Jhon Diaz — OGILVIE

Jhon DiazSS DSL Astros Blue

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 162 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .280 / .290

PA5

HR0

K%27

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	144	112	28	6	0	1	20	27	10	4	6	250	408	330	739	80	314	19	14	348	122	+4	-2	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	130	109	28	4	0	1	12	23	7	3	2	257	367	321	688	64	310	18	9	320	102	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	144	119	21	4	0	1	13	39	10	4	6	176	310	235	545	59	228	27	9	241	49	-9	-2	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	130	114	22	3	0	1	7	34	7	3	2	193	281	246	527	53	241	26	5	230	42	-9	-0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	144	119	21	4	0	1	13	39	10	4	6	176	310	235	545	59	247	27	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	144	112	28	6	0	1	20	27	10	4	6	250	408	330	739	80	314	19	14	348	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	130	114	22	3	0	1	7	34	7	3	2	193	281	246	527	53	259	26	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	130	109	28	4	0	1	12	23	7	3	2	257	367	321	688	64	310	18	9	320	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	144	120	21	4	0	1	13	39	10	4	6	175	310	233	543	58	228	27	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	130	115	22	3	0	1	7	34	7	3	2	191	281	243	525	52	241	26	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	144	120	21	4	0	1	13	39	10	4	6	175	310	233	543	58	228	27	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	130	115	22	3	0	1	7	34	7	3	2	191	281	243	525	52	241	26	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		287	20	0	264	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	117	106	24	4	1	2	8	31	2	2	0	226	293	340	633	113	288	26	7	275	72	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	252	226	50	9	1	4	19	66	5	3	1	221	296	323	619	102	290	26	8	282	77	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	351	316	71	12	2	7	26	91	6	5	1	225	296	342	638	117	291	26	7	288	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	411	369	83	14	2	8	31	106	8	5	2	225	299	339	638	114	291	26	8	291	83	-8	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	448	403	91	16	2	9	34	115	8	6	2	226	299	342	641	117	291	26	8	293	84	-8	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	466	418	94	16	2	10	36	120	9	6	2	225	300	344	645	120	291	26	8	293	84	-9	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	474	425	95	16	2	10	37	123	9	6	2	224	299	341	641	118	291	26	8	292	84	-9	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	472	423	94	16	2	10	37	123	9	6	2	222	299	340	639	118	290	26	8	290	83	-10	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	466	419	92	16	2	9	36	123	8	5	2	220	294	332	625	112	289	26	8	288	81	-11	+0	-2	+5	+10	0.3
2036	31	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	455	409	89	15	2	9	35	121	8	4	1	218	292	330	622	112	287	27	8	284	78	-12	+0	-3	+5	+10	0.1
2037	32	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	439	394	85	14	2	8	34	119	8	3	1	216	291	322	614	107	284	27	8	279	75	-13	+0	-4	+5	+10	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	40	36	8	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	222	300	333	633	111	290	28	8	261	72	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	122	110	24	4	1	2	9	32	2	2	0	218	289	327	617	109	292	26	7	269	77	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	185	166	37	7	1	3	14	48	3	2	1	223	295	331	626	108	293	26	8	275	81	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	225	202	45	8	1	4	17	58	4	3	1	223	296	332	628	109	293	26	8	278	83	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	249	223	51	9	1	5	19	64	5	3	1	229	304	345	649	117	293	26	8	279	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	256	229	51	9	1	5	20	66	5	3	1	223	299	336	635	114	293	26	8	280	84	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	259	232	52	9	1	5	20	67	5	3	1	224	300	336	636	112	293	26	8	279	84	-5	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	252	225	51	9	1	5	20	66	5	3	1	227	304	342	646	116	292	26	8	277	83	-5	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	245	220	50	9	1	5	19	65	4	3	1	227	300	345	646	118	291	27	8	275	81	-6	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	237	213	46	8	1	4	18	63	4	2	1	216	289	319	609	103	289	27	8	271	78	-6	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.0
