Nick Montgomery — OGILVIE

Nick MontgomeryC Augusta GreenJackets

Age 20 R/R 6'4" / 210 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION125 act + 195 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†28

AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .244 / .250

PA195

HR2

K%35

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	357	322	34	4	1	2	27	175	3	1	0	106	182	143	325	37	213	49	8	160	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	357	306	52	6	2	5	42	119	3	1	0	170	276	252	527	82	251	33	12	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	ATL	—	125	111	14	3	0	3	11	62	1	1	1	126	211	234	446	108	229	50	9	204	14	-12	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.7
YTD	20	A	ATL	—	125	104	19	4	0	4	18	44	1	1	1	183	309	337	645	154	259	35	14	294	83	-2	-0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
ROS	20	A	ATL	0%	195	176	30	6	1	2	15	69	2	2	1	170	244	250	494	80	252	35	8	222	28	-16	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.7
ROS	20	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		252	—	—	216	23	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	ATL	—	125	112	14	3	0	3	11	62	1	1	1	125	211	232	444	107	224	50	9	204	14	-12	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.7
TOT	20	A	ATL	—	320	287	44	9	1	5	26	131	3	3	2	153	231	244	475	91	253	41	8	215	23	-28	-0	+0	+6	+9	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	ATL	34%	414	374	66	13	2	6	33	140	4	5	2	176	251	270	521	94	259	34	8	240	42	-27	+0	+0	+7	+12	-0.8
2028	22	MLB	ATL	48%	489	441	82	16	2	9	40	159	5	6	2	186	261	293	554	107	263	33	8	252	51	-27	+0	+0	+9	+14	-0.4
2029	23	MLB	ATL	54%	520	467	88	17	2	10	43	166	5	7	2	188	264	298	562	109	266	32	8	258	56	-26	+1	+0	+9	+15	-0.1
2030	24	MLB	ATL	55%	520	467	90	17	2	11	43	164	5	7	2	193	268	308	576	116	267	32	8	262	59	-24	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.1
2031	25	MLB	ATL	56%	520	467	90	17	2	11	43	163	5	7	2	193	268	308	576	116	267	31	8	264	60	-24	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.1
2032	26	MLB	ATL	56%	520	466	90	17	2	11	44	163	5	7	2	193	270	309	579	116	267	31	8	264	60	-23	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.1
2027	21	MLB	ATL	34%	142	129	23	4	1	2	11	48	1	2	1	178	248	271	520	93	259	34	8	233	37	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.4
2028	22	MLB	ATL	48%	237	214	40	8	1	4	19	77	2	3	1	187	260	290	549	103	263	32	8	244	45	-15	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.4
2029	23	MLB	ATL	54%	282	254	48	9	1	6	23	90	3	4	1	189	264	303	567	114	266	32	8	251	51	-16	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.2
2030	24	MLB	ATL	55%	288	259	50	10	1	6	24	91	3	4	1	193	269	309	578	116	267	32	8	255	54	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	ATL	56%	291	262	51	10	1	6	24	91	3	4	1	195	270	309	579	115	267	31	8	256	54	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
2032	26	MLB	ATL	56%	292	262	51	10	1	6	25	92	3	4	1	195	272	309	582	115	267	32	9	257	55	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1532	1381	263	51	6	30	126	489	15	21	6	190	266	301	567	111	268	32	8	251	51	-86	+2	+0	+27	+43	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	113	22	3	13	53	207	6	9	3	193	267	307	574	114	271	32	8	251	51	-36	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3535	3180	570	107	14	62	288	1199	34	42	13	179	255	280	535	101	262	34	8	246	46	-215	+3	+0	+63	+100	-5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	105	20	3	11	53	220	6	8	2	179	255	280	535	101	263	34	8	246	46	-40	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	357	306	52	6	2	5	42	119	3	1	0	170	276	252	527	82	251	33	12	247	47	-21	+0	—	—	+10	-1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,853	33	24	189	260	295	+33	+16	-1.3	-0.6
