Fabian LopezSS
FCL Marlins
Age 20
S/R
6'0" / 165 lbs
ROK
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.5 · 2032
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .254 / .296
PA126
HR2
K%33
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
25→25
SPD
50→50
EYE
38↘30
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.5peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2033 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +1.5 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2034 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +1.4 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2035 | Arb-1 | $2M | +1.2 | $13M | +$10M |
| 2036 | Arb-2 | $3M | +0.9 | $5M | +$1M |
| 2037 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.7 | $4M | +$0.4M |
| Totals | $12M | $65M | +$52M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 220 | 207 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 77 | 3 | 15 | 5 | .184 | .228 | .271 | .499 | .087 | .273 | 35 | 4 | .219 | 26 | -18 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 214 | 202 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 82 | 1 | 20 | 3 | .144 | .188 | .218 | .406 | .074 | .227 | 38 | 5 | .174 | -9 | -26 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -1.5 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 151 | 139 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 84 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .129 | .188 | .180 | .368 | .050 | .304 | 56 | 5 | .164 | -16 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | MIA | 126 | 116 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .190 | .248 | .293 | .541 | .103 | .281 | 33 | 6 | .251 | 50 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | MIA | 209 | 190 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .205 | .271 | .321 | .592 | .116 | .283 | 31 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | MIA | 333 | 300 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 99 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .213 | .285 | .347 | .632 | .133 | .285 | 30 | 8 | .283 | 74 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | MIA | 416 | 373 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 120 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .220 | .295 | .362 | .657 | .142 | .285 | 29 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | MIA | 473 | 424 | 93 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 134 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .219 | .296 | .363 | .659 | .144 | .286 | 28 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | MIA | 505 | 450 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 143 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .220 | .298 | .364 | .662 | .144 | .287 | 28 | 9 | .298 | 87 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | MIA | 523 | 465 | 104 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 47 | 148 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .224 | .303 | .376 | .679 | .153 | .287 | 28 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 529 | 470 | 105 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 150 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .223 | .303 | .374 | .678 | .151 | .287 | 28 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 529 | 470 | 103 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 48 | 151 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .219 | .300 | .366 | .666 | .147 | .287 | 29 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -8 | +2 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 522 | 463 | 100 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 150 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .216 | .298 | .356 | .654 | .140 | .286 | 29 | 9 | .297 | 85 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 1.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 513 | 455 | 98 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 47 | 149 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .215 | .297 | .358 | .655 | .143 | .284 | 29 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +15 | 0.9 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 500 | 445 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 46 | 148 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .211 | .292 | .348 | .641 | .137 | .283 | 30 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -11 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 483 | 431 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 145 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .209 | .290 | .341 | .631 | .132 | .281 | 30 | 9 | .285 | 77 | -13 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +14 | 0.4 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 454 | 405 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 140 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .205 | .286 | .333 | .619 | .128 | .279 | 31 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 408 | 364 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 129 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .198 | .279 | .319 | .598 | .121 | .277 | 32 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -15 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +12 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7108 | 6369 | 1333 | 254 | 33 | 176 | 601 | 2155 | 79 | 154 | 26 | .209 | .286 | .342 | .628 | .133 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -209 | +20 | -20 | +76 | +201 | 7.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 122 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 197 | 7 | 14 | 2 | .210 | .285 | .342 | .627 | .132 | .285 | 30 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -19 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 220 | 200 | 53 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 53 | 3 | 15 | 5 | .265 | .329 | .405 | .734 | .140 | .340 | 24 | 7 | .327 | 109 | +2 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 214 | 196 | 40 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 56 | 1 | 20 | 3 | .204 | .268 | .306 | .574 | .102 | .273 | 26 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -10 | +3 | — | — | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Marlins | 151 | 134 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 56 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .216 | .295 | .306 | .601 | .090 | .354 | 37 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +4 | -0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Fabian Lopez (OGILVIE) | 20 | 20 | 25 | 50 | 30 | .193/.254/.296 | .102 | .281 | 2 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 50 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A |