2037	32	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	228	204	45	8	1	4	18	62	4	2	1	221	296	328	625	108	286	27	8	266	75	-7	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2298	2060	460	81	10	43	177	602	42	27	9	223	298	335	633	112	293	26	8	275	79	-52	+2	-6	+25	+50	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	130	23	3	12	50	170	12	8	3	223	298	334	633	111	292	26	8	275	79	-15	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4630	4146	912	155	20	88	353	1212	97	58	24	220	296	331	627	111	287	26	8	285	79	-99	+4	-10	+47	+94	3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	128	22	3	12	50	170	14	8	3	220	297	330	627	110	288	26	8	285	79	-15	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.6	2,365	46	28	224	295	339	+25	+21	3.7	3.5
/162	664	13	8	+7.1	+5.9	1.1	pk7: 3
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhon Diaz (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	209/280/290	81	287	1	1	27%	7%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	42	-2.9	214/256/307	93	316	7	4	33%	4%	58	-1.7	250/279/366	116	337	11	3	28%	2%	76	-0.3
✕Tirso Ornelas 2021 · A	21	39→49	37→50	51→45	43	189/251/258	69	273	4	6	31%	8%	45	-2.7	225/286/328	103	301	8	6	26%	7%	74	-0.5	249/307/375	126	306	13	7	22%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	52	-2.2	198/248/295	97	288	8	8	32%	6%	53	-2.1	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	32	-1.0
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2014 · A	21	36	40→55	47→50	37	182/225/273	91	248	7	7	29%	4%	38	-3.2	211/244/320	109	279	10	8	27%	4%	56	-1.9	221/248/346	125	282	12	9	26%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Michael A. Taylor 2011 · A	20	38→48	37→55	45→60	41	183/239/259	76	257	4	5	29%	6%	41	-3.0	195/242/303	108	291	8	17	34%	5%	52	-2.2	240/298/383	143	310	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Felix Reyes 2023 · A	22	36→46	42→50	46→45	35	184/229/286	101	264	10	8	34%	4%	43	-2.8	223/259/346	123	265	14	7	21%	4%	69	-0.9	240/273/379	139	275	15	8	19%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Albert Laboy 2007 · A	20	40→38	38→40	48→45	41	193/236/269	76	242	5	10	22%	5%	42	-2.9	216/262/306	90	258	9	7	19%	5%	60	-1.6	213/261/298	85	248	10	6	18%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Donald Lutz 2010 · A	21	39→49	39→50	50→45	40	192/244/278	86	264	5	8	29%	6%	47	-2.5	218/264/342	124	301	13	6	31%	5%	70	-0.9	222/266/362	140	303	16	5	31%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Alexander Palma 2017 · A	21	41	41→50	47→45	38	202/229/295	93	241	8	8	21%	3%	45	-2.7	230/267/358	128	279	13	8	22%	4%	74	-0.5	241/279/389	147	289	16	7	22%	4%	83	+0.0
✕Randolph Gassaway 2016 · A	21	41→46	38→40	51→40	39	198/242/277	79	276	5	9	29%	5%	45	-2.7	231/268/328	97	303	9	4	26%	5%	67	-1.1	226/266/309	83	296	7	2	25%	5%	59	-1.0
✕Jacob Scavuzzo 2015 · A	21	37→47	42→55	50→45	36	188/232/294	106	267	10	10	33%	5%	46	-2.6	213/254/342	129	285	14	7	30%	4%	66	-1.1	213/253/350	137	278	16	5	29%	4%	65	-0.8
✕Dustin Peterson 2016 · A	21	40→50	39→45	43→45	37	199/238/279	80	272	7	4	29%	4%	45	-2.7	224/270/316	92	293	7	4	25%	5%	65	-1.2	231/275/338	107	290	12	2	24%	5%	70	-0.6
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	37→43	42→50	53→50	32	188/220/289	102	281	9	12	36%	4%	40	-3.1	199/245/307	108	298	10	10	35%	5%	54	-2.0	206/268/351	145	302	15	14	35%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	44	-2.8	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	43	-2.8	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	18	-1.5
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	270	4	13	33%	7%	42	-2.9	209/260/327	118	304	9	6	32%	7%	64	-1.3	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	45	-2.7	208/274/288	80	306	4	7	31%	7%	61	-1.5	208/281/288	80	312	4	8	32%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	39	-3.1	171/234/292	121	290	14	4	43%	7%	48	-2.5	135/184/266	131	201	17	0	42%	5%	19	-1.1
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	186/236/281	95	239	7	6	25%	6%	45	-2.7	205/273/315	110	299	10	6	32%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/307	116	299	12	4	37%	9%	63	-0.7
✕Johermyn Chavez 2009 · A	20	37→47	40→50	46→45	34	182/234/272	90	284	8	8	38%	5%	42	-2.9	215/267/352	137	298	16	6	32%	5%	74	-0.6	212/275/356	144	274	17	4	29%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Henry Wrigley 2008 · A	21	41→48	41→50	48→45	37	205/238/304	99	272	9	7	28%	4%	50	-2.3	213/241/325	112	260	9	6	22%	3%	56	-1.9	229/261/378	149	268	15	3	21%	4%	74	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps