Yansel Marine — OGILVIE

Yansel Marine P DSL Braves

Age 22 LHP 6'2" / 160 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 124

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%20.5%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%9.5%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	13	0	13	80	10	13	0	0%	1.0	8.5%	20.3%	-11.8%	0.0%	11.47	4.96	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	13	0	13	80	10	13	0	0%	1.0	12.5%	16.2%	-3.8%	0.0%	11.47	4.53	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	14	0	21	108	15	17	0	0%	1.5	9.4%	19.7%	-10.2%	0.0%	6.75	4.79	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	14	0	21	108	15	17	0	0%	1.5	9.4%	19.7%	-10.2%	0.0%	6.75	4.79	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	14	0	21	108	15	17	0	0%	1.5	13.9%	15.7%	-1.9%	0.0%	6.75	4.08	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	10	0	26	114	19	9	0	0%	2.6	11.3%	9.9%	1.5%	0.0%	4.15	3.39	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	10	0	26	114	19	9	0	0%	2.6	11.3%	9.9%	1.5%	0.0%	4.15	3.39	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	10	0	26	114	19	9	0	0%	2.6	16.7%	7.9%	8.8%	0.0%	4.15	2.68	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	ATL	14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.1%	9.5%	2.9%	4.76	4.76	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	23	0	24	103	22	10	3	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.1%	11.4%	2.9%	4.61	4.53	+0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	11	0	12	51	11	5	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.1%	11.4%	2.9%	4.61	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	11	5	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.1%	11.4%	2.9%	4.61	4.15	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	84	17	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.1%	11.4%	2.9%	4.61	4.15	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		37	0	61	302	30	49	0	0%	1.6	9.9%	16.1%	-6.2%	0.0%	6.68	4.31	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	0	200	996	99	161	0	0%	1.6	9.9%	16.1%	-6.2%	0.0%	6.68	4.31	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yansel Marine (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	20.5%	11.1%	2.9%	—	4.53	21.6%	11.4%	24	-0.23	—	—	—
Zach Morris L 2015 · 3.59 FIP	22	SU	3.59	18.5%	10.1%	1.4%	.286	4.38	13.9%	2.4%	84	+0.79	3.34	109	86
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	86
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	85
Daniel Zamora L 2016 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.82	2.15	310	85
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	85
Johnathan Frebis L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	17.0%	9.4%	1.8%	.245	4.24	9.7%	-0.6%	124	+0.43	3.81	146	84
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	83
Nick Dombkowski L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SU	4.48	21.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.208	4.71	16.7%	7.7%	223	+0.23	3.71	425	83
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	83
Glen Perkins L 2007 · 3.91 FIP	24	SU	3.91	17.4%	10.4%	1.7%	.259	4.76	11.2%	5.7%	269	+0.85	2.16	611	83
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	82
Jared Lakind L 2015 · 3.68 FIP	23	SU	3.68	16.7%	9.8%	1.4%	.316	3.81	17.7%	7.2%	119	+0.13	3.66	138	82
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	82
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	82
James Ziemba L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	22	SU	3.73	18.3%	12.5%	1.1%	.309	5.16	11.7%	-0.7%	78	+1.43	3.73	110	81
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	81
Jake Dahlberg L 2017 · 5.06 FIP	23	SU	5.06	15.1%	8.7%	3.9%	.306	3.11	13.0%	7.4%	47	-1.95	3.11	226	81
Zach Neff L 2018 · 5.34 FIP	22	SU	5.34	16.8%	8.4%	4.7%	.310	3.58	20.8%	11.8%	125	-1.76	2.53	146	81
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	81
Andrew Mitchell L 2018 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.333	2.71	23.8%	15.8%	78	-1.04	2.51	119	81