Caden Bogenpohl — OGILVIE

Caden BogenpohlRF Clearwater Threshers

Age 22 L/R A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .259 / .315

PA89

HR2

K%32

BB%7

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 61

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER61

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	80	72	19	5	0	2	7	23	0	0	0	264	329	417	746	153	354	29	9	329	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	80	74	15	4	0	1	5	31	0	0	0	203	253	297	550	95	331	39	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	80	74	15	4	0	1	5	31	0	0	0	203	253	297	550	95	326	39	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	80	72	19	5	0	2	7	23	0	0	0	264	329	417	746	153	354	29	9	329	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	80	75	15	4	0	1	5	31	0	0	0	200	253	293	546	93	331	39	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	80	75	15	4	0	1	5	31	0	0	0	200	253	293	546	93	331	39	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	190	174	35	7	1	4	13	61	1	3	1	201	261	318	580	117	280	32	7	261	63	-8	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	180	164	33	6	1	4	13	57	1	3	1	205	266	327	593	123	281	32	7	266	66	-7	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	62	58	11	2	0	1	4	20	0	1	0	206	267	333	600	127	282	32	6	269	66	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	62	58	11	2	0	1	4	20	0	1	0	190	242	276	518	86	270	32	6	269	64	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	115	21	0	10	42	210	0	10	0	189	242	273	515	84	271	32	6	269	64	-26	+2	-0	-7	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	349	320	64	13	1	7	24	117	2	4	1	200	260	312	573	112	288	34	7	263	64	-11	+0	-0	-3	+6	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	119	24	2	13	45	218	4	7	2	200	261	312	573	112	287	34	7	263	64	-27	+1	-1	-7	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Bogenpohl (OGILVIE)	22	20→38	60→61	50→45	60	199/259/315	116	280	2	1	32%	7%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Albert Fabian 2024 · A	22	36→45	48→50	42→45	38	193/248/332	139	262	17	4	33%	6%	62	-1.4	212/268/337	125	271	14	7	26%	6%	70	-0.8	217/272/336	119	265	13	9	23%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Ademar Rifaela 2017 · A	22	39→45	46→50	44→45	38	202/248/330	128	280	14	5	33%	5%	61	-1.5	221/267/351	130	318	14	5	33%	5%	73	-0.6	221/268/350	129	317	13	3	33%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Gabriel Moncada 2024 · A	22	42→41	45	43→40	43	205/280/327	121	299	12	3	34%	8%	73	-0.6	183/248/268	85	290	7	3	36%	7%	47	-2.6	147/215/203	56	242	3	1	38%	7%	18	-1.9
✕Sandber Pimentel 2017 · A	22	41→40	47→50	43→30	43	207/280/335	128	294	15	2	34%	8%	75	-0.5	205/270/343	138	324	18	3	39%	8%	73	-0.6	189/254/324	136	298	19	0	41%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Dillon Paulson 2019 · A	22	40→36	47→50	50→30	48	205/279/349	145	264	14	4	27%	9%	78	-0.3	206/284/335	129	302	13	4	33%	10%	76	-0.4	192/275/318	126	272	13	2	32%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Rixon Wingrove 2022 · A	22	35→34	44→50	47→40	37	182/244/298	117	281	13	4	38%	6%	53	-2.1	191/255/335	144	295	18	4	40%	6%	65	-1.2	182/250/335	153	264	21	3	38%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Lance Ray 2012 · A	22	42→37	43→45	44→45	43	208/268/320	112	284	10	7	30%	7%	66	-1.1	195/262/316	121	266	12	6	30%	8%	63	-1.3	169/246/286	117	219	13	5	29%	9%	49	-1.1
✕David Washington 2013 · A	22	40→38	45→55	49→45	38	197/254/318	121	305	12	6	38%	7%	61	-1.5	201/263/338	137	318	15	5	39%	7%	69	-0.9	198/259/360	162	317	21	5	42%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Kevin Rivers 2012 · A	23	40→43	46→50	48→45	40	204/263/326	122	290	14	8	34%	7%	65	-1.2	207/272/334	127	292	12	6	31%	8%	72	-0.7	201/268/329	128	278	11	4	30%	8%	67	-0.8
✕Jaime Ortiz 2010 · A	22	39→48	46→45	46→40	40	199/256/324	125	272	14	4	32%	6%	63	-1.4	221/267/329	108	280	10	4	24%	5%	68	-1.0	227/268/331	105	283	9	2	22%	5%	66	-0.7
✕Trae Santos 2016 · A	23	41→38	46→50	46→40	43	204/272/336	132	275	12	4	30%	7%	72	-0.7	187/251/309	122	277	11	4	35%	6%	58	-1.7	146/214/264	118	221	11	0	38%	6%	31	-2.6
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	39→36	47→50	42→40	39	199/250/342	143	275	14	6	33%	6%	65	-1.2	205/271/347	142	266	15	4	28%	7%	74	-0.6	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Agustin Ruiz 2022 · AA	22	36→37	46→50	42→40	38	189/250/312	123	279	15	4	37%	7%	58	-1.7	187/259/324	137	261	16	4	34%	7%	65	-1.2	170/247/299	129	231	15	2	33%	7%	54	-1.2
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	40→45	44→50	50	38	198/259/324	126	291	11	7	34%	6%	64	-1.3	217/266/355	138	298	15	9	31%	5%	74	-0.6	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Leandro Pineda 2024 · A	22	39→49	42→50	48→45	42	191/259/302	111	275	9	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	213/280/341	128	279	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Alexis Rivera 2016 · A	22	41	44→45	49→50	41	205/261/317	113	282	11	10	31%	6%	63	-1.4	227/269/334	107	305	10	8	28%	5%	69	-0.9	242/270/333	91	317	8	6	26%	3%	66	-0.5
✕Anthony Hall 2024 · A	23	43	44→45	46→45	43	210/276/326	115	297	11	6	32%	8%	70	-0.8	190/248/277	87	313	7	10	38%	7%	49	-2.4	150/206/208	58	270	4	13	43%	7%	14	-1.4
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	43→41	47→50	46→50	45	217/281/349	132	278	14	8	27%	7%	78	-0.3	214/279/323	109	308	11	11	32%	8%	71	-0.8	177/255/227	50	295	4	15	38%	10%	36	-0.7
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1