Rikuu Nishida2B
Birmingham Barons
Age 25
L/R
5'6" / 150 lbs
AA
BB +6%HR -6%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.3 · 2028
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .332 / .297
PA320
HR2
SB21
K%17
BB%9
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
55→55
PWR
25→25
SPD
60→60
EYE
55↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.3peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.2 | $10M | +$10M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.6 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.1M |
| Totals | $6M | $30M | +$24M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 87 | 75 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .227 | .293 | .280 | .573 | .053 | .266 | 15 | 6 | .243 | 44 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | 3 teams | 587 | 515 | 145 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 55 | 91 | 10 | 49 | 12 | .282 | .362 | .324 | .686 | .043 | .339 | 16 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -4 | +5 | +0 | +2 | +17 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 502 | 428 | 116 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 50 | 88 | 14 | 40 | 12 | .271 | .366 | .299 | .665 | .028 | .339 | 18 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -7 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 82 | 68 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 1 | .235 | .350 | .338 | .688 | .103 | .319 | 24 | 11 | .290 | 80 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CWS | 238 | 208 | 51 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 43 | 5 | 13 | 3 | .245 | .335 | .298 | .633 | .053 | .298 | 18 | 10 | .296 | 85 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.5 |
| TOT | 25 | MLB | CWS | 320 | 276 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 63 | 8 | 21 | 4 | .243 | .339 | .308 | .647 | .065 | .307 | 20 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -6 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 11% | CWS | 365 | 316 | 79 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 53 | 8 | 17 | 4 | .250 | .345 | .329 | .674 | .079 | .286 | 15 | 10 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 26% | CWS | 388 | 336 | 85 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 59 | 8 | 17 | 4 | .253 | .348 | .342 | .690 | .089 | .287 | 15 | 11 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 38% | CWS | 401 | 348 | 86 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 64 | 8 | 15 | 3 | .247 | .342 | .333 | .675 | .086 | .287 | 16 | 10 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 47% | CWS | 400 | 347 | 85 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 65 | 8 | 14 | 3 | .245 | .340 | .331 | .671 | .086 | .287 | 16 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 56% | CWS | 398 | 345 | 85 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 66 | 8 | 12 | 2 | .246 | .342 | .333 | .675 | .087 | .286 | 17 | 11 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +2 | -2 | +1 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | CWS | 387 | 336 | 81 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 41 | 66 | 7 | 10 | 2 | .241 | .336 | .321 | .657 | .080 | .285 | 17 | 11 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 84% | CWS | 370 | 321 | 76 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 65 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .237 | .332 | .312 | .644 | .075 | .284 | 18 | 11 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 341 | 297 | 69 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 62 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .232 | .325 | .300 | .625 | .067 | .283 | 18 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -7 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 298 | 260 | 60 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 57 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .231 | .324 | .300 | .624 | .069 | .282 | 19 | 10 | .288 | 79 | -7 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 246 | 215 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 50 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .228 | .320 | .293 | .613 | .065 | .281 | 20 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -7 | +1 | -6 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5008 | 4347 | 1084 | 120 | 24 | 43 | 509 | 842 | 100 | 216 | 49 | .249 | .342 | .318 | .659 | .068 | .299 | 17 | 10 | .302 | 89 | -62 | +24 | -25 | +18 | +142 | 9.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 564 | 141 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 66 | 109 | 13 | 28 | 6 | .250 | .342 | .321 | .663 | .071 | .299 | 17 | 10 | .302 | 89 | -8 | +3 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 87 | 72 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .222 | .317 | .278 | .595 | .056 | .246 | 10 | 9 | .264 | 60 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 50 | 45 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .333 | .400 | .333 | .733 | .000 | .333 | 0 | 8 | .342 | 120 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 119 | 98 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 3 | .337 | .440 | .357 | .797 | .020 | .384 | 11 | 13 | .363 | 136 | +5 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 418 | 341 | 99 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 66 | 51 | 7 | 35 | 8 | .290 | .415 | .367 | .782 | .076 | .338 | 12 | 16 | .360 | 134 | +16 | +4 | — | — | +12 | 3.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 502 | 403 | 110 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 75 | 69 | 14 | 40 | 12 | .273 | .404 | .308 | .712 | .035 | .327 | 14 | 15 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +3 | — | — | +14 | 2.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Rikuu Nishida (OGILVIE) | 25 | 55 | 25 | 60 | 60 | .246/.332/.297 | .051 | .298 | 2 | 14 | 17% | 9% | 84 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Kyle Mottice 2021 · A |
25 | 50 | 35→30 | 53→55 | 51 | .230/.332/.293 | .063 | .275 | 3 | 20 | 16% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .226/.289/.303 | .077 | .288 | 4 | 15 | 22% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .239/.292/.289 | .050 | .301 | 0 | 21 | 19% | 6% | 58 | -0.3 |
|
✕Evan Frey 2011 · AA |
25 | 54→58 | 36→40 | 54→55 | 49 | .252/.311/.322 | .070 | .310 | 2 | 22 | 19% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .229/.291/.289 | .060 | .291 | 2 | 23 | 20% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .218/.283/.266 | .048 | .274 | 1 | 24 | 19% | 8% | 50 | -1.0 |
|
✕Alden Carrithers 2010 · A |
25 | 53→61 | 37→30 | 53→55 | 53 | .249/.323/.325 | .076 | .303 | 4 | 16 | 18% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .266/.338/.329 | .063 | .314 | 2 | 15 | 14% | 10% | 93 | +1.3 | .278/.352/.333 | .055 | .322 | 1 | 17 | 13% | 10% | 96 | +0.9 |
|
●Jacob Hurtubise 2023 · AA |
25 | 51→61 | 35→40 | 58→60 | 49 | .230/.324/.292 | .062 | .318 | 3 | 30 | 26% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .243/.343/.329 | .086 | .313 | 6 | 33 | 22% | 9% | 97 | +1.5 | .233/.344/.314 | .081 | .300 | 5 | 37 | 21% | 10% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Matt Angle 2011 · AAA |
25 | 54→58 | 35→40 | 56→60 | 48 | .253/.306/.313 | .059 | .307 | 3 | 25 | 18% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .237/.296/.309 | .072 | .305 | 5 | 25 | 22% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .227/.292/.304 | .077 | .305 | 6 | 25 | 25% | 7% | 65 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jordan Henry 2012 · AA |
24 | 57→63 | 33→30 | 53→55 | 53 | .262/.329/.300 | .037 | .332 | 1 | 23 | 20% | 9% | 81 | +0.4 | .250/.313/.300 | .050 | .307 | 2 | 17 | 18% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .261/.322/.288 | .027 | .308 | 0 | 12 | 14% | 8% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA |
25 | 51→59 | 39→40 | 55 | 56 | .239/.315/.326 | .087 | .282 | 6 | 23 | 17% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .214/.284/.302 | .088 | .277 | 7 | 19 | 23% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .192/.263/.282 | .090 | .251 | 7 | 13 | 25% | 8% | 47 | -1.2 |
|
✕Brad Coon 2008 · AA |
25 | 52→57 | 36→40 | 57→60 | 48 | .242/.299/.310 | .068 | .303 | 2 | 31 | 20% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .246/.308/.316 | .070 | .306 | 4 | 23 | 20% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .245/.310/.311 | .065 | .307 | 5 | 19 | 20% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Zack Granite 2017 · AA |
24 | 53→60 | 36→40 | 59→60 | 48 | .250/.296/.323 | .073 | .289 | 3 | 29 | 14% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .249/.293/.326 | .077 | .282 | 4 | 24 | 13% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .243/.286/.312 | .069 | .272 | 4 | 22 | 12% | 5% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA |
24 | 47→50 | 38→40 | 56→60 | 51 | .221/.324/.302 | .081 | .284 | 5 | 24 | 22% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .234/.322/.320 | .086 | .289 | 6 | 24 | 19% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .251/.338/.332 | .081 | .305 | 5 | 25 | 18% | 10% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
✕Luis Durango 2011 · MLB |
25 | 59→65 | 33→30 | 54→60 | 53 | .273/.335/.313 | .040 | .327 | 1 | 30 | 16% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .251/.304/.297 | .046 | .315 | 1 | 35 | 19% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .263/.304/.316 | .053 | .330 | 1 | 39 | 19% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2008 · MLB |
25 | 53→57 | 36→40 | 55→60 | 48 | .248/.301/.319 | .070 | .303 | 3 | 25 | 18% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .245/.304/.314 | .069 | .294 | 4 | 24 | 17% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .247/.322/.328 | .081 | .293 | 4 | 29 | 16% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jose Constanza 2009 · AA |
25 | 55→64 | 36→40 | 59→60 | 46 | .255/.301/.323 | .068 | .317 | 2 | 26 | 20% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .271/.319/.334 | .063 | .323 | 2 | 32 | 15% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .289/.335/.346 | .057 | .338 | 1 | 37 | 14% | 6% | 91 | +0.9 |
|
✕Joshua Howard 2007 · A |
24 | 53 | 38→40 | 55→60 | 51 | .244/.318/.326 | .081 | .317 | 4 | 24 | 23% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .215/.287/.275 | .060 | .310 | 3 | 17 | 28% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .188/.262/.215 | .027 | .285 | 0 | 16 | 31% | 9% | 30 | -1.7 |
|
●Reggie Willits 2006 · AA |
25 | 54→62 | 37→30 | 56→60 | 48 | .254/.311/.334 | .079 | .311 | 4 | 27 | 19% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .268/.352/.338 | .070 | .328 | 3 | 29 | 17% | 11% | 102 | +1.8 | .273/.372/.331 | .058 | .333 | 1 | 31 | 16% | 13% | 105 | +1.4 |
|
✕Kyle Wren 2017 · AAA |
26 | 54→59 | 35→40 | 56→60 | 47 | .252/.301/.311 | .059 | .311 | 2 | 28 | 19% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .238/.294/.315 | .077 | .305 | 4 | 22 | 22% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .235/.292/.313 | .079 | .301 | 4 | 22 | 22% | 7% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Shawn O'Malley 2012 · AA |
24 | 50→58 | 35→40 | 56→60 | 48 | .229/.306/.293 | .063 | .301 | 2 | 27 | 23% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .233/.291/.310 | .077 | .298 | 3 | 23 | 21% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .259/.321/.357 | .098 | .322 | 5 | 23 | 20% | 7% | 89 | +0.6 |
|
✕J.D. Orr 2022 · AA |
25 | 50 | 37→30 | 53→65 | 47 | .234/.294/.311 | .077 | .313 | 3 | 23 | 25% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.296/.282 | .066 | .301 | 3 | 37 | 26% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .197/.292/.244 | .047 | .281 | 1 | 51 | 27% | 10% | 51 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jerry Owens 2006 · AA |
25 | 60→66 | 37→40 | 53→65 | 47 | .284/.326/.360 | .076 | .337 | 4 | 25 | 17% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .262/.308/.330 | .068 | .313 | 4 | 36 | 16% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .271/.320/.320 | .049 | .321 | 2 | 31 | 15% | 6% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Brandon Roberts 2011 · AAA |
26 | 57→59 | 38→40 | 54→55 | 45 | .269/.324/.349 | .080 | .319 | 5 | 21 | 17% | 5% | 92 | +1.2 | .247/.298/.322 | .075 | .296 | 4 | 22 | 17% | 5% | 74 | -0.1 | .234/.283/.293 | .058 | .282 | 2 | 25 | 16% | 5% | 56 | -0.6 |