Joelvis Perez — OGILVIE

Joelvis Perez P ACL Guardians

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 115

ERA5.18

FIP5.18

K%17.9%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%4.8%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	9	0	21	110	11	13	2	0%	2.4	6.8%	14.8%	-8.0%	2.5%	8.02	5.75	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	9	0	21	110	11	13	2	0%	2.4	6.8%	14.8%	-8.0%	2.5%	8.02	5.75	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	9	0	21	110	11	13	2	0%	2.4	10.0%	11.8%	-1.8%	1.8%	8.02	5.12	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	11	9	47	197	34	19	1	82%	4.2	11.7%	12.1%	-0.3%	0.5%	3.47	3.92	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	11	9	47	197	34	19	1	82%	4.2	11.7%	12.1%	-0.3%	0.5%	3.47	3.92	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	11	9	47	197	34	19	1	82%	4.2	17.3%	9.6%	7.6%	0.5%	3.47	3.14	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	18	0	30	133	27	16	0	0%	1.7	13.8%	15.0%	-1.2%	0.0%	2.67	3.84	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	18	0	30	133	27	16	0	0%	1.7	13.8%	15.0%	-1.2%	0.0%	2.67	3.84	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	18	0	30	133	27	16	0	0%	1.7	20.3%	12.0%	8.3%	0.0%	2.67	2.90	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	19	1	24	118	29	14	3	5%	1.3	16.7%	14.8%	1.9%	3.6%	7.50	5.52	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	19	1	24	118	29	14	3	5%	1.3	16.7%	14.8%	1.9%	3.6%	7.50	5.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	CLE	19	1	24	118	29	14	3	5%	1.3	24.6%	11.9%	12.7%	2.5%	7.50	3.92	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CLE	42	0	44	186	37	22	5	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.6%	8.3%	2.8%	4.91	4.80	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	CLE	21	0	22	93	18	11	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.6%	8.3%	2.8%	4.91	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		21	0	22	92	18	11	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.6%	8.3%	2.8%	4.91	4.42	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	101	28	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.6%	8.3%	2.8%	4.91	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		57	10	122	558	69	78	8	18%	2.1	12.3%	13.9%	-1.6%	1.4%	4.86	4.60	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	16	200	912	112	127	13	18%	2.1	12.3%	13.9%	-1.6%	1.4%	4.86	4.60	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joelvis Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	17.9%	13.1%	2.8%	—	4.80	19.8%	8.3%	44	-0.38	—	—	—
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	90
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	87
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	86
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	86
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	86
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	523	86
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	86
Francisco Moreno R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	21	SU	4.36	14.9%	11.5%	1.9%	.297	6.32	9.9%	-2.0%	84	+1.96	3.88	162	86
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	85
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	85
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	85
Hobie Harris R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	22	SU	4.28	18.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.239	3.36	21.2%	12.0%	144	-0.92	3.31	474	85
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	85
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	85
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	85
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	85
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	85
Jason García R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	22	SU	4.57	16.8%	12.5%	2.4%	.241	4.37	13.2%	1.2%	218	-0.20	4.16	356	84
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	84
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	19.2%	12.0%	1.08	5.00
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58