Adonys Perez
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 22
LHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.9 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 58 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129138vR 147
ERA5.72
FIP5.72
K%11.0%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%-1.9%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs Black | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs Black | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 8 | 40 | 172 | 30 | 22 | 0 | 73% | 3.6 | 12.2% | 15.7% | -3.5% | 0.0% | 4.99 | 4.06 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 8 | 40 | 172 | 30 | 22 | 0 | 73% | 3.6 | 17.4% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 4.99 | 3.25 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 22 | 21 | 96 | 437 | 95 | 44 | 13 | 95% | 4.4 | 16.1% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.63 | 5.01 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 22 | 21 | 96 | 437 | 95 | 44 | 13 | 95% | 4.4 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 6.63 | 4.25 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 13 | 91 | 422 | 67 | 36 | 9 | 57% | 3.9 | 11.9% | 10.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 6.06 | 4.36 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 13 | 91 | 422 | 67 | 36 | 9 | 57% | 3.9 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 6.06 | 4.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 16 | 6 | 46 | 193 | 35 | 12 | 8 | 38% | 2.9 | 14.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.08 | 5.54 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ARI | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 27 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.0% | 12.9% | -1.9% | 2.8% | 5.72 | 5.72 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.0% | 12.9% | -1.9% | 2.8% | 5.72 | 5.72 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 104 | 438 | 62 | 44 | 15 | — | — | 14.1% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.99 | 5.64 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 11.0% | 12.9% | -1.9% | 2.8% | 5.72 | 5.34 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ARI | 10 | 10 | 60 | 255 | 36 | 31 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.0% | 12.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.44 | 5.34 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 10 | 10 | 62 | 261 | 41 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.8% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 10 | 10 | 63 | 264 | 45 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 16.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 10 | 10 | 63 | 264 | 46 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 17.4% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 10 | 10 | 62 | 261 | 45 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.4% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 10 | 10 | 60 | 252 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.3% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 5.06 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ARI | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.0% | 12.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.44 | 5.34 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.8% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 16.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.4% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 41 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.4% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.3% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 47 | 47 | 290 | 1223 | 204 | 140 | 34 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.7% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 4.67 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 32 | 32 | 200 | 844 | 141 | 97 | 23 | 99% | 6.2 | 16.7% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 75 | 48 | 276 | 1244 | 172 | 139 | 31 | 64% | 3.7 | 13.8% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.83 | 4.71 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 35 | 200 | 900 | 124 | 100 | 22 | 64% | 3.7 | 13.8% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.83 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adonys Perez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.72 | 11.0% | 12.9% | 2.8% | — | 5.15 | 15.6% | 4.0% | 185 | -0.57 | — | — | — |
| Parker Rigler L 2026 · 6.33 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.33 | 13.8% | 13.3% | 5.0% | .318 | 4.54 | 14.5% | 4.0% | 140 | -1.79 | 4.54 | 192 | 80 |
| Maikel Sepulveda L 2024 · 4.78 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.78 | 10.5% | 11.5% | 2.0% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 125 | 79 |
| Victor Payano L 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.19 | 14.8% | 16.5% | 4.1% | .287 | 4.92 | 20.5% | 7.0% | 225 | -1.27 | 3.81 | 341 | 78 |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.69 | 14.1% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .322 | 4.80 | 14.7% | 0.1% | 130 | +0.11 | 4.62 | 195 | 78 |
| Lane Ratliff L 2026 · 6.27 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.27 | 12.0% | 12.8% | 4.7% | .344 | 3.29 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 80 | -2.98 | 2.85 | 109 | 78 |
| Tom Windle L 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.61 | 12.3% | 13.0% | 1.6% | .304 | 4.24 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 159 | -0.37 | 3.79 | 330 | 78 |
| Cole Kirschsieper L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.23 | 15.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.23 | 105 | 77 |
| Scott Squier L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.89 | 12.2% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 4.13 | 13.9% | 7.9% | 234 | -0.76 | 3.30 | 276 | 76 |
| Andrew Faulkner L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.84 | 18.0% | 12.8% | 3.0% | .290 | 4.18 | 17.7% | 6.6% | 142 | -0.66 | 3.78 | 252 | 76 |
| Frankeli Arias L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.22 | 14.4% | 12.4% | 3.2% | .249 | 6.12 | 17.0% | 1.8% | 30 | +0.90 | 3.68 | 292 | 76 |
| Evan Grills L 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.51 | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% | .335 | 3.80 | 16.1% | 11.6% | 221 | -1.71 | 3.24 | 309 | 75 |
| Jake Miller L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.19 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.2% | .345 | 3.04 | 22.5% | 16.3% | 99 | -2.15 | 3.01 | 143 | 75 |
| Edwin Escobar L 2027 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.93 | 9.6% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.20 | 13.7% | 4.9% | 122 | -1.73 | 4.20 | 218 | 74 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.39 | 11.9% | 15.1% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.29 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 97 | -1.10 | 4.11 | 158 | 74 |
| Ferrol Heredia L 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 13.6% | 16.0% | 1.1% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 127 | 73 |
| Max Roberts L 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.79 | 10.7% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 173 | 73 |
| Colin Rodgers L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.17 | 11.2% | 15.6% | 1.9% | .315 | 4.76 | 16.5% | 5.5% | 156 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 313 | 73 |
| Julian Smith L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.79 | 14.5% | 17.4% | 1.3% | .399 | 5.33 | 17.9% | 5.8% | 110 | +0.54 | 2.87 | 189 | 73 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.86 | 13.6% | 16.7% | 3.3% | .209 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 128 | 73 |
| Austin Davis L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.07 | 14.7% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .259 | 2.95 | 23.3% | 15.8% | 151 | -2.12 | 2.22 | 486 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 61 | 15.7% | 11.7% | 1.08 | 5.20 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |