Angel Liranzo

P FCL Phillies

Age 20 LHP 6'1" / 172 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.8 · 2033

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1347ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	APHI	1	0	2	3.86	5.24	18.2%	27.3%	—	K 18.2% · BB 27.3% · FIP 5.02
2025	18	MIX2 levels	17	14	74	3.87	4.22	17.9%	8.5%	—	K 12.4% · BB 10.4% · FIP 5.49
2026	19	MIX2 levels	15	11	49	7.03	5.07	22.7%	12.2%	—	K 16.0% · BB 14.4% · FIP 5.98
2027PROJ	20	MLBPHI	—	—	0	5.83	5.83	13.1%	13.8%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBPHI	5	5	25	5.67	5.59	15.2%	12.7%	-0.0
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBPHI	7	7	36	5.39	5.27	17.1%	11.7%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control45Command35

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 97%

CompsWilgenis Alvarado (age 19) · Carlos Meza (age 20) · Gabriel Agostini (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128136vR 144

ERA5.83

FIP5.83

K%13.1%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%-0.6%

Proj IP30

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.1M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	10	4	30	107	30	8	0	40%	3.0	19.1%	9.3%	9.7%	0.0%	0.89	2.67	—
2023	16	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	10	4	30	107	30	8	0	40%	3.0	28.0%	7.5%	20.6%	0.0%	0.89	1.91	—
2024	17	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	2	11	2	3	0	0%	2.3	18.2%	27.3%	-9.1%	0.0%	3.86	5.02	—
2024	17	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	2	11	2	3	0	0%	2.3	18.2%	27.3%	-9.1%	0.0%	3.86	5.02	—
2024	17	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	1	0	2	11	2	3	0	0%	2.3	18.2%	27.3%	-9.1%	0.0%	3.86	5.24	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	14	74	330	59	28	9	82%	4.4	12.4%	10.4%	2.0%	3.9%	3.87	5.49	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	14	74	330	59	28	9	82%	4.4	12.4%	10.4%	2.0%	3.9%	3.87	5.49	—
2025	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	14	74	330	59	28	9	82%	4.4	17.9%	8.5%	9.4%	2.7%	3.87	4.22	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	49	238	54	29	9	73%	3.2	16.0%	14.4%	1.6%	4.4%	7.03	5.98	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	49	238	54	29	9	73%	3.2	16.0%	14.4%	1.6%	4.4%	7.03	5.98	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	11	49	238	54	29	9	73%	3.2	22.7%	12.2%	10.5%	3.8%	7.03	5.07	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	PHI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	13.1%	13.8%	-0.6%	3.1%	5.83	5.83	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PHI	10	10	50	211	32	27	6	100%	5.0	15.2%	12.7%	2.6%	3.0%	5.55	5.47	-0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	PHI	10	10	50	211	36	25	6	100%	5.0	17.1%	11.7%	5.4%	3.0%	5.27	5.15	+0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	PHI	9	9	50	211	39	23	6	100%	5.6	18.3%	11.1%	7.2%	2.9%	5.07	4.96	+0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	PHI	9	9	50	211	40	23	6	100%	5.6	19.0%	10.8%	8.2%	2.9%	4.93	4.84	+0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	PHI	8	8	48	202	39	21	6	100%	6.0	19.3%	10.7%	8.7%	2.9%	4.84	4.79	+0.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	PHI	8	8	48	202	39	21	6	100%	6.0	19.5%	10.6%	8.9%	2.9%	4.79	4.76	+0.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	PHI	8	8	47	198	39	21	6	100%	5.8	19.5%	10.7%	8.8%	2.9%	4.80	4.80	+0.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	PHI	7	7	45	189	37	21	6	100%	6.4	19.4%	10.8%	8.6%	3.0%	4.85	4.89	+0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	PHI	7	7	42	177	34	20	6	100%	6.0	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	3.2%	4.95	5.02	+0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	PHI	6	6	38	163	31	18	6	100%	6.4	18.8%	11.4%	7.4%	3.4%	5.10	5.19	+0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	PHI	5	5	25	106	16	13	3	100%	5.0	15.2%	12.7%	2.6%	3.3%	5.67	5.59	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	PHI	7	7	36	152	26	18	5	100%	5.1	17.1%	11.7%	5.4%	3.2%	5.39	5.27	+0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	PHI	8	8	42	177	32	20	6	100%	5.2	18.3%	11.1%	7.2%	3.2%	5.19	5.08	+0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	PHI	8	8	45	190	36	21	6	100%	5.6	19.0%	10.8%	8.2%	3.1%	5.05	4.96	+0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	PHI	8	8	44	186	36	20	6	100%	5.5	19.3%	10.7%	8.7%	3.1%	4.96	4.91	+0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	PHI	8	8	45	190	37	20	6	100%	5.6	19.5%	10.6%	8.9%	3.1%	4.91	4.88	+0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	PHI	7	7	44	186	36	20	6	100%	6.3	19.5%	10.7%	8.8%	3.2%	4.92	4.92	+0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	PHI	7	7	43	182	35	20	6	100%	6.1	19.4%	10.8%	8.6%	3.3%	4.97	5.01	+0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	PHI	7	7	40	169	32	19	6	100%	5.7	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	3.4%	5.08	5.15	+0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	PHI	6	6	37	156	29	18	6	100%	6.2	18.8%	11.4%	7.4%	3.6%	5.24	5.33	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		70	70	400	1688	316	187	55	100%	5.7	18.7%	11.1%	7.7%	3.2%	5.10	4.70	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	158	94	28	100%	5.7	18.7%	11.1%	7.7%	3.2%	5.10	4.70	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		43	29	156	686	101	82	23	67%	3.6	14.8%	11.9%	2.9%	3.4%	4.28	5.22	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	37	200	881	130	105	30	67%	3.6	14.8%	11.9%	2.9%	3.4%	4.28	5.22	+1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Phillies · 39 IPFIP 4.29 → 5.98 (+1.69)K% 23.6% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.56%	—	×0.680	16.02%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.52%	—	×1.250	14.40%
HR / BF /BF	3.14%	÷1.000	×1.400	4.40%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.29 → 5.98, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AClearwater Threshers · 9 IPFIP 6.87 → 8.68 (+1.81)K% 19.1% → 14.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.15%	—	×0.740	14.17%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	14.89%	—	×1.180	17.57%
HR / BF /BF	6.38%	÷1.000	×1.300	8.30%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 6.87 → 8.68, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Phillies · 55 IPFIP 3.80 → 5.28 (+1.48)K% 19.2% → 13.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.17%	—	×0.680	13.03%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.50%	—	×1.250	9.38%
HR / BF /BF	2.50%	÷0.917	×1.400	3.82%

Result: FIP 3.80 → 5.28, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AClearwater Threshers · 19 IPFIP 5.12 → 6.05 (+0.94)K% 14.4% → 10.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	14.44%	—	×0.740	10.69%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.11%	—	×1.180	13.11%
HR / BF /BF	3.33%	÷1.083	×1.300	4.00%

Result: FIP 5.12 → 6.05, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKDSL Phillies White · 30 IPFIP 1.68 → 2.67 (+0.99)K% 28.0% → 19.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	28.04%	—	×0.680	19.07%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.48%	—	×1.250	9.35%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.794	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 1.68 → 2.67, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Liranzo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.83	13.1%	13.8%	3.1%	—	5.19	16.9%	5.1%	150	-0.64	—	—	—
Wilgenis Alvarado L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	19	SP-	4.88	10.5%	11.0%	2.3%	.289	5.43	14.8%	-3.3%	80	+0.55	4.70	122	86
Carlos Meza L 2021 · 5.03 FIP	20	SP-	5.03	15.5%	12.2%	3.1%	.325	4.67	20.6%	4.4%	138	-0.36	3.72	229	84
Gabriel Agostini L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	19	SP-	5.14	13.5%	12.4%	2.9%	.246	5.63	9.5%	-16.8%	12	+0.49	1.97	122	84
Colin Schmid L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SP-	4.81	11.8%	9.7%	2.7%	.298	4.10	15.2%	5.7%	125	-0.71	3.24	191	84
Salvador Montano L 2015 · 5.23 FIP	21	SP-	5.23	11.5%	15.9%	2.0%	.301	4.65	21.3%	-0.0%	71	-0.58	4.44	116	83
Gregory Reinoso L 2016 · 5.11 FIP	20	SP-	5.11	12.3%	15.6%	1.9%	.299	6.70	11.3%	-7.8%	29	+1.59	4.18	105	81
Parker Rigler L 2017 · 6.33 FIP	22	SP-	6.33	13.8%	13.3%	5.0%	.318	4.59	14.5%	4.0%	140	-1.74	4.59	192	80
Jared Tobey L 2018 · 5.39 FIP	22	SP	5.39	11.9%	15.1%	2.5%	.289	4.05	22.3%	10.4%	97	-1.34	3.99	158	80
Lane Ratliff L 2017 · 6.08 FIP	22	SP-	6.08	12.0%	12.8%	4.3%	.344	3.25	15.9%	7.7%	80	-2.83	2.85	109	78
Juan Pablo Lopez L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	18	SP-	5.05	8.4%	13.1%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	115	78
Josue Arias L 2024 · 6.86 FIP	19	SP	6.86	13.8%	28.1%	2.5%	.250	7.30	9.3%	-30.1%	13	+0.44	4.73	114	78
Miguel Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	14.3%	21.8%	1.7%	.240	4.24	14.9%	-4.1%	64	-1.34	3.91	103	77
Maikel Sepulveda L 2017 · 4.78 FIP	20	SW	4.78	10.5%	11.5%	2.0%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	125	77
Wander Cabrera L 2018 · 6.97 FIP	20	SP-	6.97	11.9%	16.7%	5.0%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	135	77
Mike Gosling L 2004 · 5.85 FIP	23	SP-	5.85	12.5%	10.7%	4.5%	.259	4.56	14.4%	2.7%	65	-1.29	4.44	116	77
Lucas Gilbreath L 2017 · 5.60 FIP	21	SP	5.60	11.5%	17.8%	2.2%	.281	4.37	16.9%	7.4%	260	-1.23	3.17	431	77
Max Roberts L 2017 · 4.79 FIP	20	SP-	4.79	10.7%	9.9%	2.5%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	173	77
Brandon Herbold L 2024 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP-	6.27	17.2%	17.6%	4.3%	.296	5.06	19.8%	-3.9%	44	-1.21	3.72	105	77
Dennis Herrera L 2019 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	14.8%	16.0%	2.0%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	124	76
Luis Cesar L 2024 · 6.24 FIP	20	SP	6.24	13.2%	19.8%	3.2%	.163	5.28	15.6%	-9.7%	44	-0.96	4.84	131	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	45	18.2%	11.3%	1.17	5.07
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.6	51	21.6%	10.5%	1.24	4.71
Scott Eyre ('09)	3.2	59	18.6%	11.5%	1.15	4.23
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dennis Powell ('85-'93, -2 WAR*)	1.7	49	17.6%*	10.1%*	1.18*	5.31*