Abel Lorenzo — OGILVIE

Abel LorenzoC ACL Dodgers

Age 20 L/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION317 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .100 / .100

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%6

BABIP270

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	198	167	46	12	2	4	24	54	4	4	5	275	379	443	823	168	378	27	12	364	132	+8	-1	—	—	+4	1.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	231	177	35	5	2	2	39	48	11	28	9	198	374	282	657	85	252	21	17	314	99	-0	+2	—	—	+5	0.7
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	139	127	23	4	0	3	10	47	1	5	1	181	246	283	530	102	256	34	7	242	50	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	198	177	32	8	1	2	14	80	4	4	5	181	256	271	528	90	292	40	7	235	45	-13	-1	—	—	+4	-1.0
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	231	193	27	4	1	1	23	70	11	28	9	140	269	187	455	47	190	30	10	216	32	-19	+2	—	—	+5	-1.2
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	139	131	15	2	0	2	6	68	1	5	1	115	159	176	335	61	208	49	4	147	-14	-19	+1	—	—	+3	-1.6
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	198	177	32	8	1	2	14	80	4	4	5	181	256	271	528	90	309	40	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	198	167	46	12	2	4	24	54	4	4	5	275	379	443	823	168	378	27	12	364	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	231	193	27	4	1	1	23	70	11	28	9	140	269	187	455	47	206	30	10	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	231	177	35	5	2	2	39	48	11	28	9	198	374	282	657	85	252	21	17	314	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	139	131	15	2	0	2	6	68	1	5	1	115	159	176	335	61	210	49	4	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	139	127	23	4	0	3	10	47	1	5	1	181	246	283	530	102	256	34	7	242	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	198	178	32	8	1	2	14	80	4	4	5	180	256	270	526	90	292	40	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	231	195	27	4	1	1	23	70	11	28	9	138	269	185	453	46	190	30	10	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	139	131	15	2	0	2	6	68	1	5	1	115	159	176	335	61	208	49	4	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	198	178	32	8	1	2	14	80	4	4	5	180	256	270	526	90	292	40	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	231	195	27	4	1	1	23	70	11	28	9	138	269	185	453	46	190	30	10	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	139	131	15	2	0	2	6	68	1	5	1	115	159	176	335	61	208	49	4	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	LAD	—	317	299	57	12	1	4	8	116	8	27	11	191	232	278	509	87	293	37	3	225	39	-23	+1	+0	+6	+7	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	LAD	—	184	171	53	12	1	5	7	49	5	20	9	310	355	480	835	170	407	27	4	368	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	LAD	—	133	124	26	6	1	1	5	34	3	7	2	210	258	298	556	89	278	26	4	251	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	ROK MLE	LAD	0%	10	10	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	100	100	100	200		275	30	0	231	42	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	ROK MLE	LAD	—	327	309	58	12	1	4	8	119	8	28	11	188	228	272	500	84	287	36	2	225	39	-24	+1	+0	+6	+7	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	328	302	58	12	1	5	17	107	6	11	4	192	249	288	537	96	278	33	5	247	53	-18	+1	+0	+6	+7	-0.5
2028	22	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	422	388	78	15	2	8	23	133	8	13	5	201	260	312	572	111	280	32	5	258	61	-20	+1	+0	+8	+9	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	LAD	54%	478	438	89	17	2	10	28	147	9	14	5	203	265	320	585	116	281	31	6	265	65	-20	+1	+0	+9	+10	-0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	513	469	97	19	2	11	30	156	9	15	6	207	268	326	594	119	282	30	6	269	68	-20	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	520	475	98	19	2	11	31	158	9	15	6	206	268	324	592	118	282	30	6	270	69	-19	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	520	475	99	19	2	12	31	158	9	15	5	208	270	333	603	124	282	30	6	270	69	-19	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	520	474	99	19	2	12	32	158	9	14	5	209	272	333	605	124	282	30	6	270	69	-19	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	520	474	98	19	2	11	32	159	9	14	5	207	270	325	595	118	281	31	6	269	68	-20	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	LAD	58%	520	474	97	19	2	11	32	160	9	13	5	205	268	323	591	118	280	31	6	268	67	-20	+1	-1	+9	+11	-0.