Yerlin Luis

OF Hill City Howlers
Age 21 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKCLE142.169/.295/.22004-8—.104/.194/.136
202519A/ROK2 orgs133.162/.333/.28621013—.098/.228/.161
202620ACLE217.099/.287/.13518-9—.065/.199/.092
2027PROJMLE21MLBCLE327.169/.278/.2402752-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCLE59.177/.284/.2611160-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Chase%99
BB%96
Speed27
ISO7
wRC+6
wOBA5
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsJaden Rudd (age 21) · Yonki Hernandez (age 21) · Nelson Medina (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 126 proj PA
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .275 / .237
PA126
HR1
K%34
BB%12
ISO70
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE74
scouting grade only
SPEED58
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Guardians Blue — 186125 28330 54427 154 224478296774 72337 2329 384 68 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Guardians — 142118 20410 19522 44 169295220515 51290 3713 247 -8 — — — — — —
202519 ALynchburg Hillcats — 6755 6200 12310 72 109269145414 36250 4618 217 -17 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Guardians — 6650 11122 14241 31 220400440840 220360 3621 373 43 — — — — — —
202620 AHill City Howlers — 217171 17301 45920 87 99287135422 35203 4221 226 -9 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 186141 20220 38517 154 142349184534 43224 2720 269 68 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 142125 13210 12762 44 104194136330 32230 548 157 -8 — — — — — —
202519 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 6758 3100 9430 72 5217969248 17225 6413 143 -17 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 6655 8111 9331 31 145277255531 109271 5014 232 43 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHill City Howlers — 217185 12201 311250 87 6519992291 27182 5814 155 -9 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 186141 20220 38517 154 142349184534 43222 2720 269 68 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Guardians Blue — 186125 28330 54427 154 224478296774 72337 2329 384 68 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 142125 13210 12762 44 104194136330 32250 548 157 -8 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 142118 20410 19522 44 169295220515 51290 3713 247 -8 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 133114 11211 17761 103 96220158378 61263 5713 187 13 — — — — — —
202519 A RAW2 teams — 133105 17322 26551 103 162333286619 124306 4120 294 13 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHill City Howlers — 217185 12201 311250 87 6519992291 27183 5814 155 -9 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWHill City Howlers — 217171 17301 45920 87 99287135422 35203 4221 226 -9 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Blue — 186139 20220 38517 154 144349187537 43224 2720 269 68 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 142127 13210 12762 44 102194134328 31230 548 157 -8 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 133114 11211 17761 103 96220158378 61248 5713 187 13 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHill City Howlers — 217184 12201 311250 87 6519992291 27182 5814 155 -9 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 142127 13210 12762 44 102194134328 31230 548 157 -8 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 133114 11211 17761 103 96220158378 61248 5713 187 13 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHill City Howlers — 217184 12201 311250 87 6519992291 27182 5814 155 -9 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECLE 0% 327282 46912 401112 73 169278240517 70265 3412 246 52 -19 +0 +0 -2 +7 -0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECLE 34% 172148 26512 21571 41 177284262545 85267 3312 256 60 -8 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXCLE 34% 5952 9201 7200 10 177284261544 84268 3412 256 60 -3 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5952 9201 7200 10 173271269540 96258 3412 256 29 -3 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650573 9922011 772200 110 173271269540 96257 3412 256 29 -31 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.9
Career— MLE — 976822 1011765 13442812 4420 123255176432 54242 4414 211 29 -15 +1 +0 -2 +6 -1.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650547 671143 892858 2913 122255174428 51242 4414 211 29 -34 +1 +0 -4 +14 -2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHill City Howlers · 217 PAwOBA .223 → .155 (−68)K% 42.4% → 57.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA42.40%÷1.000×1.360——57.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.74%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01514.52%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP16.46%÷1.000×0.920×0.989×1.01515.20%
Doubles /BIP3.80%÷1.000×0.830×0.989×1.0153.16%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.989×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP1.27%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0151.03%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .223 → .155; ISO .035 → .022; BABIP .203 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALynchburg Hillcats · 67 PAwOBA .213 → .143 (−70)K% 46.3% → 63.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA46.27%÷0.989×1.360——63.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.91%÷0.975×0.690—×1.03013.06%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.071×0.920—×1.03014.74%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷0.921×0.830—×1.0307.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.020×0.910—×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.184×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 114, 2B 84, 3B 104, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .213 → .143; ISO .036 → .022; BABIP .250 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Guardians · 66 PAwOBA .370 → .232 (−138)K% 36.4% → 50.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.36%÷1.041×1.440——50.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.21%÷1.018×0.620—×0.99512.85%
HBP% /PA1.52%—×0.720—×0.9951.09%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷0.985×0.820—×0.99519.11%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷0.982×0.720—×0.9952.80%
Triples /BIP7.69%÷1.075×0.720—×0.9955.13%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷1.388×0.780—×0.9954.30%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .370 → .232; ISO .220 → .122; BABIP .360 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Guardians · 142 PAwOBA .247 → .157 (−90)K% 36.6% → 53.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.62%÷0.988×1.440——53.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.38%÷0.998×0.620—×1.0088.38%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.720—×1.0081.02%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷0.982×0.820×0.995×1.00819.01%
Doubles /BIP6.06%÷1.054×0.720×0.995×1.0084.15%
Triples /BIP1.52%÷0.935×0.720×0.995×1.0081.17%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.984×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 87, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .247 → .157; ISO .051 → .029; BABIP .290 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Guardians Blue · 186 PAwOBA .377 → .269 (−108)K% 22.6% → 27.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.58%÷1.001×1.220——27.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA29.03%÷1.006×0.700—×1.00820.35%
HBP% /PA3.76%—×0.700—×1.0082.65%
Singles /BIP26.51%÷0.991×0.680×0.978×1.00817.93%
Doubles /BIP3.61%÷0.917×0.600×0.978×1.0082.33%
Triples /BIP3.61%÷0.997×0.600×0.978×1.0082.14%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.035×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 83, 3B 99, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .377 → .269; ISO .072 → .049; BABIP .337 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).