Rikuu Nishida

2B Charlotte Knights
Age 26 L/R 5'6" / 150 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.099 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAA40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AA/A+/ACWS587.304/.419/.36214996—.281/.367/.329
202524AACWS502.273/.404/.30804094—.279/.374/.311
202625AAA/AACWS539.285/.426/.325131101—.285/.387/.323
202625MLBCWS30.241/.241/.24100290.0
2027PROJ30% MLB26MLBCWS46.250/.347/.29002880.1
2028PROJ48% MLB27MLBCWS139.249/.345/.29306880.2
2029PROJ58% MLB28MLBCWS173.247/.342/.29517870.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.0  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.099First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$0.9M2031Arb-2$0.9M2032Ext$2M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
BB%93
Chase%93
Whiff%86
Speed79
Z-Con%71
K%69
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 1.2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%
CompsYonny Hernández (age 26) · Kyle Wren (age 26) · Tony Gwynn Jr. (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†88
AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .347 / .290
PA46
HR0
K%20
BB%11
BABIP319
ISO25
MLB%30%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
580.258
POWER25
Avg EV
3487.9
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
6328.0
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.099 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2030Arb-1$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-2$0.9M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202322 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 8772 16020 892 52 222317278595 56246 109 264 54 — — — — — —
202423 AABirmingham Barons — 5045 15000 401 41 333400333733 333 08 342 106 — — — — — —
202423 A+Winston-Salem Dash — 11998 33010 16132 103 337440357797 20384 1113 363 100 — — — — — —
202423 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 418341 991351 66517 358 290415367782 76338 1216 360 93 — — — — — —
202524 AABirmingham Barons — 502403 110830 756914 4012 273404308712 35327 1415 333 94 — — — — — —
202625 MLBChicago White Sox — 3029 7000 050 00 241241241483 292 170 211 29 -3 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.0
202625 AAACharlotte Knights — 485381 110621 83897 2510 289425323747 34371 1817 345 102 — — — — — —
202625 AABirmingham Barons — 5440 10400 1152 60 250434350784 100286 920 365 96 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 3029 7000 050 00 241241241483 292 170 211 29 -3 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202322 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 8774 16020 6122 52 216293270563 54238 147 248 54 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 5046 16000 301 41 348400348748 338 06 325 106 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 119104 33010 10182 103 317388337724 19360 158 316 100 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 418361 951141 46707 358 263357324682 61317 1711 306 93 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 502427 119830 518214 4012 279374311685 33333 1610 307 94 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 3029 7000 050 00 241241241483 292 170 211 29 -3 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.0
202625 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 485405 118621 591077 2510 291391323714 32372 2212 319 102 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 5444 10400 762 60 227358318677 91261 1113 310 96 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 8774 16020 6122 52 216293270563 54250 147 248 54 — — — — — —
202322 A RAWKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 8772 16020 892 52 222317278595 56246 109 264 54 — — — — — —
202423 A MLE3 teams — 587511 1441151 598810 4912 282367329696 47337 1510 310 96 — — — — — —
202423 A RAW3 teams — 587484 1471361 866410 4912 304419362781 58347 1115 359 96 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 502427 119830 518214 4012 279374311685 33343 1610 307 94 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAWBirmingham Barons — 502403 110830 756914 4012 273404308712 35327 1415 333 94 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLE3 teams — 569477 1351021 671189 3110 283382319700 36371 2112 312 98 — — — — — —
202625 AAA RAW3 teams — 569450 1271021 94999 3110 282416320736 38357 1717 340 98 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 8779 16020 6122 52 203293253546 51238 147 248 54 — — — — — —
202423 A MLE3 teams — 587513 1441151 598810 4912 281367327695 47328 1510 310 96 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 502432 119830 518214 4012 275374308682 32333 1610 307 94 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLE3 teams — 569488 1351021 671189 3110 277382311693 35357 2112 312 98 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A MLE3 teams — 587513 1441151 598810 4912 281367327695 47328 1510 310 96 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 502432 119830 518214 4012 275374308682 32333 1610 307 94 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLE3 teams — 569488 1351021 671189 3110 277382311693 35357 2112 312 98 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLECWS 30% 380328 83821 43756 184 250347289636 39319 2011 298 88 -5 +2 +0 +1 +8 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXCWS 30% 4640 10100 591 21 250347290637 39319 2011 298 88 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLECWS 48% 290251 62611 32585 133 249345293637 44317 2011 298 88 -4 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.5
202928 MLB MLECWS 58% 300259 64711 33615 123 247341294635 47315 2011 297 87 -5 +1 -1 +1 +6 0.3
203029 MLB MLECWS 60% 294256 62711 32614 103 244337293630 49313 2111 294 85 -5 +1 -1 +1 +6 0.2
203130 MLB MLECWS 62% 289252 61711 31614 82 241333291624 50310 2111 291 83 -6 +1 -2 +1 +6 0.0
202827 MLB CTXCWS 48% 139121 30310 15282 61 249345293638 44318 2011 298 88 -2 +1 +0 +0 +3 0.2
202928 MLB CTXCWS 58% 173149 38411 19353 72 247342295636 47316 2011 297 87 -3 +1 -0 +1 +4 0.2
203029 MLB CTXCWS 60% 177153 38411 19373 62 245338294632 49313 2111 295 85 -3 +0 -1 +1 +4 0.1
203130 MLB CTXCWS 62% 179155 38411 19383 51 242333292625 50310 2111 291 83 -4 +1 -1 +1 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 698607 1511543 7214311 246 249339301641 53318 2010 292 90 -14 +2 -3 +4 +15 0.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650565 1411443 6713310 226 250340304644 55319 2010 292 90 -13 +2 -2 +4 +14 0.5
Career— MLE — 30732642 69659176 32857255 17549 263357305662 42332 1911 302 90 -25 +5 -4 +7 +29 1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650559 1471241 6912112 3710 263356304660 41332 1911 302 90 -12 +2 -2 +3 +14 0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAACharlotte Knights · 485 PAwOBA .340 → .319 (−21)K% 18.4% → 22.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.35%÷1.000×1.200——22.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.11%÷1.000×0.690—×1.03312.20%
HBP% /PA1.44%—×0.940—×1.0331.40%
Singles /BIP34.59%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×1.03334.89%
Doubles /BIP2.05%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0331.85%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×1.0330.72%
Home runs /BIP0.34%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0330.25%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .340 → .319; ISO .034 → .033; BABIP .371 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AABirmingham Barons · 54 PAwOBA .357 → .310 (−47)K% 9.3% → 11.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.26%÷1.000×1.220——11.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.37%÷1.000×0.680—×0.99813.82%
HBP% /PA3.70%—×0.840—×0.9983.10%
Singles /BIP17.14%÷1.000×0.920—×0.99815.74%
Doubles /BIP11.43%÷1.000×0.910—×0.99810.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .357 → .310; ISO .100 → .101; BABIP .286 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABirmingham Barons · 502 PAwOBA .327 → .307 (−20)K% 13.7% → 16.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.75%÷1.020×1.220——16.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.94%÷1.020×0.680—×1.01210.08%
HBP% /PA2.79%—×0.840—×1.0122.37%
Singles /BIP29.64%÷0.954×0.920×1.050×1.01230.38%
Doubles /BIP2.40%÷0.984×0.910×1.050×1.0122.35%
Triples /BIP0.90%÷1.150×0.880×1.050×1.0120.73%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.784×0.800—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .327 → .307; ISO .035 → .034; BABIP .327 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 418 PAwOBA .352 → .306 (−46)K% 12.2% → 16.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.20%÷0.990×1.360——16.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.55%÷0.957×0.690—×0.99011.10%
HBP% /PA1.67%—×0.780—×0.9901.29%
Singles /BIP27.59%÷0.980×0.920×1.040×0.99026.68%
Doubles /BIP4.48%÷1.056×0.830×1.040×0.9903.63%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷1.150×0.910×1.040×0.9901.40%
Home runs /BIP0.34%÷0.820×0.800—×0.9900.33%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 98, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .352 → .306; ISO .076 → .065; BABIP .338 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 119 PAwOBA .358 → .316 (−42)K% 10.9% → 15.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.92%÷0.952×1.310——15.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.45%÷1.006×0.600—×0.9988.00%
HBP% /PA1.68%—×0.770—×0.9981.29%
Singles /BIP37.65%÷0.972×0.870×1.050×0.99835.31%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.070×0.780×1.050×0.9980.00%
Triples /BIP1.18%÷0.929×0.850×1.050×0.9981.13%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.817×0.880—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 86, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .358 → .316; ISO .020 → .021; BABIP .384 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABirmingham Barons · 50 PAwOBA .334 → .325 (−9)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA0.00%÷0.980×1.220——0.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.00%÷1.081×0.680—×1.0275.17%
HBP% /PA2.00%—×0.840—×1.0271.73%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.979×0.920×1.050×1.02733.78%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.990×0.910×1.050×1.0270.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.044×0.880×1.050×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.935×0.800—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .334 → .325; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 87 PAwOBA .264 → .248 (−16)K% 10.3% → 14.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.34%÷1.004×1.360——14.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.20%÷0.951×0.690——6.67%
HBP% /PA2.30%—×0.780——1.79%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.002×0.920×1.050—21.42%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.050×0.830×1.050—0.00%
Triples /BIP3.17%÷0.988×0.910×1.050—3.07%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.861×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 100, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .264 → .248; ISO .056 → .058; BABIP .246 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).