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	LAD	60%	514	468	95	18	2	11	32	160	9	12	5	203	267	321	588	118	279	31	6	265	65	-21	+0	-2	+9	+11	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	113	104	20	4	0	2	6	37	2	4	1	192	250	288	538	96	274	33	5	232	53	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	204	187	37	7	1	4	11	64	4	6	2	198	257	310	568	112	276	31	5	243	61	-10	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	LAD	54%	259	237	48	9	1	6	15	80	5	8	3	203	265	325	589	122	277	31	6	250	65	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	284	260	53	10	1	6	17	87	5	8	3	204	266	319	585	115	278	31	6	254	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	291	267	55	10	1	7	17	88	5	8	3	206	266	330	596	124	278	30	6	255	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	292	268	55	10	1	7	17	89	5	8	3	205	266	328	594	123	278	30	6	256	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	288	263	54	10	1	7	18	88	5	8	3	205	269	331	600	125	278	31	6	256	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	285	260	54	10	1	7	18	87	5	8	3	208	272	335	607	127	277	31	6	255	68	-11	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	LAD	58%	302	275	57	11	1	7	19	93	5	8	3	207	271	331	602	124	276	31	6	253	67	-12	+0	-1	+5	+7	-0.0
2036	30	MLB CTX	LAD	60%	310	283	57	11	1	7	19	96	5	7	3	201	264	322	585	120	275	31	6	251	65	-13	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2628	2404	490	92	9	60	157	809	46	73	27	204	266	324	590	121	278	31	6	252	62	-105	+4	-2	+47	+57	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	121	23	2	15	39	200	11	18	7	203	265	324	589	121	277	31	6	252	62	-26	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5433	4948	983	190	21	107	331	1717	102	174	66	199	263	310	574	112	277	32	6	260	62	-196	+7	-4	+87	+105	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	119	23	3	13	40	205	12	21	8	201	266	316	581	115	280	32	6	260	62	-26	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.2	2,818	58	78	205	264	321	+50	+24	1.5	1.7
/162	664	14	18	+11.9	+5.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abel Lorenzo (OGILVIE)	20	21→26	35→40	59→64	46	182/238/264	81	275	2	10	34%	5%	42	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	47	-2.6	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	55	-2.0	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	32	-0.9
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	39	41→45	56→50	41	189/251/288	99	284	8	15	35%	7%	53	-2.1	182/253/293	111	267	12	13	34%	8%	55	-1.9	182/240/283	101	235	12	16	28%	7%	44	-1.3
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	62	-1.4	194/241/346	152	272	18	8	35%	5%	63	-1.4	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Francisco Santana 2008 · A	20	37	38→50	52→55	39	182/227/269	87	246	5	7	28%	5%	38	-3.2	202/247/309	107	265	8	12	26%	5%	55	-2.0	191/230/306	114	248	9	14	26%	5%	46	-1.0
✕Jonathan Piron 2015 · A	20	40	37→45	56→50	35	193/225/278	84	274	3	16	30%	4%	38	-3.2	203/230/311	108	291	9	13	33%	3%	49	-2.4	198/220/311	114	282	11	14	34%	2%	42	-1.6
✕Kody Eaves 2013 · A	20	41→42	39→45	56→50	41	200/251/288	89	269	5	8	27%	6%	52	-2.2	204/242/298	94	280	6	14	28%	4%	51	-2.3	185/243/302	117	253	10	7	30%	7%	50	-1.4
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	42	-2.9	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	45	-2.7	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	25	-0.8
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→44	39→45	53→50	43	195/254/284	89	269	5	13	28%	7%	53	-2.1	216/286/322	106	302	9	13	29%	9%	74	-0.6	216/290/325	109	297	11	14	29%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	46→40	40→45	57→60	43	221/278/318	97	302	7	17	28%	7%	69	-0.9	212/274/310	98	290	7	22	27%	7%	65	-1.2	203/265/310	108	257	10	33	24%	7%	60	-0.9
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Max George 2016 · A	20	39→38	39→45	54→55	42	186/270/274	88	290	7	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	186/268/290	104	258	9	15	30%	8%	60	-1.6	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Gabriel Ovalle 2015 · A	20	36	35→40	57→60	41	173/225/241	68	239	1	15	27%	6%	31	-3.7	188/252/246	58	261	1	15	26%	7%	42	-2.9	179/270/216	37	224	0	32	18%	9%	42	-1.0
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→44	40→45	54→50	40	185/249/285	100	275	6	9	34%	7%	51	-2.2	203/274/314	111	281	9	13	29%	8%	68	-1.0	202/276/313	110	274	9	14	28%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→31	37→45	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	44	-2.8	180/251/307	127	326	15	16	46%	7%	58	-1.7	166/238/291	125	290	16	19	46%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Eduardo Sosa 2011 · A	20	41	38→40	52→50	40	196/255/280	84	286	5	15	32%	6%	52	-2.2	205/246/273	68	304	3	11	32%	5%	46	-2.6	199/242/261	61	294	2	11	31%	4%	39	-1.6
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	207/265/294	88	309	7	13	34%	7%	59	-1.7	216/259/313	97	318	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/254/305	93	308	6	14	32%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	59	-1.6	205/269/296	91	280	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	182/247/261	79	270	7	8	33%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	41	37→45	55→45	39	197/236/272	76	265	4	7	27%	5%	42	-2.9	244/270/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps