Abel Lorenzo — OGILVIE

Abel LorenzoC ACL Dodgers

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR +15%K -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.6 · 2032

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .278 / .319

PA116

HR2

K%31

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗25

PWR

33↗38

SPD

58↗63

EYE

48↗53

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.6peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.6	$25M	+$24M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.6	$26M	+$25M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.4	$24M	+$23M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.3	$24M	+$19M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.0	$22M	+$15M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.7	$19M	+$11M
Totals		$22M		$139M	+$117M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	198	178	31	8	1	2	13	81	4	4	5	.174	.246	.264	.510	.090	.299	41	7	.230	34	-15	-1	+0	+4	+6	-0.7
2024	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	231	194	27	4	1	1	22	70	11	28	9	.139	.264	.186	.450	.046	.205	30	10	.213	21	-21	+2	+0	+4	+7	-0.8
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	139	131	14	2	0	1	6	69	1	5	1	.107	.152	.145	.297	.038	.210	50	4	.144	-32	-21	+1	+0	+2	+4	-1.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	LAD	116	103	21	4	1	2	10	36	2	3	1	.204	.287	.320	.607	.117	.282	31	9	.273	67	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	LAD	200	177	38	7	1	5	18	58	3	5	1	.215	.298	.350	.648	.136	.284	29	9	.289	80	-5	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.5
2028	22	MLB 28%	LAD	326	288	64	12	2	9	30	92	5	9	2	.222	.307	.372	.678	.149	.286	28	9	.299	87	-5	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.2
2029	23	MLB 48%	LAD	411	363	81	15	2	12	39	113	6	11	3	.223	.309	.375	.683	.152	.286	27	9	.306	92	-4	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.7
2030	24	MLB 62%	LAD	468	413	92	17	2	14	46	126	6	13	3	.223	.310	.375	.685	.153	.287	27	10	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2031	25	MLB 80%	LAD	501	439	100	19	2	15	50	134	7	13	3	.228	.317	.383	.699	.155	.288	27	10	.314	98	-1	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.4
2032	26	MLB 94%	LAD	520	455	104	19	3	16	53	139	7	14	3	.229	.318	.389	.707	.160	.288	27	10	.315	100	-0	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2033	27	MLB	LAD	520	454	103	19	2	16	54	140	7	14	3	.227	.318	.383	.702	.156	.288	27	10	.315	100	-0	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2034	28	MLB	LAD	520	454	102	19	2	16	54	141	7	13	3	.225	.317	.381	.698	.156	.288	27	10	.314	99	-1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2035	29	MLB	LAD	520	454	102	19	2	16	54	142	7	13	2	.225	.317	.381	.698	.156	.287	27	10	.312	97	-2	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.3
2036	30	MLB	LAD	511	445	98	18	2	15	54	142	7	12	2	.220	.314	.371	.685	.151	.285	28	11	.309	95	-3	+2	-2	+9	+14	2.0
2037	31	MLB	LAD	483	422	92	17	2	14	51	136	7	10	1	.218	.312	.367	.680	.149	.284	28	11	.305	92	-4	+2	-3	+9	+14	1.7
2038	32	MLB	LAD	452	396	85	16	2	12	47	130	6	9	1	.215	.307	.356	.663	.141	.282	29	10	.301	88	-6	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.3
2039	33	MLB	LAD	411	360	76	14	2	11	43	121	5	8	0	.211	.304	.353	.657	.142	.280	29	10	.295	84	-7	+2	-4	+7	+12	0.9
2040	34	MLB	LAD	357	312	64	12	1	9	37	108	5	7	0	.205	.299	.337	.636	.131	.279	30	10	.289	79	-8	+1	-5	+6	+10	0.5
2041	35	MLB	LAD	299	262	52	9	1	7	31	93	4	6	0	.198	.293	.321	.614	.122	.276	31	10	.281	73	-9	+1	-6	+5	+8	0.0
2042	36	MLB	LAD	240	211	40	7	1	5	24	77	3	5	0	.190	.282	.303	.585	.114	.273	32	10	.272	66	-9	+1	-6	+4	+7	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	LAD	182	160	30	5	1	4	18	60	2	4	0	.188	.278	.306	.584	.119	.269	33	10	.262	59	-8	+1	-7	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7605	6671	1416	262	33	202	754	2208	112	206	43	.212	.303	.352	.655	.140	.282	29	10	.295	84	-135	+24	-38	+136	+215	20.6
