Jjam Alvarez

SS DSL Colorado

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Colorado	218	.296/.388/.366	1	7	36	—	.187/.266/.218
2025	19	ROKDSL Colorado	120	.215/.387/.280	1	2	27	—	.129/.261/.149
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCOL	230	.214/.286/.286	2	4	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCOL	40	.230/.301/.327	1	1	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBCOL	122	.235/.305/.344	2	2	75	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%87

Z-Con%82

Whiff%78

K%74

Chase%71

wOBA53

CompsLuis Hidalgo (age 21) · Jose Paniagua (age 21) · Óscar Mercado (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .283 / .284

PA64

HR0

K%25

BB%8

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	89	80	22	1	0	0	7	26	1	5	3	275	341	287	628	12	400	29	8	291	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	218	186	55	8	1	1	22	33	6	7	2	296	388	366	753	70	351	15	10	342	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	120	93	20	3	0	1	24	20	2	2	0	215	387	280	666	65	264	17	20	322	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	89	83	14	1	0	0	4	31	1	5	3	169	216	181	397	12	261	35	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	193	36	4	1	0	15	38	6	7	2	187	266	218	484	31	218	17	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	120	101	13	2	0	0	16	24	2	2	0	129	261	149	409	20	164	20	13	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	89	83	14	1	0	0	4	31	1	5	3	169	216	181	397	12	264	35	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	89	80	22	1	0	0	7	26	1	5	3	275	341	287	628	12	400	29	8	291	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	193	36	4	1	0	15	38	6	7	2	187	266	218	484	31	229	17	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	218	186	55	8	1	1	22	33	6	7	2	296	388	366	753	70	351	15	10	342	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	120	101	13	2	0	0	16	24	2	2	0	129	261	149	409	20	169	20	13	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	120	93	20	3	0	1	24	20	2	2	0	215	387	280	666	65	264	17	20	322	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	89	84	14	1	0	0	4	31	1	5	3	167	216	179	394	12	261	35	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	195	36	4	1	0	15	38	6	7	2	185	266	215	482	31	218	17	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	120	101	13	2	0	0	16	24	2	2	0	129	261	149	409	20	164	20	13	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	218	195	36	4	1	0	15	38	6	7	2	185	266	215	482	31	218	17	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	120	101	13	2	0	0	16	24	2	2	0	129	261	149	409	20	164	20	13	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	0%	230	207	44	7	1	2	18	57	3	4	1	214	286	286	572	72	284	25	8	263	64	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	COL	34%	116	105	22	3	1	1	9	28	1	2	1	219	291	304	595	85	285	24	8	272	70	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	COL	48%	252	227	52	8	2	4	20	61	3	5	1	223	295	319	614	96	287	24	8	279	75	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	COL	53%	350	315	71	11	2	6	28	84	4	6	2	227	298	331	629	105	288	24	8	285	79	-9	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	COL	55%	410	369	85	13	3	8	33	98	5	7	2	229	301	341	641	112	288	24	8	290	82	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	448	404	93	15	3	9	36	107	5	8	3	231	302	348	650	118	289	24	8	293	85	-8	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	466	420	96	15	3	9	38	112	5	8	3	229	301	346	647	116	288	24	8	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	474	428	97	15	3	9	38	115	5	8	3	228	299	341	641	113	287	24	8	289	82	-10	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	472	426	97	15	3	9	38	116	5	8	3	226	297	335	632	110	286	25	8	286	80	-11	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	COL	53%	466	421	93	14	3	8	37	116	5	8	4	223	293	328	621	105	285	25	8	281	77	-13	+0	-2	+5	+10	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	COL	34%	40	37	8	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	230	301	327	628	97	299	25	8	285	70	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	COL	48%	122	110	26	4	1	2	10	30	1	2	1	235	305	344	649	109	301	25	8	293	75	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	COL	53%	185	166	40	6	2	3	15	45	2	3	1	239	309	358	667	119	302	24	8	300	79	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	COL	55%	224	201	48	7	2	5	18	54	3	4	1	241	312	368	680	127	303	24	8	305	82	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	249	224	54	8	2	6	20	60	3	4	1	243	313	376	690	133	303	24	8	309	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	256	230	56	9	2	6	21	62	3	5	2	242	312	374	686	132	303	24	8	307	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	259	233	56	9	2	6	21	63	3	4	2	240	310	369	679	129	302	24	8	304	82	-6	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	252	227	53	8	2	5	20	62	3	4	2	237	308	362	669	124	300	25	8	300	80	-6	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	COL	53%	245	220	52	8	2	5	20	61	3	4	2	234	304	353	657	119	299	25	8	296	77	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1832	1648	393	60	15	39	148	447	21	31	12	238	309	364	673	126	303	24	8	302	74	-42	+1	-2	+20	+40	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	139	21	5	14	53	159	7	11	4	238	309	362	671	125	301	24	8	302	74	-15	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3945	3550	781	118	24	63	317	946	48	75	27	220	293	320	613	100	280	24	8	278	74	-84	+3	-4	+38	+76	3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	128	19	4	10	52	156	8	12	4	219	291	316	608	97	280	24	8	278	74	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Joe Koppe'58-'65 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,857 PA	2.8	1,857	19	16	232*	319*	333*	+18	+18	4.6	5.3
/162	664	7	6	+6.3	+6.6	1.6	pk7: 6
#5George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.9	1,896	34	33	228	296	337	+20	+18	3.0	2.9
/162	664	12	12	+7.1	+6.3	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jjam Alvarez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	212/283/284	71	284	0	1	25%	8%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Hidalgo 2017 · A	21	34	40→45	47→45	46	171/237/257	86	202	9	12	21%	6%	40	-3.0	218/268/334	116	259	12	8	20%	5%	70	-0.9	255/297/374	119	283	12	8	14%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	35	38→45	50→55	46	171/238/253	82	230	5	12	27%	8%	40	-3.1	191/242/280	89	274	7	8	31%	6%	47	-2.6	177/211/272	96	252	10	2	33%	3%	30	-1.1
●Óscar Mercado 2015 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→60	42	180/236/248	68	230	5	19	23%	5%	37	-3.3	205/252/275	70	255	4	26	20%	5%	49	-2.4	245/308/380	135	288	13	27	19%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Luis Tejada 2014 · A	21	41→44	36→45	52→50	38	195/236/262	67	270	3	13	28%	4%	40	-3.1	210/252/296	86	278	7	9	26%	4%	54	-2.0	216/264/322	106	271	10	7	23%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Marino Campana 2018 · A	20	38	37→55	44→45	39	186/234/255	70	250	4	6	27%	5%	38	-3.2	194/239/318	124	296	13	4	37%	5%	55	-2.0	179/222/315	136	269	15	2	38%	4%	46	-1.3
✕Francisco Sosa 2010 · A	20	37→46	35→45	47→50	41	179/246/236	57	257	3	14	30%	6%	38	-3.2	179/236/257	78	276	6	11	35%	6%	40	-3.1	193/249/307	115	289	12	14	36%	6%	54	-1.1
✕Edwin Espinal 2014 · A	20	41→51	37→45	45→30	42	198/242/268	70	254	4	5	23%	5%	43	-2.8	237/274/324	87	284	7	2	18%	4%	68	-1.0	251/290/351	100	295	10	0	18%	4%	79	-0.2
✕Enger Jimenez 2015 · A	20	36	38→40	48→50	41	176/230/258	82	234	5	9	26%	5%	38	-3.2	196/253/274	78	249	4	10	22%	6%	49	-2.4	189/247/262	73	232	3	14	19%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Jesus Solorzano 2011 · A	20	38→46	34→45	51→55	37	182/244/237	54	264	2	12	30%	5%	38	-3.2	211/256/301	90	279	6	16	26%	4%	57	-1.8	211/240/307	96	291	8	21	30%	3%	49	-1.4
✕Reginald Lampe 2010 · A	20	39	35→45	43→55	43	184/245/246	62	257	2	7	28%	7%	40	-3.0	195/257/282	87	248	6	9	23%	6%	53	-2.1	182/247/269	87	229	7	10	23%	6%	45	-0.9
✕Estarlyn Morales 2013 · A	20	37→40	36→40	47→50	52	173/244/239	66	202	4	10	16%	8%	38	-3.2	196/249/280	84	260	6	11	26%	6%	49	-2.4	196/241/281	85	273	7	13	30%	5%	45	-1.4
✕Melky Mesa 2007 · A	20	36→46	40→55	45→55	34	179/225/268	89	289	7	6	39%	5%	38	-3.2	177/227/280	103	300	9	8	42%	5%	41	-3.0	211/269/364	153	299	17	21	34%	6%	74	-0.5
●Joey Meneses 2012 · A	20	41→51	35→55	48→40	43	195/251/254	59	267	3	5	27%	7%	44	-2.8	218/259/299	81	309	4	4	29%	5%	57	-1.8	262/300/435	173	316	22	1	24%	5%	104	+1.4
✕Tyler Massey 2010 · A	21	41→48	36→45	44→50	35	198/229/266	67	285	4	8	31%	4%	37	-3.3	194/231/274	80	279	5	9	31%	4%	40	-3.0	221/262/327	106	279	11	16	24%	5%	62	-1.2
✕Bralin Jackson 2015 · A	21	39→49	37→30	49→50	37	189/232/259	70	276	5	10	32%	5%	38	-3.2	213/257/277	64	301	4	9	29%	5%	51	-2.2	206/247/266	60	294	4	10	30%	5%	42	-1.6
✕Richard Nunez 2016 · A	21	38	35→30	45→55	46	182/253/244	62	248	3	7	26%	8%	43	-2.8	183/264/244	61	245	2	11	24%	9%	48	-2.5	175/270/235	60	211	4	16	18%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Chuckie Jones 2013 · A	21	39→40	40→45	49→50	29	173/228/261	89	348	7	6	50%	6%	38	-3.2	197/255/310	113	308	12	9	38%	6%	59	-1.6	195/254/310	116	290	13	9	36%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Josmar Cordero 2012 · A	20	40→39	38→45	44→45	44	190/243/268	78	225	5	6	18%	5%	45	-2.7	209/254/307	98	249	9	8	19%	4%	57	-1.8	205/247/308	103	247	11	8	22%	3%	53	-0.9
✕José Azocar 2018 · A	22	45→55	34→45	50→65	32	210/235/265	55	317	2	10	34%	3%	38	-3.2	234/259/309	75	338	4	9	31%	3%	59	-1.7	243/284/353	111	319	8	29	25%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Carl Thomore 2014 · A	21	37→40	36→30	48→50	40	172/245/234	62	301	3	8	41%	8%	38	-3.2	195/261/265	70	321	5	9	37%	7%	51	-2.2	186/253/246	61	303	5	9	37%	7%	43	-2.0

Jjam Alvarez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps