Yerlin Luis — OGILVIE

Yerlin LuisOF Hill City Howlers

Age 20 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION153 act + 102 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†27

AVG/OBP/SLG.157 / .257 / .225

PA102

HR1

K%41

BB%11

BABIP277

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	186	146	24	3	2	0	33	60	7	15	4	164	344	212	556	48	279	32	18	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	186	125	28	3	3	0	54	42	7	15	4	224	478	296	774	72	337	23	29	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	142	125	13	2	1	0	12	77	2	4	4	104	194	136	330	32	255	54	8	155	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	142	118	20	4	1	0	19	52	2	4	4	169	295	220	515	51	290	37	13	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	133	115	11	2	1	1	16	77	1	10	3	96	212	157	369	61	263	58	12	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	133	105	17	3	2	2	26	55	1	10	3	162	333	286	619	124	306	41	20	294	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	CLE	—	153	135	11	2	0	1	17	94	0	6	5	81	184	119	303	37	244	61	11	147	-29	-22	-1	+0	-1	+4	-2.0
YTD	20	A	CLE	—	153	125	16	3	0	1	27	66	0	6	5	128	283	176	459	48	254	43	18	233	36	-11	-1	+0	-1	+4	-0.9
ROS	20	A	CLE	0%	102	89	14	3	0	1	11	42	1	3	1	157	257	225	482	67	265	41	11	221	27	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
ROS	20	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		266	—	—	216	23	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	CLE	—	153	136	11	2	0	1	17	94	0	6	5	81	184	118	302	37	238	61	11	147	-29	-22	-1	+0	-1	+4	-2.0
TOT	20	A	CLE	—	255	224	25	5	0	2	28	136	1	9	6	112	213	161	374	49	261	53	11	176	-7	-31	-1	+0	-2	+7	-2.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CLE	34%	285	250	41	8	1	4	31	110	2	6	3	164	261	252	513	88	271	39	11	239	41	-19	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
2028	22	MLB	CLE	48%	390	342	60	12	2	6	42	145	3	9	4	175	271	275	546	99	275	37	11	252	51	-22	+0	+0	-2	+11	-1.3
2027	21	MLB	CLE	34%	98	87	14	3	0	1	10	38	1	2	1	161	255	230	485	69	272	39	10	234	37	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	22	MLB	CLE	48%	189	165	29	6	1	3	20	70	2	4	2	176	273	279	552	103	275	37	11	245	46	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	287	253	43	9	1	4	30	108	3	6	3	170	267	261	528	91	275	38	10	241	43	-18	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	97	20	2	9	68	245	7	14	7	169	266	258	525	89	274	38	10	241	43	-42	+0	+0	-4	+18	-2.8
Career	—			—	1238	1067	163	30	7	12	145	511	16	47	19	153	264	228	492	75	274	41	12	230	34	-92	+2	+0	-7	+35	-6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	86	16	4	6	76	268	8	25	10	154	264	229	492	75	276	41	12	230	34	-48	+1	+0	-4	+18	-3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Blue	—	186	125	28	3	3	0	54	42	7	15	4	224	478	296	774	72	337	23	29	384	152	+11	+1	—	—	+5	1.8
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	142	118	20	4	1	0	19	52	2	4	4	169	295	220	515	51	290	37	13	247	47	-8	-1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	67	55	6	2	0	0	12	31	0	7	2	109	269	145	414	36	250	46	18	217	25	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	66	50	11	1	2	2	14	24	1	3	1	220	400	440	840	220	360	36	21	373	143	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	448	6	10	173	267	260	-3	+0	-1.7	-0.8
