Rikuu Nishida — OGILVIE

Rikuu Nishida2B Charlotte Knights

Age 25 L/R 5'6" / 150 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION356 act + 237 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .348 / .294

PA237

HR0

SB13

K%19

BB%10

BABIP333

ISO34

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT55

xwOBA

100.247

POWER25

Avg EV

3487.9

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$11M	+$10M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+1.5	$10M	+$7M
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$9M		$32M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	74	17	0	2	0	6	13	2	5	2	230	305	284	589	54	270	15	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	72	16	0	2	0	8	9	2	5	2	222	317	278	595	56	246	10	9	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	3 teams	—	587	512	147	10	4	1	58	93	10	49	12	287	371	328	699	41	348	16	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	3 teams	—	587	484	147	13	6	1	86	64	10	49	12	304	419	362	781	58	347	11	15	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	502	428	124	8	2	0	50	86	14	40	12	290	382	318	700	28	360	17	10	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	502	403	110	8	3	0	75	69	14	40	12	273	404	308	712	35	327	14	15	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	CWS	—	356	303	83	8	0	1	34	74	9	19	6	274	364	310	674	36	355	21	10	303	90	-4	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.9
YTD	25	AAA	CWS	—	356	288	82	9	0	1	49	62	9	19	6	285	405	326	731	42	355	17	14	336	115	+6	+1	+0	+1	+10	1.9
ROS	25	AAA	CWS	100%	237	207	54	5	1	0	23	46	5	13	3	260	348	294	643	34	324	19	10	299	87	-4	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.6
ROS	25	MLB	CWS	100%	237	207	54	5	1	0	23	46	5	13	3	261	349	295	644	34	325	19	10	282	74	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
FULL	25	AAA	CWS	—	593	510	137	13	1	1	57	120	14	32	9	269	358	304	662	35	346	20	10	295	84	-11	+3	+0	+2	+17	1.1
TOT	25	AAA	CWS	—	593	510	137	13	1	1	57	120	14	32	9	268	358	304	662	35	346	20	10	301	89	-8	+3	+0	+2	+17	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	CWS	82%	660	578	147	14	2	3	63	128	14	32	9	254	342	301	643	47	318	19	10	298	86	-10	+3	+0	+2	+19	1.4
2028	27	MLB	CWS	82%	421	370	94	10	1	3	40	83	8	20	6	254	340	311	651	57	316	20	10	300	88	-6	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.9
2029	28	MLB	CWS	82%	660	578	145	15	2	5	64	131	13	30	8	251	339	310	649	59	314	20	10	300	88	-9	+3	-1	+2	+19	1.4
2030	29	MLB	CWS	82%	414	363	91	10	1	3	40	84	8	18	5	251	338	309	647	58	313	20	10	299	87	-6	+2	-1	+1	+12	0.7
2027	26	MLB	CWS	82%	541	473	120	12	1	2	52	105	11	26	7	254	341	296	637	42	318	19	10	283	75	-15	+2	+0	+2	+15	0.4
2028	27	MLB	CWS	82%	345	302	76	8	1	2	33	68	7	17	5	252	339	305	644	53	316	20	10	286	77	-9	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.3
2029	28	MLB	CWS	82%	541	473	119	13	1	4	52	108	11	25	7	252	340	309	648	57	315	20	10	286	77	-14	+2	-1	+2	+15	0.5
2030	29	MLB	CWS	82%	339	297	75	8	1	3	33	68	6	14	4	253	339	316	656	64	314	20	10	285	77	-9	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2003	1752	444	46	5	11	193	395	40	95	26	253	341	304	645	51	319	20	10	285	76	-54	+9	-2	+7	+57	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	145	15	2	4	63	128	13	31	8	255	343	309	652	54	320	20	10	285	76	-18	+3	-1	+2	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	3568	3110	819	72	15	15	344	664	74	207	57	263	351	311	661	47	328	19	10	303	90	-41	+19	-2	+13	+101	9.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	150	13	3	3	63	121	13	38	10	265	351	314	665	49	330	19	10	303	90	-7	+4	-0	+2	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	87	72	16	0	2	0	8	9	2	5	2	222	317	278	595	56	246	10	9	264	60	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	50	45	15	0	0	0	4	0	1	4	1	333	400	333	733		333	0	8	342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	119	98	33	0	1	0	16	13	2	10	3	337	440	357	797	20	384	11	13	363	136	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	23	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	418	341	99	13	5	1	66	51	7	35	8	290	415	367	782	76	338	12	16	360	134	+16	+4	—	—	+12	3.2
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	502	403	110	8	3	0	75	69	14	40	12	273	404	308	712	35	327	14	15	333	113	+8	+3	—	—	+14	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mark McLemorelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,119 PA	5	2,119	19	92	258	360	353	-4	-2	7.0	7.0
	/162	664	6	29	258	360	353	-1.3	-0.7	2.2	pk7: 7
