Colton Ledbetter

CF Memphis Redbirds

Age 25 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #992MiLBFA 2035

ETA2029FG ETA2026MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AATB	535	.265/.345/.378	7	37	66	—	.222/.284/.318
2026	24	AAASTL	477	.269/.340/.429	13	26	70	—	.221/.277/.337
2027PROJ10% MLB	25	MLBSTL	32	.198/.257/.303	1	1	58	-0.1
2028PROJ35% MLB	26	MLBSTL	127	.202/.262/.315	2	6	63	-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	27	MLBSTL	171	.203/.264/.317	3	7	64	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV95

Speed92

Whiff%42

BB%31

Chase%30

K%27

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 88%

CompsMark Contreras (age 26) · Grae Kessinger (age 25) · Julian Escobedo (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .257 / .303

PA32

HR1

K%31

BB%6

BABIP279

ISO133

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	74	63	16	6	0	1	10	16	0	2	2	254	351	397	748	143	326	22	14	337	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	446	395	108	23	6	16	36	126	7	34	7	273	345	484	828	210	352	28	8	358	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	535	465	123	24	4	7	51	128	6	37	11	265	345	378	723	114	339	24	10	321	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	477	427	115	23	3	13	42	131	4	26	6	269	340	429	769	159	355	27	9	341	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	74	67	13	5	0	1	7	22	0	2	2	194	270	313	584	119	271	30	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	446	409	79	17	4	13	22	173	7	34	7	193	247	350	596	156	276	39	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	535	481	107	22	3	6	35	155	6	37	11	222	284	318	602	96	291	29	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	477	439	97	18	3	9	30	157	4	26	6	221	277	337	614	116	315	33	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	74	67	13	5	0	1	7	22	0	2	2	194	270	313	584	119	273	30	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	74	63	16	6	0	1	10	16	0	2	2	254	351	397	748	143	326	22	14	337	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	446	409	79	17	4	13	22	173	7	34	7	193	247	350	596	156	286	39	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	446	395	108	23	6	16	36	126	7	34	7	273	345	484	828	210	352	28	8	358	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	535	481	107	22	3	6	35	155	6	37	11	222	284	318	602	96	304	29	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	535	465	123	24	4	7	51	128	6	37	11	265	345	378	723	114	339	24	10	321	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	477	439	97	18	3	9	30	157	4	26	6	221	277	337	614	116	318	33	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	477	427	115	23	3	13	42	131	4	26	6	269	340	429	769	159	355	27	9	341	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	74	67	13	5	0	1	7	22	0	2	2	194	270	313	584	119	271	30	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	446	414	79	17	4	13	22	173	7	34	7	191	247	345	592	155	276	39	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	535	489	107	22	3	6	35	155	6	37	11	219	284	313	596	94	291	29	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	477	440	97	18	3	9	30	157	4	26	6	220	277	336	613	116	315	33	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	446	414	79	17	4	13	22	173	7	34	7	191	247	345	592	155	276	39	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	535	489	107	22	3	6	35	155	6	37	11	219	284	313	596	94	291	29	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	477	440	97	18	3	9	30	157	4	26	6	220	277	336	613	116	315	33	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	10%	380	349	70	14	2	7	24	120	4	17	4	198	257	305	561	107	277	32	6	253	58	-19	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	10%	32	30	6	1	0	1	2	10	0	1	0	198	257	303	560	104	279	31	6	253	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	35%	365	335	67	13	2	7	24	113	3	16	4	202	262	318	580	116	278	31	7	261	63	-16	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	44%	388	355	72	14	2	8	26	119	4	17	4	203	264	320	584	117	278	31	7	263	64	-17	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	35%	127	117	24	5	1	2	8	39	1	6	1	202	262	315	577	113	280	31	6	260	63	-6	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	44%	171	156	31	6	1	3	11	53	2	7	2	203	264	317	581	114	280	31	6	262	64	-7	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	298	273	55	11	2	5	19	92	3	13	3	201	261	311	572	110	281	31	6	261	63	-13	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	120	24	4	11	41	201	7	28	7	202	261	311	572	109	282	31	6	261	63	-28	+3	+0	+2	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2605	2380	494	100	16	50	164	840	27	146	38	208	266	326	592	118	292	32	6	262	63	-49	+5	+0	+4	+23	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	123	25	4	12	41	210	7	36	9	207	266	323	590	116	293	32	6	262	63	-30	+3	+0	+2	+14	-1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Damon Buford'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,072 PA	3.1	2,072	54	56	230*	296*	371*	-1	-2	0.2	0.8
/162	664	17	18	-0.4	-0.5	0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	330	7	14	203	260	319	+1	+0	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	13	29	+2.4	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Joe Simpson'75-'83 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	9	45	237*	289*	336*	-9	+2	-2.3	-1.8
/162	664	4	20	-4.0	+1.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colton Ledbetter (OGILVIE)	25	30→35	50	50→40	50	196/255/302	106	277	6	14	32%	6%	58	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→39	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/296	112	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	201/262/336	135	294	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	34→30	44→45	49→50	45	182/254/292	110	240	14	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	210/285/321	111	280	12	12	27%	9%	73	-0.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	193/260/279	86	281	7	12	32%	5%	55	-2.0	179/254/280	101	276	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA	25	40	43→40	45→50	44	196/280/303	107	288	12	8	34%	9%	68	-1.0	187/282/293	106	278	11	11	34%	10%	67	-1.1	158/269/254	96	234	10	12	34%	11%	53	-1.0
✕Donta' Williams 2024 · AA	25	39→34	40	52→55	46	188/278/281	93	282	7	22	33%	9%	62	-1.4	189/266/267	78	286	5	16	33%	8%	54	-2.0	165/243/216	51	252	1	15	32%	8%	31	-1.1
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	38→39	40	50	44	189/254/282	93	253	8	19	28%	7%	53	-2.1	197/260/302	105	290	9	15	33%	7%	59	-1.6	131/193/248	117	214	11	13	43%	7%	18	-0.8
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	207/273/338	131	273	14	10	29%	7%	72	-0.7	214/284/324	110	273	10	7	24%	8%	74	-0.6	194/281/260	67	243	5	0	21%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Brett Auerbach 2024 · AA	25	36→34	44→45	50→55	37	186/243/297	111	279	13	19	37%	6%	52	-2.2	214/278/321	107	308	9	14	31%	7%	70	-0.8	228/299/342	114	318	8	12	29%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Sergio Garcia 2016 · AAA	25	44	41→45	48→60	35	216/244/309	93	293	9	19	30%	4%	53	-2.1	229/262/342	113	304	11	17	27%	4%	68	-1.0	235/264/348	113	310	10	19	27%	3%	68	-0.5
✕Ronnie Dawson 2021 · AAA	26	38→48	46→45	48→55	37	192/260/321	129	290	14	16	37%	6%	64	-1.3	216/282/319	103	300	9	15	29%	7%	72	-0.7	214/283/310	96	295	8	16	28%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	54→55	43	199/264/310	111	274	10	17	30%	7%	62	-1.4	205/268/307	102	282	8	19	28%	7%	63	-1.3	191/255/287	97	258	7	25	27%	7%	51	-1.7
✕Jeffrey Baez 2019 · AA	25	41→46	45→50	50→60	41	209/264/329	121	279	12	20	29%	6%	67	-1.1	211/261/345	134	291	16	13	32%	6%	70	-0.9	190/236/327	137	253	18	10	32%	5%	53	-1.4
✕Kody Eaves 2018 · AAA	25	42→43	45	48→50	40	208/262/338	129	288	12	10	31%	6%	68	-1.0	197/250/309	112	277	10	7	31%	6%	57	-1.8	180/232/283	104	253	9	4	32%	6%	42	-2.0
✕Edward Salcedo 2015 · AAA	24	39→43	45	48→50	40	199/251/321	121	265	13	16	30%	6%	60	-1.6	207/260/314	107	262	10	11	24%	6%	61	-1.5	194/241/277	83	237	6	5	20%	6%	45	-1.2
✕Trent Giambrone 2019 · AA	25	41	47→50	48→55	42	212/262/339	127	264	15	16	26%	6%	68	-1.0	195/253/326	131	266	16	16	32%	7%	62	-1.4	162/225/263	102	227	12	16	33%	7%	35	-2.0
✕Anderson Miller 2019 · AA	25	44→47	44→45	48→50	40	218/259/332	114	283	11	11	27%	5%	65	-1.2	203/248/310	107	275	12	13	30%	5%	56	-1.9	176/227/272	95	245	13	16	33%	5%	37	-1.6
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	45→50	40	188/260/301	113	281	9	10	35%	7%	60	-1.6	193/272/299	106	298	8	13	35%	8%	64	-1.3	165/257/264	99	259	6	16	35%	9%	51	-1.0
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	39→41	42→45	47→50	39	194/249/297	103	282	10	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	200/253/299	99	308	9	13	36%	6%	55	-1.9	206/258/303	97	296	7	9	31%	6%	55	-1.3
✕Zach Collier 2016 · AA	25	43→47	42→45	48→55	38	207/268/315	108	301	9	11	33%	6%	65	-1.2	207/259/315	108	311	8	9	34%	6%	61	-1.5	193/250/301	108	288	8	8	34%	6%	52	-1.2

Colton Ledbetter

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps