Rikuu Nishida — OGILVIE

Rikuu Nishida2B Charlotte Knights

Age 25 L/R 5'6" / 150 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION543 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP329

ISO35

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT55

xAVG

580.258

POWER25

Avg EV

3487.9

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.4M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$7M	+$4M
2030	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$26M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	72	16	0	2	0	8	9	2	5	2	222	317	278	595	56	246	10	9	264	65	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	50	45	15	0	0	0	4	0	1	4	1	333	400	333	733		333	0	8	342	118	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	119	98	33	0	1	0	16	13	2	10	3	337	440	357	797	20	384	11	13	363	132	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	23	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	418	341	99	13	5	1	66	51	7	35	8	290	415	367	782	76	338	12	16	360	130	+15	+4	—	—	+9	2.8
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	502	403	110	8	3	0	75	69	14	40	12	273	404	308	712	35	327	14	15	333	112	+7	+3	—	—	+11	2.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	75	17	0	2	0	5	13	2	5	2	227	293	280	573	53	239	15	6	244	51	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	50	46	16	0	0	0	3	0	1	4	1	348	400	348	748		336	0	6	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	119	104	34	0	1	0	10	18	2	10	3	327	397	346	743	19	382	15	8	333	112	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	418	364	98	11	4	1	43	73	7	35	8	269	357	330	687	60	325	17	10	306	93	-3	+4	—	—	+9	1.0
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	502	427	120	8	3	0	51	82	14	40	12	281	376	314	690	33	335	16	10	308	95	-3	+3	—	—	+11	1.1
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	75	17	0	2	0	5	13	2	5	2	227	293	280	573	53	266	15	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	72	16	0	2	0	8	9	2	5	2	222	317	278	595	56	246	10	9	264	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	587	514	147	11	5	1	56	91	10	49	12	286	367	333	700	47	344	16	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	587	484	147	13	6	1	86	64	10	49	12	304	419	362	781	58	347	11	15	359	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	502	427	120	8	3	0	51	82	14	40	12	281	376	314	690	33	346	16	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	—	502	403	110	8	3	0	75	69	14	40	12	273	404	308	712	35	327	14	15	333	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	80	17	0	2	0	5	13	2	5	2	212	293	263	555	50	239	15	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	587	516	147	11	5	1	56	91	10	49	12	285	367	331	699	47	337	16	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	502	432	120	8	3	0	51	82	14	40	12	278	376	310	686	32	335	16	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	80	17	0	2	0	5	13	2	5	2	212	293	263	555	50	239	15	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	587	516	147	11	5	1	56	91	10	49	12	285	367	331	699	47	337	16	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	502	432	120	8	3	0	51	82	14	40	12	278	376	310	686	32	335	16	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	CWS	—	543	455	125	9	2	1	63	111	9	30	8	275	374	310	684	35	358	20	12	306	93	-4	+3	+0	+2	+12	1.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	CWS	—	30	29	7	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	241	241	241	483		292	17	0	211	93	-0	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.2
YTD	25	AA RAW	CWS	—	54	40	10	4	0	0	11	5	2	6	0	250	434	350	784	100	286	9	20	365	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA RAW	CWS	—	459	358	103	6	2	1	80	83	7	24	8	288	427	324	751	36	368	18	17	346	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB RAW	CWS	—	30	29	7	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	241	241	241	483		292	17	0	211	29	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
