Kelvin Alcantara

OF ACL Mariners

Age 21 L/L 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKSEA	235	.258/.366/.394	4	3	53	—	.188/.272/.279
2026	20	ASEA	15	.357/.400/.643	1	0	86	—	.286/.333/.571
2026	20	ROKSEA	218	.297/.407/.495	9	0	80	—	.216/.296/.356
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBSEA	343	.220/.285/.334	6	5	75	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBSEA	100	.221/.287/.339	2	1	79	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBSEA	185	.224/.291/.346	4	3	82	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO83

K%79

wRC+77

Whiff%73

wOBA67

Z-Con%62

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%

CompsAngel Acosta (age 21) · Alexander Ovalles (age 21) · Austin Gallagher (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 219 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .283 / .331

PA219

HR4

K%24

BB%7

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	146	115	30	6	1	1	29	23	1	1	2	261	414	357	770	96	315	16	20	358	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	194	164	47	6	3	4	25	45	2	2	0	287	387	433	820	146	364	23	13	364	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	235	198	51	13	1	4	27	45	7	3	0	258	366	394	760	136	309	19	11	342	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	15	14	5	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	357	400	643	1.043	286	571	40	7	452	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	218	182	54	9	0	9	31	34	3	0	0	297	407	495	902	198	319	16	14	398	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	146	124	22	4	1	0	20	27	1	1	2	177	297	226	522	48	216	18	14	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	173	37	4	2	3	16	66	2	2	0	214	288	312	600	98	307	34	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	235	208	39	8	1	3	17	65	7	3	0	188	272	279	550	91	243	28	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	15	14	4	1	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	286	333	571	905	286	507	53	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	218	194	42	6	0	7	19	49	3	0	0	216	296	356	652	139	247	22	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	146	124	22	4	1	0	20	27	1	1	2	177	297	226	522	48	224	18	14	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	146	115	30	6	1	1	29	23	1	1	2	261	414	357	770	96	315	16	20	358	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	173	37	4	2	3	16	66	2	2	0	214	288	312	600	98	318	34	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	194	164	47	6	3	4	25	45	2	2	0	287	387	433	820	146	364	23	13	364	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	235	208	39	8	1	3	17	65	7	3	0	188	272	279	550	91	252	28	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	235	198	51	13	1	4	27	45	7	3	0	258	366	394	760	136	309	19	11	342	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	233	208	46	7	0	8	20	57	3	0	0	221	299	370	669	149	262	24	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	233	196	59	10	0	10	32	40	3	0	0	301	407	505	912	204	331	17	14	401	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	146	124	22	4	1	0	20	27	1	1	2	177	297	226	522	48	216	18	14	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	174	37	4	2	3	16	66	2	2	0	213	288	310	598	98	307	34	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	235	209	39	8	1	3	17	65	7	3	0	187	272	278	549	91	243	28	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	233	208	46	7	0	8	20	57	3	0	0	221	299	370	669	149	264	24	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	194	174	37	4	2	3	16	66	2	2	0	213	288	310	598	98	307	34	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	235	209	39	8	1	3	17	65	7	3	0	187	272	278	549	91	243	28	7	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	233	208	46	7	0	8	20	57	3	0	0	221	299	370	669	149	264	24	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	343	311	68	13	2	6	25	81	4	5	1	220	285	334	619	114	274	24	7	279	75	-10	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	290	264	58	11	1	6	21	68	3	4	1	223	289	344	633	121	276	23	7	285	79	-7	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	381	346	78	15	2	8	28	88	4	5	1	226	293	351	644	125	277	23	7	289	82	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	442	401	91	17	2	10	33	101	5	6	2	228	295	357	652	129	279	23	7	292	84	-8	+0	+0	-3	+10	-0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	477	433	99	19	2	11	36	109	5	6	2	229	297	360	657	131	279	23	8	295	85	-8	+0	+0	-3	+10	-0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	496	450	104	20	3	12	38	113	5	6	2	230	298	362	660	132	280	23	8	296	86	-8	+0	+0	-3	+11	0.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	503	454	104	20	2	12	39	116	5	6	2	229	297	360	657	131	279	23	8	294	85	-9	+0	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	SEA	59%	503	454	103	20	2	11	39	117	5	5	2	227	295	355	650	128	278	23	8	292	83	-10	+0	-1	-3	+11	-0.3
2035	29	MLB MLE	SEA	61%	496	450	101	19	2	11	38	117	5	4	2	224	292	349	641	124	277	24	8	288	81	-11	+0	-1	-3	+11	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	100	92	21	4	1	2	7	23	1	1	0	221	287	339	627	118	273	23	7	282	79	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	185	167	38	7	1	4	14	43	2	3	1	224	291	346	637	122	275	23	8	286	82	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	233	211	47	9	1	5	17	53	3	3	1	226	293	352	645	126	276	23	7	290	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	261	236	53	10	1	6	20	60	3	3	1	227	295	355	650	128	277	23	8	292	85	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	276	250	56	11	1	6	21	63	3	4	1	228	296	357	653	129	277	23	8	293	86	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	277	251	56	11	1	6	21	64	3	3	1	227	295	354	649	128	277	23	8	291	85	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	SEA	59%	296	268	59	11	1	6	23	69	3	3	1	225	293	350	643	125	276	23	8	289	83	-6	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	SEA	61%	301	272	60	11	1	6	23	71	3	3	1	222	290	344	634	121	274	24	8	285	81	-7	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1929	1747	390	74	8	41	146	446	21	23	7	223	291	345	636	122	275	23	8	289	80	-37	+2	-1	-12	+42	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	132	25	3	14	49	150	7	8	2	224	291	348	640	124	276	23	8	289	80	-13	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4615	4164	925	172	21	99	361	1096	52	51	17	222	292	345	637	123	276	24	8	286	80	-77	+3	-2	-23	+82	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	130	24	3	14	51	154	7	7	2	222	292	345	637	123	275	24	8	286	80	-13	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.2	2,147	47	27	228	292	355	-13	+0	0.6	0.7
/162	664	15	8	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kelvin Alcantara (OGILVIE)	21	40	30	40	40	218/283/331	113	274	4	3	24%	7%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angel Acosta 2024 · A	21	42	38→40	40→50	48	201/276/279	78	249	5	5	20%	7%	60	-1.6	211/268/276	65	259	4	9	19%	6%	55	-1.9	219/273/273	54	263	4	11	17%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Alexander Ovalles 2022 · A	21	45→41	43→50	45→50	45	221/286/331	110	288	10	6	26%	7%	75	-0.5	214/279/336	122	291	13	10	29%	7%	74	-0.5	204/271/332	129	273	15	11	30%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Austin Gallagher 2010 · A	21	48→49	40→45	39→30	43	229/276/328	99	299	7	3	25%	6%	70	-0.8	235/291/350	115	297	11	2	24%	7%	81	-0.1	234/298/360	125	291	13	1	23%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Gabriel Moncada 2023 · A	21	42→41	41→45	43→40	46	202/284/303	100	289	8	5	31%	9%	69	-0.9	190/262/290	100	292	9	3	35%	8%	57	-1.8	172/243/262	90	267	8	1	36%	8%	42	-1.5
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2019 · A	21	46	41→40	45→50	52	222/299/323	101	257	8	8	16%	8%	79	-0.2	200/280/290	90	284	6	15	29%	9%	64	-1.3	169/255/250	81	248	7	19	32%	9%	46	-0.9
✕John Drennen 2008 · A	21	46→56	43→45	42→45	43	225/285/336	112	290	11	6	26%	6%	76	-0.4	229/278/331	102	283	7	4	21%	5%	72	-0.7	250/301/374	124	298	8	1	18%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	42	39→45	42→45	49	199/281/287	88	284	6	6	30%	10%	64	-1.3	180/242/262	82	268	8	5	34%	7%	43	-2.8	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Andrew Pullin 2015 · A	21	49	41→50	41→40	42	235/283/328	92	298	9	5	24%	5%	73	-0.6	241/279/365	124	293	13	3	22%	4%	80	-0.1	243/281/383	140	290	14	2	21%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	46	42→45	49→50	49	226/296/336	110	274	9	12	21%	8%	80	-0.1	230/278/320	90	300	5	7	24%	6%	69	-0.9	235/281/325	90	304	4	6	23%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Juan Silva 2012 · A	21	42→47	40→45	46→55	42	200/264/291	91	304	7	7	34%	8%	58	-1.7	225/301/328	103	316	8	21	29%	10%	80	-0.1	231/313/335	104	314	8	29	27%	10%	85	+0.1
✕Jesus Valdez 2013 · A	21	44	44→45	47→40	42	218/273/333	116	277	11	5	25%	6%	71	-0.8	200/249/302	102	285	10	5	32%	5%	55	-2.0	167/210/260	93	239	12	2	35%	4%	29	-2.0
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/284/299	89	296	5	7	29%	6%	68	-1.0	224/307/292	68	280	4	4	20%	9%	75	-0.5	244/339/302	58	293	4	1	16%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Ademar Rifaela 2016 · A	21	42→45	42→50	41→45	44	206/268/307	102	274	9	5	28%	7%	63	-1.3	215/261/345	130	307	14	5	33%	5%	70	-0.9	221/268/350	129	317	13	3	33%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Brandon Wagner 2017 · A	21	42→49	46→45	42→30	44	209/275/338	128	284	14	5	30%	8%	73	-0.6	207/284/312	105	324	11	2	36%	8%	71	-0.8	190/275/287	97	304	11	1	38%	9%	60	-1.2
✕Wilmer Oberto 2014 · A	21	40	42→45	46→45	45	199/268/302	103	246	9	5	23%	6%	63	-1.4	204/256/307	103	295	9	4	32%	6%	58	-1.7	169/212/272	104	257	9	0	37%	5%	32	-1.0
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Angel Ortiz 2024 · A	21	40→45	39→50	47→45	40	197/244/283	86	268	6	8	28%	6%	48	-2.5	228/285/354	126	301	11	6	26%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Herlis Rodriguez 2015 · A	21	50→53	39→45	39→50	41	238/276/322	85	308	6	7	24%	5%	68	-1.0	236/277/341	105	289	10	10	21%	4%	74	-0.6	210/270/325	115	278	10	12	27%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1

Kelvin Alcantara

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps