Justin Seager

Pos1B

B/TR/R

Born1992-05-15

Age (2027)35

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	23	A+Bakersfield B…	315	.191/.279/.281	2	2	24	—	.157/.228/.234
2016	24	A+Bakersfield B…	326	.222/.335/.400	13	0	63	—	.181/.267/.333
2017	25	AASEA	45	.214/.267/.357	1	0	23	—	.163/.200/.279

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2014	22	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	436	383	92	11	2	3	35	101	11	2	3	240	322	303	625	63	314	23	8	286	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+	Bakersfield Blaze	—	315	278	53	17	1	2	24	88	10	2	0	191	279	281	559	90	268	28	8	259	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+	Bakersfield Blaze	—	326	275	61	8	1	13	38	77	9	0	0	222	335	400	735	178	254	24	12	329	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	45	42	9	3	0	1	3	17	0	0	0	214	267	357	624	143	333	38	7	279	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2014	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	436	395	83	9	2	2	23	135	11	2	3	210	273	258	531	48	297	31	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	—	315	286	45	14	1	2	16	119	10	2	0	157	228	234	462	77	248	38	5	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	—	326	288	52	6	1	12	25	102	9	0	0	181	267	333	600	153	218	31	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	45	43	7	2	0	1	2	21	0	0	0	163	200	279	479	116	299	47	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	436	395	83	9	2	2	23	135	11	2	3	210	273	258	531	48	309	31	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	—	436	383	92	11	2	3	35	101	11	2	3	240	322	303	625	63	314	23	8	286	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	—	315	286	45	14	1	2	16	119	10	2	0	157	228	234	462	77	257	38	5	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ RAW	Bakersfield Blaze	—	315	278	53	17	1	2	24	88	10	2	0	191	279	281	559	90	268	28	8	259	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	—	326	288	52	6	1	12	25	102	9	0	0	181	267	333	600	153	225	31	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ RAW	Bakersfield Blaze	—	326	275	61	8	1	13	38	77	9	0	0	222	335	400	735	178	254	24	12	329	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	45	43	7	2	0	1	2	21	0	0	0	163	200	279	479	116	286	47	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	45	42	9	3	0	1	3	17	0	0	0	214	267	357	624	143	333	38	7	279	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	436	399	83	9	2	2	23	135	11	2	3	208	273	256	528	48	297	31	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	—	315	286	45	14	1	2	16	119	10	2	0	157	228	234	462	77	248	38	5	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	Bakersfield Blaze	—	326	289	52	6	1	12	25	102	9	0	0	180	267	332	599	152	218	31	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	45	43	7	2	0	1	2	21	0	0	0	163	200	279	479	116	299	47	4	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	1122	1012	187	31	4	17	66	377	30	4	3	185	255	274	529	89	271	34	6	232	43	-76	-0	+0	-20	+24	-7.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	108	18	2	10	38	218	17	2	2	184	254	273	527	89	269	34	6	232	43	-44	-0	+0	-12	+14	-4.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAArkansas Travelers · 45 PAwOBA .271 → .202 (−69)K% 37.8% → 47.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.78%	÷0.973	×1.220	—	—	47.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷1.005	×0.700	—	×0.998	4.64%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.974	×0.920	—	×0.998	18.86%
Doubles /BIP	12.00%	÷0.993	×0.840	—	×0.998	10.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.00%	÷1.024	×0.800	—	×0.998	3.12%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .271 → .202; ISO .143 → .100; BABIP .333 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 326 PAwOBA .325 → .261 (−64)K% 23.6% → 31.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.62%	÷1.008	×1.340	—	—	31.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.66%	÷1.045	×0.710	—	×0.988	7.82%
HBP% /PA	2.76%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	2.15%
Singles /BIP	19.70%	÷1.038	×0.910	×1.025	×0.988	17.50%
Doubles /BIP	4.04%	÷1.120	×0.820	×1.025	×0.988	3.00%
Triples /BIP	0.51%	÷0.900	×0.760	×1.025	×0.988	0.43%
Home runs /BIP	6.57%	÷0.973	×0.920	—	×0.988	6.13%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 124, 3B 80, K 102, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .325 → .261; ISO .178 → .155; BABIP .254 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 A+Bakersfield Blaze · 315 PAwOBA .253 → .203 (−50)K% 27.9% → 37.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.94%	÷0.988	×1.340	—	—	37.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.30%	÷0.999	×0.710	—	×0.998	5.18%
HBP% /PA	3.17%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	2.50%
Singles /BIP	17.37%	÷0.995	×0.910	×1.030	×0.998	16.33%
Doubles /BIP	8.95%	÷0.930	×0.820	×1.030	×0.998	8.11%
Triples /BIP	0.53%	÷0.900	×0.760	×1.030	×0.998	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	1.05%	÷1.077	×0.920	—	×0.998	0.90%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .253 → .203; ISO .090 → .072; BABIP .268 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AClinton LumberKings · 436 PAwOBA .282 → .235 (−47)K% 23.2% → 30.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.17%	÷1.018	×1.360	—	—	30.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.03%	÷1.068	×0.690	—	—	5.18%
HBP% /PA	2.52%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.97%
Singles /BIP	26.95%	÷0.999	×0.920	×1.041	—	25.83%
Doubles /BIP	3.90%	÷0.969	×0.830	×1.041	—	3.48%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.023	×0.910	×1.041	—	0.66%
Home runs /BIP	1.06%	÷1.129	×0.800	—	—	0.75%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 105, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .282 → .235; ISO .063 → .050; BABIP .314 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).