ROS	25	AAA MLE	CWS	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		329	20	10	304	92	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	CWS	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		329	20	10	291	92	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	CWS	—	40	38	9	0	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	237	256	237	493		290	18	2	231	93	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
TOT	25	AAA MLE	CWS	—	553	464	127	9	2	1	64	113	9	31	8	274	372	308	681	34	357	20	12	306	93	-4	+3	+0	+2	+12	1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	634	549	139	11	3	2	70	124	10	31	8	253	348	295	643	42	321	20	11	302	91	-7	+3	+0	+2	+14	1.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	660	573	145	13	3	4	72	131	10	32	8	253	347	307	654	54	319	20	11	304	92	-6	+3	+0	+2	+14	1.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	660	573	145	14	3	4	72	132	10	30	8	253	347	309	655	56	317	20	11	304	92	-6	+3	-1	+2	+14	1.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	660	573	144	14	3	5	72	134	10	28	7	251	345	312	657	61	314	20	11	301	90	-8	+3	-1	+2	+14	1.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	407	354	88	8	2	3	44	84	6	16	4	249	342	308	649	59	313	21	11	299	88	-6	+2	-2	+1	+9	0.4
2032	31	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	392	340	83	8	1	2	43	82	6	13	3	244	339	291	631	47	311	21	11	294	85	-7	+1	-3	+1	+8	0.2
2033	32	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	373	324	78	7	1	2	41	79	5	10	3	241	335	287	622	46	308	21	11	289	82	-8	+1	-4	+1	+8	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	520	450	115	10	2	2	57	101	8	25	6	256	350	300	650	44	321	19	11	291	91	-6	+3	+0	+2	+11	1.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	541	469	119	11	2	3	59	107	8	26	7	254	347	305	652	51	319	20	11	293	92	-5	+2	+0	+2	+12	1.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	541	469	118	11	2	4	59	108	8	25	6	252	345	309	654	58	318	20	11	293	92	-5	+3	-1	+2	+12	1.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	541	469	117	11	2	4	59	110	8	23	6	249	343	307	650	58	314	20	11	291	90	-6	+2	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2031	30	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	334	290	71	7	1	2	36	69	5	13	3	245	338	297	635	52	313	21	11	288	88	-5	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.3
2032	31	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	321	278	68	6	1	2	35	67	5	11	3	245	340	295	635	50	311	21	11	284	85	-6	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.1
2033	32	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	306	266	64	6	1	1	33	65	4	9	2	241	333	282	615	41	308	21	11	279	82	-7	+1	-3	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3114	2700	674	62	11	18	339	629	46	133	33	250	343	301	644	51	317	20	11	290	90	-39	+13	-9	+11	+67	4.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	141	13	2	4	71	131	10	28	7	250	345	301	646	51	316	20	11	290	90	-8	+3	-2	+2	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4972	4311	1108	94	26	23	527	954	83	255	67	257	349	307	656	50	323	19	11	302	90	-48	+16	-10	+14	+82	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	144	12	3	3	69	125	11	33	9	255	348	303	652	48	321	19	11	302	90	-8	+3	-2	+2	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kazuo Matsuilast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,555 PA	3.8	2,555	32	102	267	321	380	+13	+5	9.3	9.3
/162	664	8	27	+3.3	+1.2	2.4	pk7: 9
#2Grégor Blancolast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,301 PA	5.0	3,301	26	120	256	340	350	-9	-5	7.7	8.5
/162	664	5	24	-1.8	-1.0	1.5	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.2	3,425	18	148	250	341	301	+12	+7	7.5	7.4
/162	664	3	29	+2.4	+1.4	1.5	pk7: 7
#3Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	4.2	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
