Beau Brewer — OGILVIE

Beau Brewer3B Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .278 / .310

PA76

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	31	30	5	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	167	194	233	427	67	185	10	3	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	31	29	6	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	207	258	276	534	69	222	6	6	245	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	195	169	45	2	0	0	23	18	1	3	1	266	358	278	636	12	294	9	12	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	195	157	44	2	0	0	35	12	1	3	1	280	415	293	708	13	299	6	18	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	102	98	17	4	0	0	4	29	0	0	0	173	206	214	420	41	246	28	4	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	102	92	21	6	0	0	8	19	0	0	0	228	284	293	578	65	288	19	8	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	NYY	—	76	69	15	3	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	217	289	304	594	87	291	29	8	269	64	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYY	30%	131	119	26	5	1	2	10	37	1	2	1	218	285	328	612	109	292	28	8	278	71	-4	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	NYY	44%	235	212	47	8	1	5	19	65	2	4	1	222	292	340	631	118	292	28	8	284	75	-7	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2029	27	MLB	NYY	49%	299	270	60	11	1	6	24	82	3	5	1	222	293	337	630	115	292	27	8	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2030	28	MLB	NYY	52%	340	306	68	12	2	7	28	94	3	5	1	222	294	343	637	121	291	28	8	285	77	-9	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.2
2027	25	MLB	NYY	30%	40	37	8	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	216	275	324	599	108	293	28	8	274	68	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	26	MLB	NYY	44%	104	94	21	4	1	2	8	29	1	2	0	223	291	351	642	128	294	28	8	280	72	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.0
2029	27	MLB	NYY	49%	147	133	29	5	1	3	12	40	1	2	1	218	288	338	626	120	293	27	8	282	74	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2030	28	MLB	NYY	52%	175	157	35	6	1	4	14	48	2	3	1	223	295	350	645	127	293	27	8	281	74	-5	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	466	421	93	16	3	10	37	128	4	8	2	221	290	344	634	124	290	27	8	280	73	-14	+1	-0	+2	+13	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	129	22	4	14	52	179	6	11	3	220	290	342	632	123	289	28	8	280	73	-20	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	1409	1273	283	47	5	21	115	350	11	20	5	222	292	317	609	94	288	25	8	276	69	-49	+2	-1	+5	+40	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	131	22	2	10	53	161	5	9	2	223	293	319	611	95	289	25	8	276	69	-23	+1	-0	+2	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	31	29	6	2	2	2	0	0	0	207	258	276	534	69	222	6	6	245	45	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	195	157	44	2	35	12	1	3	1	280	415	293	708	13	299	6	18	337	116	+4	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	102	92	21	6	8	19	0	0	0	228	284	293	578	65	288	19	8	263	60	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	466	10	7	222	289	341	+2	+1	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	14	10	222	289	341	+2.4	+1.4	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Beau Brewer (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	212/278/310	99	291	1	1	29%	8%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→36	43→50	48→45	44	203/282/318	115	297	11	7	33%	8%	68	-0.5	193/294/347	154	320	18	5	41%	11%	82	+0.5	177/286/336	158	296	20	3	43%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	41	41→45	50	45	190/309/282	92	303	8	10	35%	10%	72	-0.2	207/308/334	127	335	14	13	39%	9%	85	+0.7	165/295/298	133	275	17	18	41%	11%	70	-0.1
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Mike McGee 2013 · A	24	44→41	43→45	48→45	45	217/272/330	112	267	10	8	23%	6%	66	-0.6	200/262/297	97	291	9	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	94/175/132	38	173	6	7	46%	9%	-26	-1.3
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/275/316	105	277	8	8	26%	7%	63	-0.8	210/302/302	92	286	5	10	26%	9%	72	-0.2	196/303/283	87	270	4	10	26%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A	24	43	40→45	49→40	42	208/266/303	94	290	7	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	208/289/325	117	317	12	4	35%	9%	72	-0.2	195/284/314	119	296	12	2	35%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Nick Fortes 2021 · A	24	40→44	41→45	46→45	46	198/261/293	96	247	8	5	23%	7%	53	-1.5	224/289/353	129	259	15	8	20%	6%	80	+0.4	221/287/348	127	250	16	8	19%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Cody Cipriano 2009 · A	24	40→48	45	55→45	46	199/274/329	130	265	11	12	28%	8%	67	-0.5	219/289/330	111	313	8	8	30%	8%	73	-0.1	224/298/330	106	321	7	7	30%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Barrett Barnes 2015 · A	24	42→48	44→45	51→50	42	210/273/325	116	283	12	14	30%	7%	66	-0.6	223/289/345	122	293	11	12	26%	7%	77	+0.1	215/293/346	131	300	13	7	30%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Logan Hill 2017 · A	24	39	44→55	48→45	36	196/250/310	114	286	11	10	35%	5%	52	-1.6	206/270/368	162	292	20	5	35%	7%	76	+0.1	200/268/377	177	277	24	2	36%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→45	41→45	44→45	44	214/271/309	96	275	9	7	25%	6%	60	-1.0	223/277/326	103	287	9	7	24%	6%	67	-0.5	242/291/349	107	304	9	4	22%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Michael Guldberg 2023 · AA	24	45	39→45	50→55	45	217/283/304	87	281	7	13	24%	7%	64	-0.8	210/263/305	95	287	8	11	28%	6%	56	-1.3	176/213/260	83	241	8	10	30%	4%	17	-0.9
✕Kevin Heller 2014 · AA	24	43→45	39→45	52→50	40	204/267/290	86	298	7	10	32%	6%	53	-1.5	207/285/314	107	310	9	11	34%	7%	69	-0.4	200/285/307	107	304	10	12	34%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Larry Cobb 2009 · A	24	42→43	43→45	48→50	46	208/273/316	108	257	11	12	23%	7%	63	-0.8	215/275/332	117	288	12	10	28%	6%	68	-0.5	176/235/286	110	248	15	4	34%	4%	36	-0.5
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	37	44→50	45→30	40	186/252/307	121	288	11	6	38%	8%	52	-1.6	203/274/338	135	336	14	3	40%	8%	69	-0.4	193/269/328	135	322	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/271/295	91	290	6	12	30%	8%	56	-1.3	206/274/333	127	284	14	20	31%	7%	68	-0.5	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6