Luis Vasquez — OGILVIE

Luis Vasquez P DSL Tigers 1

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 113

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%16.9%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%5.4%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	13	0	29	117	23	5	0	0%	2.2	13.4%	5.3%	8.0%	0.0%	1.86	2.65	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	13	0	29	117	23	5	0	0%	2.2	19.7%	4.3%	15.4%	0.0%	1.86	2.03	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	8	2	20	93	11	7	0	25%	2.5	8.0%	9.4%	-1.4%	0.0%	5.85	3.61	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	8	2	20	93	11	7	0	25%	2.5	8.0%	9.4%	-1.4%	0.0%	5.85	3.61	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	8	2	20	93	11	7	0	25%	2.5	11.8%	7.5%	4.3%	0.0%	5.85	3.05	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	19	0	28	121	11	13	2	0%	1.5	6.2%	13.4%	-7.2%	0.7%	3.25	4.67	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	19	0	28	121	11	13	2	0%	1.5	6.2%	13.4%	-7.2%	0.7%	3.25	4.67	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	19	0	28	121	11	13	2	0%	1.5	9.1%	10.7%	-1.7%	1.7%	3.25	4.65	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	19	0	34	150	25	14	1	0%	1.8	11.3%	11.7%	-0.3%	0.9%	5.29	4.13	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	19	0	34	150	25	14	1	0%	1.8	11.3%	11.7%	-0.3%	0.9%	5.29	4.13	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	19	0	34	150	25	14	1	0%	1.8	16.7%	9.3%	7.3%	0.7%	5.29	3.25	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	DET	17	0	18	76	13	9	2	0%	1.1	16.9%	11.5%	5.4%	2.9%	5.08	5.08	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	DET	30	0	32	134	25	14	4	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.5%	8.4%	2.8%	4.86	4.77	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	DET	15	0	16	68	13	7	2	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.5%	8.4%	2.8%	4.86	4.77	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	12	7	2	0%	1.0	18.9%	10.5%	8.4%	2.8%	4.86	4.39	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	90	26	0%	1.1	18.9%	10.5%	8.4%	2.8%	4.86	4.39	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		59	2	111	481	48	49	2	3%	1.9	9.9%	10.1%	-0.2%	0.5%	3.98	3.81	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	4	200	869	86	88	4	3%	1.9	9.9%	10.1%	-0.2%	0.5%	3.98	3.81	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Vasquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	16.9%	11.5%	2.9%	—	4.77	18.9%	8.4%	32	-0.31	—	—	—
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	93
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	90
Logan Lombana R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	22	SU	4.04	16.8%	10.9%	1.8%	.316	4.02	15.4%	8.7%	97	-0.02	3.80	155	89
Tyler Zombro R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	22	SU	4.37	14.6%	8.9%	2.5%	.295	2.67	15.7%	12.7%	134	-1.70	2.22	172	89
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	88
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	88
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	88
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	88
Miles Mikolas R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	16.0%	10.4%	2.7%	.275	4.29	14.9%	8.6%	57	-0.27	3.13	1,386	88
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	88
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	525	87
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	87
Brooks Wilson R 2018 · 5.17 FIP	22	SU	5.17	15.8%	10.3%	3.8%	.229	3.11	21.3%	12.5%	131	-2.06	2.92	194	87
Luke Stofel R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	22	SU	4.26	17.6%	12.4%	2.0%	.328	4.42	14.0%	1.8%	147	+0.16	4.26	188	87
Carlos Lequerica R 2024 · 3.92 FIP	23	SU	3.92	16.3%	10.0%	1.7%	.302	5.06	16.9%	5.1%	96	+1.14	3.92	129	87
Jason García R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	22	SU	4.57	16.8%	12.5%	2.4%	.241	4.37	13.2%	1.2%	218	-0.20	4.16	356	87
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	86
Bubba Hall R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SU	4.30	15.2%	10.9%	2.0%	.237	3.19	20.2%	13.9%	68	-1.11	3.19	101	86
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	86
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.2	25	18.2%	10.8%	1.10	4.94
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Jeff Manship ('16)	1.1	32	16.5%	9.3%	1.05	4.82
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Randy Flores ('10)	1.2	42	17.7%	9.3%	1.04	4.61