/162	664	3	39	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rikuu Nishida (OGILVIE)	25	55	25	60	60	257/352/291	34	329	0	17	19%	11%	92	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Henry 2012 · AA	24	56→63	33→30	54→55	53	260/326/300	40	325	1	24	19%	9%	82	+0.0	245/307/301	56	297	3	16	17%	8%	76	-0.4	257/318/284	27	300	0	12	13%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Luis Durango 2011 · MLB	25	59→65	33→30	55→60	53	274/334/313	38	328	1	32	16%	8%	88	+0.4	251/303/297	46	315	1	35	19%	7%	72	-0.7	264/304/315	51	330	1	39	19%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Evan Frey 2011 · AA	25	55→58	36→40	54→55	49	256/314/325	69	313	2	23	18%	7%	84	+0.1	232/296/293	61	292	2	24	19%	8%	70	-0.9	219/285/267	48	275	1	24	19%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Matt Angle 2011 · AAA	25	55→58	35→40	57→60	48	255/308/312	57	309	2	26	18%	7%	78	-0.3	237/296/311	74	307	5	25	23%	7%	74	-0.6	230/295/309	79	308	6	25	25%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Joey Gathright 2007 · MLB	26	53→63	36→30	60	51	248/318/318	70	303	3	38	18%	8%	84	+0.1	268/335/321	53	314	2	32	14%	8%	91	+0.6	284/345/320	36	330	0	35	13%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Kyle Mottice 2021 · A	25	51	36→30	52→55	51	234/337/301	66	283	3	19	17%	8%	89	+0.5	228/289/309	81	290	5	14	22%	6%	71	-0.8	243/296/294	52	301	0	21	18%	6%	65	-0.3
●Jacob Hurtubise 2023 · AA	25	51→61	35→40	59→60	49	233/326/293	61	318	2	30	25%	9%	83	+0.1	244/345/331	87	312	5	33	21%	10%	98	+1.2	237/348/319	82	305	5	37	21%	10%	95	+0.5
✕Brad Coon 2008 · AA	25	52→57	36→40	58→60	47	244/298/314	70	305	3	32	20%	7%	75	-0.5	246/308/317	71	305	5	22	19%	7%	80	-0.2	246/310/312	66	306	5	19	20%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Yonny Hernández 2022 · MLB	24	51→61	35→30	55→60	57	233/336/294	61	295	3	32	20%	11%	86	+0.3	214/306/283	69	279	4	30	22%	10%	72	-0.7	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕J.D. Orr 2022 · AA	25	51	36→30	54→65	47	238/297/314	76	316	3	24	24%	8%	75	-0.5	217/299/282	65	300	3	37	26%	9%	70	-0.9	203/298/249	46	285	1	51	26%	10%	60	-0.7
✕Tony Campana 2011 · AA	25	58→65	34→30	59→70	44	269/310/318	50	340	1	38	21%	5%	80	-0.2	258/302/315	57	338	2	49	23%	6%	76	-0.4	255/302/303	48	340	1	62	24%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Jerry Owens 2007 · AAA	26	57→67	37→30	57→65	47	267/310/341	74	312	4	32	16%	6%	85	+0.2	259/309/319	60	310	3	36	16%	7%	80	-0.2	272/320/320	49	322	2	31	15%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Kyle Wren 2017 · AAA	26	55→61	35→40	56→60	48	256/307/318	62	315	2	28	19%	7%	78	-0.3	238/294/318	80	307	4	21	22%	7%	74	-0.5	235/292/314	79	302	4	22	22%	7%	70	-0.6
✕Shawn O'Malley 2012 · AA	24	51→58	36→40	56→60	49	235/308/301	66	301	2	27	21%	8%	76	-0.4	237/295/315	78	300	3	23	21%	7%	74	-0.5	260/321/357	97	322	5	23	20%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Zach Coppola 2018 · AA	24	57→58	34→30	52→60	48	263/316/312	49	326	2	24	19%	7%	81	-0.1	231/298/293	62	300	4	21	22%	8%	70	-0.8	186/282/192	6	248	0	28	22%	11%	43	-0.8
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA	25	52→59	38→40	55	56	245/322/328	83	289	5	25	16%	10%	87	+0.4	213/283/302	89	276	7	18	23%	9%	68	-1.0	193/264/283	90	251	7	13	25%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Zack Granite 2017 · AA	24	54→60	36→40	59→60	48	254/299/324	70	291	3	30	14%	6%	77	-0.3	247/291/321	74	279	4	24	12%	6%	74	-0.6	242/285/309	66	271	3	22	12%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Travis Jankowski 2016 · MLB	25	57→63	37→40	59→65	49	267/320/346	79	325	3	31	18%	7%	90	+0.6	250/320/325	75	330	4	32	23%	9%	86	+0.3	260/338/329	69	331	4	29	20%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Jose Constanza 2010 · AA	26	56→63	35→40	60	50	259/312/321	62	307	1	31	16%	7%	81	-0.1	276/319/339	63	325	2	30	15%	6%	88	+0.4	288/328/343	55	338	2	31	14%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Myles Straw 2020 · MLB	25	56→58	35→40	63→60	52	259/326/321	62	330	2	37	21%	9%	87	+0.4	249/318/320	71	314	3	28	20%	9%	84	+0.1	241/314/304	63	296	2	24	17%	9%	77	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps