Johan EstradaC
DSL Tigers 1
Age 20
R/R
5'11" / 170 lbs
ROK
HR +5%H +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.5 · 2032
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .270 / .299
PA57
HR1
K%30
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.5peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.5 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.5 | $25M | +$24M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.4 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +2.2 | $23M | +$19M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +2.0 | $22M | +$15M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +1.6 | $18M | +$10M |
| Totals | $21M | $135M | +$114M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 61 | 54 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .111 | .213 | .148 | .361 | .037 | .240 | 48 | 11 | .177 | -6 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 92 | 79 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 0 | 8 | 2 | .139 | .261 | .253 | .514 | .114 | .204 | 32 | 14 | .236 | 39 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | DET | 57 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .212 | .281 | .308 | .588 | .096 | .289 | 30 | 7 | .261 | 58 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | DET | 118 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .291 | .330 | .621 | .113 | .292 | 29 | 8 | .284 | 75 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | DET | 262 | 234 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 72 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .222 | .300 | .355 | .655 | .132 | .293 | 27 | 9 | .297 | 85 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | DET | 366 | 326 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 99 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .227 | .306 | .371 | .677 | .144 | .294 | 27 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | DET | 437 | 389 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 116 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .231 | .311 | .380 | .692 | .149 | .295 | 27 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | DET | 479 | 426 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 127 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .232 | .313 | .385 | .698 | .153 | .295 | 27 | 9 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 2.3 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | DET | 504 | 446 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 48 | 133 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .233 | .315 | .388 | .703 | .155 | .296 | 26 | 10 | .315 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | DET | 515 | 454 | 105 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 136 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .231 | .316 | .383 | .699 | .152 | .296 | 26 | 10 | .315 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | DET | 518 | 457 | 105 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 138 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .230 | .314 | .381 | .695 | .151 | .296 | 27 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.4 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | DET | 513 | 453 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 138 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .230 | .313 | .382 | .695 | .152 | .295 | 27 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | DET | 505 | 445 | 101 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 138 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .227 | .312 | .373 | .685 | .146 | .293 | 27 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | DET | 478 | 423 | 95 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 133 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .225 | .309 | .369 | .678 | .144 | .292 | 28 | 10 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | DET | 447 | 396 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 126 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .222 | .306 | .366 | .672 | .144 | .290 | 28 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +8 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | DET | 407 | 360 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 118 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .214 | .300 | .344 | .644 | .131 | .289 | 29 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | DET | 354 | 314 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 105 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .293 | .334 | .628 | .124 | .287 | 30 | 10 | .289 | 79 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +6 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | DET | 296 | 263 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .209 | .293 | .338 | .631 | .129 | .285 | 31 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +5 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | DET | 238 | 212 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .280 | .311 | .591 | .113 | .282 | 32 | 9 | .272 | 67 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +7 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6647 | 5889 | 1308 | 227 | 40 | 175 | 639 | 1855 | 66 | 95 | 15 | .222 | .305 | .363 | .669 | .141 | .291 | 28 | 10 | .302 | 89 | -81 | +13 | -31 | +119 | +188 | 21.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 576 | 128 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 62 | 181 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .222 | .304 | .363 | .667 | .141 | .291 | 28 | 10 | .302 | 89 | -8 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 2.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 61 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .184 | .344 | .224 | .569 | .041 | .310 | 33 | 20 | .283 | 75 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 92 | 71 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 2 | .211 | .391 | .408 | .800 | .197 | .265 | 22 | 23 | .365 | 137 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Johan Estrada (OGILVIE) | 20 | — | — | — | — | .204/.270/.299 | .095 | .289 | 1 | 1 | 30% | 7% | 58 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Derek Norris 2009 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 42→55 | 49→50 | 43 | .194/.269/.300 | .106 | .295 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .209/.301/.372 | .163 | .281 | 20 | 6 | 31% | 11% | 91 | +1.1 | .254/.332/.403 | .149 | .311 | 15 | 5 | 22% | 10% | 106 | +1.6 |
|
●Alex Liddi 2009 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 40→60 | 49→50 | 38 | .202/.249/.300 | .098 | .290 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .240/.291/.399 | .159 | .335 | 16 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .241/.296/.424 | .182 | .336 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 |
|
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A |
20 | 42→46 | 40→50 | 46→45 | 45 | .200/.274/.295 | .095 | .288 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .227/.293/.378 | .151 | .302 | 17 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .224/.290/.376 | .152 | .290 | 17 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 83 | +0.5 |
|
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A |
20 | 42→49 | 38→55 | 49→30 | 44 | .201/.271/.276 | .075 | .277 | 5 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .207/.270/.291 | .084 | .263 | 6 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .228/.285/.376 | .148 | .288 | 19 | 0 | 27% | 7% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A |
20 | 37→45 | 43→55 | 44→50 | 39 | .188/.245/.301 | .113 | .275 | 11 | 4 | 34% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .223/.286/.366 | .143 | .284 | 16 | 11 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .230/.293/.405 | .176 | .264 | 22 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +1.1 |
|
✕David Bote 2013 · A |
20 | 43→48 | 38→55 | 50→45 | 43 | .200/.271/.286 | .086 | .293 | 4 | 8 | 31% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .190/.266/.272 | .082 | .263 | 5 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .234/.308/.397 | .164 | .298 | 19 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 95 | +1.0 |
|
●Chun-Hsiu Chen 2010 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 41→50 | 48→45 | 40 | .209/.263/.306 | .097 | .302 | 8 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .250/.309/.388 | .138 | .334 | 12 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 96 | +1.5 | .256/.318/.393 | .137 | .347 | 12 | 4 | 28% | 8% | 99 | +1.3 |
|
✕Samad Taylor 2018 · A |
20 | 45→53 | 37→50 | 51→65 | 41 | .213/.268/.288 | .076 | .300 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .183/.255/.284 | .101 | .259 | 7 | 22 | 30% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .236/.312/.377 | .141 | .324 | 16 | 46 | 30% | 9% | 94 | +0.8 |
|
●Tyler Stephenson 2017 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 38→50 | 43→30 | 39 | .197/.249/.277 | .080 | .290 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .216/.283/.315 | .099 | .290 | 9 | 3 | 27% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .253/.327/.399 | .146 | .323 | 16 | 1 | 25% | 9% | 102 | +1.3 |
|
●Lane Thomas 2016 · A |
20 | 43→51 | 37→55 | 51→55 | 42 | .200/.259/.277 | .077 | .294 | 3 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .194/.260/.302 | .108 | .313 | 10 | 13 | 38% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .248/.312/.427 | .179 | .308 | 21 | 13 | 25% | 7% | 107 | +2.0 |
|
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 45→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .213/.264/.339 | .126 | .281 | 12 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .248/.297/.383 | .135 | .313 | 14 | 13 | 24% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .257/.307/.397 | .140 | .313 | 15 | 13 | 22% | 6% | 94 | +1.2 |
|
✕Brendan Rodgers 2016 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 40→50 | 46→45 | 39 | .205/.255/.298 | .093 | .301 | 7 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .224/.267/.352 | .128 | .288 | 14 | 5 | 27% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .253/.308/.383 | .131 | .298 | 13 | 0 | 19% | 6% | 93 | +0.8 |
|
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A |
21 | 43 | 39→50 | 51→45 | 39 | .202/.262/.293 | .090 | .301 | 6 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .193/.267/.305 | .112 | .296 | 13 | 8 | 37% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .178/.253/.291 | .113 | .253 | 15 | 7 | 34% | 7% | 47 | -0.8 |
|
●Vaughn Grissom 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 39→50 | 51→55 | 44 | .214/.271/.302 | .088 | .272 | 7 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .265/.329/.388 | .123 | .318 | 11 | 15 | 19% | 7% | 105 | +2.1 | .283/.348/.417 | .134 | .334 | 12 | 17 | 18% | 7% | 116 | +2.4 |
|
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A |
19 | 38→48 | 39→50 | 49→45 | 40 | .187/.241/.272 | .084 | .263 | 6 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .189/.233/.264 | .075 | .239 | 5 | 3 | 22% | 4% | 31 | -3.0 | .246/.315/.384 | .137 | .304 | 17 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 95 | +0.7 |
|
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2017 · A |
21 | 40→50 | 37→55 | 49→45 | 43 | .190/.250/.266 | .075 | .266 | 3 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .234/.273/.341 | .107 | .295 | 9 | 6 | 23% | 4% | 68 | -0.5 | .246/.303/.412 | .166 | .293 | 19 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 97 | +1.1 |
|
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A |
19 | 39 | 38→55 | 47→45 | 39 | .185/.251/.256 | .071 | .289 | 6 | 6 | 36% | 7% | 39 | -2.5 | .226/.287/.352 | .126 | .291 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .248/.309/.417 | .169 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 21% | 6% | 103 | +0.7 |
|
✕Kyle Higashioka 2010 · A |
20 | 45→43 | 40→60 | 49→40 | 41 | .215/.267/.304 | .089 | .290 | 7 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .191/.240/.293 | .102 | .234 | 10 | 3 | 23% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .229/.276/.416 | .187 | .272 | 25 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 88 | +0.4 |
|
✕Yairo Muñoz 2015 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 38→50 | 48→55 | 42 | .195/.251/.276 | .081 | .262 | 4 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .218/.254/.321 | .103 | .267 | 10 | 9 | 22% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .270/.315/.386 | .116 | .325 | 11 | 18 | 20% | 5% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Wendell Rijo 2016 · A |
20 | 42 | 41→55 | 49→50 | 40 | .204/.258/.305 | .100 | .281 | 8 | 13 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .196/.248/.278 | .082 | .273 | 6 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .212/.269/.371 | .159 | .270 | 20 | 14 | 29% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 |