Angel Liranzo
P
FCL Phillies
Age 19
LHP
6'1" / 172 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.1 · 2032
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 48 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129138vR 147
ERA5.73
FIP5.73
K%11.7%
BB%12.2%
K-BB%-0.4%
ROS IP48
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 10 | 4 | 30 | 107 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 40% | 3.0 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.89 | 2.67 | — |
| 2023 | 16 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 10 | 4 | 30 | 107 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 40% | 3.0 | 28.0% | 7.5% | 20.6% | 0.0% | 0.89 | 1.91 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 2.3 | 18.2% | 27.3% | -9.1% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 5.02 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 2.3 | 18.2% | 27.3% | -9.1% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 5.24 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 14 | 74 | 330 | 59 | 28 | 9 | 82% | 4.4 | 12.4% | 10.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.87 | 5.60 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 14 | 74 | 330 | 59 | 28 | 9 | 82% | 4.4 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 3.87 | 4.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 11 | 9 | 40 | 191 | 45 | 22 | 6 | 82% | 3.6 | 15.7% | 14.4% | 1.3% | 4.6% | 6.53 | 6.14 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 48 | 201 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 4.3 | 11.7% | 12.2% | -0.4% | 3.1% | 5.73 | 5.73 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.7% | 12.2% | -0.4% | 3.1% | 5.76 | 5.76 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 88 | 392 | 69 | 46 | 12 | — | — | 17.5% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 6.09 | 5.91 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 50 | 211 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 5.0 | 14.2% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.47 | 5.39 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 52 | 222 | 35 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 15.9% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.25 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 55 | 233 | 41 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.0 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.04 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 57 | 242 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.78 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 59 | 247 | 47 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.77 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 59 | 250 | 48 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.69 | 4.63 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 59 | 250 | 49 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 58 | 247 | 48 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 5 | 25 | 106 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 5.0 | 14.2% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.50 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 7 | 38 | 160 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.9% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.28 | 5.19 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 46 | 194 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 5.07 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 51 | 215 | 40 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 18.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 54 | 228 | 43 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 18.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 45 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 46 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 45 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 69 | 69 | 382 | 1613 | 295 | 164 | 47 | 100% | 5.5 | 18.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.44 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 154 | 86 | 25 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 39 | 27 | 147 | 639 | 93 | 75 | 22 | 69% | 3.8 | 14.6% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.98 | 5.26 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 37 | 200 | 869 | 127 | 102 | 30 | 69% | 3.8 | 14.6% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.98 | 5.26 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Angel Liranzo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.73 | 11.7% | 12.2% | 3.1% | — | 5.15 | 15.9% | 4.9% | 158 | -0.58 | — | — | — |
| Wilgenis Alvarado L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.88 | 10.5% | 11.0% | 2.3% | .289 | 5.49 | 14.8% | -3.3% | 80 | +0.61 | 4.81 | 122 | 89 |
| Jacob Heatherly L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.14 | 11.6% | 13.8% | 2.3% | .315 | 6.27 | 18.1% | -9.1% | 39 | +1.13 | 4.49 | 192 | 88 |
| Luis Guzman L 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.81 | 11.7% | 14.0% | 1.7% | .307 | 4.41 | 14.7% | 8.8% | 59 | -0.40 | 4.41 | 116 | 87 |
| Gabriel Agostini L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.14 | 13.5% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .246 | 5.63 | 9.5% | -16.8% | 12 | +0.49 | 1.97 | 122 | 86 |
| Colin Schmid L 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.81 | 11.8% | 9.7% | 2.7% | .298 | 4.01 | 15.2% | 5.7% | 125 | -0.80 | 3.24 | 191 | 86 |
| Oddanier Mosqueda L 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 18 | SP | 5.29 | 11.5% | 15.0% | 2.3% | .354 | 3.65 | 22.8% | 11.7% | 52 | -1.64 | 3.05 | 433 | 81 |
| Jared Miller L 2028 · 5.51 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.51 | 11.2% | 13.2% | 3.1% | .320 | 3.66 | 25.3% | 10.2% | 168 | -1.85 | 2.39 | 228 | 80 |
| Matt Tenuta L 2028 · 4.85 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.85 | 12.0% | 9.5% | 2.8% | .294 | 4.53 | 15.2% | 6.4% | 278 | -0.32 | 2.88 | 421 | 79 |
| Franco Zabaleta L 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.93 | 13.5% | 14.2% | 4.0% | .393 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 128 | 79 |
| Juan Pablo Lopez L 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.05 | 8.4% | 13.1% | 1.8% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 115 | 78 |
| Jared Tobey L 2029 · 5.39 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.39 | 11.9% | 15.1% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.29 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 97 | -1.10 | 4.11 | 158 | 78 |
| Alfredo Garcia L 2026 · 6.73 FIP | 19 | SP | 6.73 | 8.4% | 12.0% | 5.1% | .309 | 4.20 | 18.7% | 7.7% | 90 | -2.53 | 2.93 | 186 | 78 |
| Hayden Frank L 2029 · 5.47 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.47 | 12.4% | 11.5% | 3.6% | .377 | 5.29 | 17.2% | 3.0% | 53 | -0.18 | 5.29 | 109 | 77 |
| Roger Santana L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.74 | 11.3% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .336 | 4.84 | 12.4% | 2.2% | 59 | +0.10 | 2.93 | 216 | 77 |
| Salvador Montano L 2028 · 5.23 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.5% | 15.9% | 2.0% | .301 | 4.60 | 21.3% | -0.0% | 71 | -0.63 | 4.37 | 116 | 77 |
| Jairo Pacheco L 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.96 | 13.1% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.76 | 12.0% | 3.3% | 62 | -0.20 | 3.53 | 133 | 76 |
| Matt Imhof L 2028 · 4.99 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.99 | 13.6% | 13.5% | 2.4% | .282 | 5.73 | 15.9% | -5.4% | 53 | +0.74 | 4.99 | 131 | 76 |
| Travis Seabrooke L 2028 · 5.15 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.15 | 12.0% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.56 | 14.7% | 3.7% | 97 | -0.59 | 3.84 | 198 | 76 |
| Robert Garcia L 2028 · 6.54 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.54 | 12.0% | 12.9% | 5.1% | .382 | 4.07 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 96 | -2.47 | 2.21 | 452 | 76 |
| Avery Short L 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.80 | 15.9% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .368 | 5.02 | 16.8% | 7.7% | 231 | +0.22 | 4.31 | 460 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 9 | 55 | 17.4% | 10.4% | 1.12 | 4.98 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |