Yerlin Luis — OGILVIE

Yerlin LuisOF Hill City Howlers

Age 20 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.9 · 2032

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .270 / .294

PA128

HR3

K%38

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗25

PWR

30↗35

SPD

53↗58

EYE

57↗62

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.9peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.8	$4M	+$3M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.8	$4M	+$2M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.6	$3M	+$1M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.2M
Totals		$8M		$22M	+$13M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	186	146	24	3	2	0	33	60	7	15	4	.164	.344	.212	.556	.048	.279	32	18	.268	63	-8	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	142	125	13	2	1	0	12	77	2	4	4	.104	.194	.136	.330	.032	.255	54	8	.155	-23	-20	-1	+0	-1	+4	-1.8
2025	19	A	2 teams	133	115	11	2	1	1	16	77	1	10	3	.096	.212	.157	.369	.061	.263	58	12	.180	-4	-16	+1	+0	-1	+4	-1.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Hill City Howlers	29	27	3	2	0	0	2	18	0	2	1	.111	.172	.185	.358	.074	.333	62	7	.154	-24	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
ROS	20	MLB	CLE	99	88	16	3	0	2	10	37	1	2	1	.182	.273	.284	.557	.102	.286	37	10	.261	58	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
TOT	20	MLB	CLE	128	115	19	5	0	2	12	55	1	4	2	.165	.250	.261	.511	.096	.293	43	9	.236	39	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	CLE	226	198	38	7	1	5	23	80	3	5	1	.192	.286	.313	.599	.121	.288	35	10	.278	71	-7	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
2028	22	MLB 28%	CLE	346	302	61	11	2	9	37	116	4	9	2	.202	.297	.341	.638	.139	.289	34	11	.290	80	-8	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2029	23	MLB 48%	CLE	425	371	77	14	2	12	46	138	5	11	3	.208	.303	.353	.656	.146	.290	32	11	.297	86	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.4
2030	24	MLB 62%	CLE	478	416	87	16	2	14	53	153	6	12	3	.209	.307	.358	.666	.149	.290	32	11	.302	89	-6	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.6
2031	25	MLB 80%	CLE	507	439	92	17	2	15	57	161	6	12	3	.210	.309	.360	.669	.150	.291	32	11	.305	92	-5	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.8
2032	26	MLB 94%	CLE	524	453	97	18	3	16	60	167	6	12	3	.214	.314	.373	.687	.159	.292	32	11	.307	93	-4	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.9
2033	27	MLB	CLE	529	457	98	18	3	16	61	169	6	12	3	.214	.315	.372	.687	.158	.292	32	12	.307	93	-4	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.9
2034	28	MLB	CLE	528	456	95	17	2	16	61	170	6	12	2	.208	.310	.360	.669	.151	.291	32	12	.306	92	-5	+2	-1	-3	+15	0.8
2035	29	MLB	CLE	521	449	94	17	2	16	61	169	6	11	2	.209	.312	.363	.675	.154	.290	32	12	.304	91	-6	+1	-1	-3	+15	0.6
2036	30	MLB	CLE	512	441	90	16	2	15	60	168	6	11	2	.204	.308	.351	.659	.147	.289	33	12	.301	88	-7	+1	-2	-3	+15	0.4
2037	31	MLB	CLE	499	432	87	16	2	14	58	165	6	10	1	.201	.304	.345	.649	.144	.287	33	12	.297	85	-8	+2	-3	-3	+14	0.2
2038	32	MLB	CLE	481	417	83	15	2	13	56	162	5	9	0	.199	.301	.338	.639	.139	.285	34	12	.292	82	-10	+2	-4	-3	+14	-0.1
2039	33	MLB	CLE	452	392	77	14	2	12	52	155	5	8	0	.196	.298	.334	.633	.138	.283	34	12	.287	78	-11	+2	-4	-3	+13	-0.4
2040	34	MLB	CLE	406	352	68	12	2	10	47	143	4	7	0	.193	.295	.324	.619	.131	.281	35	12	.280	73	-13	+1	-5	-2	+12	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6994	6049	1208	218	33	186	803	2367	85	172	37	.200	.302	.339	.641	.139	.289	34	11	.292	81	-148	+20	-20	-42	+198	0.8
/ 162G	—			650	562	112	20	3	17	75	220	8	16	3	.199	.302	.336	.639	.137	.290	34	12	.292	81	-14	+2	-2	-4	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	186	125	28	3	3	0	54	42	7	15	4	.224	.478	.296	.774	.072	.337	23	29	.384	152	+11	+1	—	—	+5	1.8
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	142	118	20	4	1	0	19	52	2	4	4	.169	.295	.220	.515	.051	.290	37	13	.247	47	-8	-1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	67	55	6	2	0	0	12	31	0	7	2	.109	.269	.145	.414	.036	.250	46	18	.217	25	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	66	50	11	1	2	2	14	24	1	3	1	.220	.400	.440	.840	.220	.360	36	21	.373	143	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yerlin Luis (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	30→35	53→58	62	.182/.270/.294	.112	.286	3	3	38%	10%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→43	40→45	54→50	40	.186/.249/.285	.099	.276	6	8	33%	6%	44	-2.1	.202/.269/.315	.113	.278	9	12	29%	8%	61	-1.0	.202/.273/.316	.115	.271	10	14	28%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	.188/.259/.305	.117	.281	12	9	36%	7%	55	-1.4	.194/.278/.291	.097	.346	7	8	42%	9%	59	-1.1	.146/.273/.221	.075	.359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Brenny Escanio 2023 · A	20	37→36	41→40	51→55	46	.181/.269/.282	.101	.270	8	16	33%	10%	54	-1.4	.180/.256/.247	.067	.291	4	15	36%	9%	38	-2.6	.167/.244/.223	.056	.274	3	17	37%	9%	24	-1.9
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2022 · A	20	39→34	38→45	51→50	45	.185/.266/.271	.086	.283	5	7	34%	9%	49	-1.8	.194/.266/.304	.110	.296	10	12	35%	8%	57	-1.2	.177/.248/.282	.105	.263	10	12	35%	8%	41	-1.3
✕Adrian Placencia 2023 · A	20	39→38	46→45	49→50	45	.187/.284/.313	.126	.309	14	12	40%	11%	69	-0.4	.179/.268/.289	.110	.300	12	12	40%	10%	56	-1.3	.160/.252/.266	.106	.265	12	10	41%	10%	41	-2.0
✕Yonki Hernandez 2011 · A	20	40	37→40	49→55	47	.187/.287/.253	.066	.291	5	13	34%	10%	54	-1.4	.192/.275/.261	.069	.294	4	18	33%	8%	50	-1.7	.184/.265/.243	.059	.280	2	24	32%	8%	39	-0.8
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	42	38→40	49→55	44	.200/.281/.272	.073	.296	6	16	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.200/.259/.281	.081	.332	7	9	39%	6%	47	-1.9	.171/.216/.243	.071	.295	8	2	43%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→35	41→45	47→50	40	.199/.265/.295	.096	.286	9	10	32%	6%	55	-1.4	.204/.294/.305	.101	.301	9	8	32%	10%	70	-0.3	.186/.292/.283	.097	.277	9	10	33%	11%	63	-0.5
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2017 · A	20	42→41	44→45	55→50	40	.207/.258/.330	.123	.287	10	15	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.195/.252/.299	.104	.298	9	14	35%	7%	50	-1.8	.189/.259/.295	.106	.303	11	14	39%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Nomar Fana 2023 · A	20	40	39→50	46→50	40	.189/.253/.277	.088	.308	6	10	38%	8%	44	-2.1	.190/.265/.297	.107	.306	11	12	38%	9%	56	-1.3	.164/.252/.274	.110	.261	14	14	40%	10%	42	-0.8
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	41→38	37→40	49→55	43	.188/.266/.261	.074	.308	4	9	37%	9%	46	-2.0	.191/.277/.276	.085	.308	5	14	36%	10%	55	-1.4	.187/.286/.266	.080	.296	4	18	34%	11%	55	-0.8
✕Jasson Domínguez 2023 · AA	20	43→53	46→50	56→60	43	.209/.282/.339	.129	.315	13	19	36%	8%	73	-0.1	.236/.308/.376	.140	.328	16	27	30%	9%	93	+1.3	.249/.323/.390	.141	.333	16	33	28%	10%	99	+1.2
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	37	40→50	54→40	36	.181/.238/.275	.093	.295	8	12	40%	6%	37	-2.6	.178/.240/.280	.102	.317	11	11	44%	6%	40	-2.4	.168/.232/.286	.119	.279	15	9	43%	6%	36	-1.0
✕Junior Perez 2021 · A	20	36→38	44→45	50→55	41	.180/.255/.291	.112	.284	11	11	39%	8%	50	-1.8	.183/.256/.297	.114	.324	11	19	43%	8%	51	-1.7	.171/.247/.282	.111	.295	11	25	43%	9%	41	-1.8
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	37	38→40	54→60	42	.177/.252/.256	.078	.282	5	19	36%	8%	39	-2.5	.189/.255/.265	.076	.277	5	11	31%	7%	42	-2.3	.172/.238/.215	.043	.239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)