Jhon Diaz — OGILVIE

Jhon DiazSS DSL Astros Blue

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 162 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .280 / .290

PA67

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	144	119	20	4	0	1	13	38	10	4	6	168	303	227	530	59	232	26	9	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	144	112	28	6	0	1	20	27	10	4	6	250	408	330	739	80	314	19	14	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	130	114	21	3	0	1	7	35	7	3	2	184	273	237	510	53	250	27	5	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	130	109	28	4	0	1	12	23	7	3	2	257	367	321	688	64	310	18	9	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	HOU	—	67	61	12	2	0	1	5	18	1	1	0	197	269	279	547	82	287	27	7	263	60	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	117	106	24	4	1	2	8	31	2	2	0	226	293	340	633	113	288	26	7	275	68	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	252	226	50	9	1	4	19	66	5	3	1	221	296	323	619	102	290	26	8	282	74	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	351	316	71	12	2	7	26	91	6	5	1	225	296	342	638	117	291	26	7	288	78	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	411	369	82	14	2	8	31	106	8	5	2	222	297	336	633	114	291	26	8	291	81	-9	+0	+0	+4	+12	0.7
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	448	403	92	16	2	10	34	116	8	6	2	228	301	352	653	124	291	26	8	293	82	-9	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.9
2032	27	MLB	HOU	55%	466	418	94	16	2	10	36	121	9	6	2	225	300	344	645	120	291	26	8	293	82	-9	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.9
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	40	36	8	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	222	300	333	633	111	291	28	8	263	59	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	122	110	24	4	1	2	9	32	2	2	0	218	289	327	617	109	292	26	7	271	66	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	185	166	38	7	1	4	14	48	3	2	1	229	301	355	656	127	294	26	8	277	70	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	225	202	46	8	1	5	17	58	4	3	1	228	300	351	652	124	294	26	8	280	73	-7	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	249	223	50	9	1	5	19	64	5	3	1	224	300	341	640	117	294	26	8	282	74	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	27	MLB	HOU	55%	256	229	52	9	1	6	20	66	5	3	1	227	303	354	657	127	294	26	8	282	74	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1077	966	218	38	5	23	82	279	20	14	4	226	300	347	646	121	291	26	8	279	72	-35	+1	+0	+12	+31	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	132	23	3	14	49	168	12	8	2	226	299	348	647	122	292	26	8	279	72	-21	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	2386	2132	466	80	10	44	179	622	56	35	16	219	296	327	624	109	285	26	8	282	74	-70	+1	+0	+26	+68	2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	127	22	3	12	49	169	15	10	4	219	296	329	625	110	285	26	8	282	74	-19	+0	+0	+7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	144	112	28	6	0	1	20	27	10	4	6	250	408	330	739	80	314	19	14	348	124	+4	-2	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	130	109	28	4	0	1	12	23	7	3	2	257	367	321	688	64	310	18	9	320	103	+0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	7	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	10	2	232	315	348	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,145	22	15	225	295	341	+12	+12	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	9	225	295	341	+7.1	+7.0	1.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhon Diaz (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	208/280/290	81	287	1	1	27%	7%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕David Bote 2014 · A	21	39→48	39→55	47→45	47	187/265/275	88	257	6	7	28%	9%	50	-1.8	201/266/290	89	276	5	6	28%	6%	53	-1.5	236/310/400	165	301	20	6	27%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→50	37→45	48→45	45	189/266/266	77	278	4	7	31%	8%	47	-1.9	210/282/308	98	299	8	5	30%	8%	65	-0.7	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	37→46	40→50	43→40	38	183/235/269	86	268	8	6	34%	6%	34	-2.8	200/265/307	107	312	12	4	37%	7%	57	-1.2	212/288/371	159	311	18	3	35%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	51	-1.7	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	75	-0.0	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	185/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	37	-2.7	210/264/277	67	293	4	6	28%	7%	48	-1.9	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2017 · A	21	40→50	37→55	49→45	43	191/249/267	76	265	3	10	28%	7%	40	-2.4	244/280/355	111	307	9	5	23%	4%	75	-0.0	241/298/401	160	289	18	4	23%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	40	40→45	47→60	41	196/258/286	91	287	8	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	189/245/281	92	306	8	24	38%	6%	41	-2.3	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	48	-1.9	196/284/305	109	362	11	4	44%	10%	66	-0.6	177/274/284	107	334	12	2	45%	11%	53	-0.8
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	38→44	42→50	45	39	189/240/301	111	260	9	5	30%	5%	45	-2.1	211/260/341	130	280	14	6	29%	6%	64	-0.8	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	43→41	41→55	49→40	39	210/252/306	96	286	8	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	204/259/337	133	322	14	3	39%	5%	63	-0.8	192/267/372	179	300	23	1	42%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Elias Díaz 2012 · A	21	39→49	37→50	47→45	40	188/234/265	77	248	4	5	26%	5%	32	-3.0	205/255/289	84	255	6	5	21%	6%	47	-1.9	245/304/378	133	272	15	0	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Derrick Mitchell 2008 · A	21	39→47	39→50	46→55	38	192/244/276	84	272	6	9	31%	5%	40	-2.4	198/237/318	120	258	11	10	27%	4%	48	-1.9	215/265/342	127	278	13	19	27%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2017 · AA	21	39→41	39→55	46→50	38	192/239/276	85	274	6	11	31%	5%	37	-2.6	199/255/292	93	268	8	8	28%	6%	49	-1.8	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Stone Garrett 2016 · A	20	41→37	35→55	49→50	38	198/237/257	59	280	3	7	29%	5%	30	-3.1	166/207/247	81	303	6	8	45%	4%	16	-4.1	219/280/389	170	298	21	11	33%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Gavin LaValley 2016 · A	21	43	38→50	48→40	40	204/261/280	75	297	5	4	32%	6%	48	-1.9	212/261/333	121	291	13	2	30%	6%	62	-0.9	204/253/340	137	270	17	1	31%	5%	59	-0.8