Yerlin Luis — OGILVIE

Yerlin LuisOF Hill City Howlers

Age 20 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION217 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†31

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA20

HR0

K%45

BB%10

BABIP254

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	186	125	28	3	3	0	54	42	7	15	4	224	478	296	774	72	337	23	29	384	146	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.6
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	142	118	20	4	1	0	19	52	2	4	4	169	295	220	515	51	290	37	13	247	53	-8	-1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	67	55	6	2	0	0	12	31	0	7	2	109	269	145	414	36	250	46	18	217	33	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	66	50	11	1	2	2	14	24	1	3	1	220	400	440	840	220	360	36	21	373	138	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	186	146	23	2	2	0	33	60	7	15	4	158	339	199	537	41	268	32	18	267	67	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	142	125	13	2	1	0	12	76	2	4	4	104	194	136	330	32	229	54	8	156	-8	-18	-1	—	—	+3	-1.6
2025	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	67	59	3	1	0	0	8	44	0	7	2	51	164	68	232	17	221	66	12	129	-27	-10	+1	—	—	+1	-0.8
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	66	55	8	1	1	1	9	33	1	3	1	145	277	255	531	109	272	50	14	233	44	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	186	146	23	2	2	0	33	60	7	15	4	158	339	199	537	41	267	32	18	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	—	186	125	28	3	3	0	54	42	7	15	4	224	478	296	774	72	337	23	29	384	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	142	125	13	2	1	0	12	76	2	4	4	104	194	136	330	32	250	54	8	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	142	118	20	4	1	0	19	52	2	4	4	169	295	220	515	51	290	37	13	247	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	133	115	11	2	1	1	16	78	1	10	3	96	212	157	369	61	270	59	12	181	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	133	105	17	3	2	2	26	55	1	10	3	162	333	286	619	124	306	41	20	294	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	186	144	23	2	2	0	33	60	7	15	4	160	339	201	540	42	268	32	18	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	142	127	13	2	1	0	12	76	2	4	4	102	194	134	328	31	229	54	8	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	133	115	11	2	1	1	16	78	1	10	3	96	212	157	369	61	246	59	12	181	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	—	186	144	23	2	2	0	33	60	7	15	4	160	339	201	540	42	268	32	18	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	142	127	13	2	1	0	12	76	2	4	4	102	194	134	328	31	229	54	8	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	133	115	11	2	1	1	16	78	1	10	3	96	212	157	369	61	246	59	12	181	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	CLE	—	217	188	12	2	0	1	28	131	0	8	7	64	185	90	276	27	193	60	13	143	-17	-30	-1	+0	-1	+5	-2.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	CLE	—	217	171	17	3	0	1	45	92	0	8	7	99	287	135	422	35	203	42	21	226	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	CLE	0%	20	18	2	0	0	0	2	9	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		254	45	10	214	31	-2	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	20	A MLE	CLE	—	237	206	14	2	0	1	30	140	0	9	7	68	186	92	279	24	197	59	13	149	-13	-32	-1	+0	-1	+5	-3.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	276	239	36	7	1	3	33	110	2	6	3	151	259	226	485	75	262	40	12	235	45	-18	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	95	83	13	3	0	1	11	38	1	2	1	157	263	229	492	72	262	40	12	229	45	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	95	83	13	3	0	1	11	38	1	2	1	157	263	229	492	72	273	40	12	229	34	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	90	21	0	7	75	260	7	14	7	158	265	232	497	74	276	40	12	229	34	-42	+0	+0	-4	+14	-3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	757	643	85	13	5	4	96	333	12	36	14	132	257	187	444	54	260	44	13	218	34	-20	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	552	72	11	4	3	82	286	10	31	12	130	254	181	435	51	258	44	13	218	34	-43	+0	+0	-4	+14	-3.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	251	2	5	169	270	245	-2	+0	-0.9	-0.5