#2Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	8	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
	/162	664	3	39	259	315	337	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	7	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
	/162	664	6	35	246	327	342	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,022	11	95	253	337	304	+7	+4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	4	31	253	337	304	+2.4	+1.3	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Tony Womacklast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,230 PA	7	3,230	23	169	269	310	351	-8	-7	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	5	35	269	310	351	-1.7	-1.5	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rikuu Nishida (OGILVIE)	25	55	25	60	60	268/358/304	35	346	1	32	20%	10%	89	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Henry 2012 · AA	24	57→63	33→30	53→55	53	263/330/303	39	334	1	24	20%	9%	82	+0.5	244/307/299	55	300	3	16	18%	8%	72	-0.2	246/310/272	26	292	0	12	14%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Evan Frey 2011 · AA	25	55→59	36→40	54→55	49	256/314/326	70	316	2	23	19%	7%	82	+0.5	226/290/286	60	289	2	24	20%	8%	61	-1.0	212/278/258	46	268	1	24	20%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Matt Angle 2011 · AAA	25	54→58	35→40	57→60	48	252/303/309	57	305	3	26	18%	7%	72	-0.2	227/287/299	72	299	5	25	24%	7%	64	-0.8	217/283/291	75	296	6	25	27%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Brad Coon 2008 · AA	25	52→57	36→40	58→60	47	243/298/314	71	305	3	32	20%	7%	72	-0.2	245/306/316	71	306	5	22	20%	7%	76	+0.1	243/307/310	67	305	5	19	20%	7%	71	-0.2
●Jacob Hurtubise 2023 · AA	25	50→60	35→40	59→60	48	227/321/289	62	313	3	30	26%	9%	77	+0.1	243/342/330	87	314	6	33	22%	9%	97	+1.5	236/345/319	83	306	5	37	21%	10%	93	+0.7
✕Tony Campana 2011 · AA	25	57→63	33→30	59→70	43	265/305/312	47	340	1	38	22%	5%	73	-0.1	255/300/310	55	337	2	49	23%	6%	71	-0.3	252/301/299	47	337	1	62	24%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Jose Constanza 2010 · AA	26	55→63	35→40	60	50	257/310/318	62	307	1	31	16%	7%	77	+0.1	273/317/338	65	322	2	30	15%	6%	85	+0.7	285/325/343	58	334	2	31	15%	5%	85	+0.6
✕J.D. Orr 2022 · AA	25	50	36→30	54→65	47	234/294/308	74	312	3	24	25%	8%	69	-0.4	213/294/276	63	301	3	37	27%	9%	62	-0.9	196/290/240	44	283	1	51	28%	10%	49	-0.8
✕Luis Durango 2011 · MLB	25	60→66	33→30	55→60	52	281/339/320	39	336	1	32	16%	8%	90	+1.0	251/302/299	48	317	1	35	20%	7%	69	-0.4	258/300/311	52	326	1	39	20%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Greg Miclat 2012 · AA	25	53→60	35→30	58→60	45	248/303/312	64	325	2	27	23%	6%	73	-0.1	229/288/297	68	303	3	23	24%	7%	63	-0.8	205/269/263	57	272	2	20	23%	8%	44	-0.9
✕Zack Granite 2017 · AA	24	53→59	36→40	60	47	249/293/320	71	288	3	30	14%	6%	70	-0.3	244/287/319	75	276	4	24	13%	5%	68	-0.5	240/282/307	68	268	4	22	12%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Jerry Owens 2007 · AAA	26	56→66	37→30	57→65	47	266/309/342	76	312	4	32	16%	6%	83	+0.6	259/308/321	62	310	4	36	16%	6%	78	+0.2	274/323/324	50	325	2	31	15%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Kyle Mottice 2021 · A	25	50	36→30	52→55	51	229/332/296	68	277	3	19	17%	8%	85	+0.7	227/286/307	80	291	5	14	22%	6%	66	-0.6	242/291/289	46	304	0	21	19%	5%	57	-0.3
✕Zach Coppola 2018 · AA	24	57→58	34→30	52→60	48	263/316/313	50	327	2	24	19%	7%	79	+0.3	232/298/293	61	304	4	21	23%	8%	67	-0.5	189/287/195	5	257	0	28	23%	12%	39	-0.7
✕Ian Miller 2017 · AA	25	52→60	34→40	64→60	46	243/290/302	58	298	1	37	18%	6%	64	-0.8	248/292/326	78	316	4	33	22%	5%	72	-0.2	245/291/333	88	313	6	35	22%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2008 · MLB	25	53→57	36→40	56→60	48	250/301/321	71	305	3	25	19%	7%	74	-0.1	245/306/314	69	293	4	24	16%	8%	75	-0.0	248/323/329	82	294	4	29	16%	10%	81	+0.3
✕Kyle Wren 2017 · AAA	26	53→58	35→40	56→60	47	248/297/308	60	308	2	28	20%	6%	69	-0.4	231/286/308	77	300	4	21	23%	7%	65	-0.7	227/284/302	74	294	4	22	23%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Yonny Hernández 2022 · MLB	24	51→61	36→30	55→60	58	235/338/299	64	295	3	32	19%	12%	87	+0.8	214/306/283	69	278	4	30	22%	10%	69	-0.4	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Myles Straw 2020 · MLB	25	56→60	35→40	63→60	51	260/326/322	62	333	2	37	21%	9%	85	+0.7	250/317/319	69	315	3	28	20%	9%	82	+0.5	240/313/301	62	294	2	24	17%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Travis Jankowski 2016 · MLB	25	57→62	37→40	59→65	48	267/321/346	79	328	4	31	19%	7%	89	+1.0	250/321/327	77	331	4	32	23%	9%	85	+0.7	258/335/328	70	329	4	29	21%	10%	87	+0.4