	/162	664	12	9	189	260	295	+11.9	+5.7	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Montgomery (OGILVIE)	20	20	25	40	45	153/231/244	91	253	5	3	41%	8%	23	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A	20	40	37→30	40→45	37	194/243/263	69	285	4	5	32%	5%	36	-2.7	209/262/265	56	278	2	5	24%	6%	44	-2.1	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	19	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	38	-2.6	229/290/281	52	315	3	6	26%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	39	34→40	43→50	49	181/263/236	55	238	1	7	23%	8%	39	-2.5	188/251/276	88	288	7	6	35%	6%	43	-2.2	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A	20	41	37→30	43→50	39	194/249/260	66	291	4	7	33%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/244	53	335	3	5	41%	6%	32	-3.0	171/227/194	23	314	1	2	43%	6%	9	-1.2
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	35	-2.8	196/255/250	54	275	2	4	27%	7%	37	-2.6	188/244/231	44	262	1	2	27%	7%	26	-1.6
✕Luis Rubio 2022 · A	20	39	35→30	44→45	41	180/250/235	55	298	2	7	38%	8%	32	-3.0	183/253/239	56	283	2	8	33%	8%	34	-2.8	157/235/187	30	232	0	8	29%	8%	11	-1.0
✕Jose Sanabria 2022 · A	19	39	35→30	44→50	41	183/258/245	61	277	3	10	32%	7%	39	-2.5	200/274/259	59	305	3	10	32%	8%	49	-1.8	190/266/236	46	290	2	11	32%	9%	37	-1.2
✕Jose Cabello 2016 · A	19	38	34→30	44→45	43	180/243/231	51	244	2	4	26%	6%	28	-3.2	203/281/264	61	261	3	6	21%	8%	53	-1.5	205/287/242	38	250	0	5	16%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Jesus Rojas 2006 · A	20	40	36→40	45	43	191/251/250	59	256	3	7	26%	6%	36	-2.7	224/288/312	88	292	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	236/303/330	94	300	9	3	23%	8%	79	+0.1
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	38	-2.6	191/272/288	97	316	8	13	39%	7%	56	-1.3	155/237/232	77	334	8	23	51%	6%	25	-1.2
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1
✕Jonathan Matute 2017 · A	20	39	35→30	47→50	44	182/258/237	55	266	2	6	30%	8%	37	-2.7	196/279/265	69	296	4	7	32%	9%	53	-1.5	166/276/216	50	248	3	7	30%	12%	38	-0.7
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2016 · A	20	37	38→40	39→45	37	182/244/264	82	270	6	3	33%	5%	37	-2.6	171/254/244	73	261	5	5	34%	8%	37	-2.6	138/240/198	60	210	5	4	33%	9%	18	-1.5
✕Rafael De La Cruz 2011 · A	20	39	37→30	41→50	38	188/253/261	73	270	5	6	31%	5%	40	-2.4	198/267/278	80	279	6	8	29%	6%	51	-1.7	182/257/253	71	253	5	8	28%	6%	39	-0.7
✕Carlos Gonzalez 2014 · A	20	38	34→30	39→40	41	180/242/229	49	280	2	4	34%	7%	27	-3.3	203/258/262	59	280	2	4	26%	6%	42	-2.3	201/255/247	46	271	1	2	25%	6%	34	-0.9
✕Francisco Medina 2018 · A	20	40	38→40	45→40	39	194/247/263	69	280	6	5	32%	6%	37	-2.6	179/229/253	74	344	5	6	46%	6%	27	-3.3	135/180/213	77	254	5	6	47%	5%	-6	-1.3
✕Rehiner Cordova 2014 · A	20	42	34→30	45→40	40	196/252/246	50	290	2	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	208/266/251	43	288	2	6	26%	7%	42	-2.3	197/263/216	19	267	1	4	24%	7%	28	-1.1
✕Daniel Santos 2018 · A	19	37	36→45	46→40	43	178/255/242	64	250	3	6	28%	7%	37	-2.6	197/260/282	85	284	6	6	31%	6%	49	-1.8	186/247/273	87	269	7	4	31%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	31	-3.0	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	46	-2.0	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	43	-0.7