/ 162G	—			650	570	121	22	3	17	64	189	10	18	4	.212	.303	.351	.654	.139	.283	29	10	.295	84	-12	+2	-3	+12	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	198	167	46	12	2	4	24	54	4	4	5	.275	.379	.443	.823	.168	.378	27	12	.364	136	+8	-1	—	—	+6	1.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	231	177	35	5	2	2	39	48	11	28	9	.198	.374	.282	.657	.085	.252	21	17	.314	99	-0	+2	—	—	+7	0.8
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	139	127	23	4	0	3	10	47	1	5	1	.181	.246	.283	.530	.102	.256	34	7	.242	43	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abel Lorenzo (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	33→38	58→63	53	.202/.278/.319	.117	.282	2	3	31%	8%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	.211/.278/.300	.089	.298	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.251/.313	.119	.273	11	7	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	45	.183/.271/.272	.089	.286	7	6	36%	10%	52	-1.6	.190/.265/.267	.077	.298	5	6	35%	9%	47	-1.9	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Eddinson Paulino 2023 · A	21	44→41	46→45	56→50	44	.216/.282/.359	.144	.289	11	14	28%	8%	78	+0.2	.202/.260/.328	.126	.278	12	15	30%	6%	61	-1.0	.186/.241/.303	.118	.255	13	15	32%	6%	43	-1.4
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	43→42	45→40	53→65	45	.213/.281/.336	.123	.279	13	11	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.194/.288/.298	.104	.270	9	21	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.165/.260/.259	.093	.238	9	30	32%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→32	41→55	59→50	42	.208/.262/.314	.106	.276	8	21	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.196/.243/.346	.150	.273	17	9	34%	5%	59	-1.1	.194/.269/.375	.181	.237	26	7	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	39→49	38→45	58→55	45	.188/.259/.276	.088	.265	5	16	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.210/.284/.296	.086	.280	6	17	25%	8%	63	-0.9	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Marcelo Mayer 2023 · A	20	47→46	48→50	55→50	44	.224/.297/.372	.148	.336	15	13	36%	9%	88	+0.9	.223/.279/.372	.149	.303	16	12	30%	7%	80	+0.4	.225/.274/.376	.152	.287	18	10	28%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Taylor Trammell 2018 · A	20	46	41→55	56→55	44	.219/.278/.321	.102	.303	8	21	29%	7%	66	-0.6	.206/.279/.299	.093	.299	8	19	31%	9%	61	-1.0	.205/.299/.385	.179	.274	22	23	32%	11%	90	+0.6
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	41	40→45	54→60	47	.189/.291/.289	.100	.303	7	8	36%	10%	66	-0.6	.201/.301/.282	.081	.273	6	17	26%	10%	68	-0.5	.180/.308/.228	.048	.225	5	30	19%	12%	56	-0.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	38→36	49→50	53→50	42	.198/.271/.352	.155	.274	16	13	33%	7%	72	-0.2	.199/.257/.341	.142	.284	16	13	34%	6%	63	-0.8	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	47→40	40	56→55	43	.223/.279/.318	.095	.302	7	17	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.211/.272/.306	.095	.291	7	22	28%	7%	59	-1.1	.209/.274/.312	.103	.279	7	30	26%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	43	39→45	54→50	40	.206/.263/.293	.087	.303	7	13	33%	6%	52	-1.6	.215/.257/.315	.100	.316	7	12	32%	5%	54	-1.4	.210/.249/.305	.095	.301	6	14	31%	5%	45	-1.2
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	45→55	42→45	57→70	45	.220/.273/.329	.110	.277	8	17	23%	7%	66	-0.6	.218/.270/.313	.095	.291	8	18	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	39→45	51→50	46	.205/.280/.288	.083	.305	6	13	32%	9%	59	-1.1	.234/.309/.335	.101	.341	7	12	30%	9%	82	+0.5	.246/.314/.364	.118	.341	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)