/162	664	6	14	-4.0	+0.0	-2.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yerlin Luis (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	30→35	52→57	66	136/244/193	56	254	1	4	43%	12%	31	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→43	37→40	51→50	48	183/277/253	69	287	4	13	34%	10%	55	-1.9	198/260/272	74	269	6	8	27%	7%	52	-2.2	211/259/290	79	266	6	4	22%	6%	54	-1.8
✕Yonki Hernandez 2011 · A	20	40	37→40	49→55	47	184/285/247	64	286	5	13	34%	10%	58	-1.7	192/272/262	70	296	4	18	33%	8%	55	-2.0	184/265/243	59	280	2	24	32%	8%	46	-0.9
✕Chris Torres 2018 · A	20	43→37	36→30	51→55	44	200/268/273	72	300	3	14	32%	8%	55	-2.0	198/277/264	66	328	4	12	36%	10%	57	-1.8	180/269/235	55	301	3	15	37%	11%	44	-1.4
✕Edwin Mateo 2019 · A	20	40	37→40	52→55	48	192/265/260	67	249	4	15	23%	8%	51	-2.2	212/289/298	86	289	7	14	27%	8%	69	-0.9	206/278/290	84	292	6	14	29%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	188/279/278	90	259	6	12	28%	10%	62	-1.4	179/292/246	67	290	3	14	35%	11%	61	-1.5	155/286/207	52	265	2	16	36%	11%	49	-1.2
✕Alfredo Angarita 2017 · A	20	40	36→30	50→55	52	189/279/255	65	254	3	16	25%	10%	56	-1.9	199/268/256	57	283	2	12	28%	8%	51	-2.2	192/257/236	44	276	1	11	28%	7%	39	-1.2
✕Eduardo Lopez 2022 · A	20	43	36→40	51→50	46	200/278/273	73	296	3	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	192/261/282	90	299	8	10	35%	8%	55	-1.9	171/242/280	109	251	11	11	35%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2022 · A	20	40→32	40→45	51→50	44	189/267/287	97	296	6	7	36%	9%	59	-1.7	191/263/301	110	295	10	12	36%	8%	60	-1.6	173/245/279	105	263	10	12	36%	8%	46	-1.5
✕Brenny Escanio 2023 · A	20	37→36	41→40	52→55	47	181/270/284	103	266	8	16	33%	10%	60	-1.6	181/257/248	67	296	3	15	36%	9%	46	-2.6	169/248/225	55	281	3	17	37%	9%	35	-1.8
✕Varonex Cuevas 2012 · A	20	37	34→30	45→50	46	176/250/229	54	252	2	9	29%	9%	38	-3.2	202/263/262	60	274	2	12	25%	7%	51	-2.3	200/265/251	51	265	1	15	23%	8%	46	-0.9
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	47	-2.6	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	55	-2.0	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	32	-0.9
✕Ghordy Santos 2019 · A	19	37	38→40	51→50	53	176/275/255	79	250	5	16	29%	11%	55	-1.9	208/279/293	85	314	6	15	32%	9%	64	-1.3	179/233/285	106	312	11	11	44%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Kendy Moya 2018 · A	19	40	35→30	47→50	50	183/282/245	62	276	2	11	31%	11%	55	-1.9	196/292/263	67	281	2	10	27%	11%	63	-1.3	176/302/251	74	254	0	11	26%	13%	63	-0.5
✕Hansel Moreno 2017 · A	20	44→33	37→45	50	41	207/257/284	76	292	4	10	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/250/300	95	306	8	15	34%	5%	54	-2.0	189/234/282	93	284	9	18	36%	5%	42	-1.6
✕Raymel Flores 2015 · A	20	39	36→45	49→50	42	182/261/255	73	288	2	10	34%	8%	49	-2.4	199/251/276	77	302	6	10	34%	6%	49	-2.4	187/239/252	64	286	4	11	34%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Herson Perez 2017 · A	20	42	36→30	48→55	42	195/256/262	66	287	3	13	31%	7%	48	-2.5	207/271/259	52	276	2	14	23%	7%	53	-2.1	232/287/258	26	287	0	20	18%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Luis Osorio 2011 · A	20	39	35→40	49→55	47	185/263/247	63	260	2	13	28%	9%	48	-2.5	199/256/262	63	292	2	10	30%	6%	47	-2.5	227/273/279	52	315	0	12	26%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Rey Bruguera 2012 · A	20	41	36→40	44→50	49	191/275/255	63	271	4	13	28%	9%	55	-2.0	203/268/277	74	292	4	10	30%	7%	56	-1.9	195/254/262	68	280	4	8	30%	7%	44	-0.8
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	40	34→30	50→55	44	183/259/238	55	287	2	15	34%	9%	44	-2.8	196/261/262	66	318	2	13	36%	7%	50	-2.3	183/249/232	49	297	0	21	35%	6%	36	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps