Keywill Cedeno — OGILVIE

Keywill Cedeno P DSL Rockies

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 204 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.16

FIP4.16

K%22.0%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%14.7%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	9	47	182	31	12	3	75%	3.9	11.6%	8.2%	3.3%	2.0%	2.49	4.27	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	9	47	182	31	12	3	75%	3.9	11.6%	8.2%	3.3%	2.0%	2.49	4.27	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	12	9	47	182	31	12	3	75%	3.9	17.0%	6.6%	10.4%	1.6%	2.49	3.38	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	15	0	27	110	35	3	2	0%	1.8	21.6%	3.4%	18.2%	2.1%	2.00	2.88	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	15	0	27	110	35	3	2	0%	1.8	21.6%	3.4%	18.2%	2.1%	2.00	2.88	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	15	0	27	110	35	3	2	0%	1.8	31.8%	2.7%	29.1%	1.8%	2.00	1.80	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	16	0	21	91	29	6	1	0%	1.3	21.7%	8.2%	13.4%	1.8%	2.53	3.29	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	16	0	21	91	29	6	1	0%	1.3	21.7%	8.2%	13.4%	1.8%	2.53	3.29	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	16	0	21	91	29	6	1	0%	1.3	31.9%	6.6%	25.3%	1.1%	2.53	1.83	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	COL	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	22.0%	7.3%	14.7%	2.9%	4.16	4.16	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	COL	24	0	26	108	25	8	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	7.0%	16.0%	2.9%	4.08	4.02	+0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	COL	12	0	13	55	13	4	2	0%	1.1	23.0%	7.0%	16.0%	2.9%	4.08	4.02	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	53	12	4	2	0%	1.0	23.0%	7.0%	16.0%	2.9%	4.08	3.64	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	64	32	0%	1.1	23.0%	7.0%	16.0%	2.9%	4.08	3.64	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		43	9	95	383	65	26	8	21%	2.2	16.9%	6.9%	10.0%	2.0%	2.36	3.64	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	19	200	803	136	55	16	21%	2.2	16.9%	6.9%	10.0%	2.0%	2.36	3.64	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Keywill Cedeno (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.16	22.0%	7.3%	2.9%	—	4.02	23.0%	16.0%	26	-0.14	—	—	—
Austin Hutchison R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	22	SW	4.05	19.7%	6.0%	3.4%	.340	4.55	18.7%	9.2%	213	+0.50	3.51	235	87
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	86
Addison Russ R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	22	SU	3.62	22.2%	7.9%	2.5%	.324	3.09	25.6%	17.5%	121	-0.53	3.08	194	86
Jake Elliott R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	21	SU	3.82	19.2%	7.1%	2.6%	.353	3.81	18.1%	10.0%	202	-0.01	2.91	354	86
David Davalillo R 2023 · 3.33 FIP	20	SW	3.33	18.6%	6.8%	1.7%	.292	3.31	20.7%	12.3%	305	-0.02	2.96	322	86
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	85
Jeff Bain R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	21	SU	3.94	19.7%	6.7%	3.0%	.339	4.22	19.1%	10.7%	274	+0.28	3.35	475	85
J.T. Hintzen R 2018 · 3.22 FIP	22	SU	3.22	20.1%	7.0%	1.7%	.303	4.37	24.1%	15.1%	123	+1.15	3.22	205	84
Kevin Coulter R 2019 · 3.27 FIP	22	SU	3.27	21.0%	7.4%	1.8%	.287	4.51	16.1%	7.6%	92	+1.24	3.27	128	84
Daniel Bies R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	22	SW	3.96	24.5%	6.8%	3.8%	.339	3.17	20.3%	11.0%	89	-0.79	3.17	115	84
Devon Roedahl R 2019 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	19.7%	6.7%	3.0%	.305	4.64	16.5%	9.2%	100	+0.70	3.94	122	84
Ismael Cabrera R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	21	SU	3.56	19.0%	7.4%	2.1%	.250	5.19	17.4%	6.6%	117	+1.63	3.56	133	83
Clayton McGinness R 2019 · 3.85 FIP	22	SW	3.85	19.4%	4.5%	3.3%	.291	4.63	18.7%	7.8%	84	+0.78	3.85	106	83
Michael Gomez R 2019 · 3.32 FIP	22	SU	3.32	22.6%	9.2%	1.8%	.283	3.81	17.9%	8.3%	110	+0.49	3.32	286	83
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	83
Collin Kober R 2017 · 3.39 FIP	22	SU	3.39	21.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.268	2.76	24.0%	17.9%	128	-0.63	2.38	294	83
Sam Delaplane R 2017 · 3.18 FIP	22	SU	3.18	24.6%	7.7%	2.1%	.342	2.86	32.7%	23.4%	128	-0.32	2.57	194	83
Sean Boyle R 2018 · 4.70 FIP	21	SU	4.70	21.3%	7.8%	4.4%	.342	2.87	22.6%	15.3%	86	-1.83	2.87	543	82
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	81
Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.98	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.12	3.48	146	81