Fabian LopezSS FCL Marlins
Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 61 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†30
AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .230 / .263
PA61
HR1
K%30
BB%5
BABIP237
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.5-0.52628
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Miami — 220207 38713 9783 155 184228271499 87276 354 221 27 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Miami — 220200 531224 16533 155 265329405734 140340 247 327 109 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Marlins — 214202 29522 10831 203 144188218406 74229 395 175 -8 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Marlins — 214196 40832 16561 203 204268306574 102273 267 260 57 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Marlins — 151139 18401 7833 61 129188180368 50298 555 165 -15 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Marlins — 151134 29711 12563 61 216295306601 90354 378 274 68 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKMIA — 6554 6201 6301 01 111213204417 93200 469 200 11 -7 -0 +0 +1 +2 -0.4
YTD20 ROKMIA — 6551 9302 9211 01 176311353664 176233 3214 287 78 -2 -0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
ROS20 ROKMIA 0% 6157 10201 3181 10 175230263493 88250 305 224 30 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
ROS20 MLBMIA 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 246 —— 213 21 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL20 ROKMIA — 6555 6201 6301 01 109213200413 91192 469 200 11 -7 -0 +0 +1 +2 -0.4
TOT20 ROKMIA — 126111 16402 9482 11 144221234456 90222 387 212 20 -11 -0 +0 +1 +4 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBMIA 34% 209193 37813 12612 41 192246290537 98257 296 242 44 -13 +0 +0 +2 +6 -0.5
202822 MLBMIA 48% 333305 601226 21944 62 197258308566 111260 286 253 52 -18 +0 +0 +4 +9 -0.5
202721 MLBMIA 34% 7267 12301 4211 10 179236269505 90252 296 231 35 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
202822 MLBMIA 48% 161148 29613 10452 31 196256311567 115256 286 241 43 -10 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 233216 41914 14663 41 190250296546 106252 286 238 40 -16 +0 +0 +2 +7 -0.6
/ 162G— — 650603 11425311 391848 113 189249295544 106251 286 238 40 -44 +1 +0 +7 +18 -1.8
Career— — 11881103 19238616 6241714 5212 174227263490 89260 355 219 25 -100 +6 +0 +13 +34 -4.9
/ 162G— — 650603 1052139 342288 287 174228264492 90259 355 219 25 -55 +3 +0 +7 +18 -2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Miami — 220200 531224 16533 155 265329405734 140340 247 327 109 +2 +1 — — +6 1.0
202418 ROKFCL Marlins — 214196 40832 16561 203 204268306574 102273 267 260 57 -10 +3 — — +6 -0.2
202519 ROKFCL Marlins — 151134 29711 12563 61 216295306601 90354 378 274 68 -5 +1 — — +4 -0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
235957194246290+4+6-0.8-0.4
/162664912+7.1+11.1-1.5pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Fabian Lopez (OGILVIE) 20 20 25 50 30 144/221/234 90222 21 38% 7% 20 -0.7 ————————— —————————
✕Julio Garcia
2017 · A 		20 36→34 34→40 52→40 34 175/212/226 51267 212 34% 4% 11 -4.4 185/221/253 68293 34 36% 4% 23 -3.6 167/199/227602733239%3%5-2.5
✕Jansy Infante
2006 · A 		20 38 34→30 49→50 41 184/230/237 53251 29 27% 6% 23 -3.6 208/245/272 64260 49 20% 5% 38 -2.6 235/261/2865228151218%3%44-0.7
✕Ricky Aracena
2018 · A 		20 39→36 36→30 47→55 34 191/220/252 61269 412 30% 3% 21 -3.7 193/233/254 61267 514 28% 4% 28 -3.2 179/226/2416325642030%5%20-2.3
✕Didimo Bracho
2017 · A 		20 35 37→30 48→60 34 172/222/242 69271 513 37% 5% 21 -3.7 195/244/300 105293 86 34% 5% 46 -2.0 181/230/32114025111332%5%41-0.6
✕Martin Serrata
2009 · A 		20 39 35→30 49→60 40 187/227/243 56247 313 25% 5% 23 -3.6 210/251/260 50275 219 23% 5% 37 -2.6 218/257/2533528102621%4%35-1.0
✕Varonex Cuevas
2012 · A 		20 37 34→30 45→50 46 176/250/229 54252 29 29% 9% 30 -3.1 202/263/262 60274 212 25% 7% 44 -2.1 200/265/2515126511523%8%39-0.9
✕Nolan Perez
2019 · A 		20 36 38→40 45→40 36 178/228/253 74267 54 34% 5% 27 -3.3 191/230/273 82324 65 41% 4% 33 -2.9 174/195/256813036144%2%11-1.4
✕Gabriel Ovalle
2015 · A 		20 36 35→40 57→60 41 173/225/241 68239 115 27% 6% 22 -3.7 188/252/246 58261 115 26% 7% 35 -2.8 179/270/2163722403218%9%34-0.9
✕Cristhian Vasquez
2017 · A 		20 32 38→30 49→50 42 161/225/240 79224 68 30% 7% 23 -3.6 195/251/268 73259 49 25% 6% 40 -2.4 190/244/2485824721122%5%30-1.4
✕Rockny Martinez
2013 · A 		21 39 35→30 50 38 184/241/238 54259 210 29% 5% 29 -3.2 210/259/268 58278 211 24% 5% 43 -2.2 227/267/2593228701420%4%40-0.8
✕Fernando Garcia
2009 · A 		21 39 36→30 51→55 40 188/245/251 63268 317 30% 6% 33 -2.9 208/276/272 64281 218 24% 8% 52 -1.6 207/282/2665827612223%8%50-0.8
✕Luis Ravelo
2023 · A 		19 39→32 36→30 47→45 42 185/246/248 63264 37 30% 7% 33 -2.9 175/237/242 67286 54 38% 7% 28 -3.2 159/223/218592635239%7%15-2.2
✕Luis García
2021 · A 		20 37 38→40 44→45 39 181/233/256 75261 68 32% 6% 30 -3.1 180/265/285 105270 1010 34% 9% 53 -1.5 159/257/259101239111035%10%41-1.1
✕Hansel Moreno
2017 · A 		20 44→30 37→45 50 41 207/257/284 76292 410 29% 6% 46 -2.0 201/246/295 94305 815 35% 5% 45 -2.1 181/225/2729127991837%5%28-1.8
✕Deivis Nadal
2022 · A 		20 39 35→40 46→55 38 186/250/240 55271 311 31% 5% 34 -2.8 173/252/259 86311 618 42% 8% 40 -2.4 145/233/2409627882346%9%25-1.4
✕Wilfri Peralta
2021 · A 		20 39 37→30 49→45 41 187/252/257 70282 412 33% 7% 39 -2.5 190/251/265 75342 48 42% 6% 40 -2.4 140/182/186462900049%5%-14-1.7
✕Estarlin De Los Santos
2007 · A 		20 41→40 36→40 53→55 41 194/255/261 68274 313 29% 6% 41 -2.3 211/260/280 69297 317 28% 5% 47 -1.9 219/264/2897030521927%4%47-0.9
✕Herson Perez
2017 · A 		20 42 36→30 48→55 42 195/256/262 66287 313 31% 7% 41 -2.3 207/271/259 52276 214 23% 7% 46 -2.0 232/287/2582628702018%6%49-0.7
✕Yeison Coca
2019 · A 		20 44→29 37→40 50 35 208/239/281 73297 312 31% 4% 37 -2.6 179/231/248 69297 413 39% 6% 27 -3.3 154/215/2105626431540%7%9-2.7
✕Jeison Guzmán
2019 · A 		20 40→42 36→45 52→50 40 194/244/260 66269 414 28% 6% 35 -2.8 207/246/297 90277 712 27% 4% 45 -2.1 199/247/312113276111031%5%47-1.2