19 | 39 | 35→30 | 49→55 | 44 | .184/.249/.245 | .061 | .269 | 3 | 14 | 31% | 8% | 34 | -2.8 | .201/.291/.247 | .046 | .283 | 1 | 15 | 26% | 10% | 53 | -1.5 | .210/.308/.237 | .027 | .280 | 0 | 17 | 22% | 11% | 56 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A |
20 | 38 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .183/.271/.272 | .089 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.265/.267 | .077 | .298 | 5 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A |
19 | 43 | 38→30 | 52→60 | 41 | .205/.262/.288 | .083 | .287 | 4 | 12 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .223/.282/.290 | .067 | .291 | 2 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .224/.333/.269 | .045 | .305 | 1 | 34 | 23% | 14% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Nolan Perez 2019 · A |
20 | 36 | 38→40 | 45→40 | 36 | .180/.232/.256 | .076 | .265 | 6 | 4 | 33% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .189/.227/.270 | .081 | .319 | 6 | 4 | 40% | 4% | 30 | -3.1 | .174/.195/.256 | .081 | .303 | 6 | 1 | 44% | 2% | 11 | -1.4 |
|
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A |
20 | 39 | 35→30 | 48→55 | 46 | .185/.261/.242 | .057 | .273 | 2 | 15 | 31% | 9% | 39 | -2.5 | .196/.268/.256 | .060 | .273 | 3 | 15 | 26% | 8% | 45 | -2.1 | .195/.275/.253 | .057 | .274 | 2 | 17 | 27% | 9% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A |
20 | 38→43 | 40→45 | 54→50 | 40 | .186/.249/.285 | .099 | .276 | 6 | 8 | 33% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .202/.269/.315 | .113 | .278 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .202/.273/.316 | .115 | .271 | 10 | 14 | 28% | 8% | 60 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A |
20 | 40 | 34→30 | 50→55 | 45 | .186/.262/.242 | .056 | .286 | 2 | 15 | 33% | 9% | 39 | -2.5 | .194/.260/.258 | .064 | .316 | 2 | 14 | 36% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .183/.249/.232 | .049 | .297 | 0 | 21 | 35% | 6% | 27 | -0.8 |
|
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A |
20 | 42 | 36→40 | 51→60 | 45 | .197/.267/.267 | .070 | .277 | 2 | 10 | 28% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .224/.288/.307 | .083 | .291 | 3 | 18 | 22% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .245/.308/.338 | .094 | .307 | 3 | 28 | 20% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A |
19 | 36 | 41→45 | 47→60 | 41 | .181/.239/.272 | .091 | .247 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .219/.271/.301 | .082 | .284 | 7 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .234/.281/.297 | .063 | .300 | 5 | 24 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -0.3 |
|
✕Anderson Feliz 2012 · A |
20 | 37→47 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 39 | .185/.236/.273 | .088 | .270 | 6 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 35 | -2.8 | .200/.257/.290 | .090 | .310 | 6 | 13 | 35% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .202/.263/.288 | .086 | .324 | 6 | 16 | 37% | 8% | 48 | -0.4 |
|
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 40→45 | 55 | 44 | .197/.264/.289 | .093 | .275 | 8 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .236/.299/.340 | .104 | .314 | 7 | 24 | 25% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .253/.315/.362 | .109 | .325 | 7 | 28 | 23% | 8% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
✕Adenson Chourio 2006 · A |
20 | 44 | 35→30 | 49→60 | 39 | .200/.261/.261 | .061 | .315 | 3 | 17 | 35% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .232/.300/.281 | .049 | .298 | 1 | 29 | 21% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .253/.325/.287 | .034 | .313 | 1 | 39 | 18% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A |
20 | 37 | 39→50 | 46→40 | 43 | .184/.248/.266 | .082 | .262 | 6 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .201/.259/.304 | .103 | .292 | 9 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .199/.252/.334 | .135 | .265 | 13 | 4 | 29% | 5% | 55 | -0.7 |
|
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A |
20 | 36 | 37→30 | 49→60 | 37 | .177/.233/.245 | .068 | .270 | 5 | 16 | 35% | 5% | 27 | -3.3 | .192/.240/.296 | .104 | .291 | 8 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .181/.230/.321 | .140 | .251 | 11 | 3 | 32% | 5% | 41 | -0.6 |
|
✕Chace Numata 2013 · A |
20 | 44 | 37→40 | 49→40 | 44 | .208/.272/.282 | .074 | .287 | 4 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .213/.262/.285 | .072 | .257 | 5 | 5 | 18% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .250/.301/.323 | .073 | .295 | 3 | 2 | 16% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A |
20 | 36 | 38→45 | 48→45 | 35 | .179/.228/.252 | .073 | .269 | 5 | 6 | 34% | 4% | 27 | -3.3 | .207/.261/.286 | .079 | .276 | 5 | 5 | 26% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .217/.275/.301 | .085 | .280 | 4 | 3 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Anderson Tejeda 2018 · A |
20 | 40→38 | 42→45 | 50 | 36 | .196/.240/.313 | .118 | .293 | 8 | 8 | 35% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .196/.243/.311 | .115 | .315 | 11 | 10 | 39% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .167/.219/.275 | .107 | .284 | 13 | 13 | 44% | 6% | 26 | -1.9 |
|
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A |
19 | 40 | 36→30 | 48→50 | 45 | .190/.258/.255 | .065 | .266 | 4 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .207/.263/.250 | .043 | .259 | 1 | 14 | 19% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .233/.291/.254 | .020 | .278 | 0 | 16 | 15% | 7% | 50 | -0.6 |