	/162	664	8	15	173	267	260	-4.0	+0.0	-2.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yerlin Luis (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	30→35	52→57	63	112/213/161	49	261	2	9	53%	11%	-7	-2.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→42	37→40	51→50	47	186/277/258	72	293	4	13	34%	10%	51	-1.7	197/259/270	73	271	5	8	27%	7%	45	-2.1	213/260/298	85	267	7	3	22%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Yonki Hernandez 2011 · A	20	40	37→40	49→55	47	184/285/247	64	286	5	13	34%	10%	53	-1.5	192/272/262	70	296	4	18	33%	8%	49	-1.8	184/265/243	59	280	2	24	32%	8%	39	-0.8
✕Chris Torres 2018 · A	20	43→37	36→30	51→55	44	200/268/273	72	300	3	14	32%	8%	49	-1.8	199/278/264	65	331	3	12	36%	10%	52	-1.6	180/271/235	55	301	3	15	37%	11%	38	-1.3
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2022 · A	20	40→32	40→45	51→50	44	189/267/287	97	296	6	7	36%	9%	53	-1.5	190/262/303	113	294	11	12	36%	8%	56	-1.3	173/244/282	109	262	12	12	37%	8%	40	-1.4
✕Alfredo Angarita 2017 · A	20	40	36→30	50→55	52	189/279/255	65	254	3	16	25%	10%	50	-1.7	201/269/258	57	287	2	12	28%	8%	46	-2.0	194/260/238	44	282	1	11	29%	7%	33	-1.1
✕Edwin Mateo 2019 · A	20	40	37→40	52→55	48	192/265/260	67	249	4	15	23%	8%	45	-2.1	213/290/299	86	290	7	14	27%	8%	66	-0.6	208/281/291	83	293	6	14	29%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	40→36	40→30	50	49	191/283/285	94	262	7	12	28%	10%	60	-1.0	181/291/247	66	292	3	14	35%	10%	56	-1.3	157/284/207	50	266	2	16	36%	11%	41	-1.2
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	40	-2.4	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	49	-1.8	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Varonex Cuevas 2012 · A	20	37	34→30	45→50	46	176/250/229	54	252	2	9	29%	9%	30	-3.1	202/263/262	60	274	2	12	25%	7%	44	-2.1	200/265/251	51	265	1	15	23%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Ghordy Santos 2019 · A	19	37	38→40	51→50	53	176/275/255	79	250	5	16	29%	11%	50	-1.8	207/278/291	84	314	6	15	33%	8%	58	-1.2	179/234/283	104	312	10	11	44%	6%	35	-1.1
✕Eduardo Lopez 2022 · A	20	43	36→40	51→50	46	200/277/272	72	297	3	10	31%	9%	53	-1.5	186/256/277	91	298	8	10	37%	8%	46	-2.0	164/237/270	106	244	11	11	35%	8%	34	-1.1
✕Brenny Escanio 2023 · A	20	36→37	41→30	51→55	46	178/266/277	99	265	8	16	33%	10%	51	-1.7	179/252/245	66	298	3	15	37%	9%	36	-2.7	167/242/222	55	282	3	17	38%	9%	24	-1.9
✕Kendy Moya 2018 · A	19	40	35→30	47→50	50	183/282/245	62	276	2	11	31%	11%	50	-1.8	196/292/263	67	281	2	10	27%	11%	59	-1.1	176/302/251	74	254	0	11	26%	13%	59	-0.4
✕Hansel Moreno 2017 · A	20	44→30	37→45	50	41	207/257/284	76	292	4	10	29%	6%	46	-2.0	201/246/295	94	305	8	15	35%	5%	45	-2.1	181/225/272	91	279	9	18	37%	5%	28	-1.8
✕Luis Osorio 2011 · A	20	39	35→40	49→55	47	185/263/247	63	260	2	13	28%	9%	41	-2.3	199/256/262	63	292	2	10	30%	6%	40	-2.4	227/273/279	52	315	0	12	26%	5%	47	-0.6
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	36→29	40→45	51→50	48	177/255/271	94	227	7	13	24%	8%	44	-2.1	175/249/266	91	263	6	10	33%	8%	40	-2.4	157/237/236	79	247	5	10	36%	9%	25	-2.0
✕Juan Batista 2021 · A	20	40	36→40	51→55	45	190/261/264	74	271	3	16	29%	8%	44	-2.1	183/243/264	81	368	5	13	48%	6%	37	-2.7	91/156/145	54	282	2	18	64%	5%	-32	-1.9
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2007 · A	20	41→40	36→40	53→55	41	194/255/261	68	274	3	13	29%	6%	41	-2.3	211/260/280	69	297	3	17	28%	5%	47	-1.9	219/264/289	70	305	2	19	27%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Dreily Guerrero 2011 · A	20	41	35→30	54→55	45	192/260/256	64	277	2	16	29%	8%	42	-2.3	179/231/240	61	294	2	10	37%	6%	24	-3.5	142/181/205	63	259	4	11	45%	4%	-8	-1.5
✕Raymel Flores 2015 · A	20	39	36→45	49→50	42	182/261/255	73	288	2	10	34%	8%	43	-2.2	200/253/278	78	302	6	10	33%	6%	43	-2.2	189/241/254	65	287	4	11	34%	5%	29	-1.2