Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 11 | 10 | 33 | 136 | 22 | 20 | 1 | 91% | 3.0 | 11.0% | 18.4% | -7.4% | 1.2% | 3.51 | 5.17 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 11 | 10 | 33 | 136 | 22 | 20 | 1 | 91% | 3.0 | 16.2% | 14.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 3.51 | 3.97 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 6 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 50% | 1.6 | 26.2% | 28.6% | -2.4% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 4.51 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 6 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 50% | 1.6 | 26.2% | 28.6% | -2.4% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 4.60 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 51 | 240 | 48 | 38 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.7% | 18.2% | -3.4% | 0.8% | 4.76 | 4.57 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 51 | 240 | 48 | 38 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.0% | 15.8% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 4.76 | 3.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Salem RidgeYaks | 24 | 0 | 33 | 174 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.1% | 28.5% | -9.3% | 2.2% | 5.13 | 6.32 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BOS | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 16 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.2% | 19.0% | -4.9% | 2.7% | 6.20 | 6.20 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.2% | 19.0% | -4.9% | 2.7% | 6.20 | 6.20 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 60 | 287 | 61 | 64 | 6 | — | — | 21.3% | 22.1% | -0.9% | 2.1% | 5.61 | 6.27 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 16.8% | -0.8% | 2.7% | 5.85 | 5.74 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 16.8% | -0.8% | 2.7% | 5.85 | 5.74 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 16.8% | -0.8% | 2.7% | 5.85 | 5.36 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 130 | 145 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 16.8% | -0.8% | 2.7% | 5.85 | 5.36 | +0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 75 | 13 | 127 | 592 | 95 | 130 | 7 | 17% | 1.7 | 16.0% | 22.0% | -6.0% | 1.2% | 4.32 | 5.22 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 118 | 20 | 200 | 932 | 149 | 205 | 12 | 17% | 1.7 | 16.0% | 22.0% | -6.0% | 1.2% | 4.32 | 5.22 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nicolas De La Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.20 | 14.2% | 19.0% | 2.7% | — | 5.74 | 16.0% | -0.8% | 28 | -0.46 | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Cotto L 2025 · 5.98 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.98 | 11.3% | 18.4% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.15 | 18.5% | 2.4% | 113 | -0.83 | 5.02 | 236 | 86 |
| Peter Bonilla L 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.80 | 17.2% | 24.5% | 1.9% | .316 | 5.63 | 25.3% | 1.4% | 20 | -0.17 | 4.19 | 125 | 85 |
| Jose Meneses L 2026 · 6.28 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.28 | 19.2% | 26.1% | 2.7% | .315 | 2.89 | 24.3% | 13.4% | 38 | -3.39 | 2.89 | 137 | 83 |
| Gregori Louis L 2026 · 6.40 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.40 | 17.3% | 20.4% | 4.0% | .241 | 4.27 | 20.4% | 4.3% | 93 | -2.13 | 3.58 | 131 | 83 |
| Jhon Medina L 2026 · 6.99 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.99 | 14.3% | 22.9% | 4.0% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 167 | 83 |
| Eduardo Solano L 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.64 | 12.5% | 23.9% | 1.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 100 | 82 |
| Jahir Varela L 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.03 | 11.5% | 23.5% | 1.7% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 82 |
| Gerardo Concepción L 2029 · 5.35 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.35 | 14.0% | 18.5% | 2.0% | .352 | 4.75 | 16.9% | 6.5% | 60 | -0.60 | 4.75 | 104 | 81 |
| Alvaro Gamez L 2026 · 7.17 FIP | 20 | SU | 7.17 | 15.0% | 24.3% | 4.1% | .222 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 115 | 80 |
| Yenfri Sosa L 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.19 | 19.0% | 21.3% | 3.6% | .309 | 4.38 | 21.7% | 7.4% | 38 | -1.81 | 2.49 | 128 | 79 |
| Jose Cabrera L 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 19 | SU | 5.41 | 10.0% | 13.8% | 2.6% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 104 | 79 |
| Osbriel Mogollon L 2026 · 6.61 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.61 | 9.9% | 30.5% | 0.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 117 | 79 |
| Eduar Gonzalez L 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.09 | 15.1% | 15.3% | 2.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 124 | 78 |
| Ignacio Briceno L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.23 | 12.7% | 12.9% | 2.9% | .230 | 3.33 | 17.0% | 7.2% | 82 | -1.90 | 2.39 | 156 | 78 |
| Andre Davis L 2027 · 6.34 FIP | 21 | SU | 6.34 | 13.6% | 16.7% | 4.2% | .384 | 4.81 | 17.5% | 9.9% | 127 | -1.53 | 4.14 | 154 | 78 |
| Daniel Gonzalez L 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.33 | 16.3% | 14.0% | 3.3% | .310 | 4.31 | 23.2% | 1.7% | 55 | -1.02 | 4.31 | 136 | 78 |
| Jayvien Sandridge L 2026 · 6.78 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.78 | 19.0% | 23.9% | 4.1% | .324 | 3.61 | 27.9% | 5.2% | 41 | -3.17 | 3.35 | 223 | 78 |
| Manuel Osorio L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.22 | 18.7% | 15.3% | 3.2% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 153 | 77 |
| Nelfri Contreras L 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 19 | SU | 5.05 | 10.1% | 16.1% | 1.4% | .319 | 5.83 | 15.7% | 2.9% | 47 | +0.78 | 3.79 | 140 | 76 |
| Adrian Almeida L 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.36 | 13.9% | 27.1% | 0.0% | .271 | 5.07 | 18.9% | -1.8% | 113 | -0.29 | 4.24 | 188 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 15.1% | 17.9% | 1.05 | 6.02 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |