Franderly Morel

P ACL Dodgers

Age 23 LHP 6'2" / 160 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ROKDSL LAD Mega	18	33	3.55	2.62	25.7%	7.9%	—	K 17.4% · BB 9.9% · FIP 3.88
2026	22	ROKLAD	19	29	8.48	6.76	23.5%	9.6%	—	K 16.0% · BB 11.9% · FIP 8.91
2027PROJ	23	MLBLAD	17	18	4.95	4.95	20.5%	11.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBLAD	12	13	4.80	4.74	21.3%	10.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsHouston Harding (age 24) · Will Ohman (age 23) · Keylan Killgore (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 127

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%20.5%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%9.2%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	18	1	34	148	30	12	2	6%	1.9	13.8%	10.1%	3.6%	1.4%	3.97	4.00	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	18	1	34	148	30	12	2	6%	1.9	20.3%	8.1%	12.2%	1.4%	3.97	3.16	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	16	0	24	107	41	15	1	0%	1.5	26.1%	17.5%	8.5%	1.2%	2.59	3.80	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	16	0	24	107	41	15	1	0%	1.5	26.1%	17.5%	8.5%	1.2%	2.59	3.80	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	16	0	24	107	41	15	1	0%	1.5	38.3%	14.0%	24.3%	0.9%	2.59	2.11	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	18	0	33	152	39	12	2	0%	1.8	17.4%	9.9%	7.6%	1.8%	3.55	3.88	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	18	0	33	152	39	12	2	0%	1.8	17.4%	9.9%	7.6%	1.8%	3.55	3.88	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	18	0	33	152	39	12	2	0%	1.8	25.7%	7.9%	17.8%	1.3%	3.55	2.62	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	19	0	29	136	32	13	10	0%	1.5	16.0%	11.9%	4.1%	10.3%	8.48	8.91	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	19	0	29	136	32	13	10	0%	1.5	16.0%	11.9%	4.1%	10.3%	8.48	8.91	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	19	0	29	136	32	13	10	0%	1.5	23.5%	9.6%	14.0%	7.4%	8.48	6.76	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	LAD	17	0	18	76	16	9	2	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.3%	9.2%	3.2%	4.95	4.95	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAD	29	0	30	128	27	13	4	0%	1.0	21.3%	10.4%	11.0%	3.2%	4.80	4.74	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAD	12	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	10.4%	11.0%	3.2%	4.80	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.4%	11.0%	3.2%	4.80	4.36	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	92	31	0%	1.1	21.4%	10.4%	11.0%	3.2%	4.80	4.36	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		71	1	120	543	97	65	20	1%	1.7	17.8%	12.0%	5.8%	3.7%	4.65	5.16	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		118	2	200	905	161	108	34	1%	1.7	17.8%	12.0%	5.8%	3.7%	4.65	5.16	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Franderly Morel (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	20.5%	11.3%	3.2%	—	4.74	21.3%	11.0%	30	-0.21	—	—	—
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	86
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	86
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	85
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	85
Glen Perkins L 2007 · 3.91 FIP	24	SU	3.91	17.4%	10.4%	1.7%	.259	4.76	11.2%	5.7%	269	+0.85	2.16	611	84
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	83
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	83
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	83
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	83
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	82
Jake Dahlberg L 2017 · 5.06 FIP	23	SU	5.06	15.1%	8.7%	3.9%	.306	3.11	13.0%	7.4%	47	-1.95	3.11	226	82
Andrew Tomasovich L 2017 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.04	20.3%	6.9%	52	+0.05	3.87	126	82
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	82
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	471	82
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	81
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	81
Cam Alldred L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	23	SU	4.61	18.1%	11.0%	3.0%	.323	4.24	18.5%	7.9%	132	-0.37	3.70	332	81
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	81
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	81