23	SU	5.61	12.1%	22.2%	1.3%	.265	4.00	18.7%	6.9%	113	-1.61	2.89	356	76
Alex Robinson L 2015 · 5.75 FIP	20	SU	5.75	16.2%	31.7%	0.0%	.312	4.45	23.4%	5.2%	123	-1.30	3.69	135	76
Edison Suriel L 2018 · 6.39 FIP	19	SU	6.39	16.8%	20.5%	3.8%	.341	2.16	21.4%	14.6%	17	-4.23	2.16	159	75
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	74
Graeme Stinson L 2021 · 5.66 FIP	23	SU	5.66	12.6%	12.6%	3.7%	.266	4.14	21.4%	8.7%	101	-1.52	3.56	146	74
Ronald Parra L 2019 · 6.18 FIP	20	SU	6.18	15.9%	34.9%	0.0%	.222	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	114	73
Daiher Hernandez L 2023 · 6.56 FIP	17	SU	6.56	8.5%	33.0%	0.0%	.250	5.54	13.7%	-8.5%	85	-1.02	3.99	100	72
Roberth Fernandez L 2015 · 5.66 FIP	20	SW	5.66	11.4%	16.2%	2.7%	.356	4.92	14.7%	6.3%	60	-0.74	4.92	103	71
Javier Navas L 2017 · 6.10 FIP	19	SW	6.10	11.1%	19.7%	2.6%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	103	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	43	16.3%	17.8%	1.04	5.94
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91